We had a nice week last week with a combined 6-1 record. Here is how we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 5-7
Flash is 3-1
Runny is 8-8
We started our NCAA season a little slow and now are on a roll and the NFL is starting to gear up as well. So lets kick off this party with some hot delicious Keyra Augustina ass…..
RPJ $yndicate picks
San Diego at Miami (+6.5)– Miami is already starting to show signs of The Parcells Plan. Bill is a football genius andhas turned around every single team he has gotten his hands on. This is not a tale of ATS numbersbecause it favors the Chargersin a big way with one exception…Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. This is an interesting matchup and favors the Dolphins in a lot of stats that we look at. The Dolphins have a better running game, a better run defense andhave learned how to limit turnovers. San Diego has not looked good on the road. They had to come from behind against Denver and could have won andthey had to come from behind against the Raiders andwon. This does not bode well as a trend and Miami will be able to limit San Diego’s touches. We think Miami can keep this game close and we are debating a straight moneyline bet. We are not betting the moneyline yet but we think the Dolphins will certainly cover. Take the Fins and the points.
Atlanta at Carolina (-9.5)– We normally hate big spreads but we love betting against one dimensional teams on the road. Stop the run and you stop the Chiefs. Even the Raiders won in KC by shutting down LJ. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5.
Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
We think this lines up well for Carolina and we would not be surprised to see a 20 point win. Take Carolina to cover!!!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-5)– I wish this line was -3.5 or less but I still think the Jags can win by a TD. Jacksonville really has gotten to Big Ben, sacking him 11 times the last two times they played and Big Ben has been sacked almost 4 times a game this year. Willie Parker is out, Mendenhall is out, Kendall Simmons is out, Casey Hampton is out and Brett Keisel is out. That is way too many outs for Pittsburgh. The ATS numbers:
Steelers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 5.
Steelers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in October.
Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 5.
Jaguars are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Home team is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 meetings.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Jacksonville.
I think the Steelers are facing too many injuries and are traveling to Jacksonville. Teams that play on Monday Night and then play on the road in their next game lose outright more than 70% of the times. I will take those odds and the ATS numbers. Jacksonville wins and covers!!!
Flash Flash Picks
Chicago at Detroit (+3.5)– This is a fascinating game but mostly it is a new beginning for the Detroit Lions. The Lions finally rid themselves of the WR happy Matt Millen. It was so fun to have Matt Millen around because that made Al Davis feel like his retarded decisions actually belonged in the NFL.
The ATS numbers:
Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Bears are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
I think the Lions get their first win of the season in this game. The fear is that the Bears will run up and down the field and that is a concern but I think that concern was addressed during Detroit’s bye week. Remember, the Lions are loaded at WR thanks to Matt Millen and they will rise to the occasion to honor their fallen comrade. Take the Lions and the points and if you have some extra scratch around throw a little down on the Moneyline.
Tennessee @ Baltimore (+3): This game is a little tough to handicap, but I think the Titans cover. Tough giving any points to a Baltimore team at home. They are ridiculous on D. However, Flacco is not ready. The Steelers exposed him last week. The Titans have a better D and they will pressure Flacco just like the Steelers did in the 2nd half of their game last week. Plus, the Titans are just more balanced. It will be a close game-definitely a battle of great D’s, but the Titans pull out the cover. Take the Titans -3.
Colts @ Texans (+3): The Colts are banged-up and playing like it. Although they are coming off the bye this week, I don’t think it matters. Peyton is off and as great as he is, he won’t get on the right track until he gets more playing time. The Texans almost beat the Jags last week. They put-up points on a much better J’ville D. They will do the same this week. I love them getting points. Take the Texans +3.
Patriots @ 49ers (+3): Another home Dog. I like them, too. Pats are off the bye, but they have major problems. Cassel will be good (eventually), but the 49ers have a good D. They can keep this game close. Plus, the Pats have NO run defense. That is music to Frank Gore’s ears. He will have a huge game. Pats will win, but 49ers keep it close. Take the 49ers +3.
As always, good luck.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!
Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:
Here is what we like this week:
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.
Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.
Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.
49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.
Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.
Flash Flash Picks
I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.
Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. If you followed us last week, you took a bad beating. We did, but we have had bad weeks in the past. We always right the ship. We can only go up from here and we know we will. Our records on the season are as follows:
RPJ PICKS: 2-3
FLASH PICKS: 1-0
RUNNY PICKS: 0-5
No explanation for that crap. We know it is terrible, but we practice full disclosure. Feel free to blast us anyway you want. It won’t stop us from picking. We are imploring the will of Sarah Palin to bust us out of our mini slump. She jacked up McCain’s approval rating and good fortune and now we call on you…Mrs. Governor of Alaska and VP running mate to spread your goodwill and make our picks come in.
C’mon Sarah….bring home the cold hard cash!!!!!
That said, here is what we like in Week Two:
Raiders @ Chiefs (-3.5): The Raiders looked terrible on Monday. They played about as bad as a team could play. On the contrary, the Chiefs held their own against the mighty Pats in Foxboro last week. Their D looked really, really good. The Raiders are on a short week. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Riaders, but we don’t think it matters in this one. Take the Chiefs -3.5.
Saints -1 @ Skins: The Skins disppointed us in Week One in NY/NJ. We don’t think they are as bad as they played and we think they will improve playing at home this week. However, the Saints just have more talent and a much better coach. The Saints beat a very good Tampa team last week and Colston was not productive. His loss impacts the team for the ling run but it doe snot impact them for this game. Also, the Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in DC. This line is essentially a pick-em. Take the Saints -1.
Pats +1.5 @ Jets: This game will be the most hyped game of the week. Jets fans are foaming at the mouth with the opportunity to have Favre pound the Bradyless Pats at home. No doubt the Pats are a completely different team. However, Belichek is one of the best coaches in the game. He will come-up with a plan to exploit Cassel’ talents. Don’t forget, Matt Cassel is a USC product. He has talent and he has studied under Belichk and Brady his whole career. He has excellent skill players around him. He can get it done. Don’t forget, the Pats are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 at the Jets. The Jets did win against the Fins last week, but the Fins still suck. The Pats win outright. Take the Pats +1.5.
Chargers (-1) @ Broncos: The Broncos certainly had an outstanding debut against the Raiders on Monday night. Now they head home to face a Chargers team that is reeling from the heartbreaking loss at home to Carolina and from knowing that Merriman is out for the year. Tough blows. However, Carolina is much better than the Raiders and that game could have easily gone in the Chargers’ favor. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS against the Broncos. Take the Chargers -1.
Steelers @ Browns (+6): The Brownies looked terrible at home last week against the Boys. Romo had all day to pass and he ate them up. The Steelers were the exact opposite against the Texans last week. What will give? The ATS numbers favor the Steelers by a lot (Browns: 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against the Steelers; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Steelers), but we think the Browns will make adjustments and figure out how to get pressure on Big Ben. They may not win, but they can keep it within 6.5. They will be fired up to avenge their terrible play last week and show the Steelers they can hang. Keep in mind that the Browns were destroyed last year in Week One (by the Steelers) but came back to drop 51 on the Bungles. Take the Browns +6.
Flash Flash Picks:
Baltimore at Houston (-4) – The tale of opposites. Houston was spanked on the road last week. Baltimore and Joe Flacco won against the Bungles. Houston is better than they showed and will be at home. Baltimore did not show anything but still won. Rookie QBs are comfortable at home and playing on the road is a whole nother ball game on the road. I think Baltimore gets blown out by more than 10 and I am even picking this game in all of my knockout pools this week. Some ATS numbers:
Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Ravens are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Texans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Pick the Texans at home to cover!!!
Come back for the Monday Night pick. As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny and Flash
NFL Championship Game Picks: Pats Lose in Biggest Upset in NFL History after Tom Brady’s Love Child Rips His Head Off During Pre-game Warmups!
Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….
We knew that headline would get your attention. Our picks might suck but we are not idiots in picking a Pats loss in this one (Read on for our actual pick). We are coming at you with an unusual winning pick selection process for you this time. We simply can not agree on these games and because of this we are not putting any of RPJ Syndicate’s money to work; we are putting our own personal money to work. This is frustrating for us but it is what it is and this happens sometimes and we usually skip the game altogether as you know but because there are only three NFL games left (we are crying literally because of this) we have to put our opinions out there because this is the NFL. Now some of you naysayers out there will call us scam artists because you think we are going to pick both sides and then say we were winners. Well we are not doing this. RPJ Syndicate is a terrible 1-7 in the playoffs so far and these picks will not count for our record because RPJ’s money is not playing these games. Hopefully we can agree on a consensus for the Super Bowl and bet the living hell out of it to recoup some of our losses but time will only tell if that comes true. So to make our crappy picks up with you we are going to show tons of hot chicks in this blog and first up is the beautiful ass of Miss Jessica Alba:
January 20, 2008 – San Diego at New England (-14)
We are going to show you the ATS numbers first for both teams and then we will have our own analysis.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 46-15-2 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
Patriots are 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Flash Flash Says: I am going to continue to ride the recent trends and that is a Patriots non-cover. Yes, I know they are 17-0 and the best team in football but they are not cover machines like they were earlier in the season. The weather in Foxboro has limited the Pats ability to stretch the field like they did in the Fall and the Pats are taking a more ball controlled short passing game approach to their offense and this runs the clock out faster and reduces the Pats offensive touches. In addition, every team that plays the Pats knows that they need to limit the Pats touches and employ a ball control offense of their own. The Pats are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games and the only win was the “guarantee” game against the Steelers. Vegas lines were ridiculous in a lot of these games and that helped the opponents cover but that does not mean the Pats are 14 point favorites against the other elite teams in the AFC. This line is simply too high and Vegas knows the Pats homers will continue to bet on the Pats no matter what. Also, San Diego has not received any credit for their current run and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 and riding an 8 game winning streak. The Chargers started slow but you have to remember that they have a completely rehauled coaching staff and two of their early losses were against Green Bay and New England. Expect a ball control game in this one, especially from San Diego. Losing Gates is a big loss for the Chargers. Since the Chargers will play ball control I think the injuries to Rivers and LT will hurt but not as much as people think. Billy Volek will simply be asked to not make mistakes…does this ring any bells? Brad Johnson won a Super Bowl, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, Big Ben won and it was not because they had an aggressive offense, it was because they had a great defense and played mistake free offense. Volek can do this. As far as the running game goes, we all know Michael Turner will be a great starter one day and Darren Sprolles showed he has the explosiveness to play a part in any game. Chargers will play a tight, conservative offense and should be able to run on the Pats to keep the chains moving. I do not think the Chargers win but I think they will keep it within ten points in a super cold game. I am definitely interested in the readers opinion on this game because I do not see the reasons why the Pats should cover, even with a banged up Chargers team. That same banged up Chargers team took it to the Colts on the road and can do it again. They Chargers are also the hotter “betting” team. If you have been riding the Pats you have been riding your bankroll down the crapper.I am betting the Chargers and taking the points!!!
Mrs. Flash Flash says: Yes, she is back. She thinks the Pats will not cover the 14 points. She thinks the Pats will not cover because they are unstoppable. Yes, that makes no sense at all and she is half a bottle of wine in. Take it for what it is worth. Mrs. Flash Flash is also coming at you with her top three hottest chicks. First is Miss Sienna Miller:
Chick number 2 is Miss Jessica Biel:
Chick number 3 is Katherine Heigl:
Runny says: Flash has been staring at that pic of Jessica Alba too long and doesn’t have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck. This game should be re-named the “Decimation Bowl” because that is just what the Pats are going to do. Mind you, I DESPISE Tom Brady. I DESPISE Belichek (so much so I threw away all my hoodies). I DESPISE the PATS. I just know a smart thing when I see it. The thing is with this game is that even without the injuries to the Chargers, the Pats still would cover. They destroyed them in Week 2 when they were totally healthy. They will do so again this week.
The Pats were a missed field goal away from covering last week against a Jags team that is much, much better on both sides of the ball than the Chargers. The two weeks off hurt the Pats. They were definitely rusty. Now they will be ready. The Pats are praying that the Chargers blitz Brady and double Moss. Brady will eat that up and hit Wes Welker all game long. The weather will not matter. Look for big games from My Homey Lawrence Moroney, Wes Welker and the Pats secondary. Rivers had the game of his career last week, but that was due to poor execution and poor strategy by the Colts. There is not a receiver on the Chargers that the Pats cannot cover. Chambers will not have a repeat performance.
As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are a team of destiny. They will decimate the Chargers and roll right into the Super Bowl. Take the Pats -14.
January 20, 2008 – Giants at Green Bay (-7)
Coming at you with the ATS numbers first:
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Giants are 7-16-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Packers are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Packers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Runny Says: The keys to this game are the Giants secondary and the huge home-field advantage. In regards to the Giants secondary, the Packers play sound football and Favre is playing within the system. He is not trying to win the game on every throw. He has confidence in his receivers for the first time in probably 10 years. He has a solid running game backing him and the enitre offense is playing exceptionally well as a team. This does not bode well for an inexperienced and beat-up Giants secondary. Favre and his receivers will do what Romo and his receivers could not do last week; Favre will make the throws and his receivers will catch the ball. The more this happens, the more the running lanes will be free for Ryan Grant. It will snowball into a lot of points for the Pack.
In regards to the Lambeau advantage, the Giants will be playing in an environment they have never seen before. It is going to be FRIGID, with a HIGH of only 4 degrees! You read that right-4 f’ing degrees!! (Is it coincidence that that just so happens to be Favre’s number?!? I don’t think so…). Not only that, they are calling for snow! The Giants will not be prepared for this. They will not be prepared for this crowd.
This would not be a Runny blog post if Keyra did not make an appearance with her fantastic ass…..
Favre and the Pack will get up early and pour it on. Eli will throw a few picks. Look for a big game from the Packers corners. I would not be surprised if one of them take one back for 6. Take the Packers and give the points.
Flash Flash Says:This game really is tough to call in my opinion and that makes it easy. During the NFL season when faced with two awesome opposing forces, you go with the underdog every time. Giants are on a 9 game road winning streak, they are 7-0 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record, Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 January games, Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and the list goes on and on. If I were to focus on the only negative ATS numbers the only one that sticks out is that the Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We know the Giants are the best road team in the NFL this season, with the exception of the Pats and this is a stat to consider. To me these teams are spitting images of each other, they can run, they can run to set up the pass, they have aggressive defenses and they can get after the QB. You can say this about both teams. I like what the Giants coaches have been doing as well. Even though the Giant’s secondary was depleted last week they stuck to their game plan and were content to blitz and man up in the 4th quarter, basically telling their players that they play on Sundays and they have faith in them to make the necessary plays. Great job by Coughlin’s crew. I think the weather will also be a factor in this game and we will all get to see the frozen tundra part II as these teams will play in near zero degree weather. We saw what the Packers offense did in the snow but this will be a lot colder.
It is also important to realize the Manning has bucked up in the last two games by playing not to lose. This is incredibly important in the playoffs. This season is a mish mosh for Manning. Sometimes he seems terrible and completely out of it and other times he leads his team on a quarter ending 75 yard TD scoring drive in 40 seconds. He has learned how to play within himself during these playoffs and I think he has a good mentor (Big Brother Peyton) who learned that putting up 49 TDs and tons of yards is not the key to winning a championship. Playing within yourself and not making mistakes or forcing plays is what keeps the NFL season alive. So will we get he bad decision making drunk Eli:
The drunk Eli will make poor decisions like getting a picture of him taken while he was drunk out of his mind with some little blond hottie or will we get the smart, low-key Eli who marries his college sweetheart and not some whore during a drunken night out. The picture below is Eli’s wife:
I think the Packers win a close game in the 17-14 range. I am betting the Giants with the points!!!
Some of you degenerates out there might know already but the AVN awards went down last weekend out in Vegas. So I want to focus on some porn dirty HOs for my pics today. Hello Breasts!!!!
You like Lily Thai, you will like Jasmine Mai:
and a porn pic shot would not be complete withou Carmen Luvana:
Mrs. Flash Flash says:The Mrs. thinks Favre is the american football dream and is predicting a Packers blow out. Yes the American football dream folks.
Only one more game to go this season…..The Super bowl and we will be ready with our pick. We hope you learned a lot about betting and grew to appreciate us this season. We tell it like it is and we put our own money to work with you. We are not some BS service that touts 65% winners all the time cause anybody with a brain knows that is impossible. This was an bizarre season in NCAA and NFL football and we will examine our models and see if we can find any additional strategic points to manipulate next season.
May your pimp hand be strong and your wallets full!!!
Flash and Runny
We were one missed field goal from going 2-0 on Saturday’s games. Settled for 1-1 to bring our playoff record to 1-5. Terrible, but it does feel good to get our first win. Now on to Sunday’s games:
Chargers @ Colts -10: The Colts kick-off their post season at home and rested. With the exception of Dwight Freeney, they are completely healthy. The Chargers, on the other hand, will likely be without one of their offensive studs-Antonio Gates. Even if Gates plays, he will be limited. This is a HUGE loss for the Chargers. HUGE.
We think the Colts roll big in this game. The reason is Philip Rivers. He is not a good QB. He has always struggled in the playoffs, and despite their win last week against the Titans, Rivers looked bad. The Colts are much better than the Titans. Some will argue that this is way too many points to give the Chargers-they have a solid D and any team with LT has a chance to keep a game close. No way. Not this Sunday. These teams played in November with the Chargers squeaking out a 23-21 win. However, that game was in San Diego and Manning had the worse game of his career. Also, the Chargers managed only ONE TD by their offense. ONE, despite picking Manning off 6 TIMES!! The other two TDs were on returns by Darren Sproles. That won’t happen again in this game. The Colts have had 2 weeks off and they will be ready. Look for a HUGE beatdown. Take the Colts -10.
Giants @ Cowboys -7: The super hot Giants head back to Big D for the third time this year. They haven’t won yet, losing both match-ups by a combined total of 21 points. However, this is a much better Giants team. They are running the ball extremely well and Eli looks like his brother. And, they have a new weapon in Ahmad Bradshaw. Things are looking good for the Giants in this game. They are peaking while the Boys are struggling.
The Cowboys have not been a good team as of late. We think that is a product of them pretty much phoning in their season once they clinched their playoff spot and home field. Don’t get us wrong, 13-3 is no fluke, but the Boys have a lot of flaws. They are terrible is pass coverage and they are extremely undisciplined. They will make penalties hat will extend drives for the Giants. Plus, the huge question mark with TO will hinder their entire offense. What will give?
We have gone back and forth all week on this one, but we think in the end the Boys will cover. We have three reasons for this pick:
1). The Giants will be without Shockey. This is a bigger loss than Dallas having no/a limited TO. Even though Eli is playing really well without Shockey now, it will catch up to him in this game. First because the Boys will have their starting corners (Newman and Henry) for the first time all year. They won’t stop Toomer and Plaxico, but they will slow them down, forcing Eli to go to his TE. Kevin Boss is no Shockey. Plus, the Giants will miss Shockey’s run blocking in this one.
2). The Cowboys O-line is MASSIVE. They are road graders and they healthy for the first time in a month. They will hammer the Giants D line and the Boys will be able to run. By the fourth quarter, it will catch-up to them and Marion Barber will be racking-up stats. They have a sour taste in their mouth from their terrible perfromace in Washington to end the regular season. Along with Barber, look for Julius Jones to have a good game, too.
3). The Giants secondary is injured and not that good. It is looking like TO will play. Not to state the obvious, but simply putting TO on the field makes a HUGE difference. Even at 80%. Or even 60%. TO is a play maker and requires constant attention by defensive coordinators. He can handle the Giants corners. Also, the addition of Terry Glenn will be a HUGE positive for the Cowboys. Putting him in the slot will create huge mismatches for the Giants and Jason Garrett is licking his chops. When the Cowboys go to their 3 receiver sets, lookout!!! It will also free-up the running game.
We think the Boys cover. We thing it will be a close cover, but they will do it. The Giants will be able to score, so it will be high scoring. Take the Cowboys -7.
Runny & Flash
The last two games on tap for Wild Car Weekend pit the Giants against the Bucs and the Titans in San Diego against the Chargers. These two games are our favorites so far. We love the lines and the way Vegas has moved the lines all week!! Beware of the trap this time!! Remember, VEGAS KNOWS!!! Here is our take on each:
Giants @ Buccaneers -3: After nearly ending the Pats’ run at perfection last week, the Giants are definately the sexy pick in this one. Eli looked a lot like his big bro and Osi and Strahan played liked men possessed. On the other hand, the Buccaners have been extremely inconsistent as of late-losing their last two to the 49ers and Panthers. Yet, they are the favorites at home.
On paper, the teams are pretty even. The Giants have a a better offense, but the Bucs have a better D. Makes it tough to get an angle with the stats. How about the ATS numbers? Here you go:
The ATS numbers are pretty close, too, with maybe a slight edge towards the Giants. What gives?
If you read our stuff, you know the answer to that question….yeap…VEGAS KNOWS. We can’t say that enough. This line opened with the Bucs being only 1 point favorites. However, as the week progressed, most of the money went towards the Giants. In particular, (at the time of this post) nearly 60% of the money is on the Giants to cover and OVER 90% of the money is on them to win outright!! OVER 90% AND THE LINE STILL INCREASED!!! We’ve seen this many times before. This is a trap!! Vegas wants you to keep hammering the Giants. Don’t do it!!
Vegas knows this game will come down to defense and QB play. As mentioned above, the Bucs have good advantage on D, so they win that match-up. In regards to the QB play, Eli is terrible. He looked good last week against a Pats D that is mediocre, at best. The Bucs D is much better. Much better. Plax won’t be open as much as he was last week. Watch for Ronde Barber to have a good game. We think the Bucs win by double digits. Take the Bucs -3.
Titans +10 @ Chargers: The Titans surprised us by making the playoffs this year. We admit that we are not fans on Vince Young, but we love the way the Titans play. Despite winning their division with a 11-5 record, the Chargers have had a disappointing season. This team was predicted to win 15 games this year. However, they are rolling right now and LT is amazing. He pretty much saved Norv Turner his job.
The sexy pick in this game is the Chargers. No one is giving the Titans a chance. At the time of this post, 79% of the money is on the Chargers to cover the spread an nearly all the analysis on TV is about how much the Chargers will roll. After all, the Titans are injured. They have no offensive threats (Vince Young is a game time decision and Roydell Williams is out). The Chargers have a TON of offensive weapons and their D plays lights out.
However, we are looking past this. On any given Sunday, any team can beat any team. We know Jeff Fisher is telling his team that and he is a master motivator. We also think he is an infinitely better coach than Norv Turner. Fisher always finds away to get it done with no help. Even with his Super Bowl team that nearly beat the then unstoppable Rams, he really had no (We don’t think Eddie George was anywhere near as good as LT) weapons. He still gets it done.
We think this game will come down to coaching and QB play. We already told you how we feel about the coaches. The key will be the QBs. We think Philip Rivers is a joke and his history (although brief) shows he in not a good playoff QB. He will turn the ball over. Look for Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth to have big games for the Titans. LT will go nuts for the Chargers. Ultimately, we think the massive injuries the Titans have will slow them down and cost them the game, but we think they will keep it close. Keep in mind that the Titans nearly beat them last month. We love the 10 points. Take the Titans +10.
Another Thursday night winner for us in the Skins-Bears brings our record to 45-36-1. We are getting where we need to be. Week 14 is the week of the road favorite. Generally, in picking NFL games it is usually bad to go with road favorites. However, this week we like a few. Here is what we like for Sunday’s action:
Vikings -8.5 @ 49ers: This is a lot of points for the Vikings to give on the road. However, they have Adrian Peterson and they are on the road to face a terrible 49ers team. With all the credit that Adrian Peterson gets (all of it is deserved-if this kid does not win the ROY and MVP this year it will be highway robbery), the Vikings D should get some. They are flying under the radar with their play. They will strut their stuff this weekend against the 49ers. Look for heavy doses of Adrian Peterson and a lot of attacks on D. It will be a close cover, but we like the Vikings. Take the Vikings -8.5.
Cowboys -11 @Lions; OVER/UNDER 50.5: Another heavy road favorite. The Cowboys head north to the Motor City to face a struggling Lions team. Historically, the Lions have done well against the Cowboys. Will the Lions get their 10 wins? Unlikely, but if they do, they need to win this game. They won’t. The Cowboys have had 10 days to prepare for a game that is flying under the public’s radar, but not the radar of the Boys’ D. The Lions SPANKED them last year in Big D. The Boys are looking for payback. T-New and Bradie James have already come out with threats. They are focused and looking for blood. They will cover. Take the Cowboys -11. That said, the Boys D is vulnerable. Especially to the pass. With Roy Williams out for the Lions, it will limit their air attack. It won’t shut it down. The Lions will be able to score. Take the OVER 50.5.
Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Another road favorite. The Browns roll into NY/NJ to face a Jets team fresh off a beatdown of Miami. That beatdown was a fluke. The Jets are not a good team right now and they are hurt. The Browns win easy and cover. Take the Browns -3.5.
Panthers @ Jags -10.5: This is a lot of points. The Panthers threw up some points last week against the 49ers. However, the 49ers are bad. The Jags are not. They played the Colts close and don’t have as much injuries as the Panthers. We like the Jags to roll. Take the Jags -10.5.
Rams @ Bengals -9.5: Brock Berlin gets the starting nod for the Rams this week. That’s right…Brock Berlin. We remember him from his U days. He was terrible then. We are giving him no credit this weekend. Despite the Rams having a solid D, and the Bungles being the softest team in the league, we think Cinncy rolls at home. Take the Bungles -9.5.
Chargers -1 @ Titans: Another road favorite. The Chargers have been TERRIBLE ATS in their past 8 road games. The Titans are a completely different team with Haynesworth back. That said, he is still a little banged-up. He will play, but will his hammy hold-up. We don’t think he will be effective enough to stop LT. The Chargers are playing better and can cover. Take the Chargers -1.
Steelers @ Patriots -10.5: Probably the game of the week. Nearly EVERYONE thinks the Steelers will be the team to upset the Pats. Every analyst waxes on and on about how good the Steelers will run the ball and how great their D is. However, they are a completely different road team. They lost to the Jets for goodness sakes. The teams they did beat do not have the Pats arsenal, and they have lost to some terrible teams. The Pats haven’t lost to anyone. Also, pay attention to this spread. Despite all the hype and all the money in Vegas going to the Steelers this week, the Steelers are still a double digit dog. Vegas knows. Take the Pats -10.5.
There you go. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
Great start to the week last Thursday night. The ‘Boys treated us right and that game played out exactly like we said. We hope you believed us about the Vegas trap and decided to roll with us. Thursday brought us a 2-0 night and brought our season record to 42-28-1. We like how we are looking so far in Week 13. Still, we know there is still a lot of ground left to go to get another winning weekend. We are confident though. Here is who we like on Sunday:
Falcons +3 @ Rams: This is our favorite game of the week. The Rams will be without Mark Bulger. Gus Ferotte mans the QB helm for the Rams. We saw how he did last week-atrocious. The Falcons are bad, too, but we think they will run all day against the Rams D. We love the Falcons. Take the Falcons +3.
Jets @ Dolphins -1: This is another game we like a lot. The Jets fly south to face the winless Dolphins. Here’s the thing though-despite being winless, the Fins are not THAT bad. Actually, let us re-phrase that. They are pretty terrible, but they have a very good D. Not amazing, but certainly pretty decent. The Jets are by no means good. In fact, we think this is a classic case of the records not really telling the whole story. The Jets have 2 wins, but are actually probably worse than the Fins. We think the Fins get their first (and probably only) W of the season this week. Take the Dolphins -1.
Chargers @ Chiefs +6: The Chargers were smoked in their last meeting. And that game was in San Diego. They head into KC in December. The words “KC in December” are probably the last things a visiting team wants to hear. The Chargers have won their last game against a terrible Ravens team. However, this season they are 1-4 on the road. And that is not ATS. That is their win-loss record. That is a joke. They may win this game, but it will be close. Take the Chiefs +6.
Buccaneers @ Saints -3: The Bucs have been great ATS lately. However, they head into New Orleans all banged-up. Garcia’s back is barking hard and it is questionable whether he even plays. Even if he does, he will be limited. The Saints are in a must win here. Although we hate taking them in this game, we think it is a good play. Take the Saints -3.
Browns @ Cardinals OVER/UNDER 51.5: We could not get a clear take on this game as far as who would cover. At first glance, this seems like a Vegas trap (see our post for last Thursday’s game). With the way the Cards have been playing and with their injuries, there is no way they should be favored. Then again, it is only 1 point. We are not comfortable recommending either team. What we are sure of, however, is that both teams can score some points. We love this over. Take the OVER 51.5.
Giants -1.5 @ Bears: The Bears pulled one out of their hats last week. The Giants looked terrible against the Vikings. That said, the Giants are still a better team. Rex will blow this one for them and end their season. Take the Giants -1.5.
Bengals +7 @ Steelers: The Bengals proved to be great for us last weekend. They head into the Steel City to face their hated rivals. The Steelers have been an enigma this year-terrible on the road and perfection at home. They are 8-0 ATS at home. We think that streak ends this week. Do not be surprised if the Bungles win this game outright. Take the Bengals +7.
There you go-7 more picks for week 13. Check in win us on Monday for our blog for the Pats-Ravens game. Good luck!!
Runny & Flash
Greeting and Happy Turkey Day! Hope your holiday went well. Our’s did-great food, great family, great friends and 2-1 on our NFL picks (3-1 if you count the USC beatdown at ASU)!! Brings our record to 36-22-1. That is 62%!! We are gtting better and hope to have the record above 65% ASAP. Here are our picks for Sunday’s action:
Titans @ Bengals +1.5: The Titans looked terrible on Monday against a mediocre Broncos team. The Bengals have looked bad all season. What will give? The ATS numbers are pretty even. We can’t believe we are saying this, but we like Cinncy. Take the Bungles +1.5.
Broncos +2 @ Bears: The Broncos looked great last Monday at home. The Bears are a joke. Grossman is a mistake at QB. Shannahan will bring the pressure against him, forcing the typical Grossman mistakes. The Bears D is no where near what it used to be. We like the Broncos to cover and porbably win outright. Take the Broncos +2.
Seahawks @ Rams +3: The Rams seem to have righted their ship. They are getting their guys back from injury, and they are playing much better. The Seahawks are playing better as well. However, we think the ‘Hawks are not as good as they think. Also, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. That is enough for us. This is too many points to give the Rams. Take the Rams +3.
49ers @ Cardinals -10.5: This ia a lot of points to give, but the 49ers are a joke. The Cards are playing well right now and will look to avenge their week 1 loss in SanFran. We think they roll here. Take the Cards -10.5.
Ravens +9 @ Chargers: The Chargers are a joke. What the heck happened to this team?!?!?!?!? Norv? Did they believe the hype? Who knows. The Ravens are pretty freakin’ bad, too. However, in a battle of two terrible teams, be like the points. Even on the road. Take the Ravens +9.
Eagles @ Patriots -24; Over/Under 50.5: You read that right-“-24”!!!!!! Insane amount of points to give in a NFL game. We checked our records and cannot find a line this high for NFL in the past 25 years. However, we think it is legit and not low enough. The Eagles are a debacle. The Pats have shown their goal is to run up the score. 24 points is a lot to give, but we think they win this game by 30. Take the Pats -24. Also, the Pats will hang 50 points on their own. Take the Over 50.5.
Runny & Flash
Greetings. Great week last week. Rocked a 6-2 record for week 10 to bring our season record to 30-17-2. That is 61%. We’ll take that all season long. Let’s keep it rollin’. Here is who we like in Week 11:
Browns -2.5 @ Ravens: We have an Uncle, Moe, who is a die hard Browns fan. Seriously. If you try to argue who the greatest NFL footballer is and say anyone besides Jim Bown, he’ll try to fight you. Even during the holidays. When Art Modell moved the Browns to Baltimore, it broke his heart. He stopped watching footbal until the Brownies were back. To this day, if you mention Art Modell within his earshot he goes nuts. In honor of our Uncle Moe, we will call this game the Uncle Moe Bowl and we LOVE the Brownies. Bet them heavy. It is a Eva Mendes bet (bet 5 Times your typical bet) for us. The money seems to be going towards the Ravens, which scares us. However, the Browns spanked them earlier this year and they are playing better now. The Ravens are even worse. Also, take into account that the Browns are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with losing records and the Ravens are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall. We think the Browns cover. Take the Browns -2.5.
Chargers @ Jags -3: This line screams to take the Chargers, which is exactly what the betting public is doing. Afterall, the Chargers are fresh off a beatdown of the Colts last Sunday. However, that win was deceptive-most of the scoring was from special teams. For the 2nd week in a row, the Chargers offense was offensive. They come into J’Ville to play a stacked J’Ville D and the Jags are getting David Garrard back. The Jags cover. Take the Jags -3.
Raiders +4.5 @ Vikings: The Vikings are not the same without Adrian Peterson (to state the obvious). The Raiders come in with an underrated D and Daunte Culpepper returning to his old stomping ground. Brad Childress is not a good coach. Lane Kifin is. The Vikings QB problem will hurt them in this one. We think the Raiders keep it close and win outright (consider the money line @ +180). Take the Raiders +4.5.
Redskins @ Cowboys -11: The Skins are decimated by injuires on their D. Without Sean Taylor, Romo and TO will go nuts. The Boys roll in this one. Take the Cowboys -11.
Buccaneers -3 @ Falcons: This game is about the starting QBs. Garcia is better than any of the clowns the Falcons bring to the table. Garcia will play enough to cover. Take the Buccaneers -3.
Titans @ Broncos (O/U 38): A battle of teams that have young QBs. They both make a lot of mistakes. The defenses will capitalize on them and keep the score low. Take the Under 38.
Patriots @ Bills +16: We like this game for 4 reasons: 1). The Pats did not cover their last time on the road, 2). The weather is forecasted to be bad, 3). Most of the money in Vegas is on the Pats and 4). The Bills have nothing to lose. To us, that adds up to a Bills team that will shock the Pats and cover the points. Take the Bills +16.
Rams -3 @ 49ers: The 49ers are just plain bad. Terrible. Alex Smith is whining about his shoulder. He is bad. The Rams are not good either, but they won last week and have momentum. They will keep it going. Take the Rams -3.
There’s our picks for week 11. 8 games!!! Good luck.
Runny & Flash
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