RPJ Betting Syndicate

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2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

September 28, 2008 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Ass, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Belichick, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Brett Favre, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Colin Cowherd, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eagles, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Katherine Heigl, Lane Kifin, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Megan Fox, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Panthers, Patriots, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Reggie Bush, Roger Goodell, Saints, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle, Sports, St. Louis, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Texans, Thong, Titans, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Tony Romo, Vegas, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NFL WEEK 16 PICKS: THURSDAY NIGHT DELIGHT

Sweet 16 is upon us!!! We are lovin’ the NFL right now. All these games!!!! Love it. Love it. Love it. Week 16 kicks off with the Steelers in The Lou to face the Rams. Before we get in to our analysis, let’s talk about our record. With our win Monday night, our season record ATS is 59-46-1 (56%). Not too shabby, but we know we are better than that. Here is our take on Thursday’s match-up:

Steelers @ Rams +7.5: We absolutely LOVE this game!!! The Steelers have been a tale of two teams all year-brilliant at home, terrible on the road. They are completely different on the road. Will their fortunes change this week against a Rams team that has been depleted by injuries? We don’t think so. We love the Rams in this game, and there are four HUGE reasons why.

First, the Rams have a very solid and very underrated D. They know how to get at QB’s. They know how to cover and they know how to hit. This does not bode well for the Steelers. With the exception of Willie Parker, there is no threat on the Steelers that can out match the Rams. We think Roethlisberger is overrated. The Rams will hold them down enough to keep it within a TD.

Second, the Rams have Bulger and Jackson back. The Rams have been terrible on offense all year, but with these two guys back, they are a different team. Plus, Bulger is from Western PA so there is no doubt that he wants to decimate the Steelers. The Rams will be able to score enough on the Steelers to keep this close. Pay close attention to the  Polamalu-Holt match-up.

Third, as mentioned above, the Steelers are terrible on the road (1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games). The Rams will be ready for them. 7.5 points is A LOT of points to give a home team. Especially a home team with a good D.

Finally, our favorite reason why we LOVE the Rams to cover in this game-VEGAS KNOWS. We’ve said it hundreds of times in this blog and we think about EVERY time we look at spreads. Vegas knows and its sole goal is to take your money. It is pretty simple. The spreads are designed to get you to take the bait. The obvious key is to not take it by spotting the traps. Sometimes the traps are tought to see. Other times, like now, it is pretty easy. The trap in this game is that the line opened the week at -9.5. Since then, approximately 87% of the public’s money is on the Steelers. The trap is that this line has DROPPED!! Vegas wants people to keep pressing the Steelers. DON’T DO IT!! Avoid the trap and roll with us on the Rams.

Take the Rams +7.5 

December 19, 2007 Posted by | Free NFL Picks, NFL, NFL Picks, Pittsburgh Steelers, Rams, St. Louis, Steelers | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 14 PICKS

Another Thursday night winner for us in the Skins-Bears brings our record to 45-36-1. We are getting where we need to be. Week 14 is the week of the road favorite. Generally, in picking NFL games it is usually bad to go with road favorites. However, this week we like a few. Here is what we like for Sunday’s action:

Vikings -8.5 @ 49ers: This is a lot of points for the Vikings to give on the road. However, they have Adrian Peterson and they are on the road to face a terrible 49ers team. With all the credit that Adrian Peterson gets (all of it is deserved-if this kid does not win the ROY and MVP this year it will be highway robbery), the Vikings D should get some. They are flying under the radar with their play. They will strut their stuff this weekend against the 49ers. Look for heavy doses of Adrian Peterson and a lot of attacks on D. It will be a close cover, but we like the Vikings. Take the Vikings -8.5.

Cowboys -11 @Lions; OVER/UNDER 50.5: Another heavy road favorite. The Cowboys head north to the Motor City to face a struggling Lions team. Historically, the Lions have done well against the Cowboys. Will the Lions get their 10 wins? Unlikely, but if they do, they need to win this game. They won’t. The Cowboys have had 10 days to prepare for a game that is flying under the public’s radar, but not the radar of the Boys’ D. The Lions SPANKED them last year in Big D. The Boys are looking for payback. T-New and Bradie James have already come out with threats. They are focused and looking for blood. They will cover. Take the Cowboys -11. That said, the Boys D is vulnerable. Especially to the pass. With Roy Williams out for the Lions, it will limit their air attack. It won’t shut it down. The Lions will be able to score. Take the OVER 50.5

Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Another road favorite. The Browns roll into NY/NJ to face a Jets team fresh off a beatdown of Miami. That beatdown was a fluke. The Jets are not a good team right now and they are hurt. The Browns win easy and cover. Take the Browns -3.5.

Panthers @ Jags -10.5: This is a lot of points. The Panthers threw up some points last week against the 49ers. However, the 49ers are bad. The Jags are not. They played the Colts close and don’t have as much injuries as the Panthers. We like the Jags to roll. Take the Jags -10.5.

Rams @ Bengals -9.5: Brock Berlin gets the starting nod for the Rams this week. That’s right…Brock Berlin. We remember him from his U days. He was terrible then. We are giving him no credit this weekend. Despite the Rams having a solid D, and the Bungles being the softest team in the league, we think Cinncy rolls at home. Take the Bungles -9.5.

Chargers -1 @ Titans: Another road favorite. The Chargers have been TERRIBLE ATS in their past 8 road games. The Titans are a completely different team with Haynesworth back. That said, he is still a little banged-up. He will play, but will his hammy hold-up. We don’t think he will be effective enough to stop LT. The Chargers are playing better and can cover. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Patriots -10.5: Probably the game of the week. Nearly EVERYONE thinks the Steelers will be the team to upset the Pats. Every analyst waxes on and on about how good the Steelers will run the ball and how great their D is. However, they are a completely different road team. They lost to the Jets for goodness sakes. The teams they did beat do not have the Pats arsenal, and they have lost to some terrible teams. The Pats haven’t lost to anyone. Also, pay attention to this spread. Despite all the hype and all the money in Vegas going to the Steelers this week, the Steelers are still a double digit dog. Vegas knows. Take the Pats -10.5.

There you go. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

December 9, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Bengals, Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Free NFL Picks, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, NY Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers, Rams, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, St. Pauli Girl, Tennessee, Titans | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 13 PICKS

Great start to the week last Thursday night. The ‘Boys treated us right and that game played out exactly like we said. We hope you believed us about the Vegas trap and decided to roll with us. Thursday brought us a 2-0 night and brought our season record to 42-28-1. We like how we are looking so far in Week 13. Still, we know there is still a lot of ground left to go to get another winning weekend. We are confident though. Here is who we like on Sunday:

Falcons +3 @ Rams: This is our favorite game of the week. The Rams will be without Mark Bulger. Gus Ferotte mans the QB helm for the Rams. We saw how he did last week-atrocious. The Falcons are bad, too, but we think they will run all day against the Rams D. We love the Falcons. Take the Falcons +3.

Jets @ Dolphins -1: This is another game we like a lot. The Jets fly south to face the winless Dolphins. Here’s the thing though-despite being winless, the Fins are not THAT bad. Actually, let us re-phrase that. They are pretty terrible, but they have a very good D. Not amazing, but certainly pretty decent. The Jets are by no means good. In fact, we think this is a classic case of the records not really telling the whole story. The Jets have 2 wins, but are actually probably worse than the Fins. We think the Fins get their first (and probably only) W of the season this week. Take the Dolphins -1.

Chargers @ Chiefs +6: The Chargers were smoked in their last meeting. And that game was in San Diego. They head into KC in December. The words “KC in December” are probably the last things a visiting team wants to hear. The Chargers have won their last game against a terrible Ravens team. However, this season they are 1-4 on the road. And that is not ATS. That is their win-loss record. That is a joke. They may win this game, but it will be close. Take the Chiefs +6. 

Buccaneers @ Saints -3: The Bucs have been great ATS lately. However, they head into New Orleans all banged-up. Garcia’s back is barking hard and it is questionable whether he even plays. Even if he does, he will be limited. The Saints are in a must win here. Although we hate taking them in this game, we think it is a good play. Take the Saints -3.

Browns @ Cardinals OVER/UNDER 51.5: We could not get a clear take on this game as far as who would cover. At first glance, this seems like a Vegas trap (see our post for last Thursday’s game). With the way the Cards have been playing and with their injuries, there is no way they should be favored. Then again, it is only 1 point. We are not comfortable recommending either team. What we are sure of, however, is that both teams can score some points. We love this over. Take the OVER 51.5.

Giants -1.5 @ Bears: The Bears pulled one out of their hats last week. The Giants looked terrible against the Vikings. That said, the Giants are still a better team. Rex will blow this one for them and end their season. Take the Giants -1.5.

Bengals +7 @ Steelers: The Bengals proved to be great for us last weekend. They head into the Steel City to face their hated rivals. The Steelers have been an enigma this year-terrible on the road and perfection at home. They are 8-0 ATS at home. We think that streak ends this week. Do not be surprised if the Bungles win this game outright. Take the Bengals +7.

There you go-7 more picks for week 13. Check in win us on Monday for our blog for the Pats-Ravens game. Good luck!!

Runny & Flash

December 2, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Bengals, Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Free NFL Picks, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, NFL, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Rams, San Diego Chargers, St. Louis, Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 12 PICKS

Greeting and Happy Turkey Day! Hope your holiday went well. Our’s did-great food, great family, great friends and 2-1 on our NFL picks (3-1 if you count the USC beatdown at ASU)!! Brings our record to 36-22-1. That is 62%!! We are gtting better and hope to have the record above 65% ASAP. Here are our picks for Sunday’s action:

Titans @ Bengals +1.5: The Titans looked terrible on Monday against a mediocre Broncos team. The Bengals have looked bad all season. What will give? The ATS numbers are pretty even. We can’t believe we are saying this, but we like Cinncy. Take the Bungles +1.5.

Broncos +2 @ Bears: The Broncos looked great last Monday at home. The Bears are a joke. Grossman is a mistake at QB. Shannahan will bring the pressure against him, forcing the typical Grossman mistakes. The Bears D is no where near what it used to be. We like the Broncos to cover and porbably win outright. Take the Broncos +2.

Seahawks @ Rams +3: The Rams seem to have righted their ship. They are getting their guys back from injury, and they are playing much better. The Seahawks are playing better as well. However, we think the ‘Hawks are not as good as they think. Also, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. That is enough for us. This is too many points to give the Rams. Take the Rams +3.

49ers @ Cardinals -10.5: This ia a lot of points to give, but the 49ers are a joke. The Cards are playing well right now and will look to avenge their week 1 loss in SanFran. We think they roll here. Take the Cards -10.5.

Ravens +9 @ Chargers: The Chargers are a joke. What the heck happened to this team?!?!?!?!? Norv? Did they believe the hype? Who knows. The Ravens are pretty freakin’ bad, too. However, in a battle of two terrible teams, be like the points. Even on the road. Take the Ravens +9.

Eagles @ Patriots -24; Over/Under 50.5: You read that right-“-24”!!!!!! Insane amount of points to give in a NFL game. We checked our records and cannot find a line this high for NFL in the past 25 years. However, we think it is legit and not low enough. The Eagles are a debacle. The Pats have shown their goal is to run up the score. 24 points is a lot to give, but we think they win this game by 30. Take the Pats -24. Also, the Pats will hang 50 points on their own. Take the Over 50.5.

Good luck.

Runny & Flash

November 24, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, Baltimore Ravens, Bengals, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Eagles, Free NFL Picks, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL Picks, Philadelphia, Rams, San Diego Chargers, Seahawks, Seattle, St. Louis, Tennessee, Titans | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 11 PICKS

Greetings. Great week last week. Rocked a 6-2 record for week 10 to bring our season record to 30-17-2. That is 61%. We’ll take that all season long. Let’s keep it rollin’. Here is who we like in Week 11:

Browns -2.5 @ Ravens: We have an Uncle, Moe, who is a die hard Browns fan. Seriously. If you try to argue who the greatest NFL footballer is and say anyone besides Jim Bown, he’ll try to fight you. Even during the holidays. When Art Modell moved the Browns to Baltimore, it broke his heart. He stopped watching footbal until the Brownies were back. To this day, if you mention Art Modell within his earshot he goes nuts. In honor of our Uncle Moe, we will call this game the Uncle Moe Bowl and we LOVE the Brownies. Bet them heavy. It is a Eva Mendes bet (bet 5 Times your typical bet) for us. The money seems to be going towards the Ravens, which scares us. However, the Browns spanked them earlier this year and they are playing better now. The Ravens are even worse. Also, take into account that the Browns are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with losing records and the Ravens are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall. We think the Browns cover. Take the Browns -2.5.

Chargers @ Jags -3: This line screams to take the Chargers, which is exactly what the betting public is doing. Afterall, the Chargers are fresh off a beatdown of the Colts last Sunday. However, that win was deceptive-most of the scoring was from special teams. For the 2nd week in a row, the Chargers offense was offensive. They come into J’Ville to play a stacked J’Ville D and the Jags are getting David Garrard back. The Jags cover. Take the Jags -3.

Raiders +4.5 @ Vikings: The Vikings are not the same without Adrian Peterson (to state the obvious). The Raiders come in with an underrated D and Daunte Culpepper returning to his old stomping ground. Brad Childress is not a good coach. Lane Kifin is. The Vikings QB problem will hurt them in this one. We think the Raiders keep it close and win outright (consider the money line @ +180). Take the Raiders +4.5.

Redskins @ Cowboys -11: The Skins are decimated by injuires on their D. Without Sean Taylor, Romo and TO will go nuts. The Boys roll in this one. Take the Cowboys -11.

Buccaneers -3 @ Falcons: This game is about the starting QBs. Garcia is better than any of the clowns the Falcons bring to the table. Garcia will play enough to cover. Take the Buccaneers -3.

Titans @ Broncos (O/U 38): A battle of teams that have young QBs. They both make a lot of mistakes. The defenses will capitalize on them and keep the score low. Take the Under 38.

Patriots @ Bills +16: We like this game for 4 reasons: 1). The Pats did not cover their last time on the road, 2). The weather is forecasted to be bad, 3). Most of the money in Vegas is on the Pats and 4). The Bills have nothing to lose. To us, that adds up to a Bills team that will shock the Pats and cover the points. Take the Bills +16.

Rams -3 @ 49ers: The 49ers are just plain bad. Terrible. Alex Smith is whining about his shoulder. He is bad. The Rams are not good either, but they won last week and have momentum. They will keep it going. Take the Rams -3.

There’s our picks for week 11. 8 games!!! Good luck.

Runny & Flash

November 18, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Adrian Peterson, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Brad Childress, Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Eva Mendes, Free NFL Picks, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jeff Garcia, Lane Kifin, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL Picks, Oakland Raiders, Rams, San Diego Chargers, St. Louis, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Titans, Tony Romo, Washington Redskins | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 6 PICKS: TAKE ‘EM TO THE BANK

Had a disappointing 3-2 week last week (damn you Romo!!) bringing our season record to 12-6. We will improve on that record. No better time than right now to rip it up. We like 6 this week. Here are our locks for Week 6:

Rams +9.5 @ Ravens: We are staring with the Brinks Truck bet for the week. This line is comical. There is not a team in the NFL that the Ravens can beat by more than 9. Not one. The Rams have a very underrated D. Although they are extremely banged-up, they have enough to keep this game under 9.5. We would not be surprised if the Rams win outright. Take the Rams +9.5.

Titans +3 @ Buccaneers: Both teams are intriguing. TB has been much better than we thought they would be. Garcia was a great pick-up for them. Young has been better than we thought as well (even though his stats are terrible). But, TB is banged up big time. We also love the Titans’ D. Jeff Fischer is a brilliant coach. Titans D coupled with the Buc’s offensive injuries means this game will be close. Not convinced that the Buc’s D can contain Young’s running. Take the Titans +3.

Saints +6.5 @ Seahawks: The Ain’ts screwed us last week. There is just no legit explanation for a team falling from grace like thaey have. Unreal. As bad as they have been, 6.5 is just too much points to give. The Ain’ts may keep losing, but they will keep it within 6.5. Take the Saints +6.5.

Skins +3 @ Packers: Don’t believe the Packers/Favre hype. They are good, but every announcer and the NFL kisses Favre’s packer way too much. Don’t get us wrong, we love Favre and the Packers are much better than we thought they would be. However, the Skins are solid this year. And, for as much talk there is about the Packers D and O, the Skins D is actually much better and their O is only slightly behind GB’s.  Don’t be surprised if the Packers lose 2 in a row. Take the Skins +3.

Panthers @ Cards -4.5: Cards have been good to us this year. Love the return of Warner. Hopefully that means we’ll be seeing more of his Roxette wife. We can only hope she now has a mullet. The Panthers are decimated by injuries. There is a chance Vinny testavede will make an appearence this week.  We love the Cards. Take the Cards -4.5.

Patriots @ Cowboys +5.5: This line has been all over the place. The majority of the money and bets in Vegas are on the Pats. At first glance the Pats win this outright. The Boys looked terrible last week against the Bills, and Brady looks like he is playing himself on Madden ’08. Where has Randy Moss been?!?!?! However, the thing to pay attention to is the Pats have played no one good yet. Sure they played the Chargers, but that was when the Chargers were terrible. They’ve really had no challenges. Even last week in Cleveland, the Brownies kept that game close until the end and they have no D or O. The Boys are not the Browns, and they can dfeinately keep it close all game. The Pats red zone D is terrible (I believe that everytime any opponent has reached the Pats 20 yard line the Pats have been unable to stop a TD). The Boys will exploit this. Belichek will take Whitten and TO away from Romo.  The Boys will know this as well. Look for a big game from Patrick Crayton to have a big game as Romo will go to him early and often. For the Boys D, it could be a long day. Moss owns Dallas. Especially in big games. TNew and Anthony Henry will have their work cut out for them. Moss will be doubled. That means look for a big game from Wes Welker. It will be high scoring, but we think the Boys D and the home field will give them the edge. Don’t believe the Pats hype. The media loves them as much as they do Bret Favre. The Boys win this game outright. Take the Boys +5.5.

Those are our 6 locks for Week 6. Keep it rollin’. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

October 12, 2007 Posted by | Belichick, Buccaneers, Cardinals, Cowboys, Jason Whitten, Jeff Garcia, Kurt Warner, Packers, Panthers, Patrick Crayton, Patriots, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Saints, Seahawks, Seattle, Terrell Owens, Titans, Tom brady, Tony Romo, Vinny Testaverde, Wes Welker | 3 Comments

NFL WEEK 4 PICKS: LOCK IT LIKE ITS HOT!!!!

Mo’ money, mo’ money, mo’ money!!!!! Finally got off the schneid last week. Thank you Cowboys and Rex Grossman!!!! Our 2-1 record last week brought us to 5-4 on the season. Not where we should be, but still winning. Let’s get into this week’s locks (there are 4):

Rams @ Cowboys -13: Normally this would be too many points to give. However, we are riding the Cowboys and the Rams are going down faster than Brittney Spears at a construction site on payday. They are terrible. Bulger has been bad and is banged-up. No Orlando Pace. No Stephen Jackson. This equals a rams beatdown. The Boys will score often. The Rams won’t. Take the Boys -13.

Raiders +4 @ Dolphins: We like what Kifin is doing in Oaktown. He is bringing a winning culture back to the Raiders and they are playing hard. They should have beat Denver. They won a good one against Cleveland last week. Miami’s D is laying it thick, but their O is terrible. They will probably beat the Raiders, but not by more than a field goal. We think the Raiders can win outright though. Take the Raiders +4.

Broncos @ Colts -10: This game would be different in Denver. But, it is in Indy and the Broncos are overrated. The worse 2-1 team in football.  Peyton has too many weapons for Champ to cover. Colts roll and cover easily. Take the Colts -10.

Steelers @ Cards +6: The ‘Burgh is good, but Whisenhunt knows this team well. He will get his team ready.  We like the home dog. 6 points is just too much to give. Take the Cards +6.

Those are our locks for the week. Good luck with your picks. Flash and I are off to the Bone!! For those of your from Upstate NY, you know what I’m talking about!!!

Flash & Runny

September 29, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Broncos, Cardinals, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, NFL, NFL Picks, Raiders, Rams, Steelers | 2 Comments

NFL Week One Picks

Greetings. We only like two games this week in the NFL.

Take the Steelers and give the 5 points against the Browns.

Take the Rams and give the 1.5 against the Panthers.

 Good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

September 9, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Browns, Gambling, NFL, Panthers, Rams, Steelers, Uncategorized, Winning Picks | Leave a comment

NFL Preview: A gambler’s intro to making money

The Vegas odds on the NFL season have finally arrived and we wanted to point out to you some of the simple techniques we use to consistently make money. Lets take a look at the over/under win total for each team:

NFC East
Dallas – 9
Philly – 9
NYG- 8
Skins – 7.5

South
Carolina – 9
NO – 9
ATL – 7.5
TB – 7

North
Bears – 10
GB – 7.5
MINN – 6.5
Det – 6

West
Seattle – 9
SF – 7.5
St. Louis – 7.5
Zona – 7

AFC East
NE – 11.5
NYJ – 8
Miami – 7
Bills – 6

South
Indy – 10.5
Jacksonville – 9
TENN – 7
Houston – 6.5

North
Baltimore – 9
Pitt – 9
Cincy – 9
Cle – 5.5

West
SD – 10.5
Denver – 9.5
KC – 7.5
Oak 5

Simply put…Vegas is saying that the Patriots are the best team at 11.5 wins and the Raiders are the worst team at 5 wins. Why are the over/under win totals important? These early lines are the backbone for how Vegas is going to set their point lines this year.

Lets break down these win totals from a historic perspective:

NFL teams that won 11 or more games
2006=5
2005=10
2004=6
2003=7
2002=5
2001=8
6 year average – 6.83333

Why is this important? Well on average for the upcoming 2007 NFL season there will be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games. Vegas right now is only saying that the Pats will win more than 11 games and has the Colts and Chargers at 10.5, close but not 11. Plain and simple numbers are saying that there should be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games and Vegas only has one team identified that can do this. Even if you take the low numbers of 5 teams from 2002 and 2006, that still means there are 4 chances to beat these numbers.

NFL Teams that won 5 games or less in a season
2006= 6
2005=10
2004=7
2003=10
2002=6
2001=7
year average – 7.66666

This stat is even more telling. Vegas has only one team at 5 wins and this stat says that on average, over the last 6 years, there will be 7.6 teams that win 5 games or less. Again this is creating a money making opportunity to find the 6-7 other teams besides the Raiders that will win only 5 games or less. These will be easy under bets.

So to start off this betting year we have identified 11 betting opportunities where we feel Vegas is off by 3 games under or over.

Lets look at the over opportunites. We have spotted 5 opportunities to beat Vegas:

1) Bears – The Bears have an easy schedule and play in a weak division. We think they will win 14 games and Vegas only thinks they will win 10.

2) Saints – The Saints are also in an easy division and Vegas has them tied with Carolina with 9 wins. We think this is a joke and the Saints ar emuch better and will win the conference and come in with 13 wins.

3) Rams – Vegas has this high flying time under .500 at 7.5. C’mon now. S. Jackson will tear it up this year and the offense will be tough to stop with Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael as new additions. Rams win 11 games and the division.

4) Bengals – The Bengals play in a tough division but we think they have a favorable schedule and will win 13 games. Vegas has them at 9.

5) Chargers – We think the Chargers are the best team in the AFC and play in an easy division. This team will be on a mission. We see them at 15-1 and Vegas has them only at 10.5 wins.

Now for the fun stuff and finding the teams that will stink up the joint this year. It is amazing to us that Vegas only put one team at 5 wins. We see 6 money making opportunities for betting unders.

1) Vikings – Vegas puts this team at 6.5. We are laughing hysterically at this pick. Go look for yourself and find even 3 games you think they will win. We think this is the worst team in the league and will be lucky to win more than one game.

2) Atlanta – This speaks for itself. This team is a mess following the Vick legal mess. Vegas thinks they win 7.5 games and we think it looks more like 2. Go find 8 wins on this teams schedule. WE DARE YOU!!!!!

3) Tampa Bay – Vegas puts this team at 7 wins. Lets take a look….No RBs, no WRs, a gay QB and lame duck coach. 7 wins…..we think it will be more like 4.

4) Miami – The Trent Green experiment will go as sour as a Cleo Lemon. Vegas put this win total at 7 wins. We sharted ourselves laughing so hard that the experts think they can win 7 games. We think they will win one game.

5) Houston – Vegas put this team at 6.5 wins. The Matt Schaub experiment showed us all that he is a born loser. He might have put up some stats in the past but he sure knows how to lose and he will not enjoy throwing behind that line that ran Carr out of town. They will be lucky to win more than 3 games.

6) KC Chiefs – This team is the Raiders with Larry Johnson and a worse Defense. Vegas thinks they can win 7.5 games and we think 7.5 is the number of coaching mistakes Herm Edwards will average during each game. Chiefs might win 2 games this year.

So there you have it. We outlined where we think Vegas has made mistakes and we are putting our money where our predictions are. The Rams are probably the hottest pick going right now so you probably want to jump on that one before the lines move too much.

Flash Flash and Runny

August 25, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles, Falcons, Gambling, Giants, Jaguars, Jets, Lions, NFL, Packers, Panthers, Patriots, Raiders, Rams, Ravens, Redskins, Saints, Seahawks, Steelers, Texans, Titans, Uncategorized, Vegas, Vick, Vikings | 1 Comment