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Week 5 2008: Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks

Colin went 1-3 last week and is now 11-7-1 on the season. we mean no disrespect to The Herd, we know he is capable of some awesome weeks and we also know he is capable of lying about his results. He said he was 11-4-2 last week when he was really 10-4-1. We intentionally list all of his picks so you can see for yourself.

The Herd’s Wheel of Genius picks of the week are:

TCU (+18) at Oklahoma – TCU won 5 of last 6 vs. Big 12 and is 11-2 in their last 13 versus BCS schools. TCU D is a beast and is ranked #1. Oklahoma wins but TCU will play very hard. Score prediction Oklahoma 28 – TCU 17

Miss St. at LSU (-23.5) – There is one thing that is certain and that is LUS blows out Miss. St. Every year. Score prediction is LSU 30 and Miss. St. 0

Alabama at Georgia (-7) – Georgia is wearing black but that could work against them. Georgia also has the best QB between the two teams. Bama has two advantages. 1) They are 4-0 with 4 easy wins so they did not reveal their playbook and 2) they are 9-9 on 3rd down conversions of two yards or less. Saban never loses by 7 points or more. Score prediction is Georgia 23 – Alabama 20

Purdue at Notre Dame (-1) – Notre Dame faced no crime in losing at Michigan State. Young offense plays different home versus away. Purdue really means Purdon’t in big games. Score prediction is Notre Dame 28 – Purdue 20.

Illinois at Penn State (-16) – Illinois has a bad defense and really bad pass D. This is a revenge game for Penn State. Penn State starts fast and this will make Illinois get down and the game will get out of control. Penn State wins 36-14.

This is not a Wheel of Genius pick but he threw it in as another game. Said Ohio State will destroy Minnesota.

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September 26, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Crimson Tide, Betting, Colin Cowherd, ESPN, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Illinois, LSU Tigers, Minnesota, Mississippi State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nick Saban, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Penn State, Purdue, Sports, TCU, Wheel of Genius, Winning Picks | 10 Comments

Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/27/2008): Introducing the Backwoods Southern Lawyer, AKA SEC Genius!!!

Flash and Runny have reached out to another guest writer. Mr. SEC lawyer as we named him is picking at an 80% clip for SEC games. He told us not to bet the Miss St./Auburn game, he told us not to bet the Georgia/South Carolina game and he has been dead spot on all year. Well Mr. SEC Lawyer has agreed to guest post for us and he will now be referred to as BSL or Backwoods Southern Lawyer. BSL loves NCAA football, specifically SEC football. He lives and breathes SEC football and we have found him to have the best pick ideas related to SEC football in the country. We are privileged to serve as his voice.

From BSL:

I believe it was Reba McEntire who sang “Don’t trust your soul to no backwoods Southern Lawyer”, but my faithful clients can trust their dollars and be well rewarded. The verdict is in — yours truly is a blistering 80% on SEC games in September and back with more winners this week. Have you or your pocketbook been injured by college football misfires? Well, strap on your neckbrace, stick with me and we’ll laugh all the way to the bank.

Be forewarned. Runny and Flash have crunched the numbers eight ways to Sunday; they work a reliable system and grind out impressive results year after year. I’m more of a “feel” guy. I get my picks from having been born and raised 3 doors down from the gates of one of the premier SEC campuses (literally being able to hear the roar of the crowd from my room); from worshiping names like Herschel Walker and Bo Jackson and Archie Manning; from tailgates that start on Thursday; from being one fo the first ones in and the last to leave the stadium; and most importantly, from living and breathing SEC football for well nigh 30 years now. The law may be my profession, but SEC football is my passion, and I’m just here to share the love and — above all — I’m here to make a dollar and a cent in this business. So, without further ado, let’s get to the picks….

Call it the weekend of the home favorite in the SEC. With the exception of Ole Miss, that’s who I’m going with:

TAKE OLE MISS +22 AT FLORIDA. Houston Nutt knows how to get up for big games (i.e., Hogs upsetting LSU in last year’s regular season finale). Gators have been playing the offense playcalling close to the vest. Expect another vanilla showing and a 17-point Florida victory.

TAKE LSU -24 VS. MISS. ST. Auburn beats MSU by 1 point. The next week, LSU beats Auburn by 5 points. So, what does Vegas say — opening line is LSU over Miss St. by 24 points. They are on to something. For one reason or another, LSU owns Miss. St.– like 15 of the last 16 owns. And, lately, it hasn’t been close. The win over Auburn has got LSU primed for a big game, not a let down. If LSU gets up early, this one will not be within 5 touchdowns.

TAKE AUBURN -6.5 VS. TENNESSEE. The wheels are falling off Fulmer’s bus, which makes me question this pick because last year, just when you thought he was a beaten man, Tennessee went on a run and made it to the SEC Championship Game. HOWEVER, Tennessee just doesn’t have the dogs for this hunt. Auburn rolls in a low-scoring affair.

TAKE GEORGIA -6.5 VS. BAMA. Georgia was ranked number one to start the season for a reason. They are loaded and are going to make this a statement game at home. John Parker Wilson (or whatever his name is) is an average quarterback and will show it this weekend.

Enjoy the picks. I will be back next week for more action.

Yours truly,

BSL Esquire

September 26, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Auburn Tigers, Betting, ESPN, Florida Gators, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU Tigers, Mississippi State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Ole Miss, Rebels, SEC, Sports, Tennessee, Uncategorized, Volunteers, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/25 – 9/27/08) and Booty (not John David) Chicks

Here is our rundown for the season. Last week we went a combined 10-4 so that brings our records to the following:

RPJ $yndicate is now 12-12-1 on the season. We are not happy with this but we had a solid week last week and we will continue to roll with our system that is going to start picking up winners like Spitzer picks up whores. Mark our words.

Flash Flash is now 5-1 on the season. I am loving the games I am finding. The Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week.

Runny Pelvis the Fat is now 11-9 on the season. 5-3 last week and on a roll.

We always tell you that we are here for our fans. The Wizard complained that the chicks we show are too skinny and that he wants to see curvy ladies who have asses wider than their hip bones. Sorry Klum fans but you are on the back burner this week. Here you go Wizard, a picture of Kim Kardashian, she certainly has some curves:

Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!

Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!

Sorry Wiz. Had to throw in some humor this week. Here you go with some fine pics:

You want curves, we will show you curves.

You want curves, we will show you curves.

Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.

Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.

Have to show skin to win baby!!!

Have to show skin to win baby!!!

And a video of some booty shaking. Mr. SEC Lawyer requested as much Keyra as possible and it just does not exist so we had to mix it up. This is not Keyra quality but variety is the spice of life. Also, check out the video at the end of this post. It is solid.

Hope these met your approval Wizard and Mr. SEC Lawyer. To our other fans out there this just shows how we aim to please. Feel free to post comments, requests or shoot us emails at rpjsyndicate.com. We are here for our readers 1) to make you bucket loads of cash and 2) to show you what you want and based on where you click and read, you want to see hot ass.

Now on to the Week 5 picks and we have a lot of them for you:

RPJ $yndicate picks

North Carolina at Miami (-8) – This game is going down as the Flash Flash special and his game of the week. It just so happened that it hit all cylinders as far as our models go. UNC is coming off a horrible defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech. They had that game in hand, then lost their QB and a 4th quarter lead at home. UNC is young and will not be able to to bounce back from this. T.J. Yates gave his team a chance to win any game and now they have no chance to beat The U. Miami is actually playing pretty well. We have watched them a lot this year and they played Florida tougher than the final score showed (Effing Urban Meyer and his cover FG…douche, douche, DOUCHE!!!). Miami might have the most or second most team speed on defense. Line them up against USC and see who wins. The ATS numbers actually do not favor Miami in this game but stats do. Miami rushes for more yards per game, gives up a lot less yards per game and does not turn the ball over as much. Get on this line before it hits 10. Miami covers and wins!!!

Kent State at Ball State (-18 and over/under 59.5) – We are picking our first MACkey attackey game of the year. We love these games. Kent State stinks on defense and gives up more than 430 yards per game and to top it off they can score on offense. After they got shut out by BC in week 1, Kent State has scored 28, 24 and 27 points all while going 1-3 on the season. Ball State can score with the best of them and are generating 482 yards per game on offense and giving up 393 yards per game on defense. Ball State is 4-0 and has scored 42, 41, 35 and 48 points on the season. Ball State scored 42 last week at Indiana and lost their best player during the game and kept on scoring. We are hitting you up with a double pick on this game. Here are the ATS numbers:

Kent State
Golden Flashes are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Golden Flashes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Flashes last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Flashes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Flashes last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Ball State
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Over is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games in September.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

We think the ATS numbers speak for themselves and Kent State is bad, really bad. They need to change their team name from the Golden Flashes to the Golden Showers. Ball State is going to urinate all over them. Take Ball State to win and cover and double it up with the OVER!!!

Ole Miss at Florida (-22) – This is an interesting game. Florida is coming off their Tennessee road beat down and Ole Miss has had two weeks to stew about their loss at home to Vanderbilt. Florida has looked good on paper but we do not think they are as good as their record shows. Tebow is not playing like Tebow. Maybe he should have been practicing instead of saving children in the Philthypeens this Summer. What we do know is Florida has some ridiculous talent on campus. Check this out:

Who wants to kiss my gator?

Who wants to kiss my gator?

Lets check out the ATS numbers:

Ole Miss
Rebels are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

You saw that Florida has one loss against the spread in the SEC in their last 5 and you guessed it…that game was against Ole Miss last year in a 30-24 win. Ole Miss could easily be 4-0 but has suffered a pair of disheartening losses. The Rebels outgained then-No. 20 Wake Forest on the road Sept. 6, but lost 30-28 on a last-second field goal. After beating Samford the next week, Ole Miss hosted Vanderbilt in its SEC opener last Saturday and outgained the Commodores 385-202. Jevan Snead, though, threw four interceptions and the Rebels lost two fumbles in a 23-17 defeat. Snead has talent and the swamp is no cupcake but we think this is too many points. This line opened at 24.5 and is now down to 22. We think you need to jump on it while you can. 62% of the money is betting on the Gators and the line is dropping so Vegas can take more bets for the Gators. As soon as the line stops dropping or rises we know the line is true. Get it while its hot….Ole Miss covers in this game!

Purdue at Notre Dame (Pick Em) – Holy crap this line opened at Notre Dame -3 and moved to pick em. Did hell freeze over? What the eff is going on here? 78% of the money is going to Purdue and that terrifies the hell out of us but the leaping leprechauns are putrid. The ATS numbers:

Purdue
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Boilermakers are 8-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Boilermakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

Head-to-Head
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The ATS numbers are not great but the head-to-head battle is big for Purdue. We think Vegas is out of their mind this game. Unless you live in Indiana you have no idea how important this game is for Purdue against their instate rival. Notre Dame might not give a crapola about Purdue but Purdue sure wants to beat the tar out of Notre Dame. This is Purdue’s bowl game. They hate the Irish. Purdue pissed us off last year with a no cover but they are back with a vengeance this year. The Irish are still bad, very bad. So forget the record for a moment. The Fighting Irish are 111th in the country (out of 119 teams) in rushing offense. They are 107th in total offense and 68th in total defense. Notre Dame’s offensive line, which was the worst in the history of offensive lines last year, is still weak. The only thing they have going for them is somewhat of a passing game. However, Purdue held the great Dan LaFevour down last week. If they can stop that passing game, they can certainly stop Claussen’s. We think this is easy money and is Runny’s pick of the week. Purdue wins and covers easily!!!

Fresno State at UCLA (+6.5) – Sometimes our models totally throw us for a loop and they did it in this game. Even though the pick will defy all logic, we have to stay disciplined to our models and our system. Lets look at some UCLA arse to get our minds focused on the game at hand. This is from the school’s annual undie run. Bet you wish you went there.

Always aim for the middle!

Always aim for the middle! Why didn't we go to a PAC 10 school?!?!?!

Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Fresno State
Bulldogs are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

UCLA
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bruins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Bruins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bruins are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Bruins are 23-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bruins are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in September.

Shocking isn’t it. We wish we had a better reason than, “trust us” but we do not. However, we are all over UCLA in this game and we are getting 6.5 points. Take UCLA and the points!!!!

Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) – Back for another rule of 28 game. This line was 28 when I started writing this post and it moved on us. Damn oddsmakers. Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week and really means absolutely nothing but in terms of golf, Rule 28 is when you are playing golf and you have to rule your ball unplayable and you are left with the following decisions:

a. Play a ball as nearly as possible at the spot from which the original ball was last played (see Rule 20-5); or
b. Drop a ball behind the point where the ball lay, keeping that point directly between the hole and the spot on which the ball is dropped, with no limit to how far behind that point the ball may be dropped; or
c. Drop a ball within two club-lengths of the spot where the ball lay, but not nearer the hole.

So we have a scenario for you. If you deem the ball in the picture unplayable what do you do?

Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?

Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?

Do you a) play the ball where it is? b) drop your ball behind the existing ball? or c) drop the ball within two club lengths. We think B is the clear winner. Drop it behind and get right in there. Is there a game associated with this? Oh yeah…The ATS numbers:

Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Razorbacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.

Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Got it. Texas looks damn good this year and Arkansas blows. Alabama beat the piss out of them at Arkansas. Texas will beat them worse in Austin. Texas wins and covers!!!!!

Miss State at LSU (-24) – We did not like the points Florida had to make to cover in their game but we love it for LSU. We made some fat coin on LSU last year when they played Mississippi State and we are back for more. We love this game this week and will just show yo usome of the ATS numbers heads up:

Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Get our drift. Only thing that pisses us off about this game is the 2006 game. Flash missed a ten team parlay by 3.5 effing points when LSU benched all of their starters and let the Bulldogs come back and cover. Flash was in Vegas at the time and it would have been his biggest payday ever. LSU has defeated the Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) eight straight times by an average margin of 32.4 points since a 17-16 road loss Oct. 23, 1999. Now that Lee is the QB, LSU should roll in this game. No way Miss. State can hang. LSU wins and covers!!!!!!

Virginia at Duke (-7) – Duke is actually favored by a TD. I think the stars are aligned funny and the world is about to end. Notre Dame is favored or a pick em against Purdue and there is a BCS opponent that Duke is favored against by a TD. Holy crap, run for the hills. Virginia is a mess and now has to play without the QB that won the starting job because he got tossed out of school. UVS sucked with him and will suck worse without him. Lalich is actually trying to get into Oregon State and will be at the USC/Beavers game this evening. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia
Cavaliers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Virginia is bad and might even be worse than Notre Dame. We know that is hard to believe but a UVA/ND matchup would probably be competitive. Man we love rubbing it in the face of ND fans. Thank god they ran Holtz out of town so the program is in shambles. Duke is on their way up and will enjoy some home town support. Duke should easily win and cover in this game!!!

Flash Flash Picks (5-1 on the season)

Florida International at Toledo (-20) – Get on this line before it goes over 21 points. Toledo can score with the best of them and lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State last week. Florida International is terrible. Do not buy into the close cover against South Florida last week. FIU was playing in their home opener and first game in a new stadium and blew their wad. Some ATS numbers: Golden Panthers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden Panthers are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rockets are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games. Toledo will come out fast and furious and FIU doe snot have an answer. Toledo wins and covers easily!!!

TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) – Both of these teams are rolling. Nothing needs to be said about Oklahoma. Nobody really knows anything about TCU though. TCU is tough as hell and actually beat Oklahoma in 2005 as 25 point road underdogs. This year TCU has a solid offense and its defense is actually playing better than Oklahoma’s. In addition, TCU is turning the ball over less. Here are the ATS numbers:

TCU
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Good numbers out of both teams. TCU has actually won their last two games in Norman. I think 18.5 points is just too much to ask as a spread versus the TCU defense. I do not think TCU wins but I think they can keep their loss under 18.5 points. Take TCU with the points!!!

Runny Pelvis Picks (11-9 on the season)

SMU @ Tulane (-18): Flash bailed on me on this one because he is afraid of the points. Chickenshit!! I’m not scurred!! I love betting on creoles on Thursday nights!!! My penchant for crawfish aside, here are some facts: Tulane is 11-1 ATS in their 12 as favorites off non-conference game vs opponent off a SU loss, Tulane is 5-1 ATS vs opponent they beat the year before who is off back to back SU losses and they are 9-2 ATS at home off of a double digit SU win. SMU facts: they suck. I’m riding the Green Wave this week!! Take Tulane -18.

USC @ Oregon State (+25.5): The boys in Vegas are PRAYING Oregon State covers this one. The line has gone up all week, but everyone is crushing USC in this one. The Vegas books are refusing to raise the line. This scares us. So do the ATS numbers-ORST is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against USC at home, and they are 6-0 ATS off of double digit ATS win against teams that beat them the year before who are off of a SU win. Not looking good for USC. However, USC is ridiculous this year. Ridiculous. It is not the same USC team from the past 3 games in Corvallis. Think about it-USC destroyed the #5 team in the country in their last game. They will do the same this week. They are 12-3 ATS with rest. Carroll has already come out and said they want to end the game early so they can get their 4th string QB some reps!!! This will be a beatdown. Take USC -25.5.

Minn @ OSU (-18): I hate making this pick because I hate both teams so very much. However, I’m about picking winners first, so that always prevails. OSU is fresh off a massacre in SoCal and a less than sensational win (but no cover-like I said last week) last week. However, the key to last week’s game is that Tressel started Pryor. It made a huge difference. That kid is legit, and he is only gonna get better. Plus, Beanie Wells is back this week, it is OSU’s Big 10 opener and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Minn. Take OSU -18.

MSU @ IU (+8): As I mentioned last week, I was at the IU-Ball State game in Bloomington last week. IU shocked me at how bad they are. In particular, their QB play was terrible and they could not stop Ball State. Even worse, their fans were total pu$$ies. Total pu$$ies. The Ball State fans were much louder. Unacceptable during a home game. MSU has Jevon Ringer. IU couldn’t stop Ball State’s running game last week, so they have no chance of stopping Ringer. Here are some facts: MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against IU, MSU is 4-1 ATS in the game before Iowa and IU is 1-9 ATS off a SU favorite loss against teams that beat them the year before. That is terrible. MSU wins big. Take MSU -8.

Also, we are still researching the Wisconsin-Michigan, Colorado-FSU, Tenn-Auburn, ILL-PSU and Bama-GA games, but we haven’t made up my mind yet. We will do so by Friday. Check back with us for these picks. These may be individual picks (or maybe nothing at all), but we will at least have substantial opinions on all.

We are going to leave you with this video because we know some of you like em less curvy…

Another tough day in the life of Runny and Flash. Cash and ASS!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

September 25, 2008 Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, Ass, Ball State Cardinals, Beanie Wells, Beavers, Betting, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boilermakers, Bruins, Buckeyes, Charlie Weis, Dan LaFevour, Duke, Eliot Spitzer, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida Gators, Florida International, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Golden Gophers, Heidi Klum, Horned Frogs, Indiana Hoosiers, Jim Tressel, Jimmy Claussen, Kent State, Keyra Augustina, Kim Kardashian, Les Miles, LSU Tigers, MAC, Miami Hurricanes, Michigan State, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mississippi State, NC, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Oregon State, Pac-10, Purdue, SEC, SMU Mustangs, Sooners, South Bend, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, TCU, Texas Longhorns, Thong, Tim Tebow, Toledo Rockets, Trojans, Tulane, UCLA, Urban Meyer, USC, USC Trojans, UVA, Virginia Cavaliers, Winning Picks | 8 Comments

9/20/2008 – Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks – Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!

First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.

Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.

Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….

And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….

And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.

Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.

Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Temple at Penn State (-28.5)
– Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:

Temple

Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.

Penn State

NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.

LSU at Auburn (+2.5)
– This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:

LSU

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.

Auburn

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.

Wake Forest at Florida State (-5)
– This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:

Wake Forest

Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Florida State

Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) – Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….

Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Michigan State

Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.

Head-to-Head

Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.

Runny Versus Flash – The Great Debate Game

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State
– Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:

Georgia

Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Arizona State

Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.

Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.

Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap – THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?

The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.

(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).

Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.

Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28

Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:

Wyoming at BYU (-28) – BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!

Rice at Texas (-28) – Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!

Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)

VaTech at UNC (-3) – UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.

Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) – Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.

Iowa at Pitt (+1) – This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.

Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) – You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.

Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) – OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.

Bama at Ark (+8.5) – HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game.  What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.

Ball State at Indiana (-3) – I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.

Florida at TENN (+7.5) – THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.

Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Flash and Runny

P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.

September 19, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Alabama Tide, Angelina Jolie, Arizona State, Arkansas Razorbacks, Ass, Auburn Tigers, Ball State Cardinals, BCS, Beanie Wells, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bobby Petrino, Boilermakers, Bruins, Buckeyes, BYU Cougars, Central Michigan, Charlie Weis, Chippewas, Crimson Tide, Dan LaFevour, Demon Deacons, Dennis Erickson, East Carolina, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Football, Frank Beamer, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Georgia Tech, Indiana Hoosiers, Iowa Hawkeyes, Irish, Jim Tressel, Jimmy Claussen, Keyra Augustina, Knowshon Moreno, Les Miles, LSU Tigers, MAC, Mark Richt, Matt Stafford, Michigan State, Mississippi State, Mountaineers, NC, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nick Saban, Nittany Lions, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Owls, Pac-10, Panthers, Penn State, Pittsburgh Panthers, Purdue, Rey Maualuga, Rice Owls, Rudy Carpenter, SEC, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, Temple Owls, Tennessee, Texas Longhorns, Thong, Tim Tebow, Troy Trojans, UCLA, UNLV, Urban Meyer, USC Trojans, VaTech, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Volunteers, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Winning Picks, Wyoming, Yellow Jackets | 3 Comments

NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!

We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!

Heidi Klum ass

Dahm Triplet asses

Anna Kournikova Ass

and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)

Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.

Friday, September 12

Kansas at South Florida (-3) – It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?

Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:

Kansas

Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

South Florida

Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.


Saturday, September 13

Cal at Maryland (+14.5) – We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.

You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:

California

Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) – When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:

Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.

Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) – This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!

Penn State at Syracuse (+27) – Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:

Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.

Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.

Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) – Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:

Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!

Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) – It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:

Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!

Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)

I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).

Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)

UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.

Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.

Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One.  They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.

Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.

NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a  conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.

Flash Flash and Runny

Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

September 11, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Anna Kournikova, Ass, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, Bulls, California, Charlie Weis, Chase Daniel, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Crimson Tide, Dahm Triplets, Delaware, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Heidi Klum, Jeff Tedford, Jimmy Claussen, Kansas Jayhawks, Keyra Augustina, Knowshon Moreno, Mark Mangino, Mark Richt, Maryland, Matt Stafford, Michigan, Michigan Wolverines, Mississippi State, Missouri, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nittany Lions, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Oregon Ducks, Pac-10, Penn State, Purdue, Rich Rodriguez, Rutgers, SEC, South Bend, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Sports, Steve Spurrier, Syracuse, Tar Heels, Terrapins, Texas Tech, Thong, Tuberville, Tulane, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, Utah State Aggies, Utah Utes, Vegas, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack, Wolverines | 5 Comments

2007-2008 NCAA Football Bowl Preview: RPJ Syndicate’s Guide to Making Money

We concluded the NCAA Football regular season with a record of 59-54. We were 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets, which were our super bets meaning we bet 5 times our normal unit. This approach led us to win 13 units on the season. Take away the Vig (about 10%) and we are working with with just under 12 units….11.7 to be exact. We would have liked to win more but we won and that is a lot better than other so called “experts can say”.

The reason we started our blog is because we went 19-4 during last season’s Bowl Season. We crushed it!!!! Combining our record with an article in the Wall Street Journal about a sports picker out in Cal-Berkely who was giving away his picks for free and winning at a nice rate. Well this Cal-Berkeley guy made his picks for pay when he had enough of a fan base and he was making $10k a month in his first few months on top of his gambling money. We know our system and our picking are world class and we are revealing all of our picks to you for free. You the reader are reaping the benefits of a free winning system. The point of gambling is not to have more fun while watching games…the point is to make cold hard cash and when you follow us, as we proved during this season, you make cash!!!

Now the point of this Bowl season is to take your/our 11.7 units and turn that into a lot more. We are going to give you specific reasons why we are picking a game and sometimes we might just tell you to pick a game just like we did with our pick of PITT to cover against West Virginia for their December 1 game. Our betting system is based on a trial and tested system and we always put our money where our mouth is with no exceptions.

For this bowl season we are going to set up a system for you where you bet 1,2,3,4,5 and the Super Bet for as many betting units as you are willing to risk. The Super Bet is our 99.99999% lock!! These bets are called:

The Super Bet = The Keyra Shake that Money Maker bet – These will be our super lock bets. The bets we are taking out second mortgages, bank loans, hitting up friends and relatives…you get the picture. Bet as much as you can stomach bets.

5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet – We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it.

4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet – In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.

Below is the schedule for all bowl games this season. We are going to pick as many games as our system spits out. Do not expect us to pick every game but we will have action on most of them. We will probably post our picks on this blog 1-2 days before each bowl. Please feel free to ask us any questions or post comments on this blog. Our email is rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Sincerely,

Flash Flash and Runny

2007-08 College Football Bowl Schedule

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
Utah (-9) vs. Navy
Dec. 20, 9 p.m.

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Memphis (+2) vs. Florida Atlantic
Dec. 21, 8 p.m.

Papajohns.com Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati (-11)
Dec. 22, 1 p.m.

New Mexico Bowl
Nevada vs. New Mexico (-3)
Dec. 22, 4:30 p.m.

Pioneer Las Vegas
UCLA vs. BYU (-5.5)
Dec. 22, 8 p.m.

Sheraton Hawaii
Boise State (-10.5) vs. East Carolina
Dec. 23, 8 p.m.

Motor City
Purdue (-9.5) vs. Central Michigan
Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m.

Pacific Life Holiday
Arizona State (+1.5) vs. Texas
Dec. 27, 8 p.m.

Champs Sports
Boston College (-3) vs. Michigan State
Dec. 28, 5 p.m.

Texas
TCU vs. Houston (+3.5)
Dec. 28, 8 p.m.

Emerald
Maryland vs. Oregon State (-4.5)
Dec. 28, 8:30 p.m.

Meineke Car Care
UConn vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
Dec. 29, 1 p.m.

AutoZone Liberty
UCF vs. Mississippi State (+3)
Dec. 29, 4:30 p.m.

Valero Alamo
Penn State vs. Texas A and M (+5.5)
Dec. 29, 8 p.m.

PetroSun Independence
Alabama (-3.5) vs. Colorado
Dec. 30, 8 p.m.

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
California (-4) vs. Air Force
Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.

Roady’s Humanitarian
Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs. Fresno State
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Brut Sun
South Florida (-6.5) vs. Oregon
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Gaylord Hotels Music City
Kentucky (-1) vs. Florida State
Dec. 31, 4 p.m.

Insight
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (-4.5)
Dec. 31, 6 p.m.

Chick-fil-A
Clemson (-2.5) vs. Auburn
Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m.

Outback
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 11 a.m.

AT and T Cotton
Missouri (-3.5) vs. Arkansas
Jan. 1, 2008, 11:30 a.m.

Gator
Texas Tech vs. Virginia (+5.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Capital One
Michigan vs. Florida (-10.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Illinois vs. USC (-13.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 4:30 p.m.

Allstate Sugar
Hawaii vs. Georgia (-9.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 8:30 p.m.

Tostitos Fiesta
Oklahoma (-6.5) vs. West Virginia
Jan. 2, 2008, 8 p.m.

FedEx Orange
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Kansas
Jan. 3, 2008, 8 p.m.

International
Rutgers (-9.5) vs. Ball State
Jan. 5, 2008, Noon

GMAC
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa (-4)
Jan. 6, 2008, 8 p.m.

Allstate BCS Championship Game
LSU (-6) vs. Ohio State
Jan. 7, 2008, 8 p.m.

December 4, 2007 Posted by | Air Force Falcons, Alabama Tide, Arizona State, Arkansas Razorbacks, Auburn Tigers, Ball State Cardinals, BCS, Big East, Big Ten, Boise State Broncos, Boston College, Bowling Green, BYU Cougars, California, Central Florida, Central Michigan, Charlie Weis, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Colorado Buffaloes, Dahm Triplets, Derek Jeter, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Georgia Tech, Hawaii Rainbows, Heidi Klum, Houston, Illinois, Indiana Hoosiers, Kansas Jayhawks, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Keyra Augustina, LSU, LSU Tigers, Maryland, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan State, Midshipmen, Mississippi State, Missouri, Navy, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nevada, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Oregon Ducks, Oregon State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, South Florida, Southern Miss, TCU, Tenn, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Texas Longhorns, Texas Tech, Trojans, Tulsa, UCLA, Uconn, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, UVA, VaTech, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers | Leave a comment

NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: 9 Winning Picks and a Trip To See TD Jesus

We were 4-2 last week but missed our Brinks Truck bet so the Brinks Truck is in the shop this weekend getting tuned up. What we do have is 9 great picks for you this weekend. Because we are always up front and honest…we are 24-18 on the season, 3-3 for Brinks Truck bets and we are up 6 units. The 6 units is a joke and we plan on turning that around ASAP.

For our nine picks this week, we are going to break them down into 4 betting categories. First up is the ” Clean Sweep”. The clean sweep means a team meets our statistical betting criteria. The public data we share with you for the clean sweep is the following:

Offensive rushing yards per game
Offensive 3rd down efficiency
Defensive rushing yards given up per game
Defensive 3rd down efficiency
Turnover ratio

When a team meets these 5 figures they win more times than not because they control the clock, can move the ball, stop opponents from controlling the clock, stop opponents from moving up and down the field and do not turn the ball over.

The Clean Sweep Games of the Week:

1) Cincy @ Pitt (plus 9.5) – Cincy is going to be very pissed off following their loss to Louisville and PITT just can not get anything going. Even Navy passed all over them last week. Yes Navy passed the ball successfully on PITT. In what could be a turn of events that actually helps PITT, their coach, Dave Wannstedt, tore his achilles tendon and will probable coach the game from the press box. We saw what good old Dave was able to do against Navy and that was coach his team out of a win. Being in the press box and away from the players and flow of the game might help PITT. However, please be serious here, Cincinnati is ninth in the country in scoring average at 40.6 points per game, while Pitt has given up an average of 42.0 points in its last three contests. This game will be ugly. Ride Cincy and their 5 and 1 record against the spread. Easy cash in this one.

2) Miss St. @ West Virginia (minus 24) – Plain and simple stats for this one. Miss. St. can not stop the run and turns the ball over. West Virginia should have no problem taking control of this game. West Virginia is coming off a bye and Pat White should have had plenty of time to get healthy. Last year and on the road, West Virginia won 42-14. We expect this game to be even more ugly. Mountaineers mount the boys from Mississipp and make em squeal like pigs.

3) Kansas @ Colorado (plus 3.5) – Kansas is becoming one of our favorite teams and is undefeated against the spread at 5 and 0. Last year Kansas won 20-15 and this year’s team is a lot better. Colorado just lost 47-20 to the same Kansas State team Kansas beat. This spread should really be over 10. Jayhawks splatter their poo all over the Buffs.

4) Texas @ Baylor (plus 25) – We saw what Kansas could do against Baylor, a 58-10 win and Texas should whoop them even worse. Baylor might be competitive against the cellar dwellers like Notre Dame but they will be hooked by the Horns. Texas in a blowout.

5) Oregon @ Washington (plus 11.5) – Oregon is really hot. We see this as a parallel to the USC team that lost to CAL in 3-OT a few years back. After that loss the Trojans went on a tear, ultimately destroying Michigan in the Rose Bowl. Well this Oregon team, after suffering a disappointing loss to Cal is on fire after destroying Wash. St. 53-7 last week. Oregon is probably the most explosive team in the Pac-10 and will continue to prove it this week. Ducks blow out Washington by more than 20.

6) Oklahoma @ Iowa St. (plus 29.5) – Iowa St. is the Sooners’ red headed step child. All time they are 66-5-2 in the series. What a freakin joke. So the question is not will Oklahoma win but by how much. The Cyclones lost to Texas 56-3 last week and we expect a similar score. Easy win for the Sooners.

The “Wash” Game of the week

Sometimes we look at a game and do not see one clear winner that stands out meaning the teams are essentially even. We have one such game this weekend.

7) Tennessee @ Alabama (pick em) – Tennessee rushes for 19 more yards a game and the teams are equal in offensive 3rd down conversions. On defense, Alabama is a little better against the run and the teams are even in third down conversion percentage. Turnover ratio favors Alabama 6 to 1 and we think this will be the difference. This game dropped to pick em and we love not having to worry about points, picking the home team and the team that turns the ball over less. Roll Tide Roll. Alabama wins this game.

The SEC Road Cover of the Week

8) Auburn @ LSU (minus 10.5) – The SEC has had some great games the last few weeks and the number one lesson to learn is to not bet on the favorite in the higher spread games. Auburn’s defense proved they can play with the Florida offense and will have no problem with the LSU offense. We do not think Auburn wins but we know they will keep it closer than 10.5 points. Against ranked teams Auburn keeps it close; 3 points with South Florida, 3 points with Florida, 2 points with Arkansas. Take Auburn and the points and watch as they strike fear into another SEC team.

The Fever Game

9) Central Michigan @ Clemson (minus 16.5) – Dancin, Dancin, YEAH!!!! We got the fever for LaFevour once again. Central Michigan has been a cover machine the last three weeks and they covered easily. Our boy Dan LaFevour has the Chippewas playing aggressive football and we think they can keep it close with Clemson and certainly closer than the 16.5 points they are getting. Look at these numbers, this game is too easy: Chippewas are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Chippewas are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Chippewas are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Chippewas are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. And then we get to look at Clemson: Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Tigers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

If these numbers do not convince you to get the Fever for LaFevour than you are in the wrong business. Stop betting, send us your money and in return we will send you a jar of tiddly winks.

On a side note, we both go to the USC/Notre Dame game in South Bend every two years and this weekend will be no different. We normally would put out a prediction on this game but Runny wants to bet USC cause he hates ND and Flash wants to bet ND cause USC has been dog vomint for three weeks in a row. We both think USC wins easily and the Trojans defenders might actually physically kill a Notre Dame player because their offense is so terrible. Notre Dame would be better off playing 11 of those little leprechauns from the Lucky Charms commercial cause USC is going to physically dominate them. Also, if you see two drunk USC clowns in the Notre Dame alumni tent feel free to say hello. We will be the ones double fisting bloodies and beers and heckling the demented leprechaun lovers. How in the hell can BC be favored by 13.5 points in South Bend and the Trojans opened at 20.5 points. At least they dropped down to 18 and continue to go down but give me a freakin break. If Vegas were legit at setting lines this game would have an 8-10 point spread.

*****10/19/2007***** We needed to post this story about USC…Trojans endure harrowing flight

This is big news. There is one other game we can remember this year where this happened and it was when Southern Miss travelled to Boise St and got blown out 38-16 and did not cover the 10.5 point spread. Please remember that these guys are kids and they just were on a plane where they thought they were going to die. It is not surprising that I have seen some “experts” actually pick ND for an outright win now after this news was announced. We still think USC wins but Flash thinks this is even more reason why ND will cover. Runny absolutely refuses to give ND any credit and still is on the USC to cover bandwagon. We are here to share info and we feel like this is important betting information that needs to spread.

We hope you enjoy the picks. We have been winners for 6 of the 7 weeks of the NCAA season and we love our picks this week. If you want any picks from us or reasons why we did not bet a game let us know. Simply post a comment and we will get back to you within a couple of hours. Our money is always where our mouth is and that means we share the fruits of our labor with you,our readers.

Flash Flash and Runny

October 18, 2007 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Auburn Tigers, Baylor Bears, BCS, Bearcats, Bulldogs, Central Michigan, Chippewas, Clemson, Colorado Buffaloes, Crimson Tide, cyclones, Fighting Irish, Iowa State, Irish, Kansas Jayhawks, Les Miles, LSU, LSU Tigers, Mississippi State, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oregon Ducks, Pittsburgh Panthers, Sooners, Tennessee, Texas Longhorns, Tigers, USC, USC Trojans, Volunteers, Washington Huskies, West Virginia | 18 Comments