RPJ Betting Syndicate


UFC 73: Stacked Preview

Compared to the relatively boring UFC 72 card, the UFC 73 fight card is stacked – literally speaking – compared to 72. There are some easy money making opportunities lined up for UFC 73 and I think it is important to throw them into a parlay if some of the odds move more in the right direction. Also, just to throw it out there, I am 3-3 overall for my UFC picks and was 2-0 the last time I predicted.

The two easiest fights to pick:

1) Sherk (-280) vs. Franca (+210) – This is a title fight and I am expecting a solid beatdown. Sherk is one big muscle, hence his nickname (Muscle Shark), and when you take his body/muscle against Franca, a jujitsu fighter and submission guy you have one fighter who is completely neutralized. Franca has no chance of submitting Sherk, maybe by choke, but not likely. Franca will not put him in any type of arm or leg locks. Sherk is far too strong. Sherk also has shown that he can take a beating and keep on ticking (if you do not believe me check out the fight when he won the belt; he was a bloody mess). Also, Franca does not have a good striking style; he tends to throw wild haymakers and will leave himself completely open to controlled jabs and take downs. I would be surprised if this lasts two rounds. Also, you need to listen to Sherk’s interviews; he is very proud and is fighting to get paid to support his family. He has waited a long time to get some respect and fame and now that he has some he wants to build on it and continue to get paid more and more. He will roll in this fight. Also, Sherk is the reason BJ penn does not want to fight at 155 and Pulver wants to drop to 145. Sherk is an animal.

2) Antonio Minotauro Nogueira (-700) vs. Heath Herring (+500) – This one is not really worth discussing and I am expecting a solid Minotauro beat down. I am guessing he wins by choke. I have not been impressed with Herring’s two UFC fights (one was a loss) and I think he is vulnerable to a choke out. I consider Randy Couture to be one of the foremost authorities on MMA fighting and he thinks Minotauro is one of the best submission artists in the world. He had zero opinion on Herring. Enough said. Chalk up an easy win for Minotauro.

There is always a big upset on a UFC card and this week’s upset is:

Rashad Evans (+105) over Tito Ortiz (-135) (This line is moving, last check was -115, -115)- This fight is really hard for me to predict but I am going with Rashad Evans. My one fear is that Tito is a smart man and knows that if he loses this fight he has little to no future left in UFC. However, Tito is very business like. In the past he has hired a publicist, he likes to be seen out in public with his girlfriend, he has acted, he is into selling his clothes. I feel like he is more of a personality that talks a big game but does not have the full compliment of skills that today’s MMA superstars have. In his last 4 fights he beat Forest Griffin by decision in a fight I thought and Forest thought he won, beat Shamrock twice who is an old man and did not pose a challenge and got knocked out by Chuck Liddell. Not so impressive. That brings us to Rashad. Rashad s 15-0 and has been very impressive in his last three fights over Stephan Bonnar, Jason Lambert, and Sean Salmon. Rashad is getting better in each fight and adding something new each time. Just check out this awesome knockout of Salmon.

Take Rashad in this one and get the benefit of him as the underdog (hopefully if you can still find him as the underdog, I think we are starting to move lines here). I think Tito has a chance to win but I think he will go for broke in the first round, not get it done and then Rashad will systematically take him apart. This one might go to decision.

Anderson Silva (-165) vs. Nate Marquardt (+135) – Gonna stay with the favorite on this one and I am picking Silva. The only reason I am not making this an easy money fight is because of Nate Marquardt’s history of fighting boring fights where he takes an opponent down and holds him down and tries to pass guard without inflicting any damage. So in one scenario, and the only scenario where I see Nate winning, is the scenario where he takes down Silva and stalls and holds him down and simply wins the fight on a decision cause he got points on take downs. What I hope happens and what I think really will happen is Silva will simply come out on the attack and will keep constant pressure on Nate just like he did against Rich Franklin. Silva wants to punish people and I think he will remain on the attack while standing or on the ground. Last reason but certainly not least, Marquardt credits his recent success to finding God…I am sure God does not support pounding ones face like a butcher pounds beef…don’t pick the choir boy in this one.

The throw in fight:

Stephan Bonnar (-500) over Mike Nickels (+350) – always take the guy who you know uses performance enhancing drugs. Bonnar is back from his steroid suspension but we know he had the juice running through him.

So this week I am giving you 5 fights. On betus.com right now a 5 fighter $100 parlay pays $458.86. Kaching!!!! Good luck this weekend and let me know what you think. I am confident in my picks this week and ready to continue my roll.

Flash Flash

July 6, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Chuck Liddell, Gambling, mma, Penn, Rashad Evans, Steroids, ufc, Ultimate Fighter | 5 Comments

Curt Schilling: Great American Hypocrite

Man I am sick and tired of Curt Schilling. He has the nerve to go on public radio in Boston and speak to the thousands listening on his opinion if and when Bonds breaks Aaron’s home run record. Schilling took the argument a step further than the aveage baseball player’s comments and is on record stating:

“I mean, he admitted that he used steroids,” Schilling said during his weekly appearance on sports radio WEEI’s “Dennis and Callahan” show. “I mean, there’s no gray area. He admitted to cheating on his wife, cheating on his taxes, and cheating on the game, so I think the reaction around the league, the game, being what it is, in the case of what people think. Hank Aaron not being there. The commissioner [Bud Selig] trying to figure out where to be. It’s sad.

Admitted cheating on his wife, taxes and the game. Are you kidding me? Bonds has never been convicted of any of these accusations and he has never tested positive for any banned substances.

Here is why Schilling is a hypocrite…Schilling set up a blog (38pitches.com) to do some nice things like raise awareness for ALS and to give a pretty good recap for the fans on certain games but what he also uses it for is to publically attack members of the press and media that talk about him. He set up the blog so he has a venue to speak his truth about public issues like the recent conspiracy on his game 6 bloody sock and so he has a venue to clarify anything he feels the press incorrectly portrays. He wants the blog to speak the truth all of the time. Well Curt, you hypocrite, if you want people to speak the truth about you, you better speak and have your facts in order. Curt.. you owe Bonds a serious and public apology for bringing up ideas that were heresay and voiced in the court of public opinion and not in the court of our legal system. Schilling was flat out WRONG with his comments and should be held accountable.

When you had the chance to speak to Congress about steroids you weaseled out of it and you were even discussed as being a user back in 2004. Not even your teamate and clubhouse leader Big Papi agree with you. He thinks Bonds is an incredible talent…read this ESPN article (Schilling, Papi on different sides of Bonds debate).

Schilling was quick to judge and attack Gary Thorne regarding the painted sock and the Doug Mirabelli comments. I think he called out Thorne for not having his facts straight. Public opinion and personal opinion are not facts. The facts are as follows.. Bonds has never tested positive for a banned substance, in grand jury testimony Bonds said he never knowingly took sterooids, Bonds has never admitted to cheating on his wife and Bonds has never admitted to cheating on his taxes. THESE ARE THE FACTS. Whether or not you believe him does not matter…these are the facts plain and simple.

My guess is you write a blog about your Bonds comments so you can simply bring more attention to yourself, you self serving weasel. You owe Bonds an apology and I want to hear it soon.

Flash Flash

P.S. Runny is out in Vegas so you will have to wait for his picks. I am sure you will get a recap of how he did. I know he hit it nice with the Pirates 15 inning win last night.

May 9, 2007 Posted by | ESPN, Fenway, MLB, Red Sox, Sports, Steroids | 4 Comments