RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Football Week 11 Picks: The Significance of November 8 (hint: Rudy Ruettiger) and Thursday’s picks

First things first, on the season we are 39-33, 3-3 for Brinks truck bets and up 6 units on the season. It was nice to start the week 1-0. We knew the LeFevour would not let us down.

November 8, 1975 is a magical day in the history of NCAA football. This is the date the biggest ahole, loser in college football played in his one and only game. Yes, Daniel E. ‘Rudy’ Ruettiger dressed for Notre Dame in his final game against Georgia Tech. Just to debunk some of the Rudy myths….the crowd was not chanting Rudy’s name at all and he played in two plays, not one. The first play he was useless and on the second play he recorded half a sack. If you listen to the broadcast they do not even mention his name. Here is the Youtube clip of the game.

In addition, the team did not actually lay the jerseys on the desk. Rudy admits this on his website. In reality, the team captain, who speaks for the team, went to the coach and asked him to give Rudy a chance and let him play in a game. Because Notre Dame is having such a great season we thought we would honor Rudy and point out that he is just as big a fraud as the current Notre Dame Meek Irish. In case you did not figure it out yet, we decided that Notre Dame is no longer the “Fighting Irish”. They lost the right to call themselves that during the Georgia Tech game this year. Was there anybody else in America that watched the Navy/Notre Dame game and could not tell who was who? Somebody needs to research the NCAA recruiting trade rags because there is no way in hell Notre Dame has recruited a top ten class for the last three years. Notre Dameis a joke and has won one national championship in the last thirty years; the same as schools like CLemson and Washington. Time to move on folks….We live in the present not the past.

Now on to the picks:

1 – Louisville @ West Virginia (-16.5) – West Virginia is coming off a bye, which will give Pat White a chance to get healthy and this is a revenge game after Louisville won 44-34 last year. All stats point to West Virginia in this one and they know that they are still in the hunt to play in the BCS National Championship game if they can win out and get some help. Louisville is a mess, their defense has been bad all year and now their offense can not get going against the likes of Pitt (won 24-17), Uconn (lost 21-17), Cincy (won 28-24). West Virginia is going to run all over these guys….they literally run for double what Louisville does…298 to 150…meaning West Virginia is going to control the game clock and wear down an already terrible defense. Some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:

West Virginia
Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week. Mountaineers are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 conference games. Mountaineers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Louisville
Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

These teams have only met 7 times since 1985 and West Virginia is 4-2-1 ATS in those contests. Out of these 7 games, West Virginia is 4-1 ATS when playing at home. We think West Virginia wins this going away. Think Rutgers but worse.

2 – TCU @ BYU (-7) – BYU is nasty at home and on Thursday nights. Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. BYU has been a nice home cover team as well this year. They have won every game ATS at home this season and blew out Colorado State 35-16 but did not cover the 21 points they needed; came darn close though. We think BYU can easily beat TCU by 10 or more. TCU is spotty at best has one two game win streak on the season and BYU has won 5 in a row. Some more ATS numbers:

TCU
Horned Frogs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Horned Frogs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. Horned Frogs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

BYU
Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Cougars are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite. Cougars are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games on grass. Cougars are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.

One other thing to consider….The weather in Fort Worth Texas this week is averaging 75 degrees. The weather in Provo, Utah at game time….a balmy 38 degrees. Always bet against the warm weather team travelling to the cold.

BYU wins easily

We will be back again this week with our weekend picks.

Flash Flash and Runny

November 7, 2007 Posted by | BYU Cougars, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Horned Frogs, Irish, Louisville Cardinals, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Rudy Ruettiger, TCU, West Virginia, Winning Picks | 6 Comments