RPJ Betting Syndicate

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2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

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September 28, 2008 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Ass, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Belichick, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Brett Favre, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Colin Cowherd, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eagles, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Katherine Heigl, Lane Kifin, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Megan Fox, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Panthers, Patriots, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Reggie Bush, Roger Goodell, Saints, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle, Sports, St. Louis, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Texans, Thong, Titans, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Tony Romo, Vegas, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NFL WEEK ONE 2008 PICKS: LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!!

Greetings!!! Another glorious NFL season is upon us and we cannot wait!!! We love this stuff!!!! Thursday is the 2008 season kickoff and features two bitter, division rivals in the Skins at the Giants. This is going to be a good one. The Giants open their season at home as the World Champions. The Skins roll in looking to knock them off their pedestals and set the tone for the season. Tonight’s game is another one that Flash and I could not agree on, but I feel good about it and I’m willing to roll. Let the games begin!!!

This is a much, much different Giants team than the one that upset the Pats in the Super Bowl. Gone is Strahan. Kevin Boss looks like he has come back down to earth (could that guy pick-up any run blocks in pre-season?!?!?!?!) and that could be huge without Shockey. That will be the key to the game.

The Skins are somewhat healthy and they have enough to protect Campbell. Portis can still tote the rock and we will see plenty of him in this game. The Skins will attack the Giants new line with Portis and dumpoffs to Cooley. I think both have a great game. The Giants will just not have enough. Although the ATS numbers favor the Giants (Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head match-ups),  Take the points and the Skins +4.5.

Runny Pelvis

This is a Runny pick only. RPJ Syndicate picks will be out later in the week.

September 4, 2008 Posted by | Betting, ESPN, Gambling, Giants, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, Sports, Uncategorized, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | Leave a comment

Super Bowl XLII: Giants Versus Patriots*: Free Super Bowl Betting Picks and Hot Chicks

First things first…we are not Giants fans but you noticed the Pats come with an asterix in the headline of this blog and rightfully so. We might have some sports commentary on the Patriots season after the Super Bowl but that will depend on the game. For now we are going to let Gregg Easterbrook (ESPN Page 2 writer) have the spotlight. Please click on this link to get a taste for what we are thinking….If the Pats win, are they the best team ever? Maybe …

Well we are both crying that this is the last NFL game of the season (Pro Bowl is a joke in the NFL so it does not count). We have had our ups and downs this season…our early gains were completely wiped out the last few weeks of the season and in the playoffs but we will press on. Plain and simple…this year was whacked and we blew it down the stretch. We will keep fighting and no better way to end the season on a winning note!!!! We think the Super Bowl is actually pretty compelling from a bettor’s standpoint this year and we have our opinion on the outcome of the game and love a bunch of prop bets.

Also, we are not going to let our faithful readers down. We are going to spread our picks with the relevant hot chicks of the Super Bowl and we have lots to choose from thanks to Mr. Tom Brady and his current and former gal pals. We hate to say it but Tom Brady is the NFL’s version of Derek Jeter. He bangs hot broads and always has the perfect answer for the retarded media folk. It just would not be a Syndicate blog if we did not show some hot Giselle Bundchen photos and Brady’s ex Miss Moynihan is no slouch either but when you see these pics you know why he moved on…even if it was for DiCaprio’s sloppy seconds. Miss Moynihan:

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And now the hot Brazilian with some T&A shots:

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Yeah she can model but lets see those tits…….

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And of course the Arse Shots……….#1………

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For you ladies out there…The picture above is some of the hottest underwear going. One more ass shot for good luck………..

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She is not UGLY!!!

Lets take a look at the general ATS numbers before we get into any type of analysis:

ATS numbers for both teams:

NY Giants
Giants are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

New England Patriots
Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games on grass.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Head to head matchup
The two teams have split the last four meetings between them dating back to 2005, but the Giants covered the number in three of those games.
The over cashed in three times as well.

General Super Bowl Trends
The favored team has gone 9-3 straight up and 4-6-2 against the spread in the last dozen Super Bowls.
Teams that score more than 27 points in the Super Bowl are 23-1 and 22-2-1 against the spread.
New England has averaged 35.6 points per game, while New York averages 23.2.

Alright enough with the ATS numbers lets see some more hot chicks. In honor of the looney of the moment; some hot Britney pics….

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Lets talk about this game for a little bit. We are not Giants or Pats fans so we come with a somewhat unbiased opinion. This game is fun for many reasons. The Pats are the team of destiny…they are 18-0, have a great coach, a great QB and basically great talent on both sides of the ball. A 19-0 season with a Super Bowl win will label them as the best team ever and how can you really debate it. Bill Belichick is a gootball historian and he says his one biggest regret is not being able to coach the Giants. Remember Ray Handley was selected over him for the job way back when so sweatshirt Bill can re-write history against the one team the spurned him in a big F-U game. The Patriost players are actually acting a bit different during this Super Bowl run. There are stories out of Arizona about Pats players texting their buddies that they will be 19-0. You do not hear it from the mainstream media because the Pats are master spinners but they are confident, bordering on arrogant and this is a trait that we have not seen from the Pats yet. So what do we hear from the Giants. Well everybody expects them to lose. The only players you hear about are Plaxico and the like making “guarantees” so they come across like bozos. The Giants played a three point game with the Pats in week 17 but does that really mean anything. Would the score have been the same if it were in warm weather? Probably not. The Giants are not as good as the Pats plain and simple. The teams that contained the Pats offense were teams that had great safeties and CBs that could play man like the Eagles, Ravens, Jags, Colts…you get our drift. the Giants are not set up like this in their secondary. Moss burned them in the Meadowlands and will probably burn them again. Now both Belichick and Coughlin are good coaches so we do not expect this game to play out like the last one. Both teams are playing a tight, ball controlled, power running offense now and this takes time off the clock. The one thing to consider is if the Pats arrogance is real and they try and put up points and put them up quick. Remember the other high flying offense of the past that hit the Super Bowl…Oakland….St. Louis….yeah both those teams lost!!! So if the Pats arrogance does show up we think it will be a negative on them and lead to a close game and if they show up with a tight ball controlled offense than guess what, they do not have enough plays to pull away from the Giants and it will be a close game. This brings us to our ATS analysis. but first a hilarious youtube clip from the Jimmy Kimmel Show where Sarah Silverman talks about fucking Matt Damon. Watch this if you have not seen it yet….

Back to the game and ATS numbers. The numbers that really stick out are the ATS numbers. The Giants are hot and the Pats are not in terms of covering the lines. It is plain and simple. We are going to ride the hot streaks and the streaks are as follows:

Pats are winning at an unprecedented rate
Pats are not covering
Giants are covering

Patriots win the Super Bowl and the Giants keep it close and cover.

On to some of the prop bets that we love.

Player Prop Bets
Eli Manning – Total Passing Yards over/under 229.5 – This will be a high scoring game and Eli will be over this margin easily. Probably by the end of the third quarter.

Eli Manning- Total TD Passes over/under 1.5-He will get this easy.

Brandon Jacobs – Total Rushing Attempts over/under 15.5 – Giants will pound the ball and BJ will be up over 18 carries.

Ahmad Bradshaw-Longest Run From Scrimage Over/Under 11.5-Jacobs is their pounder and Bradshaw is their homerun hitter. After Jacobs softens the D, Bradshaw comes in and runs like Forrest Gump. It may not happen ’til the 4th quarter, but Bradshaw will break a big one. Take the over.

Plaxico Burress – Total Pass Receptions over/under 5 – This is Eli’s go to guy now that he is completely healthy. We see 8-10 catches. Do not fear his injury.

Kevin Boss – Total Pass Receptions over/under 1.5 – All we need is two catches to win this. Come on now. Easy money on this over.

Tom Brady-Total Completions-Over/Under 25.5-This is a joke. The Pats are built around the pass and they will light it up in this one. Brady lives for these games. He will pass. And pass. And pass. Take the over.

Laurence “My Homey” Maroney – Total Rushing Yards over/under 88.5 – The Pats have learned that ball control offenses and rushing yards win Super bowls and Maroney has been on a roll. He is the go to guy in this game and will clear 100 yards rushing and has a chance at MVP.

Kevin Faulk-Total Rushes-Over/Under 3-Faulk has had a long and good tenure with the Pats. Belichek loves him. He will get carries just out of respect. Plus, he is great on gimmick plays. Take the Over.

Wes Welker – Total Pass Receptions over/under 7.5 – Our boy W-squared has been on fire. He will clear 9-10 catches easily.

Benjamin Watson – Total Receiving Yards over/under 22.5 – Watson will be a factor in this game. We are looking for 40-50 yards

Benjamin Watson – Total Pass Receptions over/under 2.5 – Easy money on the over. As we said…he will be a factor.

It has been a fun and wild year. We are here for our readers 24/7 X 365. Please share your insights with us. We have had some requests for NCAA hoops and we want to know what you our readers want. Please post comments or send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Thanks for a great year.

Flash Flash and Runny

February 2, 2008 Posted by | Betting, Britney Spears, Free NFL Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giselle Bundchen, New England Patriots, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Picks, Super Bowl, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Winning Picks | 5 Comments

NFL Championship Game Picks: Pats Lose in Biggest Upset in NFL History after Tom Brady’s Love Child Rips His Head Off During Pre-game Warmups!

Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….

www.rpjsyndicate.com

We knew that headline would get your attention. Our picks might suck but we are not idiots in picking a Pats loss in this one (Read on for our actual pick). We are coming at you with an unusual winning pick selection process for you this time. We simply can not agree on these games and because of this we are not putting any of RPJ Syndicate’s money to work; we are putting our own personal money to work. This is frustrating for us but it is what it is and this happens sometimes and we usually skip the game altogether as you know but because there are only three NFL games left (we are crying literally because of this) we have to put our opinions out there because this is the NFL. Now some of you naysayers out there will call us scam artists because you think we are going to pick both sides and then say we were winners. Well we are not doing this. RPJ Syndicate is a terrible 1-7 in the playoffs so far and these picks will not count for our record because RPJ’s money is not playing these games. Hopefully we can agree on a consensus for the Super Bowl and bet the living hell out of it to recoup some of our losses but time will only tell if that comes true. So to make our crappy picks up with you we are going to show tons of hot chicks in this blog and first up is the beautiful ass of Miss Jessica Alba:

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January 20, 2008 – San Diego at New England (-14)

We are going to show you the ATS numbers first for both teams and then we will have our own analysis.

San Diego
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 46-15-2 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

New England
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
Patriots are 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Flash Flash Says: I am going to continue to ride the recent trends and that is a Patriots non-cover. Yes, I know they are 17-0 and the best team in football but they are not cover machines like they were earlier in the season. The weather in Foxboro has limited the Pats ability to stretch the field like they did in the Fall and the Pats are taking a more ball controlled short passing game approach to their offense and this runs the clock out faster and reduces the Pats offensive touches. In addition, every team that plays the Pats knows that they need to limit the Pats touches and employ a ball control offense of their own. The Pats are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games and the only win was the “guarantee” game against the Steelers. Vegas lines were ridiculous in a lot of these games and that helped the opponents cover but that does not mean the Pats are 14 point favorites against the other elite teams in the AFC. This line is simply too high and Vegas knows the Pats homers will continue to bet on the Pats no matter what. Also, San Diego has not received any credit for their current run and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 and riding an 8 game winning streak. The Chargers started slow but you have to remember that they have a completely rehauled coaching staff and two of their early losses were against Green Bay and New England. Expect a ball control game in this one, especially from San Diego. Losing Gates is a big loss for the Chargers. Since the Chargers will play ball control I think the injuries to Rivers and LT will hurt but not as much as people think. Billy Volek will simply be asked to not make mistakes…does this ring any bells? Brad Johnson won a Super Bowl, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, Big Ben won and it was not because they had an aggressive offense, it was because they had a great defense and played mistake free offense. Volek can do this. As far as the running game goes, we all know Michael Turner will be a great starter one day and Darren Sprolles showed he has the explosiveness to play a part in any game. Chargers will play a tight, conservative offense and should be able to run on the Pats to keep the chains moving. I do not think the Chargers win but I think they will keep it within ten points in a super cold game. I am definitely interested in the readers opinion on this game because I do not see the reasons why the Pats should cover, even with a banged up Chargers team. That same banged up Chargers team took it to the Colts on the road and can do it again. They Chargers are also the hotter “betting” team. If you have been riding the Pats you have been riding your bankroll down the crapper.I am betting the Chargers and taking the points!!!

Mrs. Flash Flash says: Yes, she is back. She thinks the Pats will not cover the 14 points. She thinks the Pats will not cover because they are unstoppable. Yes, that makes no sense at all and she is half a bottle of wine in. Take it for what it is worth. Mrs. Flash Flash is also coming at you with her top three hottest chicks. First is Miss Sienna Miller:

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Chick number 2 is Miss Jessica Biel:

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Chick number 3 is Katherine Heigl:

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Runny says: Flash has been staring at that pic of Jessica Alba too long and doesn’t have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck. This game should be re-named the “Decimation Bowl” because that is just what the Pats are going to do. Mind you, I DESPISE Tom Brady. I DESPISE Belichek (so much so I threw away all my hoodies). I DESPISE the PATS. I just know a smart thing when I see it. The thing is with this game is that even without the injuries to the Chargers, the Pats still would cover. They destroyed them in Week 2 when they were totally healthy. They will do so again this week.

The Pats were a missed field goal away from covering last week against a Jags team that is much, much better on both sides of the ball than the Chargers. The two weeks off hurt the Pats. They were definitely rusty. Now they will be ready. The Pats are praying that the Chargers blitz Brady and double Moss. Brady will eat that up and hit Wes Welker all game long. The weather will not matter. Look for big games from My Homey Lawrence Moroney, Wes Welker and the Pats secondary. Rivers had the game of his career last week, but that was due to poor execution and poor strategy by the Colts. There is not a receiver on the Chargers that the Pats cannot cover. Chambers will not have a repeat performance.

As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are a team of destiny. They will decimate the Chargers and roll right into the Super Bowl. Take the Pats -14.

January 20, 2008 – Giants at Green Bay (-7)

Coming at you with the ATS numbers first:

New York
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Giants are 7-16-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Green Bay
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Packers are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Packers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Runny Says: The keys to this game are the Giants secondary and the huge home-field advantage. In regards to the Giants secondary, the Packers play sound football and Favre is playing within the system. He is not trying to win the game on every throw. He has confidence in his receivers for the first time in probably 10 years. He has a solid running game backing him and the enitre offense is playing exceptionally well as a team. This does not bode well for an inexperienced and beat-up Giants secondary. Favre and his receivers will do what Romo and his receivers could not do last week; Favre will make the throws and his receivers will catch the ball. The more this happens, the more the running lanes will be free for Ryan Grant. It will snowball into a lot of points for the Pack.

In regards to the Lambeau advantage, the Giants will be playing in an environment they have never seen before. It is going to be FRIGID, with a HIGH of only 4 degrees! You read that right-4 f’ing degrees!! (Is it coincidence that that just so happens to be Favre’s number?!? I don’t think so…). Not only that, they are calling for snow! The Giants will not be prepared for this. They will not be prepared for this crowd.

This would not be a Runny blog post if Keyra did not make an appearance with her fantastic ass…..

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Favre and the Pack will get up early and pour it on. Eli will throw a few picks. Look for a big game from the Packers corners. I would not be surprised if one of them take one back for 6. Take the Packers and give the points.

Flash Flash Says:This game really is tough to call in my opinion and that makes it easy. During the NFL season when faced with two awesome opposing forces, you go with the underdog every time. Giants are on a 9 game road winning streak, they are 7-0 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record, Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 January games, Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and the list goes on and on. If I were to focus on the only negative ATS numbers the only one that sticks out is that the Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We know the Giants are the best road team in the NFL this season, with the exception of the Pats and this is a stat to consider. To me these teams are spitting images of each other, they can run, they can run to set up the pass, they have aggressive defenses and they can get after the QB. You can say this about both teams. I like what the Giants coaches have been doing as well. Even though the Giant’s secondary was depleted last week they stuck to their game plan and were content to blitz and man up in the 4th quarter, basically telling their players that they play on Sundays and they have faith in them to make the necessary plays. Great job by Coughlin’s crew. I think the weather will also be a factor in this game and we will all get to see the frozen tundra part II as these teams will play in near zero degree weather. We saw what the Packers offense did in the snow but this will be a lot colder.

It is also important to realize the Manning has bucked up in the last two games by playing not to lose. This is incredibly important in the playoffs. This season is a mish mosh for Manning. Sometimes he seems terrible and completely out of it and other times he leads his team on a quarter ending 75 yard TD scoring drive in 40 seconds. He has learned how to play within himself during these playoffs and I think he has a good mentor (Big Brother Peyton) who learned that putting up 49 TDs and tons of yards is not the key to winning a championship. Playing within yourself and not making mistakes or forcing plays is what keeps the NFL season alive. So will we get he bad decision making drunk Eli:

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The drunk Eli will make poor decisions like getting a picture of him taken while he was drunk out of his mind with some little blond hottie or will we get the smart, low-key Eli who marries his college sweetheart and not some whore during a drunken night out. The picture below is Eli’s wife:

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She actually looks much better in this picture if you click on this sentence. She is the girl on the left.

I think the Packers win a close game in the 17-14 range. I am betting the Giants with the points!!!

Some of you degenerates out there might know already but the AVN awards went down last weekend out in Vegas. So I want to focus on some porn dirty HOs for my pics today. Hello Breasts!!!!

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You like Lily Thai, you will like Jasmine Mai:

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and a porn pic shot would not be complete withou Carmen Luvana:

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Mrs. Flash Flash says:The Mrs. thinks Favre is the american football dream and is predicting a Packers blow out. Yes the American football dream folks.

Only one more game to go this season…..The Super bowl and we will be ready with our pick. We hope you learned a lot about betting and grew to appreciate us this season. We tell it like it is and we put our own money to work with you. We are not some BS service that touts 65% winners all the time cause anybody with a brain knows that is impossible. This was an bizarre season in NCAA and NFL football and we will examine our models and see if we can find any additional strategic points to manipulate next season.

May your pimp hand be strong and your wallets full!!!

Flash and Runny

January 18, 2008 Posted by | Brett Favre, Carmen Luvana, Eli Manning, Free NFL Picks, Gambling, Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jasmine Mai, Jessica Alba, Keyra Augustina, Lily Thai, New England Patriots, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, San Diego Chargers, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Winning Picks | 25 Comments

NFL WEEK 17 PICKS: CAN’T WAIT ‘TIL SATUDAY!!!!!

Happy Holidays! Week 16 was not kind to us at all!!! After a win last Saturday, we dropped a fat 1-6 Sunday to destroy our season record. That one hurt us. Luckily we see a lot of games in Week 17 that we want to press. Nothing better than Saturday’s game with the Pats looking for perfection in the Meadowlands to face the Giants. Here is our take:

Pats -13.5 @ Giants: Unless you have been living on Pluto since Labor Day, everyone knows that the Pats are one game away from perfection. They’ve already won more games than any other team in a season and with another win, they can join the ’72 Fins as the only teams that have finished the regular season undefeated. There are also some monumental, individual records they can get, too. Will they do it? Most people think so. The key for us is will they cover? We think they will.

The key for this game is post season positioning. Both teams are in the playoffs. However, the Gints are extremely banged-up and need people healthy if they want to make a run in the tournament. Obviously, the Pats are at risk to injury, too. However, they are in a different situation.

The Pats are not as banged-up and they REALLY want this win. Plus, if the past weeks of the NFL season provide any history lesson, they show that the Pats starters play pretty much the entire game. Even in huge blowouts. We don’t think this is smart, but we love the predictability. Coughlin, on the other hand, is much more conservative. There is now way he will risk further injuries. If their studs play, it won’t be for more than a quarter. And rightfully so.

The Pats starters vs. the Gints back-ups equals one HUGE beatdown. The Pats will look for blood early, and they will get it. This will be a blowout. The Pats will remain perfect.

Take the Pats -13.5.

December 29, 2007 Posted by | Free NFL Picks, New England Patriots, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Picks | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 15 PICKS

Another Sunday is upon us and the NFL regular season is winding down. Teams are jockying for playoff spots, 1st week byes and draft positions. Very exciting stuff. Of course the Bungles sucked it on Saturday night to bring our season record to 54-41-1. We are disappointed, but still happy with how our season is going. We know we do our best work on Sundays. With that said, this is what e like Sunday:

Jags +3 @ Steelers: No guarantees by the Steelers this week as they host the Jags. Big playoff implications in this on. The Jags are playing very sound football right now while the Steelers have been two different teams-brilliant at home and terrible on the road. They are at home this week and they are getting players back from the medical ward. It won’t matter in this one. The jags are banged-up, but they know how to overcome. They will keep it close if not win outright. Take the Jags +3.

Colts @ Raiders +10.5: The Colts roll into Oaktown to face a young Raiders team. The Colts have looked like a team that is primed for the playoffs-despite the injuries. They are banged-up again for this one. The Raiders were terrible in Green Bay last week. All the ATS numbers point to the Colts covering easy. And, most of the money in Vegas is on the Colts (94% as of the time of this post). That is why we like the Raiders at home. Kiffin grew up watching Dungy. He will have his boys ready. Take the Raiders +10.5

Ravens -3.5 @ Dolphins: Could there be a worse team than the Fins?!?! Just when you think it could not get any worse, they lose 38-17 to the Bills. There is no relief in sight. The only things they have going for them in this one is that they are at home and the Ravens have a lot of key injuries. We don;t think it will matter in this one. Take the Ravens -3.5.

Titans -4 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs are a mess. They could be looking at using their 4th string RB this week. That is not good against a solid Tennessee D. The Chiefs just are not a good team right now. They are not well coached, and they are injured. Despite the huge home-field advantage, this all adds up to a Titans cover. Take the Titans -4.

Falcons +12.5 @ Buccaneers:Don’t get us wrong-the Falcons are terrible. Petrino walking out on them was just another sign that things are not getting any better in Hotlanta anytime soon. That said, 12.5 is too many points. They will rally around each other after Petrino quit on them and keep this game with 12.5. Take the Falcons +12.5.

Eagles +10 @ Cowboys: The Cowboys return home after a sucker win against the Lions. They had no business winning that one and that game revealed a lot about this team-they are extremely soft on D and very undisciplined on O. They have a lot of talent on both sides of the field, but need a lot of improvement if they want to get through the playoffs. The Linos showed that the Cowboys can be physically dominated with hard hits. The Eagles definitely know how to do that. They will cover if not win outright. Also, keep in mind that the last time the Cowboys had a lucky win like last week was also on the road. It was in Buffalo on Monday night. What happened the following week? They got spanked at home by the Patriots. This will be the Eagles Super Bowl. Nothing will please them more than to beat the Cowboys in Big D. Take the Eagles +10.

Seahawks -7 @ Panters: The Seahawks are hot right now. They have been decimating teams at home and on the road. They look to continue that play against a struggling Panthers team this week. The injury bug has hit the Panthers particularily hard this year. That does no bode well for them against a hot ‘Hawks team. We think the Seahawks will have too much for them this week. Take the Seahawks -7.

Jets @ Patriots -21: Another lopsided spread for the Pats. This line actually opened at 24.5 and has dropped. We think it is due to the weather and the fact that a huge majority of the bets in Vegas are on the Jets. We think that is comical. Even with the weather, the Pats are gonna steamroll this Jets team. They have no threats at all. Kellen Clemens has not seen this team in action and the Jets D will not be able to stop the Pats. Belichek despises Mangini and if he was willing to run up the score on Joe Gibbs, what do you think he will do in this one?!?! We don’t think the Jets will even score. Take the Pats -21.

Redskins @ Giants -5: The Skins are injured and are limping into their match-up with the Giants. Losing Jason Campbell is a HUGE loss. Todd Collins is not answer. The Giants will roll at home. Take the Giants -5.

9 picks for Sunday! Good luck with your picks!

Runny & Flash

December 16, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Carolina Panthers, Dallas Cowboys, Eagles, Free NFL Picks, Giants, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia, Philly, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Seahawks, Seattle, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Titans, Washington Redskins | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 13 PICKS

Great start to the week last Thursday night. The ‘Boys treated us right and that game played out exactly like we said. We hope you believed us about the Vegas trap and decided to roll with us. Thursday brought us a 2-0 night and brought our season record to 42-28-1. We like how we are looking so far in Week 13. Still, we know there is still a lot of ground left to go to get another winning weekend. We are confident though. Here is who we like on Sunday:

Falcons +3 @ Rams: This is our favorite game of the week. The Rams will be without Mark Bulger. Gus Ferotte mans the QB helm for the Rams. We saw how he did last week-atrocious. The Falcons are bad, too, but we think they will run all day against the Rams D. We love the Falcons. Take the Falcons +3.

Jets @ Dolphins -1: This is another game we like a lot. The Jets fly south to face the winless Dolphins. Here’s the thing though-despite being winless, the Fins are not THAT bad. Actually, let us re-phrase that. They are pretty terrible, but they have a very good D. Not amazing, but certainly pretty decent. The Jets are by no means good. In fact, we think this is a classic case of the records not really telling the whole story. The Jets have 2 wins, but are actually probably worse than the Fins. We think the Fins get their first (and probably only) W of the season this week. Take the Dolphins -1.

Chargers @ Chiefs +6: The Chargers were smoked in their last meeting. And that game was in San Diego. They head into KC in December. The words “KC in December” are probably the last things a visiting team wants to hear. The Chargers have won their last game against a terrible Ravens team. However, this season they are 1-4 on the road. And that is not ATS. That is their win-loss record. That is a joke. They may win this game, but it will be close. Take the Chiefs +6. 

Buccaneers @ Saints -3: The Bucs have been great ATS lately. However, they head into New Orleans all banged-up. Garcia’s back is barking hard and it is questionable whether he even plays. Even if he does, he will be limited. The Saints are in a must win here. Although we hate taking them in this game, we think it is a good play. Take the Saints -3.

Browns @ Cardinals OVER/UNDER 51.5: We could not get a clear take on this game as far as who would cover. At first glance, this seems like a Vegas trap (see our post for last Thursday’s game). With the way the Cards have been playing and with their injuries, there is no way they should be favored. Then again, it is only 1 point. We are not comfortable recommending either team. What we are sure of, however, is that both teams can score some points. We love this over. Take the OVER 51.5.

Giants -1.5 @ Bears: The Bears pulled one out of their hats last week. The Giants looked terrible against the Vikings. That said, the Giants are still a better team. Rex will blow this one for them and end their season. Take the Giants -1.5.

Bengals +7 @ Steelers: The Bengals proved to be great for us last weekend. They head into the Steel City to face their hated rivals. The Steelers have been an enigma this year-terrible on the road and perfection at home. They are 8-0 ATS at home. We think that streak ends this week. Do not be surprised if the Bungles win this game outright. Take the Bengals +7.

There you go-7 more picks for week 13. Check in win us on Monday for our blog for the Pats-Ravens game. Good luck!!

Runny & Flash

December 2, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Bengals, Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Free NFL Picks, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, NFL, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Rams, San Diego Chargers, St. Louis, Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 10 PICKS

Greetings folks. First things first-we went 4-4 last week bringing our season record to 24-15-2. There is no need to tell us that that is a terrible record. We know. It will improve. Stick with us. We are in the same boat. But we ain’t quittin’!!! Let’s roll into Week 10!!!! Here’s our picks:

Bills -2.5 @ Dolphins: This game has “trap” written all over it. This line is almost too tempting. Vegas always knows and this screams that they want you to take the Bills. Any team can cover a field goal against the Fins, right? There answer should be an obvious “yes,” but again, Vegas knows. Each week we look for these games and stay away. In fact, that is always our first step in our analysis. However, the last time the Bills did not cover was 2003. They shut them out last year in their final match-up and this Fins team is way worse. Even though it could be a Vegas trap, we like the Bills. Take the Bills -2.5.

Browns +10 @ Steelers: The Steelers are deadly at home. They CRUSHED the Ravens last Monday night (I don’t think I’ve seen a worse beatdwon. Well, maybe the Pats-Skins this year). They hate the Brownies, too. I’m sure they will try to do the same thing they did to the Ravens. However, the Ravens are terrible right now and the Browns are hot. Derek Anderson has that team rolling. He can lead the Browns to keep it within 10. Take the Browns +10.

Vikings +5.5 @ Packers: Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Brad Childress finally figured it out-feed AP the ball all day. The guy is a mchine. They will run it down the Packers’ throat and keep it with in 5.5. Take the Vikings +5.5.

Bengals +3.5 @ Ravens: Both teams are a mess. This game is about picking who is more of a debacle. The Ravens are and we are taking the points. Take the Bengals +3.5.

Cowboys -1.5 @ Giants: This spread is tricky. The .5 has “F Us” written all over it. The Boys should win this game. Both teams are better than they were in Week 1. The Boys get Tank Johnson this week to sure up their middle. This game will be a shootout, but the Boys have more weapons. Romo will make less mistakes than Eli. Take the Boys -1.5.

Colts @ Chargers (O/U 47.5): This is over is way too high. look at the Colts last week against the Pats-they only scored 44 points total. The Chargers do not have the Pats offense. Take the Under 47.5

There are our picks. Use whatever you want. Let us know what you tink. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash.

November 11, 2007 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Baltimore Ravens, Bengals, Brad Childress, Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Eli Manning, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, New York, NFL, NFL Picks, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, Uncategorized | 6 Comments

NFL PICKS WEEK 9: WEEK 9 IS FINE!!!!

Greetings. After the 5-0 weekend last week, we brought our record to 20-11-2. That is damn fine as we head into week 9. We look to continue our undefeated run with some more locks today. Here we go:

Cowboys -3 @ Eagles: The Cowboys roll into Philly looking to avenge two straight beatdwons at the hands of the Eagles. The Eagles head back home after a solid win in Minnesota amidst the turmoil of Andy Reid and his family crisis (Andy, take a leave of absence. Focus on your kids and family. Life is too short to worry about a team where the fans chant “Bill Cower” in the stands of your home games all the while your kids are falling apart. It is not a sign of weakness to resign. Refusing to step down is a sign of arrogance and stupidity. That is just our two cents..). The Boys are coming off the bye. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 November games. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9. The Boys will win easily. Look for TO to have a big game. Take the Cowboys -3.

Redskins -3.5 @ Jets: The Jets finally pulled the trigger on Pennigton and will start Kellen Clemens this week. We agree with this move. The Jets aren’t going to the playoffs this year. They should look to their future. Clemens has a gun and it is worth the look. That said, they are still pretty bad. Their team has been decimated by injuries. The Skins are fresh off the mother of all beatdowns last week from New England. They will rebound. They have a solid D that is good enough to hold down the Jets O. The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take the Skins -3.5.

49ers +3.5 @ Falcons: Both these teams are a mess. This game cracks us up!!! The 49ers roll into town probably with Alex Smith back. He is no Joe Montana, but he is probably as good as Joey Harrington. The 49ers have a better D. Here are some other tidbits: 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head-to-head meetings; the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Take the points in this one (we think the 49ers win outright anway). Take the 49ers +3.5.

Chargers -7 @ Vikings: Chargers are rollin’ now. The Vikings have the NFL’s best back in Adrian Peterson. However, manning the Vikings helm is Brad Childress. He is a terrible play caller (single-handedly cost them the Cowboys game). The Chargers D will be all over Jackson/Holcomb. They can stop Peterson. This is  alot of points to give a home team, but they can cover. Take the Chargers -7.

Ravens +9 @ Steelers: The Ravens have not played well, but they are coming off the bye. They will be getting players back from the injury report. The Steelers have been up and down all season. One week they look like the Patriots. The next they get destroyed. Most of those bad games have come on the road. This week they are at home. The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten at Heinz Field this season and have not lost a Monday night game at home in more than 16 years. They will be looking to avenge two beatdwons last season at the hands of the Ravens. They will win this game, but 9 points is too many to give to a division rival coming off the bye. Especially when that rival is a veteran team. Take the points. Take the Ravens +9.

Jags @ Saints -3: The Saints have won 3 straight and look to finally get to .500 on the season. They are at home this week where they have not been good ATS (7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games). They also have not covered (2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall).  The Jags held off a late surge by the Bucks last weekend and will throw Quinn Gray out there for his 2nd start. The Jags have a jacked D and will try to pound the Saints with the run. The Saints will counter with stacking the line and make Gray beat them. He won’t. The Saints will cover. Take the Saints -3.

Packers +2.5 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs surprised us this year, but we are not convinced they are as good as their record says. Favre is hot and he has never beat the Chiefs. It will change this week. Pack wins outright. Take the Packers +2.5.

Patriots @ Colts +5.5: Here we go!! Everyone has been asking us our take on this game. Definately the biggest game of the year to date and is probably a preview of the AFC Championship. The Pats have looked unstoppable all season. The Colts have been very impressive, too. Harrison is listed as questionable, but we think he will play. It is tough to find and edge in this game. Both teams have outstanding QB’s. Both D’s are not great, but not bad either. Here is the thing about this though-the Patriots have played a MUCH easier schedule. Their only challenge came against the Cowboys. The Cowboys ultimately lost that game, but did have a lead in the 2nd half. No other team has done that. The rest of their schedule has been a cake walk. On the other hand, the Colts have played some tough teams and still have been damn impressive. They avenged a embarassing loss last year to the Jags.  We like the Colts strength of schedule. We like them at home. We like that the media is giving them little chances of winning. We think the Pats will ultimately win, but it will be close. The Colts will cover. Take the Colts +5.5.

There you go. 8 locks!!!!! Good luck with you picks.

Runny & Flash

November 4, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Adrian Peterson, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Eagles, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, NFL, NFL Picks, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Quinn Gray, Vikings | Leave a comment

Joe Torre Where are you?

I am sick of the media bias against the Yankees right now regarding Joe Torre. He are the facts plain and simple:

1) Joe Torre HAD a contract with the NY Yankees. That is right, the contract he signed has expired. So the Yankees can not fire Joe Torre because he is not under contract

2) How many times has Joe Torre said since the Yanks lost to the Indians that he wanted to come back and coach the Yanks…..I am waiting….still waiting….waiting……ZERO!!!!!!! How come the media has not asked Joe what he wants to do? How come he is holed up in his Westchester home and not speaking to the media? If he wants the Yanks job he should be saying so and I have not heard him say once that he wants to come back and manage in 2008.

That is all you need to know. Joe Torre is not being fired and he has not even come out and said he wants to manage the Yanks. The media needs to go track down Joe Torre and get the other side of this story and stop commenting that the Yanks are firing Joe Torre. Damn media!!!

Flash Flash

October 17, 2007 Posted by | Joe Torre, MLB, New York, New York Yankees, Yankees | 4 Comments