RPJ Betting Syndicate

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Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/25 – 9/27/08) and Booty (not John David) Chicks

Here is our rundown for the season. Last week we went a combined 10-4 so that brings our records to the following:

RPJ $yndicate is now 12-12-1 on the season. We are not happy with this but we had a solid week last week and we will continue to roll with our system that is going to start picking up winners like Spitzer picks up whores. Mark our words.

Flash Flash is now 5-1 on the season. I am loving the games I am finding. The Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week.

Runny Pelvis the Fat is now 11-9 on the season. 5-3 last week and on a roll.

We always tell you that we are here for our fans. The Wizard complained that the chicks we show are too skinny and that he wants to see curvy ladies who have asses wider than their hip bones. Sorry Klum fans but you are on the back burner this week. Here you go Wizard, a picture of Kim Kardashian, she certainly has some curves:

Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!

Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!

Sorry Wiz. Had to throw in some humor this week. Here you go with some fine pics:

You want curves, we will show you curves.

You want curves, we will show you curves.

Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.

Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.

Have to show skin to win baby!!!

Have to show skin to win baby!!!

And a video of some booty shaking. Mr. SEC Lawyer requested as much Keyra as possible and it just does not exist so we had to mix it up. This is not Keyra quality but variety is the spice of life. Also, check out the video at the end of this post. It is solid.

Hope these met your approval Wizard and Mr. SEC Lawyer. To our other fans out there this just shows how we aim to please. Feel free to post comments, requests or shoot us emails at rpjsyndicate.com. We are here for our readers 1) to make you bucket loads of cash and 2) to show you what you want and based on where you click and read, you want to see hot ass.

Now on to the Week 5 picks and we have a lot of them for you:

RPJ $yndicate picks

North Carolina at Miami (-8) – This game is going down as the Flash Flash special and his game of the week. It just so happened that it hit all cylinders as far as our models go. UNC is coming off a horrible defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech. They had that game in hand, then lost their QB and a 4th quarter lead at home. UNC is young and will not be able to to bounce back from this. T.J. Yates gave his team a chance to win any game and now they have no chance to beat The U. Miami is actually playing pretty well. We have watched them a lot this year and they played Florida tougher than the final score showed (Effing Urban Meyer and his cover FG…douche, douche, DOUCHE!!!). Miami might have the most or second most team speed on defense. Line them up against USC and see who wins. The ATS numbers actually do not favor Miami in this game but stats do. Miami rushes for more yards per game, gives up a lot less yards per game and does not turn the ball over as much. Get on this line before it hits 10. Miami covers and wins!!!

Kent State at Ball State (-18 and over/under 59.5) – We are picking our first MACkey attackey game of the year. We love these games. Kent State stinks on defense and gives up more than 430 yards per game and to top it off they can score on offense. After they got shut out by BC in week 1, Kent State has scored 28, 24 and 27 points all while going 1-3 on the season. Ball State can score with the best of them and are generating 482 yards per game on offense and giving up 393 yards per game on defense. Ball State is 4-0 and has scored 42, 41, 35 and 48 points on the season. Ball State scored 42 last week at Indiana and lost their best player during the game and kept on scoring. We are hitting you up with a double pick on this game. Here are the ATS numbers:

Kent State
Golden Flashes are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Golden Flashes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Flashes last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Flashes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Flashes last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Ball State
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Over is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games in September.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

We think the ATS numbers speak for themselves and Kent State is bad, really bad. They need to change their team name from the Golden Flashes to the Golden Showers. Ball State is going to urinate all over them. Take Ball State to win and cover and double it up with the OVER!!!

Ole Miss at Florida (-22) – This is an interesting game. Florida is coming off their Tennessee road beat down and Ole Miss has had two weeks to stew about their loss at home to Vanderbilt. Florida has looked good on paper but we do not think they are as good as their record shows. Tebow is not playing like Tebow. Maybe he should have been practicing instead of saving children in the Philthypeens this Summer. What we do know is Florida has some ridiculous talent on campus. Check this out:

Who wants to kiss my gator?

Who wants to kiss my gator?

Lets check out the ATS numbers:

Ole Miss
Rebels are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

You saw that Florida has one loss against the spread in the SEC in their last 5 and you guessed it…that game was against Ole Miss last year in a 30-24 win. Ole Miss could easily be 4-0 but has suffered a pair of disheartening losses. The Rebels outgained then-No. 20 Wake Forest on the road Sept. 6, but lost 30-28 on a last-second field goal. After beating Samford the next week, Ole Miss hosted Vanderbilt in its SEC opener last Saturday and outgained the Commodores 385-202. Jevan Snead, though, threw four interceptions and the Rebels lost two fumbles in a 23-17 defeat. Snead has talent and the swamp is no cupcake but we think this is too many points. This line opened at 24.5 and is now down to 22. We think you need to jump on it while you can. 62% of the money is betting on the Gators and the line is dropping so Vegas can take more bets for the Gators. As soon as the line stops dropping or rises we know the line is true. Get it while its hot….Ole Miss covers in this game!

Purdue at Notre Dame (Pick Em) – Holy crap this line opened at Notre Dame -3 and moved to pick em. Did hell freeze over? What the eff is going on here? 78% of the money is going to Purdue and that terrifies the hell out of us but the leaping leprechauns are putrid. The ATS numbers:

Purdue
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Boilermakers are 8-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Boilermakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

Head-to-Head
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The ATS numbers are not great but the head-to-head battle is big for Purdue. We think Vegas is out of their mind this game. Unless you live in Indiana you have no idea how important this game is for Purdue against their instate rival. Notre Dame might not give a crapola about Purdue but Purdue sure wants to beat the tar out of Notre Dame. This is Purdue’s bowl game. They hate the Irish. Purdue pissed us off last year with a no cover but they are back with a vengeance this year. The Irish are still bad, very bad. So forget the record for a moment. The Fighting Irish are 111th in the country (out of 119 teams) in rushing offense. They are 107th in total offense and 68th in total defense. Notre Dame’s offensive line, which was the worst in the history of offensive lines last year, is still weak. The only thing they have going for them is somewhat of a passing game. However, Purdue held the great Dan LaFevour down last week. If they can stop that passing game, they can certainly stop Claussen’s. We think this is easy money and is Runny’s pick of the week. Purdue wins and covers easily!!!

Fresno State at UCLA (+6.5) – Sometimes our models totally throw us for a loop and they did it in this game. Even though the pick will defy all logic, we have to stay disciplined to our models and our system. Lets look at some UCLA arse to get our minds focused on the game at hand. This is from the school’s annual undie run. Bet you wish you went there.

Always aim for the middle!

Always aim for the middle! Why didn't we go to a PAC 10 school?!?!?!

Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Fresno State
Bulldogs are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

UCLA
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bruins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Bruins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bruins are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Bruins are 23-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bruins are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in September.

Shocking isn’t it. We wish we had a better reason than, “trust us” but we do not. However, we are all over UCLA in this game and we are getting 6.5 points. Take UCLA and the points!!!!

Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) – Back for another rule of 28 game. This line was 28 when I started writing this post and it moved on us. Damn oddsmakers. Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week and really means absolutely nothing but in terms of golf, Rule 28 is when you are playing golf and you have to rule your ball unplayable and you are left with the following decisions:

a. Play a ball as nearly as possible at the spot from which the original ball was last played (see Rule 20-5); or
b. Drop a ball behind the point where the ball lay, keeping that point directly between the hole and the spot on which the ball is dropped, with no limit to how far behind that point the ball may be dropped; or
c. Drop a ball within two club-lengths of the spot where the ball lay, but not nearer the hole.

So we have a scenario for you. If you deem the ball in the picture unplayable what do you do?

Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?

Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?

Do you a) play the ball where it is? b) drop your ball behind the existing ball? or c) drop the ball within two club lengths. We think B is the clear winner. Drop it behind and get right in there. Is there a game associated with this? Oh yeah…The ATS numbers:

Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Razorbacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.

Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Got it. Texas looks damn good this year and Arkansas blows. Alabama beat the piss out of them at Arkansas. Texas will beat them worse in Austin. Texas wins and covers!!!!!

Miss State at LSU (-24) – We did not like the points Florida had to make to cover in their game but we love it for LSU. We made some fat coin on LSU last year when they played Mississippi State and we are back for more. We love this game this week and will just show yo usome of the ATS numbers heads up:

Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Get our drift. Only thing that pisses us off about this game is the 2006 game. Flash missed a ten team parlay by 3.5 effing points when LSU benched all of their starters and let the Bulldogs come back and cover. Flash was in Vegas at the time and it would have been his biggest payday ever. LSU has defeated the Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) eight straight times by an average margin of 32.4 points since a 17-16 road loss Oct. 23, 1999. Now that Lee is the QB, LSU should roll in this game. No way Miss. State can hang. LSU wins and covers!!!!!!

Virginia at Duke (-7) – Duke is actually favored by a TD. I think the stars are aligned funny and the world is about to end. Notre Dame is favored or a pick em against Purdue and there is a BCS opponent that Duke is favored against by a TD. Holy crap, run for the hills. Virginia is a mess and now has to play without the QB that won the starting job because he got tossed out of school. UVS sucked with him and will suck worse without him. Lalich is actually trying to get into Oregon State and will be at the USC/Beavers game this evening. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia
Cavaliers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Virginia is bad and might even be worse than Notre Dame. We know that is hard to believe but a UVA/ND matchup would probably be competitive. Man we love rubbing it in the face of ND fans. Thank god they ran Holtz out of town so the program is in shambles. Duke is on their way up and will enjoy some home town support. Duke should easily win and cover in this game!!!

Flash Flash Picks (5-1 on the season)

Florida International at Toledo (-20) – Get on this line before it goes over 21 points. Toledo can score with the best of them and lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State last week. Florida International is terrible. Do not buy into the close cover against South Florida last week. FIU was playing in their home opener and first game in a new stadium and blew their wad. Some ATS numbers: Golden Panthers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden Panthers are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rockets are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games. Toledo will come out fast and furious and FIU doe snot have an answer. Toledo wins and covers easily!!!

TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) – Both of these teams are rolling. Nothing needs to be said about Oklahoma. Nobody really knows anything about TCU though. TCU is tough as hell and actually beat Oklahoma in 2005 as 25 point road underdogs. This year TCU has a solid offense and its defense is actually playing better than Oklahoma’s. In addition, TCU is turning the ball over less. Here are the ATS numbers:

TCU
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Good numbers out of both teams. TCU has actually won their last two games in Norman. I think 18.5 points is just too much to ask as a spread versus the TCU defense. I do not think TCU wins but I think they can keep their loss under 18.5 points. Take TCU with the points!!!

Runny Pelvis Picks (11-9 on the season)

SMU @ Tulane (-18): Flash bailed on me on this one because he is afraid of the points. Chickenshit!! I’m not scurred!! I love betting on creoles on Thursday nights!!! My penchant for crawfish aside, here are some facts: Tulane is 11-1 ATS in their 12 as favorites off non-conference game vs opponent off a SU loss, Tulane is 5-1 ATS vs opponent they beat the year before who is off back to back SU losses and they are 9-2 ATS at home off of a double digit SU win. SMU facts: they suck. I’m riding the Green Wave this week!! Take Tulane -18.

USC @ Oregon State (+25.5): The boys in Vegas are PRAYING Oregon State covers this one. The line has gone up all week, but everyone is crushing USC in this one. The Vegas books are refusing to raise the line. This scares us. So do the ATS numbers-ORST is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against USC at home, and they are 6-0 ATS off of double digit ATS win against teams that beat them the year before who are off of a SU win. Not looking good for USC. However, USC is ridiculous this year. Ridiculous. It is not the same USC team from the past 3 games in Corvallis. Think about it-USC destroyed the #5 team in the country in their last game. They will do the same this week. They are 12-3 ATS with rest. Carroll has already come out and said they want to end the game early so they can get their 4th string QB some reps!!! This will be a beatdown. Take USC -25.5.

Minn @ OSU (-18): I hate making this pick because I hate both teams so very much. However, I’m about picking winners first, so that always prevails. OSU is fresh off a massacre in SoCal and a less than sensational win (but no cover-like I said last week) last week. However, the key to last week’s game is that Tressel started Pryor. It made a huge difference. That kid is legit, and he is only gonna get better. Plus, Beanie Wells is back this week, it is OSU’s Big 10 opener and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Minn. Take OSU -18.

MSU @ IU (+8): As I mentioned last week, I was at the IU-Ball State game in Bloomington last week. IU shocked me at how bad they are. In particular, their QB play was terrible and they could not stop Ball State. Even worse, their fans were total pu$$ies. Total pu$$ies. The Ball State fans were much louder. Unacceptable during a home game. MSU has Jevon Ringer. IU couldn’t stop Ball State’s running game last week, so they have no chance of stopping Ringer. Here are some facts: MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against IU, MSU is 4-1 ATS in the game before Iowa and IU is 1-9 ATS off a SU favorite loss against teams that beat them the year before. That is terrible. MSU wins big. Take MSU -8.

Also, we are still researching the Wisconsin-Michigan, Colorado-FSU, Tenn-Auburn, ILL-PSU and Bama-GA games, but we haven’t made up my mind yet. We will do so by Friday. Check back with us for these picks. These may be individual picks (or maybe nothing at all), but we will at least have substantial opinions on all.

We are going to leave you with this video because we know some of you like em less curvy…

Another tough day in the life of Runny and Flash. Cash and ASS!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

September 25, 2008 Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, Ass, Ball State Cardinals, Beanie Wells, Beavers, Betting, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boilermakers, Bruins, Buckeyes, Charlie Weis, Dan LaFevour, Duke, Eliot Spitzer, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida Gators, Florida International, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Golden Gophers, Heidi Klum, Horned Frogs, Indiana Hoosiers, Jim Tressel, Jimmy Claussen, Kent State, Keyra Augustina, Kim Kardashian, Les Miles, LSU Tigers, MAC, Miami Hurricanes, Michigan State, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mississippi State, NC, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Oregon State, Pac-10, Purdue, SEC, SMU Mustangs, Sooners, South Bend, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, TCU, Texas Longhorns, Thong, Tim Tebow, Toledo Rockets, Trojans, Tulane, UCLA, Urban Meyer, USC, USC Trojans, UVA, Virginia Cavaliers, Winning Picks | 8 Comments

Week 2: 2008 NCAA Football Betting Recap

Well we had a really ugly week….The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). A lot of you gave us crap on the side via email and it was justified. Remember, we tell it like it is and take the pain with you. Other yahoos out there say they win every week and then charge you $500 a week for picks. We have years of successful betting wins and the NCAA season is a marathon, not a sprint. We are confident our picks will return. Points from the weekend:

1) East Carolina is solid and Coach Holtz just made himself millions of dollars. Expect Holtz to bolt after this season and get a serious pay raise. Serious props to the Pirates. No more Heisman for Pat White.

2) Do you think South Florida was looking ahead to their showdown with Kansas this week?

3) Ohio State is not as bad as they showed and their lackluster performance will probably end up helping them this week. Tressel will beat the crap out of them this week in practice and get the team re-focused. USC watched that terrible performance and now thinks they will win easily. Now you can see how it helps Ohio State cause USC will probably take the Buckeyes too lightly. USC got bored playing Virginia and they just watched a terrible Ohio State performance and Coach Carroll will have to get them fired up this week. Spread is now USC -10.5 and that is a terrifying number. Expect a lot more from us on this game because we will be doing The Swingers drive from Vegas to the game and back. We are pumped for a sweet trip.

4) Big East is still terrible. Pitt lost to Bowling Green and Bowling Green lost to Big 10 bottom dweller Minnesota. U-G-L-Y!!!

5) Don’t think for a second that coaches do not know what the lines are. Thank you Urban Meyer for screwing all of us on your damn field goal with less than 90 seconds to go. We hope you get nut cancer. A half point always matter when you bet. Also, Miami kept this game a lot closer than people thought they would. The U has some serious speed on defense.

6) Notre Dame is not good. Where are all of their 5 star recruits? What a joke. San Diego State at home. Michigan stinks too. Have fun next week playing for nothing.

7) Georgia Tech still has a jacked D and tons of talent on the D-line.

8) Washington would not have won their game in OT. Quit your whining Ty!!!

9) Will anybody be able to stop Oklahoma’s Offense?

10) Jeff Tedford’s Cal team won big but, in our opinion, he still loves turd sandwiches.

Flash and Runny

September 8, 2008 Posted by | BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Buckeyes, BYU Cougars, California, Charlie Weis, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Golden Bears, Huskies, Jeff Tedford, Jim Tressel, Kansas Jayhawks, Michigan Wolverines, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Sooners, South Florida, Sports, Trojans, Urban Meyer, USC, USC Trojans, Washington Huskies, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

Week 1: NCAA Football recap

We think the best way to sum up this past weekend is to reveal the Las Vegas Sports Consultants top 5 poll. These guys are in the know and know a lot more than the ridiculous AP poll and the other garbage out there. Here is the poll in reverse order:

5) Florida – Impressive win over a bad team. They do not need Tebow to roll and this will be key to getting through the SEC. This is the ONLY SEC team in the top 5. You SEC homers can start your bitching.

4) Missouri – A little surprised here because the defense did not show up. Offense is ridiculous.

3) Oklahoma – Two teams from the Big 12. How about that. Remember what we said about QBs. The best group of QBs in the nation is in the Big 12.

2) Ohio State – We think this is a little bit overrated. Beanie is hurt and they did not impress against 1-AA talent. Team is still getting props for all of their returning starters and that is an important metric to track in the beginning of the season.

1) USC – Did not play that well and dominated a terrified Virginia team. Defense is ridiculous when focused and lost focus early when they knew they would not face a challenge. Great WR play highlighted the offense. D. Williams is a huge addition. Looks like the replacement for Steve Smith.

Other notables. The Big East and the ACC were and are awful. Clemson laid a huge egg as did Virginia Tech and Tennessee. Fulmer should be fired after that horrible performance. Tennessee caused four first half turnovers and held UCLA to 29 yards rushing and LOST!!!! One more time….they freakin LOST!!!!! Incredible.

The basic fact of college football is as follows. There are only two team that travel well 2,000 miles or more out of conference and that is USC and Fresno State. Props to Fresno for jacking up Rutgers. Tennessee can not do it two years in a row. Big Ten teams do not do well when they travel West; Rose Bowls and Michigan State this weekend. The reality is that teams protect their home field. Rivalry games are incredibly more important and demanding then out of conference road games. People think the SEC is the best conference because of the teams in the conference when in reality it is the rivalries. Almost every single game is a huge rivalry in the SEC and that creates the demanding pressure and creates battle tested teams. Ohio State has one rivalry game in conference, Oklahoma has Texas and vice versa, the Big East and ACC lack big rivalry games. The Pac-10 has a couple but everybody is really trying to beat USC. The reality is the SEC has more rivalry games and that is why the games are so tough and the teams do well in bowls. They are battle tested.

Player of the Week – Pat White tore it up for West Virginia. Watch out for this team. They have an awesome QB, lots of skilled players around him and play in the Big East. They easily could run the table and this is a team on a mission with a bitter taste in their mouth following their PITT debacle last year.

Team of the Week – Most impressive win has to be East Carolina. They came back and won on special teams. Complete reversal against Virginia Tech. We love Beamer ball but Holtz got the best of him this year.

Poo of the week – Tie between Clemson and Tennessee. Tennessee wins hands down because we thought Alabama had a good chance of winning and Clemson was overrated. Tennessee’s loss is inexcuseable. UCLA is bad, very bad and this will play out over the course of the season.

Stay tuned for our picks for Week 2. Feel free to post any comments or questions. We are here to help you. If you want any inside action feel free to shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Also, let us know if you want us to post hot chick pictures and with or without nudity.

We love cash like a fat kid loves cake!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis the Fat

September 2, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Alabama Tide, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bruins, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, LSU, LSU Tigers, Missouri, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Pac-10, Pete Carroll, SEC, Sooners, Sports, Texas A&M, Tigers, Trojans, UCLA, USC, USC Trojans, UVA, VaTech, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Volunteers, West Virginia, Winning Picks, WVA | Leave a comment

NCAA Football preview – What Vegas wants you to belive in the preseason

Can you smell what THE SYNDICATE IS COOKING!!!!!!!!!!!!! NCAA Football is finally here!

Man we are excited for the NCAA football 2008-2009 season. We are going to hit you up with this post on some pre-season observations like What Vegas is trying to tell you and Where Vegas is trying to trap you and we are going to analyze some of the best teams and players in the country to let you know what we are thinking and to inject some of our own predictions and analysis.

We are here to provide you with full disclosure on what we are up to. Two years ago, RPJ Syndicate went 19-4 against the spread during bowl season and we made ourselves a ton of money. Last year we started this blog and started posting our picks to the public with the idea of continuing with our momentum so we could ultimately charge for our services. Well a funny thing happend on the way to the bank last season….we finished the regular season 59-54 and finished up 13 betting units. Well I do not know about you but this record was not worth paying for and we are back again this season posting our picks for free. We were up 13 units because we went 6-4 for our 5 unit bets. So there you have it. We will tell you why we are picking certain games and our MONEY IS 100% behind every recommendation we make so we feel the pain and share the gain. We spent the offseason enhancing our betting models and extending our network of betting and information contacts and we are confident that this will be a year to remember. And now on with the show…..

Vegas has put out its W/L futures odds for the 2008 NCAA football season. The teams are ranked below in alphabetical order by the amount of games Vegas will entertain your bets over/under the team’s total win amount for the regular season; bowl games do not count. Take a look at some of the teams we are highlighting:

Ohio St – 10.5
Oklahoma – 10.5
USC – 10.5
Boise St – 10
Florida – 10
Missouri – 10
BYU – 9.5
Clemson – 9.5
Georgia – 9.5
West Virginia – 9.5
Auburn – 9
LSU – 9
Penn St – 9
South Florida – 9
Texas – 9
Virginia Tech – 9
Wisconsin – 9
California – 8
Florida St – 8
Oregon – 8
Kansas – 7.5
Miami FL – 7.5
Michigan – 7.5
South Carolina – 7.5
Tennessee – 7.5
Illinois – 7
Nebraska – 7
Notre Dame – 7
UCLA – 6

What stood out to us is Georgia. Georgia is number 1 in the coaches poll and all experts are stroking their cahcks to the Bulldogs because they return 17 starters from last year’s team and the experts love their RB/QB combo and have labelled it the best 1-2 in the country. Vegas knows their up from their down and do not even have the Dawgs winning the SEC. Vegas gives that honor to Florida. Take a look at Georgia’s schedule:

8/30 Georgia Southern
9/06 Central Michigan
9/13 @ South Carolina
9/20 @ Arizona State
9/27 Alabama
10/11 Tennessee
10/18 Vanderbilt
10/25 @ LSU
11/01 Florida
11/08 @ Kentucky
11/15 @ Auburn
11/29 Georgia Tech

The USC Gamecocks, ASU, Alabama, Tennessee stretch is brutal and then they still play at LSU, followed up with a game against Florida and still have to travel to Auburn. We see 3 loses out of this squad. In addition, Mark Richt is not controlling this team in the offseason and the players are clearly not focused on winning championships. Multiple players are already going to start the year on the suspended list. Check out this article Georgia LB Dewberry suspended 2 games after hospital incident. Beware Bulldogs fans cause your team has a brutal schedule and all the preseason hype. With hype comes distraction. Urban Meyer has already shown how badly he wants to beat you this year and he is not alone.

USC and Ohio State are at the top of the list with an over/under of 10.5. That means in order to win this bet each team needs to lose only one game all year. These teams play in LA on September 13 so one of them will have a loss 2 or 3 games into their season. This is really the only game each team needs to worry about and the winner will likely play in the BCS title game. Outside of travelling to LA, Ohio State’s two scariest games are at Wisconsin and at Illinois. The Buckeyes get Penn State and Michigan at home and the rest of the Big Ten stinks. USC gets Ohio State at home along with Oregon, ASU and Cal. Just like back in 2004, if USC can get past a tough early schedule game (Ohio State this year and Va. Tech in 2004), their schedule lines up perfectly for an undefeated run.

The focus of college football teams really needs to focus on the QB position. The conference with the best QBs in the nation play in the Big 12. Oklahoma, Texas, Texas Tech, Missouri, Kansas, even Colorado are going to play with QBs that are going to play on Sundays. Do not be surprised to see the winner of the Big 12 playing in the BCS title game.

The other QBs to watch include Sanchez, Tebow and Pat White. If Sanchez is healthy, the Trojans have a shot at playing in the title game and never disount Tim Tebow, the best QB in the SEC. The best QB in the Big East plays for West Virginia and these guys might have a shot at sneaking through the season undefeated. White and Devine are going to be nasty.

This stuff is not rocket science. Pollsters should really look at shcedule when deciding their pre-season rankings but when they do not, Vegas knows what to do and tells us publically. No Georgia, yes to Florida. PAc-10 and Big-10 are not competitive cause they expect USC and Ohio State to only have one loss and one will be to each other. The Big 12 will be scrappy up top with Oklahoma and Missouri. Clemson will choke once again and BYU will not get to the BCS game cause Boise State is still the cream of the crop.

Stay tuned for our FREE PICKS tomorrow and let the games begin. This season is going to be fruitful.

Flash Flash and RUnny

August 26, 2008 Posted by | ACC, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, Colorado Buffaloes, ESPN, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Kansas Jayhawks, LSU, LSU Tigers, Missouri, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Pac-10, Red Raiders, SEC, Sooners, Sports, Texas Longhorns, Texas Tech, Trojans, Uncategorized, Urban Meyer, USC, USC Trojans, Vegas, Winning Picks, WVA | 1 Comment

1/2/2008 – Tostitos Fiesta Bowl Free Pick and Hot Chicks: West Virginia versus Oklahoma

Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….

www.rpjsyndicate.com

Well we had a bit of a love hate going with our picks. We are now winning our picks but losing the big money bets we put down. Since starting 2-7, we have raced back impressively and now stand at 9-10. Only a couple of games left but we are coming back with a fury.

Our Dahm Triplet bets are running undefeated so we are coming back with those hot gals for this blog:

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definately 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

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Man we love the sauna!!!

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On with the game….

West Virginia versus Oklahoma (-7)

We think this is a game of who has more to prove. West Virginia suffered a catastrophic loss to PITT in their last game and then their coach bailed on them to go to Michigan. Oklahoma was the laughing stock of all bowl teams last year when Boise State pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season. We rode West Virginia this year when we found them relevant and we have learned that they really do not respond well to physical defenses and Pat White and Steve Slaton will bail on games and get hurt when the going gets tough. It took us awhile to warm up to Oklahoma because they were starting a freshmen QB but we are believers that Sam Bradford is a special kid and the real deal. Bradford suffered a concussion early in the Texas Tech loss so the only real loss he was accoutable for was the Colorado upset. Bradford led the nation with a 180.5 quarterback rating. Bradford completed 70.1 percent of his passes for 34 touchdowns on the season. He had a 7-0 TD-to-interception ratio in the Sooners’ three games against ranked teams. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers:

West Virginia
Mountaineers are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Sooners are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We hear that West Virginia has been practicing tough and as if nothing happened but we think their PITT loss will simply be too much to overcome. White and Slaton fold in big games and against physical teams (See South Florida loss this year) and Oklahoma is darn good. This spread has moved around a lot because of Rodriguez leaving and Oklahoma is facing some suspensions to their secondary but the guys stepping in all were starters in 2006. Also, secondary play is not as important as the LBs and guys in the trenches when facing West Virginia. This game will be won at the line of scrimmage and we think Oklahoma will be playing for a lot more and will be the more focused team. West Virginia is simply facing too many issues and has the potential to fold real fast in this game.

Oklahoma wins this game big!!!!

Lets end this blog on a good note with one of our favorite pictures of the year. This never gets old….

gulbis.jpg

Flash Flash and Runny

January 2, 2008 Posted by | BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Dahm Triplets, Football, Free NCAA picks, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Oklahoma, Sooners, Sports, West Virginia, Winning Picks, WVA | 10 Comments

NCAA Football Week 13 Games: Winning Picks and Chicks for 11/24/2007

After the USC/Arizona State decimation we are 49-45 on the season, 5-3 on Eva Mendes bets and up 12 units. We still have Friday’s games to go so check out that post if you want to bet today’s games. We have 7 picks for you for Saturday’s games and one is another Eva Mendes bet.

Game 1 – Maryland at NC State (-2.5) – This is the “I wish I was Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt” game. When you look at the picture below imagine what it must feel like to be Natalie’s sweatshirt.

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We bet it feels freaking incredible, maybe one of the best feelings on earth at that particular mid stretch moment. So when you look at Maryland and NC State sitting at 5-6 in the win loss column, one win away from being bowl eligible where they might have a chance to play in the December 11 Velveeta pimento loaf bowl you can bet that each one of these teams wishes they were Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt right about now and that is a place that is MUCH MUCH Better than where they are now. Some ATS numbers for you:

Maryland
Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NC State
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Wolfpack are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Wolfpack are 3-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

The battle of the 5-6 teams is really not an exciting one and NC State has been playing better of late but we are not buying them. We both looked at this line and immediately thought it was wrong and that Maryland should be favored. These two teams historically have played each other pretty close of late, averaging a 5 point margin of victory over the last 5 years. Call it a hunch but we are going with the team that has the fattest head coach in honor of Mark Mangino. Take Maryland and the points!!!

Game 2 – Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-11.5) – The “What is the temperature up there” game! Oklahoma basically holds its own destiny in terms of the Big 12 Championship game and they have an outside chance to make it to the BCS title game. This cheerleader is helping out her Sooners by seeing what the temperature is up there in that pose. Can they win? Will Bradford stay in for the whole game? What will the impact be missing DeMarco Murray?

oklahoma.jpg

Oklahoma leading rusher DeMarco Murray dislocated a kneecap trying to recover an onside kick last week and will be forced to miss this game. Quarterback Sam Bradford sustained a concussion in the loss last week but he has been cleared to play. We do not think he will be 100%. Then throw in that this is a rivalry game and Oklahoma State plays well on the road in Big 12 action, giving up an average of 17.3 points. We are definitely intrigued. Check out the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

We are not concerned with who wins this game but we think Oklahoma State is good enough to cover and possibly win outright. We are banking on the cover. Take Oklahoma State!!!

Game 3 – UCONN at West Virginia (-17.5) – The Battle for the Big East is not what the experts were predicting at the beginning of the year. Who the heck would have thought UCONN would be in first place right now, holding their own destiny. This will be a very tough game to watch but if you have watched UCONN this year you know that their defense is legit and likes to hit. We know West Virginia’s dynamic duo of Slaton and White do not like to get hit and are prone to fumble. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

UCONN
Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

West Virginia
Mountaineers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Mountaineers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

We think all signs line up for a UCONN cover and we think this game will be a lot closer than people think. West Virginia probably wins but we like UCONN to keep it close. Take UCONN!!!

Game 4 – Florida State at Florida (-13.5) – This is our Eva Mendes bet for Saturday’s games. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit and we absolutely love the picture below so much we had to show it again. That ass did win big for us last weekend so we are gonna ride it until it bucks us off.

mendes-1.jpg

We were actually surprised to see this line in the 2 TD range and thought it really could have been more around 20-22 points. Florida State is inept on offense and the defenses match up pretty evenly. Lately Florida State has been winning close games or losing and Florida has thumped its last three opponents since the Georgia game, scoring at least 49 points in each game. Florida State has only scored 30 points once this year and that was back on September 8 when they barely beat UAB by 10 points. Also, Florida State gave Florida bulletin board material earlier in the week when Florida State linebacker Geno Hayes boldly predicted Monday that “Tim Tebow’s going down.” “The bigger they are the harder they fall,” Hayes said. “Hopefully we can go out there and shatter his dream.” Well we think Geno Hayes is a JACKASS!!!!! Florida gets Percy Harvin back for this game after he missed the last two. Do not expect this game to be as close as last year when Florida only won 21-14. This Florida team is really putting up points and Tebow is going for the Heisman. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Florida State
Seminoles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.
Seminoles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Florida
Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Gators are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Lets look at the head to head matchups: The favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The home team is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings. The Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida. So what does this all add up to….a Florida smack down. We think Florida easily wins and covers in this game and we are betting Eva’s sweet ass that they do!!!

Game 5 – Clemson at South Carolina (+3) – “The stick it here game” Clemson is going to have to rebound from a heartbreaking loss to Boston College. Clemson lost last year to South Carolina and in 2004 the two teams brawled and had to give up their postseason eligibility. We think the Clemson Tigers are going to want to stick it to South Carolina and put it right where this cheerleader’s picture shows:

south-carolina.jpg

South Carolina is now playing bad football. They have lost 4 in a row and have no defense. Throw in the fact that Clemson wins the turnover margin +10 to minus 5 and has a much better defense and we like how this is looking. We know CLemson likes to run the ball and South Carolina gives up 208.8 yards per game on defense. I think you can see where we are going with this. Some ATS numbers for you:

Clemson
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. SEC.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games in November.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Gamecocks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head to head the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in South Carolina and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Did we get you excited yet? We think Clemson rebounds from their BC loss just like Virginia Tech did and wins this tough game. Take Clemson to win and cover!!!

Game 6 – Cincinnati at Syracuse (+20) – “The in your Face Game” – This is a clean sweep game and Cincy will be all over Syracuse. Take a look at this cheerleader picture and check out the male cheerleader in the front getting a full face of muff.

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Cuse is the muff and Cincy is the male cheerleader. Cincy will be all over Cuse in this one. This has blow out written all over it. Cincy rushes for more than twice what Cuse rushes for, Cuse only converts 28.8% of its third downs on offense (this is almost as bad as Notre Dame but not quite!!!), Cuse gives up 217 yards a game rushing, lets opponents convert third downs almost 50% of the time and loses the turnover ratio battle -5 to 17. Check out these ATS numbers:

Cincinnati
Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bearcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bearcats are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bearcats are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

Syracuse
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Orange are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Orange are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Now throw in the fact that the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and you have to bet Cincy in this one. Bearcats win big and cover this high number!!!

Game 7 – Missouri at Kansas (-2) = first things first, we send our dearest apologies to Kansas coach Mark Mangino after we doubted his Kansas squad last week. We knew they would win but finally felt like they would not cover. Boy were we wrong!!! So we send our most sincere of apologies to you Mr. Mangino. You are the real deal and you are doing an awesome job.

This is the “Hot boxing chick versus the hot Mixed Martial Arts chicks Game”. Who would not want to see these two beauties go at it and well in reality they do fight for a living. Here is a picture of Frida Wallberg:

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If you do not believe that she is a real fighter then chech out this website on women’s boxing.

And now for our Muay Thai chick Miss Gina Carano:

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So why two chick fighters? Because this football game is going to be a great fight. Both teams are on a roll, the winner plays in the Big 12 Championship game and has a really good shot, if they win out, to make it to the BCS promised land….The BCS National Championship Game. Also, the winning QB will immediately jump out and be considered one of the leading candidates for the Heisman trophy. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers:

Missouri
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Kansas
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Jayhawks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on turf.
Jayhawks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win.

We threw every number at you. There is nothing negative to say about either team. If you had to pick on one thing and we are going to throw a lot of weight at it, it is who has the better defense and the way we see it, Kansas has the clear advantage. Kansas holds opponents to 84 yards per game rushing (122 for Missouri), Kansas lets offenses convert third downs 30% of the time (43% for Missouri) and Kansas wins the turnover ratio margin 21 to 10. Now some people might say that Kansas did not have to play Texas, Oklahoma or Texas Tech on its way to its undefeated season but we do not think that is relevant. Kansas smacked every single opponent in the face regardless of who they faced and they are getting better as the season goes on. We think this game will come down to turnovers and who can stop who and playing the numbers all signs point to Kansas. Also, when you throw in the fact that Kansas has the fattest coach in NCAA, you have to love them. Ride the Mangino train.

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We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

November 23, 2007 Posted by | Arizona State, BCS, Betting, Big East, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Gamecock, Huskies, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Maryland, Missouri, Mountaineers, Natalie Gulbis, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Orangemen, SEC, Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks, Sports, Syracuse, Terrapins, Tigers, Trojans, Uconn, USC, USC Trojans, West Virginia, Wolfpack | 1 Comment

NCAA Football Week 12 Picks: CHICKS, CHICKS, CHICKS and picks; if you care about picks!

Some announcements:

– All picks this week are for Saturday’s games
– We are 43-40 on the season, 3-3 Brinks truck bets (keep reading cause the Brinks Truck bet is back and has been renamed) and up 3 units.
– There are two Brinks truck opportunities this week. The first is a typical Brinks truck bet and then we are renaming the Brinks truck bet going forward. Read on to find the games.
– We want to thank all of our readers because we hit a new record today for shortest amount of time to 1,000 blog reads and the count keeps climbing….meaning after 15 days, over 1,100 readers have visited our blog. And over the last week we are averaging almost 100 hits a day. Thank you for reading us and as always please feel free to leave comments, ask us questions on this blog or if you are shy send us a private email to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
– It is becoming clearly obvious what our readers want….HOT CHICKS AND PICKS. That blog blew up so Chicks and Picks is back for a repeat effort. Enjoy!

And now on with the picks:

Wisconsin @ Minnesota (+14) = The St. Pauli Girl game. The Northern Midwesterners up in Wisconsin and Minnesota love their beer, cheese, meat products and shapely women. What better way to kick off the week than by showcasing one of our favorites…. The St. Pauli Girl!!!

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Wisconsin looked strong against Michigan last week. They definitely caught them in a look ahead game but that is not their problem and they took care of business. Minnesota is flat out bad and not really competitive in the Big Ten. Add that to the fact that this is a clean sweep game and it makes our lives a lot easier. Wisconsin will have a field day running on the Gophers. Minnesota gives up 221 yards agame on the ground and is minus 13 in the turnover ration. We were actually surprised to see this line under 20 points. Some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:

Wisconsin
Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Badgers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Badgers are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Badgers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
Badgers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.

Minnesota
Golden Gophers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Golden Gophers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 1-5-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Golden Gophers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Also, when you throw in the fact that the Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota, you can see where we are going with this. Wisconsin wins BIG. Take Wisconsin to win and cover!!!

Brinks Truck Bet Alert – Ohio State @ Michigan (+4) = The Yasmine Bleeth game. Yasmine was on the top of her game, a Baywatch Babe, attending red carpet events and then whammy…..she was arrested for cocaine possession in one of the most hideous transformations ever. If you do not believe us check out the before and after pictures below.

The Before

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The After:

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So how does this apply to football games..it is pretty easy…a team that was living the high life is now a bust over night. Ohio State was living the high life last week, ranked number 1 in the BCS standings, enjoying a Big Ten 20 game win streak that spanned two years, playing an unranked Illinois team at home and then it was stomach punch time. A loss dropped Ohio St from 1 to 7 and ended their national title hopes. This whole game is actually a mess. Michigan is facing a ton of distractions with injuries to Henne and Hart and there are numerous rumors flying around that Lloyd Carr will step down. We already know Tressel is a much better coach than Carr and he knows the Rose Bowl is on the line and will come ready to play and he is not facing any distractions. We love this game as our return the Brinks Truck action this week. Michigan is banged up, we think the game would have been competiive with a healthy Hart and Henne but these guys are simply not healthy and can not finish games, especially against a physical Ohio State defense. Here are the ATS numbers for you:

Ohio State
Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Buckeyes are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Buckeyes are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Michigan
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tressel owns Carr and the streak will continue. Ohio State wins this easily and covers. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unti on this game in Brinks Truck style. Back up the truck and load us up with cash!!! Kaching!!!!

Syracuse @ UCONN (-18.5) = This is the Rachel Mcadams game. She basically came out of nowhere in Wedding Crashers and we probably will not hear from her again.

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UCONNS came out of nowhere this year and will lose to West Virginia next week and then probably not be heard from again for a very long time. This is a clean sweep game. UCONN Is coming off a tough loss but knows they still control their own destiny and need to win this game setting up a matchup with West Virginia for a shot at the Big East title. Syracuse is pretty much useless as a team this year and loses out to UCONN in every statistical category that we track. The ATS numbers:

Syracuse
Orange are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Orange are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Orange are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Orange are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

UCONN
Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Do you like those ATS numbers…we do!! We would not be surprised to see UCONN win this game by 30 points. UCONN wins and covers easily!!!

San Diego State @ Air Force (-11) = This is the Chick with a gun game. Our little tribute to the armed forces. No real meaning here, just a hot chick with guns. Yeah real guns and “those” guns. Enjoy Miss Alba

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Another clean sweep game here. Air Force simply dominates San Diego across the board. Air Force has a dynamic offense that emabrassed Notre Dame on the road last week and they will continue their onslaught this week. San Diego State can not stop the run; they give up over 182 yards per game and Air Force rushes for 274 yards per game. Can you say UGLY!!! The ATS numbers:

San Diego State
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Air Force
Falcons are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a striaght up win.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Falcons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

The only thins going for San Diego State is the fact that this is Mrs. Flash Flash’s pick of the week. She has family there and wants them to win. The Syndicate thinks Air Force will pummel this team and we love that it is a home game. Clean sweep teams have a slight advantage when playing at home. Air Force wins and covers!!!

Idaho @ Boise State (-33.5) = Cheerleader versus Cheerleader Game. We are simply picking the team that has the hottest cheerleader.

Boise State

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Idaho

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The Idaho cheerleader second from the left is the hottest on either team. Therefore we are saying that Idaho will cover in this game. Just to be honest with you, we found an undefeated new category in our models and the models say that Idaho will cover. This is part of our proprietary juice so you just have to trust us. Too many points in this one, seriously we are taking Idaho to cover!!

Duke @ Notre Dame (+6) = This is clearly the return of the Britney Spears Train Wreck Game and this time it is a double train wreck. Both teams are a joke just like our C-section pal Britney.

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We have enjoyed some consistent success bettting against Notre Dame this year and we are going to keep it going. Week after week we get to witness (thanks NBC) just how terrible and deflated The Irish are. Air Force was completely dominating the line of scrimmage last week and were driving the Notre Dame D-line back 3-5 yards on every play. Both of these teams stink but we think Duke will play with more Pride. The ATS numbers:

Duke
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Fighting Irish are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

We are not confident Duke can win but we think they will cover!!!

Iowa State @ Kansas (-26.5) = This is the Anna Nicole Smith Game, meaning…Even the Big Ones have to fall and we are not talking about breasts.

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So maybe you were able to figure out where we are going with this game. We think this is the game Kansas finally does not cover. The same statitical undefeated item that Idaho has shows up for Iowa State. We think Kansas wins but we think the prospects of playing against Missouri next week and the continued pressure of being the only undefeated BCS conference team will start to take its toll. Iowa State plays teams tough and the Cyclones have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points on the road this season. Well they are getting 26.5 points so we think it is just too many points. Some ATS numbers to back us up:

Iowa State
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cyclones are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Also, throw in the fact that the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we feel pretty good that they can cover. Take Iowa State to cover. Sorry Kansas we think you are going to finally let us down this week. It just would not be our blog if we did not give props to Mangino (we think he might be related to Anna Nicole; they are the same size!!!):

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Brinks Truck Bet Alert #2 – Oklahoma St. @ Baylor (+14) = This is our Eva Mendez pick of the week. We think this is the hottest pick out there right now and we are renaiming our Brinks truck bet the the Eva Mendes game and we think you will agree after checking out these pictures.

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This is a fun game to look at, not as fun as Eva’s ass, but fun nonetheless. You want to bet this game and this is our BRINKS TRUCK (now EVA MENDES) bet of the week. We are loading up 5 times our normal betting unit on this game. So far on the season we are 3-3 with these types of bets and we have patiently been waiting for our next opportunity. Well here it is!!! We are completely dumbfounded the line is this low. Before showing you the ATS numbers, take a look at Baylor’s Big 12 games this year:

Lost at Oklahoma 52-21 – Margin of defeat was 31
Lost to Texas Tech 38-7 – Margin of defeat was 31
Lost at Kansas State 51-13 – Margin of defeat was 38
Lost to Texas 31-10 – Margin of defeat was 21
Lost at Kansas 58-10 – Margin of defeat was 48
Lost to Colorado 43-23 – Margin of defeat was 20
Lost at Texas A and M 34-10 – Margin of defeat was 24
Average margin of defeat in all of their Big 12 games this year was 30 points.

Do you see a trend here? How is this spread not more than 20 points. Now on to the ATS numbers that back us up even more:

Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.

Baylor
Bears are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Bears are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Bears are 8-26 ATS in their last 34 games in November.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.

Throw in the fact that the favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we are counting the dollars!!! We love this game. Oklahoma State rebounds strong, wins easily and crushes Baylor!!! We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit on this game and you can kiss the Brinks truck bet goodbye because it is now called the Eva Mendes bet!!! How hot is Eva Mendes…one more picture:

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Oklahoma @ Texas Tech (+8) = This is the Lindsey Lohan Red Raider Game. All Flash no substance, Probably has an STD or 130.

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Texas Tech has this glitzy razzle dazzle offense but they never win the big game. All flash and no substance and then their coach goes off on an officiating rant after the Texas game that was like a Lohan drunken coke binge. Lohan mugshot:

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There was just no place for it. Throw in the fact that this is a clean sweep game and we are loving the action. Oklahoma dominates the numbers against Texas Tech and are even more efficient on offense converting third downs. Then when you thrown in the fact that Oklahoma’s defense is significantly better than Texas Tech and wins the turnover ratio battle, we do not think this game will be competitive. The ATS numbers:

Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sooners are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Sooners are 11-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Some more number for you…the Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. What does all of this mean….Oklahoma wins easily and covers!!!!

Miami @ Virginia Tech (-17) = This game is just an excuse to end on a video of a hot latina chick’s ass. Plain and simple. We highly recommend you check out this video.

This is another clean sweep game. Miami is coming off one of their most embarassing losses ever, a 48 point loss to Virginia at home. They also lost at home the previous week to NC State. What has become of THE U? This Miami team is terrible. The Hokies run for almost 80 more yards a game, have one of the best run defenses in the country and are plus 10 for turnover ratio. If you eliminate the last 4 minutes of the BC game, Virginia Tech has been a cover machine down the stretch, winning every game (minus the 4 minutes against BC) since September. The ATS numbers:

Miami
Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Hurricanes are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Hurricanes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech
Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hokies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Hokies are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win.

This spread seems high on paper and in name only. We all remember the Virginia Tech/Miami teams of the past but need to remember that this is the present. Throw in that the Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and we know this line is right. We actually think it could have been over 20 points and we still would have bet on The Hokies. Take Virginia Tech to cover and win in a blow out!!!

These are our picks. We are definitely disappointed in our NCAA season and are looking forward to ending strong and even more profitable than we are now. Please feel free to post comments or suggestions or to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We appreciate your input and we know you are out there reading this.

Flash Flash and Runny

November 16, 2007 Posted by | Air Force Falcons, Baylor Bears, BCS, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boise State Broncos, Britney Spears, Broncos, Buckeyes, Charlie Weis, cyclones, Duke, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Falcons, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Golden Gophers, Idaho, Iowa State, Iowa State Cyclones, Irish, Jim Tressel, Kansas Jayhawks, Lindsey Lohan, Lloyd Carr, Mark Mangino, Miami Hurricanes, Michigan Wolverines, Minnesota, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Orangemen, Rachel Mcadams, Red Raiders, San Diego St., Sooners, South Bend, St. Pauli Girl, Syracuse, Texas Tech, Uconn, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolverines, Yasmine Bleeth | 2 Comments

NCAA Football Week 10 Picks: From the Outhouse to the Penthouse

The Suicidal Tendancies said it best:

“The penthouse or the outhouse? Seems like an easy decision to me. So what we’re all thinkin’ about right now is what we’re talkin’ about, what we’re talkin’ about is what we’re thinkin’ about, and that’s the whole point: you should think before you talk. So where we’re at right now is a place that we want to go: a little bit of help. See: everyday, everywhere you go, people do stupid things. Three hundred and sixty five days out of the year, people not thinkin’. People that have the ability to think, that aren’t thinkin’. So what we want to do is nominate one day. Call it International Don’t Be Stupid Day. Now what this is gonna do is be a little reminder, maybe we could wear a pin, maybe you could send a tape to somebody, and when they start to do somethin’ you say, whoa, whoa, whoa. Hold on there partner. Today is Don’t Be Stupid Day, so you can’t do that.”

Last week was plain old stupid and we are going to rise from the outhouse to the penthouse this week and in the coming weeks with our Stupid Day behind us. After 10 weeks we are 31-30 overall, 3-3 with Brinks truck bets (bet 5 times your normal bet) and up 1 unit. Yes this record makes us sick and we just puked in our mouthes writing those numbers. It is tough to go through some losing weeks and in 9 weeks we have only had 2 down weeks. We feel your pain because we always bet what we write and bet the lines we post.

We are not going to sit here and make excuses. You all saw that during the same weekend we went 2-8 in NCAA picks we went 5-0 in the NFL. Picks will go up and down but we know our system picks consistent winners over the course of the season and takes advantage of the mecca that is called Bowl Season. And now with the picks…..

Clean Sweep Games – These our games where we find teams that have a statistical advantage over their opponent and by statistical advantage we mean that the opponent is not better in any of the areas we track. We track rushing offenses, 3rd down conversions, rushing defenses, defensive 3rd down conversions and turnover ratio. Well this is what we publically say because we have some other secret SAUCE stats that we keep to ourselves.

My baby got sauce
Your baby ain’t sweet like mine
She got sauce
Your baby ain’t sweet like mine
She got sauce ….
That’s some funky lemonade you got going there babe

The picks were funky last week but we know a weekend where we crush it again is right around the corner cause we have the Special Sauce.

1 – Clemson (-16.5) @ Duke – Clemson dominates Duke across the board and we won with a Va Tech team at Duke a few weeks back. Duke is really bad, not Notre Dame bad, but bad. Ha ha. We love ripping the Notre Dame Quivering Irish (stay tuned for a special write up on the Navy/Notre Dame game – this gets its own blog). Clemson is going to run all over the Blue Devils and embarass them. Two points to consider if you are squeamish…Home team is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Duke. We think some other stats are more important like Tigers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Devils are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 home games. Blue Devils are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. AND OUR FAVORITE…Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Tigers maul the Blue Devils. Everybody knows devils are red, c’mon now. Clemson wins and covers!!!

2 – South Carolina @ Arkansas (-4.5) – South Carolina can not stop the run and they certainly have never stopped McFadden…he ran for 219 yards in 2006 and 187 yards in 2005. Now with Felix Jones also in the backfield averaging 8.8 yards a carry…the Game Cocks are in trouble. Spurrier now is tinkering with his offense and QB and we think that means trouble. Arkansas QB, Casey Dick, suffered a concussion last week and was replaced by Nathan Emert who filled in adequately. As we said this game is about running. Arkansas runs for 288 yards a game and South Carolina gives up 169. This is going to be a long day for South Carolina. Arkansas covers and wins!!!

Bye Bye Birdie Games

“Bye Bye Birdie
I’m gonna miss you so;
Bye Bye Birdie,
Why’d you have to go?

If you read and follow college football you know that BCS conference teams coming off a bye are 20-8 against the spread. We like two of these teams who are playing at home. Bye bye road teams, thanks for playing.

3 – Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech (-2.5) – The entire nation felt the Hokies heartbreak last Thursday night in a brutal home loss to BC. Now the Hokies must travel to Atlanta to face a Georgia Tech team that is rested, playing at home and on national tv. In other words this has heartbreak city and major let down written all over it. Georgia Tech has a punishing ground attack and one of the best defensive schemes in the country. The Hokies have one of the worst offenses in college football. This game will likely start on even footing but G. Tech will wear down the Hokies by the end of the game. This game will be a beatdown if Glennon plays. Georgia Tech wins and covers!!!

4 – Texas A and M @ Oklahoma (minus 21) – We are not afraid of the points. Kansas easily defeated A and M on the road and Oklahoma will not have any problem at home. The Aggies players know they are playing for a lame duck coach after Coach Fran’s email booster incident. Oklahoma is coming off the bye and looking to continue its push for the BCS title game. Sooners win in a blowout!!!

The Pimp Hand Games

Yeah bitch I got my Now and Later gators on
I’m bout to show you how my pimp hand is way strong
Your dead wrong if ya think that pimpin’ gon’ die
Twelve piece with a hundred hoes by my side

We hope this is self explanatory. When teams are hot you ride em til they show a weak pimp hand.

5 – Nebraska @ Kansas (minus 180) – The high spread scares us but Kansas is 7-0 against the spread. Kansas was damn close to a clean sweep but missed out on offensive third down conversions by 2 percentage points. Kansas rushes for almost 65 more yards a game, has a much better defense and wins the turnover ratio 11 to minus 9. They also have the fattest coach in the history of the NCAA. We pointed this out last week and there is no denying Mark Mangino.

mangino-for-week-10.jpgmangino-for-week-10.jpg

That right there is the Kansas coach. Large and in charge and we are not going to tell him he won’t cover. He is so fat we put his pic in twice so you do not do a double take.  Oh yeah, and you see that liquid that is covering him? That is from the cloud he just engulfed. As far as we are concerned, Coach Mangino has the largest pimp hand on the planet. In a pimp hand game, always take the guy with the biggest pimp hand. Ride this Kansas team until they blow it. Kansas wins and covers!!!

6 – Missouri (-4) @ Colorado – Yeah we know Missouri cut us last week but that was their only loss against the spread all season. Missouri did lose their starting Strong Safety last week but we do not think it will matter against Colorado’s young QB. We all saw what Missouri’s D did to Texas Tech. Kansas went on the road to Boulder and covered and now Missouri will do the same. If you are afraid to back Missouri here are some numbers for you… Tigers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. AND JUST TO KICK THEM WHEN THEY ARE DOWN…Buffaloes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games. Buffaloes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Buffaloes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Missouri has the Show Me State pimp hand rockin’ and they will show the Univeristy of Colorado what its all about as they show us the money. Missouri wins and covers!!!

The SEC Road Cover Game

On the road again
Like a band of gypsies we go down the highway
We’re the best of friends
Insisting that the world be turnin’ our way
And our way
Is on the road again
Just can’t wait to get on the road again
The life I love is makin’ music with my friends
And I can’t wait to get on the road again

We love betting the highest competitive SEC road game when we think two teams are competitive enough to play the game.

7 – Vanderbilt (plus 14.5) @ Florida – This game is absolutely terrifying. Florida got the snot kicked out of it last week against Georgia and Vandy beat a Miami-Ohio team in a very unconvincing manner. So why do we like this game. Georgia showed how to beat Florida. You can score on them, they turn the ball over and they do not have a RB that Urban Meyer trusts. Vanderbilt has the 14th rated defense in the league and Tebow is beat up. Look at some of the against the spread numbers (ATS)…Commodores are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Commodores are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Commodores are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Commodores are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Gators are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Gators are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The numbers do not lie. Vandy plays teams tough and rises to the challenge and Florida plays down to its competition. Cringe, close your eyes and ride Vandy to the cover!!!

The Magic Carpet Ride Game

Well, you don’t know what we can find
Why don’t you come with me little girl
On a magic carpet ride
You don’t know what we can see
Why don’t you tell your dreams to me
Fantasy will set you free
Close your eyes girl
Look inside girl
Let the sound take you away

When you see a player mature and rise up to victory like Matt Ryan did against Virginia Tech last week you absolutely positively want to ride the momentum and this leads us to the next game…

8 – Florida State @ Boston College (-7) – We can not believe this spread is under 10 points and Boston College has been feasting on ACC foes all year. BC is 5-2 ATS this year and the two losses were against Notre Dame in the fix game (sorry, still sour over this one) and Army. They have easily covered against NC State and Georgia Tech and scrapped out the win versus the Hokies under brutal conditions. This is not a let down game Trust us!!! Seminoles are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Seminoles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Eagles are 35-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Boston College wins and covers no problem!!!

The Ruler’s Back Game

Gather ’round party goers as if your still livin
And get on down to the old Slick rhythm
Now this one here is called the Ruler my dear
Its a mere party booster that will set things clear
Its a hundred percent proof from champions of truth
And if you feel you need spirit I’ll bring back your youth
Relax your mind, and folks unwind
And be kind to a rhythm that you hardly find
And off we go, let the trumpets blow
Well hold on, because the driver of the mission is a pro
The Ruler’s back

Just when everybody said it was impossible to go play Penn State during a white out at night and all the so-called experts were declaring Ohio State was prime for the pickings they laid a whooping on Joe Pa and the Fraidy Cat Lions. What a joke and that leads us to the same scenario this week.

9 – Wisconsin @ Ohio State (-15.5) – Wisconsin lost 38-7 at Penn State and Ohio State beats Penn State 37-17. Now we hear rumblings that PJ Hill is injured and might not play not that he would have mattered against Ohio State’s defense. Rumaging across the Internet we see that 56% of people are placing bets on Wisconsin, so that means the average Joe Blow thinks Wisconsin is getting too many points and now we have ATS numbers that tell us to run away too…Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Ohio State. Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings. All signs point to Wisconsin until you realize Ohio State has not played Wisconsin since 2004 meaning in the Barry Alvarez days. This is a different team and has shown that they will collapse against an aggressive defense. We could show you stats either way but if Ohio State can beat Penn State by 20 on the road they certainly can beat Wisconsin at home by 20 and we need less than that to cover. Buckeyes continue their onslaught on the Big Ten…win and cover!!!

And there you have it. 9 games to bet on. Take our picks or don’t…we do not care cause our money is on these games right now. We always play what we preach.

Please feel free to post comments, ask questions about games we did not pick or post your own picks to show us what you got.

‘Cause it makes me that much stronger
Makes me work a little bit harder
Makes me that much wiser
So thanks for making me a fighter
Made me learn a little bit faster
Made my skin a little bit thicker
It makes me that much smarter
So thanks for making me a fighter

Flash Flash and Runny

P.S. The Cal Golgen Bears were a clean sweep game this week but simply on principle of Jeff Tedford eating back to back turd sandwiches and wearing an XL butt plug we are stayaing as far away from the Washington St./Cal game as we can. Avoid that game at all costs. Still working on the Tedford turd sandwich. We will have our day!!!!

November 1, 2007 Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, BCS, Betting, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boston College, Buckeyes, Clemson, Colorado Buffaloes, Commodores, Cornhuskers, Duke, Eagles, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Gamecock, Georgia Tech, Irish, Jeff Tedford, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Matt Ryan, Missouri, Navy, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, SEC, Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks, Texas A&M, Tim Tebow, Urban Meyer, Vanderbilt, VaTech, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wisconsin Badgers, Yellow Jackets | 2 Comments

NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: The Power of 10 – 10 Winning Picks and 10 Observations from South Bend

“It is not worth an intelligent man’s time to be in the majority. By definition, there are already enough people to do that.” — Godfrey Harold Hardy

Sometimes sports betting becomes one big quandary, picks do not seem logical, spreads do not make sense and you are left scratching your head trying to find a new edge. Our picks are not going to put you in the majority of the betting world and that is a good thing. We have a system and we know it works, no matter how crazy logic fights what we are telling you to do. Do we want it to work better…sure we do but we are picking winners at a 57% right now, we have had one losing week this entire season. So while the other handicappers and sports bettors are trying to find winners we know our big pay day is right around the corner. Stick with us-we do the research so you don’t have to. Our system works and you will continue to see that we are elite. Bring on Bowl Season already!!!!

As always, our disclaimer, we are 29-22 on the season, 3-3 with our Brinks Truck bets (5 times your normal betting unit, and we are up 7 units on the season. Lastly, our money is where our mouth is. We bet every one of these games at the lines we post.

We are not laying down a Brinks truck bet this week. The truck is still in the shop!

The theme of this week is The Power of 10. We have 10 picks for you and we are going to share 10 observations from our trip to South Bend this past weekend where we witnessed just how bad the Notre Dame Cowering Irish football team really is.

Betting Group 1
Clean Sweep Games….These are games where one team has a clear statistical advantage over the other team. Some of the categories we consider are efficiency running the ball, converting third downs, stopping the run, stopping third downs and turnover ratio. If a team can control the clock and the ball, they are going to win and cover.

1 – UNC @ Wake Forest (-5.5) = This game is clear cut. Wake Forest runs for almost 50 yards more per game and is almost 10 percentage points higher converting third downs…42.2% versus 32.7%. Tie that in with a superior defense and a clear advantage in the turnover ration +4 versus -4 and you have a team playing at home in the midst of a 5 game winning streak. Some against the spread numbers (ATS) for you…Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tar Heels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. 6 points seems high and most experts are picking UNC after they scrapped it out with South Carolina two weeks ago. The “Clean sweep” stats are what is important to us and we are taking Wake. Plus, Wake is at home against a bitter in-state rival. Wake wins and covers!

Notre Dame Observation #1: Before we walked into the game, while we were walking around campus, we actually heard a student or young alumnus say the following: “Back in the good old days, when there were no girls at Notre Dame….” We were laughing so hard that we did not even bother listening to what he said after that because he was dead serious when he said it. The ND girls are not known to be lookers but at least they are not swinging tube steaks down there. The football team is bad and now the guys do not like girls. What has become of Notre Dame.

2 – Miami-Ohio @ Vanderbilt (-14) = Vandy wins the statistical battle across the board and is coming off an awesome win at South Carolina. Vanderbilt preys on the bad..Beat Richmond 41-17, Ole Miss 31-17 and Eastern Michigan 30-7. Some ATS numbers for you… Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Miami-Ohio just lost to Temple. TEMPLE!!!!! We think that says it all. Vandy wins easily.

Notre Dame Observation #2: At kickoff there were actually empty seats noticeable in the entire stadium, even the student section. We even received a call that we could buy 12 tickets at face value Friday afternoon. How much of a joke is that? Now you have a school where the Boys do not like girls and even the students turned on the football team.

3 – Iowa St. @ Missouri (-28.5) = Missouri is 6 and 0 against the spread and we love picking them. Now we all know we blew it with the Oklahoma/Iowa State game but this is payback. Last week was Iowa State’s homecoming, they were playing as hard as they have all year and eventually blew the game in the end. Missouri absolutely destroyed a dynamic Texas Tech team and loves to pour on the points. Iowa State will be in let down mode and Missouri will capitalize. I do not even need to break down the statistical differences between these two teams. It is a joke. 28.5 points are nothing in this matchup. Some ATS numbers for you….Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. We think that says it all. Bet Missouri with confidence.

Notre Dame Observation #3: The fan base has turned on the team. Our favorite heckler kept yelling at Charlie Weis to run the ball three times for no gain and then punt so they could at least say they successfully punted the ball. it was loud, it was ugly and the fans are not happy in South Bend.

4 – UVA (-3) @ NC State = Here is what we know about NC State, they can not stop the run, can not run the ball and have turned the ball over 24 times this year for a minus 17 turnover ratio. Enough said? You could have given us 14 points in this game and we would have taken it. Just to rub it in….Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Wolfpack are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Wolfpack are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Wolfpack are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October. Wolfpack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Wolfpack are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Wolfpack are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wolfpack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. We think you can see what we are talking about.

We are breaking out a new feature this week. Mrs. Flash Flash is jealous of Mrs. Bill Simmons and her NFL picking weekly feature so she wanted to speak her mind this week. Her pick of the week is this game because she likes UVA’s uniforms better than all the other teams we selected. We are not kidding. Use this information as you will UVA wins easily so says The Syndicate and Mrs. Flash Flash.

Notre Dame Observation #4: Notre Dame had one pre season all american candidate on defense and it was Tom Zibikowksi, a senior and I think a 5th year senior at that. Well USC came out and spread the ball and put Joe McKnight, a true freshman, isolated outside against Zibikowski. You would think a 5th year senior pre-season all american would have no problem covering an 18 year old kid but Zibikowski was jumping up and down that he needed help and could not cover the kid. Lucky for him, McKnight’s number was not called. Even the TV announcers picked up on this. What a joke. Notre Dame is over hyped and under talented.

Betting Group 2
The Turnover Dilemma Games…This is an interesting development. Teams that appear to have the statistical edge in every category with the exception of turnover ratio are only 7-7 and against the spread in the last 4 weeks. When you look at the home and away breakdown of this 7-7 number we came up with an even more revealing figure…..the home team that has a statistical advantage but does not have the turnover ratio advantage does not cover. We came up with two betting situations that we like applying this theory.

5 – Indiana (+7.5) @ Wisconsin = Wisonsin’s turnover ratio is minus 6 on the season and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Indiana is plus three on the year and has a ball hawking defense that has caused 20 turnovers. Another interesting stat…the road team is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Indiana has been streaky and a tough team to figure out this year but we do know they can score points against anybody…31 against Penn State and 38 against Iowa are two impressive performances and they covered in both. Indiana went toe to toe with Penn State and came up just short. We think Wisconsin is a shell of its former self and their home field advantage is not as relevant as it was in the Barry Alvarez days. Some ATS numbers to back up this pick….Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Badgers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Plus, Wisconsin’s QB plays as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs, and IU’s QB is a stud with a phenom wideout. Indiana will cover this line and do not be surprised if they win outright.

Notre Dame observation #5: The student section gave the USC cheerleaders a standing ovation. This caught us by surprise because the male student body already was on record saying the school was better when there were no girls there and now they were applauding the USC cheerleaders and then it struck us (NOTE: These girls were extremely attractive). Due to the high level of homosexuality that is now prevalent amongst Catholic Priests, the male student body must be primarliy gay and therefore was applauding the dance moves of the cheerleaders. We researched and heard that modern dance was now the number 1 sought after major by males on campus.

6 – Stanford (+13.5) @ Oregon State = Two more scary teams. Stanford beats USC one week and loses to TCU the following week. Oregon St. gets destroyed by Cincy and then beats Cal. Standford’s RB situation is unknown at this point due to injuries and that has us nervous but we love the scrappiness of Tavita Pritchard, Stanford’s QB. He led them back against Arizona last week and has the same “never quit” attitude that Vince Young has. Just so you are not totally afraid to make this bet…..Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October. And on the flip side….Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Not much to go on but enough for us. Stanford continues to show its grit and covers.

Notre Dame Observation #6: We witnessed the strength, power and speed of the E-Freak up close and personal. Everson Griffen, #93 on the Trojans, all 6 foot 3 inches 265 pounds of him. A true freshman listed as a DE. This kid was a freak of nature out there. They brough him out primarily in passing situations and he was a beast and all over the field, even knocking down a pass. What was most impressive was when Pete Carroll lined up the E-freak at CB. Yes, he lined him up at cornerback!!!! We were dumbfounded and they ran to his side and the E-freak got involved on the tackle. You know your offense is absolutely the worst in the nation when an 18 year old defensive end can line up on your WRs. Man Notre Dame was bad!!! Look out for good things to come from the E-Freak. Watch out Dennis Dixon.

The Straight Cash Homey Picks: Sorry folks but we can not give away all our secrets. These are our special picks that we are more than happy to throw our own money on.

7 – Kansas (-2.5) @ Texas AandM = Ride the winning horse until it is defeated. Kansas is 6 and 0 against the spread. They pulled out a nice win at Colorado last week and will look to beat another Big 12 team on the road. Here are some ATS stats for you: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Aggies are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The thing we think is most important though and the true reason for their success….Mark Mangino, the Jayhawk coach. This guy is by far one of the fattest coaches in the history of NCAA football. Check it out:

mangino-action-shot.jpg

Are you kidding us with this guy?!?!? He makes Charlie Weis look like Calista Flockhart!!! This guy is a monster and we would not screw with him….Ride that Kansas horse until it needs to be shot. Jayhawks win and cover on the road!

Notre Dame Observation #7: During the third quarter, Sharpley passed to Travis Thomas who was lit up by Cary Harris and fumbled the ball which was recovered by Keith Rivers. We were on the complete opposite side of the stadium when this hit went down and we could hear it…it sounded like somebody was cracking wood. We have never been to a live sporting event and heard a hit like this in our lifetime. We are not sure how it carried over on television or even how it looked but it sounded great. It is impressive that Travis Thomas got up and his head was still attached to his body.

8 – Arizona @ Washington (-3.5) = Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in October. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wildcats are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is extrememly well coached. Not saying AU is not, but Ty is a much better coach. He will have them ready to rock. They put up points and Oregon last week and kept that game close. AU will not like the road trip. Washington covers easily.

Notre Dame Observation #8: Jimmy Clausen’s prediction that he will never lose to USC if he is QB actually came true. Jimmy has been so good playing that Weis benched him and Jimmy was able to follow through with his bold prediction. No playing time = no chance of losing to USC. Nice work on your prediction Jimmy. Three more years to go with that one!!!

9 – Georgia @ Florida (-8.5) = This game will be a street fight. Look for big hits. These games have been close in the recent history. This game is being played in J’Ville, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Gators are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Florida. Gators just have more athletes and more people to lay the lumber. If Florida can cover 9 against Kentucky, they can cover this. Take Florida and give the points.

Notre Dame Observation #9: We observed just how bad Notre Dame is as a team, coaches included. There is zero talent on that team and the play calling was worse than Ron Zook’s at Florida. If you do not know what I am talking about go find a Gators fan and he/she will fill you right in. Screen, screen, draw, screen, etc… You get our drift. Weis was terrible and needs to be held accountable for his game planning and the talent he recruited. He was bad and the players were bad and unprepared. Sharpley looked frantic on every passing play. We observed a horrendous ND team suffer the second worse home loss in its storied history and we loved it. Leprechaun land does not even have anything good to root for in the near term. You know the country is moving in the right direction when Notre Dame has one win and is ranked last in NCAA on offense. We love it!!!

10 – California (+3) @ Arizona State= This a BCS debacle game. We are playing the numbers here. Cal has lost two games in a row but they have not lost three straight games since losing the first 10 games of their 1-10 season in 2001. Also, the Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and none of the games have been decided by less than 17 points. Golden Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Golden Bears are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Sun Devils best RB, Ryan Torain, their leading rusher and scorer is now out for the season. Arizona State is not battle tested and will need to step up big to compete against Cal. We do not think they can. Cal bounces back with a win and a cover.

On a side note, I am very sorry but I was not able to make Jeff Tedford eat a turd sandwich this week. I am still working on it and if he burns us again he will be forced to eat a turd sandwich and wear a very large anal plug.

tedford-photo.jpg

“Hi my name is Jeff Tedford, I am scratching my head because I have no idea why I let a red shirt freshman ruin our season and ultimately take money out of the pockets of the readers of this fine blog. Runny and Flash are great guys and if I fail this week I will eat that turd sandwich, with an anal plug up my rectum. You can count on it.”

Notre Dame Observation #10: Although we have been bashing the beloved Leprechaun lovers in this post, we must give props where due. The entire staff on campus could not have been more polite. Seriously, it was like we were watching a game in a 5 star restaurant. An usher even gave us a “congrats” on our way out the stadium. They say a team/organization shows its true colors in a defeat. The ND staff was all class. Thanks for the hospitality.

We love the banter that has been increasing on our blog. Feel free to post your picks or ask us for our advice. We check this regularly and will post as soon as we can. Also, our blog reader base has been steadily increasing and we want to hear what you have to say about us… good or bad. Leave us a comment, leave us your picks, ask us questions….we are here for you and here for you to make money!!!

We love our picks like a fat kid loves cake!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

October 25, 2007 Posted by | Arizona State, BCS, Beavers, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, California, Charlie Weis, Colorado Buffaloes, Commodores, cyclones, Demon Deacons, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Gamecock, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Huskies, Indiana Hoosiers, Iowa State, Iowa State Cyclones, Irish, Jeff Tedford, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Miami Ohio, Missouri, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oregon State, Pac-10, Redhawks, SEC, Sooners, South Bend, South Carolina Gamecocks, Sports, Stanford, Stanford Cardinals, Sun Devils, Tar Heels, Texas A&M, Tigers, UVA, Vanderbilt, Virginia Cavaliers, Wake Forest, Washington Huskies, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack | 11 Comments

NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: 9 Winning Picks and a Trip To See TD Jesus

We were 4-2 last week but missed our Brinks Truck bet so the Brinks Truck is in the shop this weekend getting tuned up. What we do have is 9 great picks for you this weekend. Because we are always up front and honest…we are 24-18 on the season, 3-3 for Brinks Truck bets and we are up 6 units. The 6 units is a joke and we plan on turning that around ASAP.

For our nine picks this week, we are going to break them down into 4 betting categories. First up is the ” Clean Sweep”. The clean sweep means a team meets our statistical betting criteria. The public data we share with you for the clean sweep is the following:

Offensive rushing yards per game
Offensive 3rd down efficiency
Defensive rushing yards given up per game
Defensive 3rd down efficiency
Turnover ratio

When a team meets these 5 figures they win more times than not because they control the clock, can move the ball, stop opponents from controlling the clock, stop opponents from moving up and down the field and do not turn the ball over.

The Clean Sweep Games of the Week:

1) Cincy @ Pitt (plus 9.5) – Cincy is going to be very pissed off following their loss to Louisville and PITT just can not get anything going. Even Navy passed all over them last week. Yes Navy passed the ball successfully on PITT. In what could be a turn of events that actually helps PITT, their coach, Dave Wannstedt, tore his achilles tendon and will probable coach the game from the press box. We saw what good old Dave was able to do against Navy and that was coach his team out of a win. Being in the press box and away from the players and flow of the game might help PITT. However, please be serious here, Cincinnati is ninth in the country in scoring average at 40.6 points per game, while Pitt has given up an average of 42.0 points in its last three contests. This game will be ugly. Ride Cincy and their 5 and 1 record against the spread. Easy cash in this one.

2) Miss St. @ West Virginia (minus 24) – Plain and simple stats for this one. Miss. St. can not stop the run and turns the ball over. West Virginia should have no problem taking control of this game. West Virginia is coming off a bye and Pat White should have had plenty of time to get healthy. Last year and on the road, West Virginia won 42-14. We expect this game to be even more ugly. Mountaineers mount the boys from Mississipp and make em squeal like pigs.

3) Kansas @ Colorado (plus 3.5) – Kansas is becoming one of our favorite teams and is undefeated against the spread at 5 and 0. Last year Kansas won 20-15 and this year’s team is a lot better. Colorado just lost 47-20 to the same Kansas State team Kansas beat. This spread should really be over 10. Jayhawks splatter their poo all over the Buffs.

4) Texas @ Baylor (plus 25) – We saw what Kansas could do against Baylor, a 58-10 win and Texas should whoop them even worse. Baylor might be competitive against the cellar dwellers like Notre Dame but they will be hooked by the Horns. Texas in a blowout.

5) Oregon @ Washington (plus 11.5) – Oregon is really hot. We see this as a parallel to the USC team that lost to CAL in 3-OT a few years back. After that loss the Trojans went on a tear, ultimately destroying Michigan in the Rose Bowl. Well this Oregon team, after suffering a disappointing loss to Cal is on fire after destroying Wash. St. 53-7 last week. Oregon is probably the most explosive team in the Pac-10 and will continue to prove it this week. Ducks blow out Washington by more than 20.

6) Oklahoma @ Iowa St. (plus 29.5) – Iowa St. is the Sooners’ red headed step child. All time they are 66-5-2 in the series. What a freakin joke. So the question is not will Oklahoma win but by how much. The Cyclones lost to Texas 56-3 last week and we expect a similar score. Easy win for the Sooners.

The “Wash” Game of the week

Sometimes we look at a game and do not see one clear winner that stands out meaning the teams are essentially even. We have one such game this weekend.

7) Tennessee @ Alabama (pick em) – Tennessee rushes for 19 more yards a game and the teams are equal in offensive 3rd down conversions. On defense, Alabama is a little better against the run and the teams are even in third down conversion percentage. Turnover ratio favors Alabama 6 to 1 and we think this will be the difference. This game dropped to pick em and we love not having to worry about points, picking the home team and the team that turns the ball over less. Roll Tide Roll. Alabama wins this game.

The SEC Road Cover of the Week

8) Auburn @ LSU (minus 10.5) – The SEC has had some great games the last few weeks and the number one lesson to learn is to not bet on the favorite in the higher spread games. Auburn’s defense proved they can play with the Florida offense and will have no problem with the LSU offense. We do not think Auburn wins but we know they will keep it closer than 10.5 points. Against ranked teams Auburn keeps it close; 3 points with South Florida, 3 points with Florida, 2 points with Arkansas. Take Auburn and the points and watch as they strike fear into another SEC team.

The Fever Game

9) Central Michigan @ Clemson (minus 16.5) – Dancin, Dancin, YEAH!!!! We got the fever for LaFevour once again. Central Michigan has been a cover machine the last three weeks and they covered easily. Our boy Dan LaFevour has the Chippewas playing aggressive football and we think they can keep it close with Clemson and certainly closer than the 16.5 points they are getting. Look at these numbers, this game is too easy: Chippewas are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Chippewas are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Chippewas are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Chippewas are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. And then we get to look at Clemson: Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Tigers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

If these numbers do not convince you to get the Fever for LaFevour than you are in the wrong business. Stop betting, send us your money and in return we will send you a jar of tiddly winks.

On a side note, we both go to the USC/Notre Dame game in South Bend every two years and this weekend will be no different. We normally would put out a prediction on this game but Runny wants to bet USC cause he hates ND and Flash wants to bet ND cause USC has been dog vomint for three weeks in a row. We both think USC wins easily and the Trojans defenders might actually physically kill a Notre Dame player because their offense is so terrible. Notre Dame would be better off playing 11 of those little leprechauns from the Lucky Charms commercial cause USC is going to physically dominate them. Also, if you see two drunk USC clowns in the Notre Dame alumni tent feel free to say hello. We will be the ones double fisting bloodies and beers and heckling the demented leprechaun lovers. How in the hell can BC be favored by 13.5 points in South Bend and the Trojans opened at 20.5 points. At least they dropped down to 18 and continue to go down but give me a freakin break. If Vegas were legit at setting lines this game would have an 8-10 point spread.

*****10/19/2007***** We needed to post this story about USC…Trojans endure harrowing flight

This is big news. There is one other game we can remember this year where this happened and it was when Southern Miss travelled to Boise St and got blown out 38-16 and did not cover the 10.5 point spread. Please remember that these guys are kids and they just were on a plane where they thought they were going to die. It is not surprising that I have seen some “experts” actually pick ND for an outright win now after this news was announced. We still think USC wins but Flash thinks this is even more reason why ND will cover. Runny absolutely refuses to give ND any credit and still is on the USC to cover bandwagon. We are here to share info and we feel like this is important betting information that needs to spread.

We hope you enjoy the picks. We have been winners for 6 of the 7 weeks of the NCAA season and we love our picks this week. If you want any picks from us or reasons why we did not bet a game let us know. Simply post a comment and we will get back to you within a couple of hours. Our money is always where our mouth is and that means we share the fruits of our labor with you,our readers.

Flash Flash and Runny

October 18, 2007 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Auburn Tigers, Baylor Bears, BCS, Bearcats, Bulldogs, Central Michigan, Chippewas, Clemson, Colorado Buffaloes, Crimson Tide, cyclones, Fighting Irish, Iowa State, Irish, Kansas Jayhawks, Les Miles, LSU, LSU Tigers, Mississippi State, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oregon Ducks, Pittsburgh Panthers, Sooners, Tennessee, Texas Longhorns, Tigers, USC, USC Trojans, Volunteers, Washington Huskies, West Virginia | 18 Comments