RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!

We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!

Heidi Klum ass

Dahm Triplet asses

Anna Kournikova Ass

and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)

Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.

Friday, September 12

Kansas at South Florida (-3) – It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?

Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:

Kansas

Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

South Florida

Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.


Saturday, September 13

Cal at Maryland (+14.5) – We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.

You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:

California

Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) – When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:

Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.

Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) – This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!

Penn State at Syracuse (+27) – Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:

Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.

Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.

Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) – Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:

Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!

Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) – It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:

Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!

Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)

I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).

Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)

UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.

Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.

Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One.  They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.

Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.

NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a  conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.

Flash Flash and Runny

Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

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September 11, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Anna Kournikova, Ass, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, Bulls, California, Charlie Weis, Chase Daniel, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Crimson Tide, Dahm Triplets, Delaware, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Heidi Klum, Jeff Tedford, Jimmy Claussen, Kansas Jayhawks, Keyra Augustina, Knowshon Moreno, Mark Mangino, Mark Richt, Maryland, Matt Stafford, Michigan, Michigan Wolverines, Mississippi State, Missouri, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nittany Lions, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Oregon Ducks, Pac-10, Penn State, Purdue, Rich Rodriguez, Rutgers, SEC, South Bend, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Sports, Steve Spurrier, Syracuse, Tar Heels, Terrapins, Texas Tech, Thong, Tuberville, Tulane, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, Utah State Aggies, Utah Utes, Vegas, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack, Wolverines | 5 Comments

2008 Week 2: Weekend NCAA Football Picks: RPJ Syndicate is on a Roll (Heidi Klum’s rolls)

Some record keeping from last week:

RPJ Syndicate is 4-1
Flash Flash for the Cash is 2-0
Runny Pelvis the Fat is 1-1
Heidi Klum is hot as hell!!!

Yup hot chicks won out!!! Thanks for your input.

How this blog works is as follows. Flash Flash and Runny merge two successful betting systems to optimize their picks. RPJ Syndicate is our combined effort. Our solo picks are picks that failed one of our betting systems but each individual handicapper still loves and wants to put out there for our readers. The single most important fact is this…..we put our money where our mouth is!!! We share the gain, like last week, and share the pain, which is inevitable to bite us in the ass once in a blue moon and hopefully never but ee are realists and know that shiznit happens so we are not going to sit here and say we are always perfect or winners like our rivals. They are full of Lexington Steele’s cahk, in their anus, and are just trying to make a quick buck at your expense. Over the course of the season we will win more than we lose and the proof is in our results plain and simple. We know some of you are winning with us because you share your gains with us via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com to the tune of thousands of dollars. You know who you are and please keep up the dialogue and share your thoughts with us.

This is always a little scary when we love this many games but we have to put our money to work when things are this good. We come at you with 8 games this weekend. On with the picks…..

RPJ PICKS (4-1 on the season)

These are all 1 unit bets for us. We think it is still too early to jack up some of these games.

Eastern Michigan at Michigan State (-21) – Michigan State is coming off an emotional loss at Cal. Sorry Spartan fans but they had no chance. Teams do not travel well when they head West. Sounds like a dumb reason to lose but it is the fact. Just ask Vols fans this week. Coach Dantonio is a good coach and has the Spartans moving down the right path. Javon Ringer is one of the best players in the Big Ten and one of the most overlooked players in football. He will break out this game.

Some ATS numbers:

Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Michigan State Spartans
Nothing relevant

Looks to us like the Eagles do not play well after wins, out of conference, in September and versus the Big Ten. We smell an old fashioned arse whooping. Take Michigan State to the bank with an easy cover!

Central Michigan @ Georgia (-24) – This is the most painful bet we will ever lay. Yes we are going to bet against The Fever.

Dan LeFevour is simply the man. We admit that we have man-crushes. If Tebow was not playing right now all anybody would be talking about is The Fever. Fever is the second player in history to pass for more than 3,000 yards and rush for more than 1,000 yards. Vince Young was the first. Also, keep in mind that with all the well deserved accolades laid down on Tebow last year, The Fever was one rushing TD away from reaching the 20-20 club that won Tebow the Heisman (The Fever had 27 passing TD’s to Tebow’s 32).

The ATS numbers for both schools are good:

Chippewas are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Chippewas are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chippewas are 24-7-3 ATS in their last 34 games overall.
Chippewas are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chippewas are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Chippewas are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

It is a sad day but as Clemson proved last year, and that was Clemson, The Chips can not compete with elite competition. Bulldogs win big and cover!!!!
Sorry Dan but we will jump back on your bandwagon later in the season.

BYU (-9) at Washington – BYU had the turnover jitters last week and still won 41-17. Washington pulled a Willingham and competed for one half before getting decimated in the second half. BYU always plays tough and has some experience winning against the Pac-10. Willingham is a clown and can not get talent to Washington and guards his players and practices with a steel curtain. He needs to look South to see that Pete Carroll holds open practices. Does this look like the face of a winner? Body language says it all.

The ATS numbers:
Cougars are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cougars are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cougars are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Cougars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Huskies are 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 home games.
Huskies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Washington has zero chance of winning this game. BYU is for real and will play in a decent bowl. 10 points should be enough. Take BYU to cover against the suckfest that is Ty Willingham. If you were not aware, Washington coach Ty Willingham is 6-21 in the Pac-10 and 1-9 against the other Northwest teams. So to reiterate….Take BYU to win and cover!!!

Ole Miss at Wake Forest (-7.5) – We are following one of our rules, Ole Miss will not travel well out of conference. Wake Forest is coming off an impressive easy win at Baylor and is coming home, after their first win ever in Texas and to a new stadium. They are going to fight like hell for that first home win and it will come at Ole Miss’ expense. Houston Nutt versus Jim Grobe is no contest. Wake beat these guys in 2006 in Mississippi and should not be worried at home. Houston Nutt is not the savior Ole Miss fans think he is and he does not have Run DMC or Felix Jones to save his ass every week like they did last year when he coached at Arkansas. Wake plays solid D, efficient O and has the coaching advantage while playing at home. Throw in the fact that Ole Miss has lost 4 straight road openers and 13 of 14 and you know what we are cooking here. The ATS numbers:

Rebels are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
Rebels are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.

Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Demon Deacons are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Demon Deacons go to 2-0 and although we would love to see this line under 7 we think a 10 point Wake win is not out of the question. Take Wake to win and cover!!!

West Virginia at East Carolina (+7.5) – This smells like a little bit of let down city to us. E. Carolina is coming off an emotional upset of Va. Tech and now has to come right back to face Pat White and West Virginia. Yes the same Pat White and West Virginia that beat their ass 48-7 last year. Check out the highlights if you want to predict this weekend.

West Virginia has beaten East Carolina seven straight times since 2000, outscoring them 278-103. Take a look at the ATS numbers:

Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Mountaineers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.

Pirates are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Pirates are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games in September.
Pirates are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Pirates are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Pirates are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
Pirates are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.

That last one really sticks out to us. If the Pirates do not line up well against the Big East then they are going to have problems with White and Devine. Throw in the fact that the Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and we are loving West Virginia. Pat White, our dark horse Heisman candidate, is going to roll in this game. Take West Virginia to win and cover.

Minnesota at Bowling Green (-5.5) – We love this game. Bowling Green coming home after an awesome win at Pitt to face one of the bottom dwellers of the Big 10. We do not think the MAC is so far off talent wise compared to the Big Ten and this game will prove it. Minnesota barely beat MAC bottom dweller Northern Illinois at home and did not cover last week.

The ATS trends:

Golden Gophers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Golden Gophers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Bowling Green is going to be jacked up at home and will defend their home field. Take Bowling Green for an easy win and cover!!!

Miami at Florida (-22.5) – This is going to be a fun game. 8PM, prime time, Tebow’s first game versus “The U” and the Gators trying to end a 23 year winless streak. It is hard to believe all of that is true but the facts are the facts. Florida is still tough to read because Coach Meyer wants us all to believe he is going to protect Tebow from the pounding he faced last year but in reality the only way they are going to win games is if Tebow is Tebow. And that Tebow loves to hold and cuddle big men. See for yourself.

The Gators will live and die with Tebow. The U is working towards regaining some of its lost luster and potentially has the speed on defense to keep this game in check. Also, they have Robert Marve, from the state of Florida and the QB who broke a lot of Tebow’s records. This is a brutal place to start your first game but Marve has the talent. The Florida schools have a certain rivalry and bragging rights and The U lives by this creed. 22.5 points is a lot to cover in a state game of this magnitude. The ATS numbers:

Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Hurricanes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

We think this is a tough one to peg but think The U is a team on the rise and 22.5 points is too many to give. We do not think The U has a chance of winning but if the final score is 45-24, which is a blowout, guess what, The U covered for you. Take Miami to cover!!!

UL Monroe at Arkansas (-13) – Arkansas did not look good last week versus Western Illinois and actually had to rally from a 24-14 4th quarter deficit to get on track and win 28-24. UL Monroe got shutout by Auburn and showed absolutely nothing. Bobby Petrino will likely face some growing pains this season but they are not going to come against UL-Monroe. Petrino is one of the best play callers in football. The UL-Monroe Warhawks will be overmatched in this game and they have already shown that they vanish on the road in SEC stadiums. The ATS numbers:

Warhawks are 14-31 ATS in their last 45 non-conference games.
Warhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Also, and most importantly, Arkansas’ cheerleaders have great porno first names. Check this out:

Jenna and Kacey with a “K” and a “C”. I see the tag team action right now. And with a QB named Casey Dick. I can see the porno headline right now…..”Jenna and Kacey love Casey’s Dick” We could go on for hours with this. “Casey’s Dick deep inside Jenna and Kacey” Alright you get the point. Those ATS numbers for Arkansas were all under Houston “likes to suck” Nutt so we are not concerned. Arkansas will roll easily in this game so take them to cover!!!

Flash Flash picks (2-0 on the season)
Only one pick from me this week……Texas will thrash UTEP. UTEP gets thrashed by Buffalo, not the Buffalo Bills, but U of B. What a joke. Texas squashes UTEP big. You heard it here first.

Runny Pelvis Picks (1-1 after Week 1, 1-2 on the Season, damn Gamecocks, they probably got ahold of Casey’s Dick too!)

Navy @ Ball State (-6.5): I love the MAC and I love the Testicular Ones to win it this year. They are stacked at QB, they have outstanding wideouts and Dave Letterman is an alumn. I like Navy, too, just not in this game. Losing Coach Johnson will be a big deal. I’m taking Ball State at home -6.5.

Akron @ CUSE (-4.5): Normally CUSE giving any amount of points to any team is begging you to go against them. They are bad and their coach will be gone by the end of the year. Couple that with the fact that Akron is not a bad team and could win the MAC this year and it is a recipe to take Akron and run. I don’t buy it. CUSE is 10-1-1 in their last 12 against the MAC. I love them in The Dome. Take CUSE -4.5.

Stanford @ ASU (-14): Stanford surprised us with their win last week against Oregon State. Very surprising. Jim Harbaugh has a good idea of where he is taking this program and he is a good coach. However, ASU is just too stacked. Rudy Carpenter is legit and plays with a lot of heart. ASU just has too much ammo for the Cardinals. Also, the home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Take ASU -14.

S.Miss +17.5 @ Auburn: Call me crazy, because on paper Auburn should destroy S.Miss. But, that’s why they play the games!!! S. Miss is up-and-coming and their new coach, Larry Fedora, knows how to run an offense. They will catch Auburn sleeping. Plus, S. Miss is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 match-ups with Auburn. Take S. Miss +17.5.

Keep the emails coming at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and hit us up on this blog in our comment section. We are here to help and make everybody money and stare at Keyra Augustina’s delightful ass.

Flash Flash and Runny

September 5, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Arizona State, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bobby Petrino, Bowling Green, Bulldogs, BYU Cougars, California, Casey Dick, Central Michigan, Chippewas, Clemson, Cougars, Dan LaFevour, Demon Deacons, Eagles, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, Eastern Michigan, ESPN, Falcons, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Golden Gophers, Heidi Klum, Heisman Trophy, Hokies, Huskies, Jim Grobe, Jim Harbaugh, Keyra Augustina, MAC, Miami Hurricanes, Michigan State, Midshipmen, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mountaineers, Navy, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Ole Miss, Orangemen, Pac-10, Pat White, Pete Carroll, Petrino, Pittsburgh Panthers, Rebels, SEC, Southern Miss, Spartans, Sports, Stanford, Stanford Cardinals, Sun Devils, Syracuse, Tennessee, Texas Longhorns, Tim Tebow, Ty Willingham, UL-Monroe, Uncategorized, Urban Meyer, UTEP, VaTech, Vegas, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Volunteers, W. Michigan, Wake Forest, Warhawks, Washington Huskies, Winning Picks, WVA | , , , , | 2 Comments

NCAA Football Week 13 Games: Winning Picks and Chicks for 11/24/2007

After the USC/Arizona State decimation we are 49-45 on the season, 5-3 on Eva Mendes bets and up 12 units. We still have Friday’s games to go so check out that post if you want to bet today’s games. We have 7 picks for you for Saturday’s games and one is another Eva Mendes bet.

Game 1 – Maryland at NC State (-2.5) – This is the “I wish I was Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt” game. When you look at the picture below imagine what it must feel like to be Natalie’s sweatshirt.

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We bet it feels freaking incredible, maybe one of the best feelings on earth at that particular mid stretch moment. So when you look at Maryland and NC State sitting at 5-6 in the win loss column, one win away from being bowl eligible where they might have a chance to play in the December 11 Velveeta pimento loaf bowl you can bet that each one of these teams wishes they were Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt right about now and that is a place that is MUCH MUCH Better than where they are now. Some ATS numbers for you:

Maryland
Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NC State
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Wolfpack are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Wolfpack are 3-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

The battle of the 5-6 teams is really not an exciting one and NC State has been playing better of late but we are not buying them. We both looked at this line and immediately thought it was wrong and that Maryland should be favored. These two teams historically have played each other pretty close of late, averaging a 5 point margin of victory over the last 5 years. Call it a hunch but we are going with the team that has the fattest head coach in honor of Mark Mangino. Take Maryland and the points!!!

Game 2 – Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-11.5) – The “What is the temperature up there” game! Oklahoma basically holds its own destiny in terms of the Big 12 Championship game and they have an outside chance to make it to the BCS title game. This cheerleader is helping out her Sooners by seeing what the temperature is up there in that pose. Can they win? Will Bradford stay in for the whole game? What will the impact be missing DeMarco Murray?

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Oklahoma leading rusher DeMarco Murray dislocated a kneecap trying to recover an onside kick last week and will be forced to miss this game. Quarterback Sam Bradford sustained a concussion in the loss last week but he has been cleared to play. We do not think he will be 100%. Then throw in that this is a rivalry game and Oklahoma State plays well on the road in Big 12 action, giving up an average of 17.3 points. We are definitely intrigued. Check out the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

We are not concerned with who wins this game but we think Oklahoma State is good enough to cover and possibly win outright. We are banking on the cover. Take Oklahoma State!!!

Game 3 – UCONN at West Virginia (-17.5) – The Battle for the Big East is not what the experts were predicting at the beginning of the year. Who the heck would have thought UCONN would be in first place right now, holding their own destiny. This will be a very tough game to watch but if you have watched UCONN this year you know that their defense is legit and likes to hit. We know West Virginia’s dynamic duo of Slaton and White do not like to get hit and are prone to fumble. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

UCONN
Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

West Virginia
Mountaineers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Mountaineers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

We think all signs line up for a UCONN cover and we think this game will be a lot closer than people think. West Virginia probably wins but we like UCONN to keep it close. Take UCONN!!!

Game 4 – Florida State at Florida (-13.5) – This is our Eva Mendes bet for Saturday’s games. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit and we absolutely love the picture below so much we had to show it again. That ass did win big for us last weekend so we are gonna ride it until it bucks us off.

mendes-1.jpg

We were actually surprised to see this line in the 2 TD range and thought it really could have been more around 20-22 points. Florida State is inept on offense and the defenses match up pretty evenly. Lately Florida State has been winning close games or losing and Florida has thumped its last three opponents since the Georgia game, scoring at least 49 points in each game. Florida State has only scored 30 points once this year and that was back on September 8 when they barely beat UAB by 10 points. Also, Florida State gave Florida bulletin board material earlier in the week when Florida State linebacker Geno Hayes boldly predicted Monday that “Tim Tebow’s going down.” “The bigger they are the harder they fall,” Hayes said. “Hopefully we can go out there and shatter his dream.” Well we think Geno Hayes is a JACKASS!!!!! Florida gets Percy Harvin back for this game after he missed the last two. Do not expect this game to be as close as last year when Florida only won 21-14. This Florida team is really putting up points and Tebow is going for the Heisman. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Florida State
Seminoles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.
Seminoles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Florida
Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Gators are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Lets look at the head to head matchups: The favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The home team is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings. The Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida. So what does this all add up to….a Florida smack down. We think Florida easily wins and covers in this game and we are betting Eva’s sweet ass that they do!!!

Game 5 – Clemson at South Carolina (+3) – “The stick it here game” Clemson is going to have to rebound from a heartbreaking loss to Boston College. Clemson lost last year to South Carolina and in 2004 the two teams brawled and had to give up their postseason eligibility. We think the Clemson Tigers are going to want to stick it to South Carolina and put it right where this cheerleader’s picture shows:

south-carolina.jpg

South Carolina is now playing bad football. They have lost 4 in a row and have no defense. Throw in the fact that Clemson wins the turnover margin +10 to minus 5 and has a much better defense and we like how this is looking. We know CLemson likes to run the ball and South Carolina gives up 208.8 yards per game on defense. I think you can see where we are going with this. Some ATS numbers for you:

Clemson
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. SEC.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games in November.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Gamecocks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head to head the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in South Carolina and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Did we get you excited yet? We think Clemson rebounds from their BC loss just like Virginia Tech did and wins this tough game. Take Clemson to win and cover!!!

Game 6 – Cincinnati at Syracuse (+20) – “The in your Face Game” – This is a clean sweep game and Cincy will be all over Syracuse. Take a look at this cheerleader picture and check out the male cheerleader in the front getting a full face of muff.

cheerhumor1.jpg

Cuse is the muff and Cincy is the male cheerleader. Cincy will be all over Cuse in this one. This has blow out written all over it. Cincy rushes for more than twice what Cuse rushes for, Cuse only converts 28.8% of its third downs on offense (this is almost as bad as Notre Dame but not quite!!!), Cuse gives up 217 yards a game rushing, lets opponents convert third downs almost 50% of the time and loses the turnover ratio battle -5 to 17. Check out these ATS numbers:

Cincinnati
Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bearcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bearcats are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bearcats are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

Syracuse
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Orange are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Orange are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Now throw in the fact that the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and you have to bet Cincy in this one. Bearcats win big and cover this high number!!!

Game 7 – Missouri at Kansas (-2) = first things first, we send our dearest apologies to Kansas coach Mark Mangino after we doubted his Kansas squad last week. We knew they would win but finally felt like they would not cover. Boy were we wrong!!! So we send our most sincere of apologies to you Mr. Mangino. You are the real deal and you are doing an awesome job.

This is the “Hot boxing chick versus the hot Mixed Martial Arts chicks Game”. Who would not want to see these two beauties go at it and well in reality they do fight for a living. Here is a picture of Frida Wallberg:

mma-1.jpg

If you do not believe that she is a real fighter then chech out this website on women’s boxing.

And now for our Muay Thai chick Miss Gina Carano:

med_gina-carano-mma-fighter-2.jpg

So why two chick fighters? Because this football game is going to be a great fight. Both teams are on a roll, the winner plays in the Big 12 Championship game and has a really good shot, if they win out, to make it to the BCS promised land….The BCS National Championship Game. Also, the winning QB will immediately jump out and be considered one of the leading candidates for the Heisman trophy. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers:

Missouri
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Kansas
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Jayhawks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on turf.
Jayhawks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win.

We threw every number at you. There is nothing negative to say about either team. If you had to pick on one thing and we are going to throw a lot of weight at it, it is who has the better defense and the way we see it, Kansas has the clear advantage. Kansas holds opponents to 84 yards per game rushing (122 for Missouri), Kansas lets offenses convert third downs 30% of the time (43% for Missouri) and Kansas wins the turnover ratio margin 21 to 10. Now some people might say that Kansas did not have to play Texas, Oklahoma or Texas Tech on its way to its undefeated season but we do not think that is relevant. Kansas smacked every single opponent in the face regardless of who they faced and they are getting better as the season goes on. We think this game will come down to turnovers and who can stop who and playing the numbers all signs point to Kansas. Also, when you throw in the fact that Kansas has the fattest coach in NCAA, you have to love them. Ride the Mangino train.

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We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

November 23, 2007 Posted by | Arizona State, BCS, Betting, Big East, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Gamecock, Huskies, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Maryland, Missouri, Mountaineers, Natalie Gulbis, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Orangemen, SEC, Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks, Sports, Syracuse, Terrapins, Tigers, Trojans, Uconn, USC, USC Trojans, West Virginia, Wolfpack | 1 Comment

NCAA Football Week 12 Picks: CHICKS, CHICKS, CHICKS and picks; if you care about picks!

Some announcements:

– All picks this week are for Saturday’s games
– We are 43-40 on the season, 3-3 Brinks truck bets (keep reading cause the Brinks Truck bet is back and has been renamed) and up 3 units.
– There are two Brinks truck opportunities this week. The first is a typical Brinks truck bet and then we are renaming the Brinks truck bet going forward. Read on to find the games.
– We want to thank all of our readers because we hit a new record today for shortest amount of time to 1,000 blog reads and the count keeps climbing….meaning after 15 days, over 1,100 readers have visited our blog. And over the last week we are averaging almost 100 hits a day. Thank you for reading us and as always please feel free to leave comments, ask us questions on this blog or if you are shy send us a private email to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
– It is becoming clearly obvious what our readers want….HOT CHICKS AND PICKS. That blog blew up so Chicks and Picks is back for a repeat effort. Enjoy!

And now on with the picks:

Wisconsin @ Minnesota (+14) = The St. Pauli Girl game. The Northern Midwesterners up in Wisconsin and Minnesota love their beer, cheese, meat products and shapely women. What better way to kick off the week than by showcasing one of our favorites…. The St. Pauli Girl!!!

pauli-girl.jpg

Wisconsin looked strong against Michigan last week. They definitely caught them in a look ahead game but that is not their problem and they took care of business. Minnesota is flat out bad and not really competitive in the Big Ten. Add that to the fact that this is a clean sweep game and it makes our lives a lot easier. Wisconsin will have a field day running on the Gophers. Minnesota gives up 221 yards agame on the ground and is minus 13 in the turnover ration. We were actually surprised to see this line under 20 points. Some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:

Wisconsin
Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Badgers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Badgers are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Badgers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
Badgers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.

Minnesota
Golden Gophers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Golden Gophers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 1-5-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Golden Gophers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Also, when you throw in the fact that the Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota, you can see where we are going with this. Wisconsin wins BIG. Take Wisconsin to win and cover!!!

Brinks Truck Bet Alert – Ohio State @ Michigan (+4) = The Yasmine Bleeth game. Yasmine was on the top of her game, a Baywatch Babe, attending red carpet events and then whammy…..she was arrested for cocaine possession in one of the most hideous transformations ever. If you do not believe us check out the before and after pictures below.

The Before

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The After:

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So how does this apply to football games..it is pretty easy…a team that was living the high life is now a bust over night. Ohio State was living the high life last week, ranked number 1 in the BCS standings, enjoying a Big Ten 20 game win streak that spanned two years, playing an unranked Illinois team at home and then it was stomach punch time. A loss dropped Ohio St from 1 to 7 and ended their national title hopes. This whole game is actually a mess. Michigan is facing a ton of distractions with injuries to Henne and Hart and there are numerous rumors flying around that Lloyd Carr will step down. We already know Tressel is a much better coach than Carr and he knows the Rose Bowl is on the line and will come ready to play and he is not facing any distractions. We love this game as our return the Brinks Truck action this week. Michigan is banged up, we think the game would have been competiive with a healthy Hart and Henne but these guys are simply not healthy and can not finish games, especially against a physical Ohio State defense. Here are the ATS numbers for you:

Ohio State
Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Buckeyes are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Buckeyes are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Michigan
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tressel owns Carr and the streak will continue. Ohio State wins this easily and covers. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unti on this game in Brinks Truck style. Back up the truck and load us up with cash!!! Kaching!!!!

Syracuse @ UCONN (-18.5) = This is the Rachel Mcadams game. She basically came out of nowhere in Wedding Crashers and we probably will not hear from her again.

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UCONNS came out of nowhere this year and will lose to West Virginia next week and then probably not be heard from again for a very long time. This is a clean sweep game. UCONN Is coming off a tough loss but knows they still control their own destiny and need to win this game setting up a matchup with West Virginia for a shot at the Big East title. Syracuse is pretty much useless as a team this year and loses out to UCONN in every statistical category that we track. The ATS numbers:

Syracuse
Orange are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Orange are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Orange are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Orange are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

UCONN
Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Do you like those ATS numbers…we do!! We would not be surprised to see UCONN win this game by 30 points. UCONN wins and covers easily!!!

San Diego State @ Air Force (-11) = This is the Chick with a gun game. Our little tribute to the armed forces. No real meaning here, just a hot chick with guns. Yeah real guns and “those” guns. Enjoy Miss Alba

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Another clean sweep game here. Air Force simply dominates San Diego across the board. Air Force has a dynamic offense that emabrassed Notre Dame on the road last week and they will continue their onslaught this week. San Diego State can not stop the run; they give up over 182 yards per game and Air Force rushes for 274 yards per game. Can you say UGLY!!! The ATS numbers:

San Diego State
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Air Force
Falcons are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a striaght up win.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Falcons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

The only thins going for San Diego State is the fact that this is Mrs. Flash Flash’s pick of the week. She has family there and wants them to win. The Syndicate thinks Air Force will pummel this team and we love that it is a home game. Clean sweep teams have a slight advantage when playing at home. Air Force wins and covers!!!

Idaho @ Boise State (-33.5) = Cheerleader versus Cheerleader Game. We are simply picking the team that has the hottest cheerleader.

Boise State

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Idaho

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The Idaho cheerleader second from the left is the hottest on either team. Therefore we are saying that Idaho will cover in this game. Just to be honest with you, we found an undefeated new category in our models and the models say that Idaho will cover. This is part of our proprietary juice so you just have to trust us. Too many points in this one, seriously we are taking Idaho to cover!!

Duke @ Notre Dame (+6) = This is clearly the return of the Britney Spears Train Wreck Game and this time it is a double train wreck. Both teams are a joke just like our C-section pal Britney.

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We have enjoyed some consistent success bettting against Notre Dame this year and we are going to keep it going. Week after week we get to witness (thanks NBC) just how terrible and deflated The Irish are. Air Force was completely dominating the line of scrimmage last week and were driving the Notre Dame D-line back 3-5 yards on every play. Both of these teams stink but we think Duke will play with more Pride. The ATS numbers:

Duke
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Fighting Irish are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

We are not confident Duke can win but we think they will cover!!!

Iowa State @ Kansas (-26.5) = This is the Anna Nicole Smith Game, meaning…Even the Big Ones have to fall and we are not talking about breasts.

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So maybe you were able to figure out where we are going with this game. We think this is the game Kansas finally does not cover. The same statitical undefeated item that Idaho has shows up for Iowa State. We think Kansas wins but we think the prospects of playing against Missouri next week and the continued pressure of being the only undefeated BCS conference team will start to take its toll. Iowa State plays teams tough and the Cyclones have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points on the road this season. Well they are getting 26.5 points so we think it is just too many points. Some ATS numbers to back us up:

Iowa State
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cyclones are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Also, throw in the fact that the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we feel pretty good that they can cover. Take Iowa State to cover. Sorry Kansas we think you are going to finally let us down this week. It just would not be our blog if we did not give props to Mangino (we think he might be related to Anna Nicole; they are the same size!!!):

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Brinks Truck Bet Alert #2 – Oklahoma St. @ Baylor (+14) = This is our Eva Mendez pick of the week. We think this is the hottest pick out there right now and we are renaiming our Brinks truck bet the the Eva Mendes game and we think you will agree after checking out these pictures.

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This is a fun game to look at, not as fun as Eva’s ass, but fun nonetheless. You want to bet this game and this is our BRINKS TRUCK (now EVA MENDES) bet of the week. We are loading up 5 times our normal betting unit on this game. So far on the season we are 3-3 with these types of bets and we have patiently been waiting for our next opportunity. Well here it is!!! We are completely dumbfounded the line is this low. Before showing you the ATS numbers, take a look at Baylor’s Big 12 games this year:

Lost at Oklahoma 52-21 – Margin of defeat was 31
Lost to Texas Tech 38-7 – Margin of defeat was 31
Lost at Kansas State 51-13 – Margin of defeat was 38
Lost to Texas 31-10 – Margin of defeat was 21
Lost at Kansas 58-10 – Margin of defeat was 48
Lost to Colorado 43-23 – Margin of defeat was 20
Lost at Texas A and M 34-10 – Margin of defeat was 24
Average margin of defeat in all of their Big 12 games this year was 30 points.

Do you see a trend here? How is this spread not more than 20 points. Now on to the ATS numbers that back us up even more:

Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.

Baylor
Bears are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Bears are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Bears are 8-26 ATS in their last 34 games in November.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.

Throw in the fact that the favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we are counting the dollars!!! We love this game. Oklahoma State rebounds strong, wins easily and crushes Baylor!!! We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit on this game and you can kiss the Brinks truck bet goodbye because it is now called the Eva Mendes bet!!! How hot is Eva Mendes…one more picture:

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Oklahoma @ Texas Tech (+8) = This is the Lindsey Lohan Red Raider Game. All Flash no substance, Probably has an STD or 130.

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Texas Tech has this glitzy razzle dazzle offense but they never win the big game. All flash and no substance and then their coach goes off on an officiating rant after the Texas game that was like a Lohan drunken coke binge. Lohan mugshot:

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There was just no place for it. Throw in the fact that this is a clean sweep game and we are loving the action. Oklahoma dominates the numbers against Texas Tech and are even more efficient on offense converting third downs. Then when you thrown in the fact that Oklahoma’s defense is significantly better than Texas Tech and wins the turnover ratio battle, we do not think this game will be competitive. The ATS numbers:

Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sooners are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Sooners are 11-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Some more number for you…the Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. What does all of this mean….Oklahoma wins easily and covers!!!!

Miami @ Virginia Tech (-17) = This game is just an excuse to end on a video of a hot latina chick’s ass. Plain and simple. We highly recommend you check out this video.

This is another clean sweep game. Miami is coming off one of their most embarassing losses ever, a 48 point loss to Virginia at home. They also lost at home the previous week to NC State. What has become of THE U? This Miami team is terrible. The Hokies run for almost 80 more yards a game, have one of the best run defenses in the country and are plus 10 for turnover ratio. If you eliminate the last 4 minutes of the BC game, Virginia Tech has been a cover machine down the stretch, winning every game (minus the 4 minutes against BC) since September. The ATS numbers:

Miami
Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Hurricanes are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Hurricanes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech
Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hokies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Hokies are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win.

This spread seems high on paper and in name only. We all remember the Virginia Tech/Miami teams of the past but need to remember that this is the present. Throw in that the Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and we know this line is right. We actually think it could have been over 20 points and we still would have bet on The Hokies. Take Virginia Tech to cover and win in a blow out!!!

These are our picks. We are definitely disappointed in our NCAA season and are looking forward to ending strong and even more profitable than we are now. Please feel free to post comments or suggestions or to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We appreciate your input and we know you are out there reading this.

Flash Flash and Runny

November 16, 2007 Posted by | Air Force Falcons, Baylor Bears, BCS, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boise State Broncos, Britney Spears, Broncos, Buckeyes, Charlie Weis, cyclones, Duke, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Falcons, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Golden Gophers, Idaho, Iowa State, Iowa State Cyclones, Irish, Jim Tressel, Kansas Jayhawks, Lindsey Lohan, Lloyd Carr, Mark Mangino, Miami Hurricanes, Michigan Wolverines, Minnesota, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Orangemen, Rachel Mcadams, Red Raiders, San Diego St., Sooners, South Bend, St. Pauli Girl, Syracuse, Texas Tech, Uconn, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolverines, Yasmine Bleeth | 2 Comments

Week 5 NCAA Football Picks: 99 problems but picking winners ain’t one!!!

Here we go again for week 5. We are 15-10, have never had a losing week this season and are up 13 units in total when you count our Brinks truck bets (betting 5 times your normal amount). We do not have a Brinks truck bet for you this week but we do have 8 solid picks. We want to expand a little bit on some of the stats we use before we get into the nitty gritty. We look at rushing yards per game on offense and defense, third down conversion rate on offense and defense and turnover ratio. Why these stats…it is simple!!! I do not need to explain turnovers. Turnovers simply kill a team. As far as rushing and third down conversion, this is simply a factor of game control and game domination. If a team can rush more and convert more third down than its opponents while committing less turnovers; they are going to win plain and simple, control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. Just sharing some of our little tricks. And now for the picks:

Saturday, September 29, 2007

1) Akron Zips at UCONN (-15) – Here are the numbers….UCONN rushes for almost 60 yards a game more that Akron and converts 39.1% of their first down conversions while Akron only converts 25.4%. On defense, Akron gives up 206.8 rushing yards a game and lets its opposition convert 41.9% of its third down conversion chances while UCONN only gives up 83.8 yards a game rushing lets its opponents convert 23.6% of third down conversions. Last but not least, UCONN has a ball hawking defense and is plus 9 in the turnover ratio this season. Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers…Huskies are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 non-conference games. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Akron is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Go with UCONN all the way; if anything, bet against a team named The Zips. Idiotic mascot name.

2) Notre Dame at Purdue (-22) – I hope this game really does not need any explaining. We told you last week how bad Notre Dame is and guess what they are still terrible. They can’t rush, can’t stop the run, can’t convert third down conversions, open up the flood gates and let teams convert third downs and they are minus 2 in the turnover ratio game. I could run down how bad Notre Dame is against the spread in every situation but it is too long to fit in this blog. Purdue has a great offense and is playing at home. Although Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 10 home games, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and we think this is the stat that is more telling especially when you couple it with the following: Boilermakers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Purdue will kick the lucky charms out of the funny little green leprechauns this weekend. Purdue all the way!!!

3) Florida Atlantic Owls @ Kentucky (-22) – Kentucky is on a roll. They more than double Fl. Atlantic’s rushing output per game 227.2 versus 111.2 and they are far more efficient converting third downs. On the defensive side, Fl. Atlantic gives up more yards rushing than they themselves rush for and allow teams to convert 47.4% of their third down conversions. The one place where Fl. Atlantic has the edge is that they are plus 13 in the turnover ratio margin versus Kentucky’s plus 6. Some other tidbits: Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Grass. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. As far as the Owls go: Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. We do not think this will be close and do not fear the 22 points you have to give. Kentucky rolls in this one.

4) Syracuse at Miami-Ohio (+1.5) – The Cuse showed up huge in their road win at Louisville and on paper they really are not as bad as the media experts want you to believe especially compared to Miami-Ohio. The Cuse is more efficient on offense converting third downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense and by some bizarre miracle they are actually plus 3 in the turnover ratio while Miami-Ohio is minus 4. Orange are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. MAC. Orange are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. Orange are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Redhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cuse will ride the momentum and put the Orange squeeze on Miami-Ohio and win outright. Go Cuse!!!

5) Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) – Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss and is very banged up. Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s recent downturn. Tailback Tashard Choice, who leads the team with 356 net rushing yards and is second with four touchdowns, played only two possessions last week after attempting to return from a hamstring injury. Choice, safety Djay Jones, linebacker Shane Bowen and offensive tackle Jacob Lonowski are questionable due to injuries, while starting fullback Mike Cox and receiver James Jones missed portions of last week’s game. On the other side of the ball Clemson’s two headed running back monster keeps racking up yards. These teams rush for a very similar amount but the difference is in their offense’s efficiency. Clemson converts 42% of their third down conversions and Georgia Tech only converts 20.8%. This spread is only three and we think Georgia Tech is too banged up to compete. Clemson wins easily and covers.

6) Auburn @ Florida (-18) – This is an interesting game. Auburn started the season in the top 25 and was supposed to be one of the best teams in the SEC. Florida has been crushing people and faced a scare against Ole Miss last week. We are going off the cuff with this pick because on paper, using the stats I mentioned all the way through this post, this looks like an easy walk for Florida. Florida rushes for more yards and is more efficient on offense and stops the run better than Auburn and stops teams on third down tries more often and they are plus three in the turnover margin versus Auburn’s minus 3. They ATS numbers tell a different story though….Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Gators are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Florida number that really jumps out at us is that they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 ATS. This is telling that they play SEC teams close. All teams will be gunning for the defending champ. This is why USC is never good against the spread because teams bring the kitchen sick, the toilet, the washing machine, etc… when they face elite squads. Auburn has the talent to match Florida on defense, if not be better, and we think this game will be far closer than the 18 point spread. Take Auburn on the road to cover, who knows they might even win.

7 ) Ohio St. @ Minnesota (+23.5) – Ohio St. is on a big roll. The stats you need to know here are that Minnesota can not stop anybody on defense and they are minus 12 in the turnover ratio, one of the worst in the country. Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 3-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Gophers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Golden Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Ohio St. rolls easily here and covers with no problem.

8 ) Cincinnati @ San Diego St. Aztecs (+15) – We love the Bearcats. They have caused 19 turnovers on the season and are flat out nasty on defense. The Aztecs can not stop the run and Cincy will have a field day. Throw in the fact that the Aztecs are a passing team and we envision this turning into turnover city. Just ask Oregon St. what can happen when you get behind and need to pass against these guys. Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on Grass. Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Aztecs are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Aztecs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bearcats will maul the Aztecs and cover this one easily. We were surprised the spread was not 21 points or more.

Please feel free to post your own picks or to ask us to pick games. We have tons of stats and performed a ridiculous amount of resaearch this week. We always put our money where our mouth is and we are enjoying a great year. Good luck and may Notre Dame continue to lead the nation in offensive ineptitude!!

Flash Flash and Runny

September 27, 2007 Posted by | Akron Zips, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Boilermakers, Buckeyes, Clemson, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Georgia Tech, Golden Gophers, Huskies, Irish, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Maryland, Miami Ohio, Minnesota, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Owls, Pac-10, Purdue, Rutgers, San Diego St., SEC, Syracuse, Terrapins, Uconn, Wildcats, Yellow Jackets | 1 Comment