We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!
and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)
Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.
Friday, September 12
Kansas at South Florida (-3) – It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?
Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.
Saturday, September 13
Cal at Maryland (+14.5) – We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.
You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:
Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!
Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) – When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.
Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) – This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!
Penn State at Syracuse (+27) – Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.
Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) – Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!
Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) – It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!
Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)
I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).
Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)
UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.
Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.
Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One. They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.
Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.
NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.
Flash Flash and Runny
Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Well we are scrapping along here now at 10-11 on the bowl season. We were 2-7 so this has been a nice 8-4 run through the second week of bowl season. We are doing our best to make this a money making bowl season and we are going to mix it up a bit and throw out some hot chicks that we have not normally banked on.
First off…major apologies to our man Rion…Lily Thai is hot and very talented. We found a PG version of a youtube clip and then a 30 minute porn clip on redtube that we are going to link to. If you have not seen this chick in action, we recommend you take a peak at both videos. She works it hard!!! Thanks for the heads up Rion. We know we have avid readers out there and we want more suggestions of hot chicks. Our readers are clearly in the know!!!
The PG video:
Click here for the Lily Thai porn video. You will not be disappointed.
Rutgers (-11) versus Ball State in the International Bowl
We are kicking this off with a Derek Jeter bet….
2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet – In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johansson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter. This bet is in honor of his former gal pal Miss Scarlett Johanson, one of Runny’s favorites.
Well this is not your high profile end of bowl season #1 versus #2 matchup but we do think it provides a mismatch and a lucrative betting opportunity. There are some story lines to pay attention to. Both coaches were rumored for the Michigan job and both remain with their programs. Ball State is playing its first bowl game in 11 years and is 0-4-1 in their history in bowls. Rutgers is in its third bowl in a row and coming off their first bowl win in the program’s history.
Ball State is 0-3 against teams from BCS conferences this season but did cover the spread in two of those games and its most memorable game of the year was a 41-40 loss in Lincoln against Nebraska. The Cardinals were underdogs of 24 ½ points in that late September game in which Nebraska needed a late touchdown to pull out the win. The reason this game was close, besides the obvious that Nebraska sucked as bad as Notre Dame this year, was the fact that Nebraska could not stop the pass at all. Ball State QB, Nate Davis, threw for 422 yards and three TDs. Bowling Green ended the year as the 21st ranked pass offense in the nation. Why is this game important….Rutgers owns the No. 2 defense against the pass this season, allowing a mere 160.6 yards per game. The Knights have been even stingier over their past three games when they allowed just 150 passing yards per game. When you combine this pass versus pass defense matchup and then throw in the fact that Ball State’s defense gives up almost 197 yards per game on the ground and we have a recipe for disaster. The offense is the real strength of Rutgers, which ranked 26th in the nation in yards per game with 437.2 and 190 yards per game on the ground. Ray Rice is going to run all over Ball State and that will help set up the play action pass. Running back Ray Rice has been one of the most overlooked players in the nation for the past two seasons. He ranks No. 3 in the country in rushing and has seven more yards and five more touchdowns than Heisman Trophy finalist Darren McFadden. Makes you think doesn’t it?
Lets look at the ATS numbers before revealing our winning pick:
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cardinals are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Cardinals are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Cardinals are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Scarlet Knights are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Scarlet Knights are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Some scary numbers from both squads. Ball State has a good coach and you can see that he gets his team to play up to their competition and especially out of conference. Rutgers has a great coach as well and gets his team to play well out of conference, as big favorites and following losses. We do not think the ATS numbers are relevant for this game and simply lead to a coin flip situation for which stats you want o pay attention to.
Rutgers and Ball State have faced one common opponent this season and both came away with a victory. The Cardinals beat Navy in overtime on Sept. 15, 34-31 while the Scarlet Knights pummeled the Midshipmen the week before 41-24. Not so relevant but showed that Rutgers was better against the common opponent.
What might just give Ball State a chance to compete with Rutgers’ potent attack is a ball-hungry defense that has 18 interceptions this season. Those picks helped the Cardinals finish third in the country in turnover margin behind only Florida Atlantic and Kansas. We do not need to remind you that FAU and Kansas both won their bowl games and covered.
There are definitely some points for Ball State that make you think, especially the way underdogs have played this bowl season and especially big underdogs with USC the lone double digit favorite that won. We think this game is different though. Rutgers’ rushing offense versus the non existent rushing defense of Ball State will help Rutgers control the offense and the Rutgers pass defense versus Ball State’s pass offense should slow down the Ball State offense. These two factors are key and we think this could turn into a blow out.
Rutgers wins big and covers!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
P.S. If you want more action on this game take the Over. The line is below both team’s scoring average by 2 points and MAC teams played to the over more than any other conference this year. Think Purdue vs. Central Michigan. We are not staking our reputation on this bet but that is how we would lean and Runny is less confident than Flash so we did not bet it.
We concluded the NCAA Football regular season with a record of 59-54. We were 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets, which were our super bets meaning we bet 5 times our normal unit. This approach led us to win 13 units on the season. Take away the Vig (about 10%) and we are working with with just under 12 units….11.7 to be exact. We would have liked to win more but we won and that is a lot better than other so called “experts can say”.
The reason we started our blog is because we went 19-4 during last season’s Bowl Season. We crushed it!!!! Combining our record with an article in the Wall Street Journal about a sports picker out in Cal-Berkely who was giving away his picks for free and winning at a nice rate. Well this Cal-Berkeley guy made his picks for pay when he had enough of a fan base and he was making $10k a month in his first few months on top of his gambling money. We know our system and our picking are world class and we are revealing all of our picks to you for free. You the reader are reaping the benefits of a free winning system. The point of gambling is not to have more fun while watching games…the point is to make cold hard cash and when you follow us, as we proved during this season, you make cash!!!
Now the point of this Bowl season is to take your/our 11.7 units and turn that into a lot more. We are going to give you specific reasons why we are picking a game and sometimes we might just tell you to pick a game just like we did with our pick of PITT to cover against West Virginia for their December 1 game. Our betting system is based on a trial and tested system and we always put our money where our mouth is with no exceptions.
For this bowl season we are going to set up a system for you where you bet 1,2,3,4,5 and the Super Bet for as many betting units as you are willing to risk. The Super Bet is our 99.99999% lock!! These bets are called:
The Super Bet = The Keyra Shake that Money Maker bet – These will be our super lock bets. The bets we are taking out second mortgages, bank loans, hitting up friends and relatives…you get the picture. Bet as much as you can stomach bets.
5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet – We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it.
4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.
3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.
2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet – In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.
1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.
Below is the schedule for all bowl games this season. We are going to pick as many games as our system spits out. Do not expect us to pick every game but we will have action on most of them. We will probably post our picks on this blog 1-2 days before each bowl. Please feel free to ask us any questions or post comments on this blog. Our email is email@example.com.
Flash Flash and Runny
2007-08 College Football Bowl Schedule
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
Utah (-9) vs. Navy
Dec. 20, 9 p.m.
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Memphis (+2) vs. Florida Atlantic
Dec. 21, 8 p.m.
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati (-11)
Dec. 22, 1 p.m.
New Mexico Bowl
Nevada vs. New Mexico (-3)
Dec. 22, 4:30 p.m.
Pioneer Las Vegas
UCLA vs. BYU (-5.5)
Dec. 22, 8 p.m.
Boise State (-10.5) vs. East Carolina
Dec. 23, 8 p.m.
Purdue (-9.5) vs. Central Michigan
Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m.
Pacific Life Holiday
Arizona State (+1.5) vs. Texas
Dec. 27, 8 p.m.
Boston College (-3) vs. Michigan State
Dec. 28, 5 p.m.
TCU vs. Houston (+3.5)
Dec. 28, 8 p.m.
Maryland vs. Oregon State (-4.5)
Dec. 28, 8:30 p.m.
Meineke Car Care
UConn vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
Dec. 29, 1 p.m.
UCF vs. Mississippi State (+3)
Dec. 29, 4:30 p.m.
Penn State vs. Texas A and M (+5.5)
Dec. 29, 8 p.m.
Alabama (-3.5) vs. Colorado
Dec. 30, 8 p.m.
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
California (-4) vs. Air Force
Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.
Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs. Fresno State
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.
South Florida (-6.5) vs. Oregon
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.
Gaylord Hotels Music City
Kentucky (-1) vs. Florida State
Dec. 31, 4 p.m.
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (-4.5)
Dec. 31, 6 p.m.
Clemson (-2.5) vs. Auburn
Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m.
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 11 a.m.
AT and T Cotton
Missouri (-3.5) vs. Arkansas
Jan. 1, 2008, 11:30 a.m.
Texas Tech vs. Virginia (+5.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.
Michigan vs. Florida (-10.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Illinois vs. USC (-13.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 4:30 p.m.
Hawaii vs. Georgia (-9.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 8:30 p.m.
Oklahoma (-6.5) vs. West Virginia
Jan. 2, 2008, 8 p.m.
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Kansas
Jan. 3, 2008, 8 p.m.
Rutgers (-9.5) vs. Ball State
Jan. 5, 2008, Noon
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa (-4)
Jan. 6, 2008, 8 p.m.
Allstate BCS Championship Game
LSU (-6) vs. Ohio State
Jan. 7, 2008, 8 p.m.
Here we go again for week 5. We are 15-10, have never had a losing week this season and are up 13 units in total when you count our Brinks truck bets (betting 5 times your normal amount). We do not have a Brinks truck bet for you this week but we do have 8 solid picks. We want to expand a little bit on some of the stats we use before we get into the nitty gritty. We look at rushing yards per game on offense and defense, third down conversion rate on offense and defense and turnover ratio. Why these stats…it is simple!!! I do not need to explain turnovers. Turnovers simply kill a team. As far as rushing and third down conversion, this is simply a factor of game control and game domination. If a team can rush more and convert more third down than its opponents while committing less turnovers; they are going to win plain and simple, control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. Just sharing some of our little tricks. And now for the picks:
Saturday, September 29, 2007
1) Akron Zips at UCONN (-15) – Here are the numbers….UCONN rushes for almost 60 yards a game more that Akron and converts 39.1% of their first down conversions while Akron only converts 25.4%. On defense, Akron gives up 206.8 rushing yards a game and lets its opposition convert 41.9% of its third down conversion chances while UCONN only gives up 83.8 yards a game rushing lets its opponents convert 23.6% of third down conversions. Last but not least, UCONN has a ball hawking defense and is plus 9 in the turnover ratio this season. Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers…Huskies are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 non-conference games. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Akron is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Go with UCONN all the way; if anything, bet against a team named The Zips. Idiotic mascot name.
2) Notre Dame at Purdue (-22) – I hope this game really does not need any explaining. We told you last week how bad Notre Dame is and guess what they are still terrible. They can’t rush, can’t stop the run, can’t convert third down conversions, open up the flood gates and let teams convert third downs and they are minus 2 in the turnover ratio game. I could run down how bad Notre Dame is against the spread in every situation but it is too long to fit in this blog. Purdue has a great offense and is playing at home. Although Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 10 home games, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and we think this is the stat that is more telling especially when you couple it with the following: Boilermakers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Purdue will kick the lucky charms out of the funny little green leprechauns this weekend. Purdue all the way!!!
3) Florida Atlantic Owls @ Kentucky (-22) – Kentucky is on a roll. They more than double Fl. Atlantic’s rushing output per game 227.2 versus 111.2 and they are far more efficient converting third downs. On the defensive side, Fl. Atlantic gives up more yards rushing than they themselves rush for and allow teams to convert 47.4% of their third down conversions. The one place where Fl. Atlantic has the edge is that they are plus 13 in the turnover ratio margin versus Kentucky’s plus 6. Some other tidbits: Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Grass. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. As far as the Owls go: Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. We do not think this will be close and do not fear the 22 points you have to give. Kentucky rolls in this one.
4) Syracuse at Miami-Ohio (+1.5) – The Cuse showed up huge in their road win at Louisville and on paper they really are not as bad as the media experts want you to believe especially compared to Miami-Ohio. The Cuse is more efficient on offense converting third downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense and by some bizarre miracle they are actually plus 3 in the turnover ratio while Miami-Ohio is minus 4. Orange are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. MAC. Orange are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. Orange are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Redhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cuse will ride the momentum and put the Orange squeeze on Miami-Ohio and win outright. Go Cuse!!!
5) Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) – Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss and is very banged up. Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s recent downturn. Tailback Tashard Choice, who leads the team with 356 net rushing yards and is second with four touchdowns, played only two possessions last week after attempting to return from a hamstring injury. Choice, safety Djay Jones, linebacker Shane Bowen and offensive tackle Jacob Lonowski are questionable due to injuries, while starting fullback Mike Cox and receiver James Jones missed portions of last week’s game. On the other side of the ball Clemson’s two headed running back monster keeps racking up yards. These teams rush for a very similar amount but the difference is in their offense’s efficiency. Clemson converts 42% of their third down conversions and Georgia Tech only converts 20.8%. This spread is only three and we think Georgia Tech is too banged up to compete. Clemson wins easily and covers.
6) Auburn @ Florida (-18) – This is an interesting game. Auburn started the season in the top 25 and was supposed to be one of the best teams in the SEC. Florida has been crushing people and faced a scare against Ole Miss last week. We are going off the cuff with this pick because on paper, using the stats I mentioned all the way through this post, this looks like an easy walk for Florida. Florida rushes for more yards and is more efficient on offense and stops the run better than Auburn and stops teams on third down tries more often and they are plus three in the turnover margin versus Auburn’s minus 3. They ATS numbers tell a different story though….Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Gators are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Florida number that really jumps out at us is that they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 ATS. This is telling that they play SEC teams close. All teams will be gunning for the defending champ. This is why USC is never good against the spread because teams bring the kitchen sick, the toilet, the washing machine, etc… when they face elite squads. Auburn has the talent to match Florida on defense, if not be better, and we think this game will be far closer than the 18 point spread. Take Auburn on the road to cover, who knows they might even win.
7 ) Ohio St. @ Minnesota (+23.5) – Ohio St. is on a big roll. The stats you need to know here are that Minnesota can not stop anybody on defense and they are minus 12 in the turnover ratio, one of the worst in the country. Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 3-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Gophers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Golden Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Ohio St. rolls easily here and covers with no problem.
8 ) Cincinnati @ San Diego St. Aztecs (+15) – We love the Bearcats. They have caused 19 turnovers on the season and are flat out nasty on defense. The Aztecs can not stop the run and Cincy will have a field day. Throw in the fact that the Aztecs are a passing team and we envision this turning into turnover city. Just ask Oregon St. what can happen when you get behind and need to pass against these guys. Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on Grass. Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Aztecs are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Aztecs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bearcats will maul the Aztecs and cover this one easily. We were surprised the spread was not 21 points or more.
Please feel free to post your own picks or to ask us to pick games. We have tons of stats and performed a ridiculous amount of resaearch this week. We always put our money where our mouth is and we are enjoying a great year. Good luck and may Notre Dame continue to lead the nation in offensive ineptitude!!
Flash Flash and Runny
We went 5-2 last week.
Here are our picks for this weekend and make sure you notice the game times. One tonight, one Friday with 4 on Saturday.
Thursday, September 6
1) Oregon St (-3.5) at Cincinnati – Here is the deal with this game. Cincy is a tough team, especially at home. They almost beat Ohio St. last year. Also, Cincy opened up with a blowout of SE Missouri St. Well Bearcats fans… this is not SE Missouri St. Oregon St. is a scrappy team too. Last week they beat Utah 24-7 after starting very slow and going into the half tied at 7-7. That will not happen this week. Or. St. will be ready to play. As we stated last week, Oregon St. has one of the best offensive lines in NCAA football and they are getting Sammie Stroughter back this week. Sammie did not suit up last week and this week he will definitely be a difference maker.
Friday, September 7
2) Navy at Rutgers (-17) – This line is completely flawed and provides an opportunity just like the LSU/Miss St. game did last week. Rutgers should win this game by 30 points. Navy barely beat Temple last week and will simply can not hang with this Rutgers team. Last year the game was 34-0 and we do not see any reason why it will not be similar. We bet this game the hardest of the week at 5 times our normal bet.
3) West Virginia (-24) at Marshall – West Virginia knows they play a weak schedule and the only way the can compensate for it is to pummel teams and show off Slaton and White as Heisman candidates. Last year West Virginia won 42-10. West Virginia is 8-3-1 against the spread on turf in their last 12 and Marshall is 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games. Marshall could not stop the run last week against Miami and this West Virginia team can run significantly better than the Canes can. Do not fear 24 points. This has blowout written all over it.
4) Cal (-14) at Colorado St. – This game has let down written all over it. Cal was 2-3 on the road last year and has not impressed away from Berkeley. Colorado St. suffered a heart breaking loss against Colorado last week and what we saw is they can not stop the run. We all saw what happened to Tennessee when they let Forsett run wild. We know the Pac-10 inside and out and we think CAL has the weapons, the swagger and the right attitude this year. They know they can play with anybody and have USC at home this year. Cal is going to continue to roll, the nation just does not know it yet.
5) Southern Miss at Tennessee (-10.5) – Tennessee has won its last 12 home openers and is coming off the game where CAL smacked them around. One good addition is that of RB LaMarcus Coker who was suspended for the CAL game. So Miss rolled up rushing yards last week against Tennessee – Martin and I think Tennessee will work long and hard this week to recover from the holes they gave up to Forsett. So. Miss is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road games and we do not think they have what it takes to compete against Tennessee after a loss.
6) Wisconsin (-25.5) at UNLV – UNLV is playing a red shirt freshman at QB and Wisconsin starts a 5th year senior. UNLV is not good against the run and the Badgers will look to run, run and run more with PJ Hill. UNLV is 2-6 against the spread against teams with a winning record and 7-17-1 against the spread in their last 25 games on grass. This spread should be over 30 and we are going to ride Wisconsin after missing out on their performance last week.
As always… our money is where our mouth is. If you ever want our opinions on games let us know. We check the blog often and will respond quickly. We want to reiterate that we are not here to pick every game, we simply pick games where we see flaws in the lines.
Flash Flash and Runny
This article infuriates me and is the problem with the modern media. Click and take a look….DON’T FEEL TOO SORRY FOR THE DUKIES
This writer, Terry Moran, makes me sick and is simply trying to antagonize people on the issue of race to capitalize on the Duke and Imus stories. Just read the blog posts at the bottom of his article. He is making this a race issue. The logic of his argument about not feeling too sorry for the Duke players is as follows:
“But perhaps the outpouring of sympathy for Reade Seligman, Collin Finnerty and David Evans is just a bit misplaced. They got special treatment in the justice system–both negative and positive. The conduct of the lacrosse team of which they were members was not admirable on the night of the incident, to say the least. And there are so many other victims of prosecutorial misconduct in this country who never get the high-priced legal representation and the high-profile, high-minded vindication that it strikes me as just a bit unseemly to heap praise and sympathy on these particular men.
So as we rightly cover the vindication of these young men and focus on the genuine ordeal they have endured, let us also remember a few other things:
They were part of a team that collected $800 to purchase the time of two strippers.
Their team specifically requested at least one white stripper.
During the incident, racial epithets were hurled at the strippers.
Colin Finnerty was charged with assault in Washington, DC, in 2005.
The young men were able to retain a battery of top-flight attorneys, investigators and media strategists.
As students of Duke University or other elite institutions, these young men will get on with their privileged lives. There is a very large cushion under them–the one that softens the blows of life for most of those who go to Duke or similar places, and have connections through family, friends and school to all kinds of prospects for success. They are very differently situated in life from, say, the young women of the Rutgers University women’s basketball team.”
Mr. Moran you were not at this incident and you have no right to judge or make any sort of comment about it. Since when was it illegal to hire strippers? Do only white males hire strippers? Did they ask for a white striper and if so is that a problem? Do you go out to dinner and ask for the steak or do you just take what they give you? Were racial slurs thrown out at the two strippers? What were they? Are these young men privileged? Why would you ever compare this to the Rutgers case unless you wanted to make this a race issue? What is the matter with the Rutgers women? Are they less of an individual because they are women? Black? attending Rutgers? What is it? These women are student athletes and if you paid any attention to who these women are you would know that they do very well academically and some of them are going to to become lawyers and doctors.
Mr. Moran your blatant attempt to stir the pot after the fact is deplorable and you should be fired. This is not responsible journalism. These men spent 13 months accused of being rapists, 13 long and terrible months. All individuals, regardless of race or sex are owed the respect of being innocent until proven guilty. By taking the focus off of these boys and saying that many other cases face prosecutorial misconduct and that because it happens to poor or minority americans DOES NOT LESSEN WHAT THE DUKE PLAYERS HAD TO ENDURE!!! It is a problem in this country for white and black, rich and poor. Do not make this a race issue. Why not focus on prosecutorial misconduct across the country as a whole, why not try and make a difference instead of lessening the story of the Duke students?
TERRY MORAN.. you make me sick and should be fired.
P.S. Just found this post that supports my view as well….Terry Moran and the Duke Three
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