RPJ Betting Syndicate

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MLB & NBA Picks

Been a while since I made some picks. Here are my results to date:

  • MLB: 16-18
  • NBA: 16-6-1
  • UFC: 4-2

Let’s see if I can get my MLB record up where it needs to be. Unfortunately, I only like three lines for tomorrow’s (Friday’s) action.

  • Braves @ Rockies. Two of the games young guns square of in this one. James for the Braves. Francis for the Rockies. I like Francis a lot. I don’t think he is even close to hitting his potential. Even in that park. He is a slight underdog at home (Braves are -108, Rockies -102). He shouldn’t be. I’m taking the Rockies -102.
  • Rays vs. A’s. Rays’ current streak is a little misleading. They are coming off an absolute beatdown of the Yanks, but that is somewhat deceptive. The Yanks are terrible and play with no heart on a consistent basis and they have the worse manager in baseball. A win against them isn’t that impressive, even for the Rays. However, things like that, especially for a young team, can build momentum fast. Real fast. They will be without Baldelli (possibly), but the A’s have been decimated by injuries. Harden. Swisher. They are all banged-up. They still play with fire though and never quit. Hats off to Bob Geren. That said, I think the Rays take this one. I think they ride the Yanks series and keep pressing. I like the line, too. Shields MOWED in his last start. I’m taking the Rays +140.
  • Red Sox @ Yanks. Couldn’t let this one go. Espeically given the two starters: AP for the Yanks, Nomo II for the Sox. Between Sockgate, Schilling’s vagina, Nomo II’s overratedness, the Yanks being soft and having the worse manager in baseball, there is always so many sideshow debacles to this series that even if you don’t like either team, it is impossible not to check it out. The thing about last weekend’s beatdown is that the Yanks were in every game. They should have taken two out of three. I think they right the ship tomorrow night. I think they get to Nomo II early and often. I like AP as a stopper. I don’t think the Yanks will lose 7 in a row (despite Torre). I’m taking the Yanks -122. 

NBA

  • Bulls @ Heat. The Heat have looked terrible in this series. The Bulls have been playing like a team possessed. I think they hate the Heat and are looking to crush them. Despite that, the Heat are favorites at home. Vegas must be thinking that Riley can motivate them and right the ship. I think he will enough so to win, but not cover. I think this game will be close. I’m taking the Bulls +5.5.
  • Raptors @ Nets. This has been a great series. Love watching Kidd run the floor and Bosh just be Bosh. Bosh is probably my favorite player the the league right now. HUGE fan. Wish he didn’t play in Toronto though. This will be another good game. I like the Nets to cover at home though. I’m taking the Nets -4.5.
  • Warriors @ Mavs. Can someone pull Stephen Jackson aside and shake the sh*t out of him? Please! I think he was jealous that Baron got tossed, so he acted a fool just so he wouldn’t be left out. That team makes no sense. Nellie looks like he is going to explode in every interview. Everytime. Even when they win. Baron went off the reservation in a game his team still had a legit chance of winning. Nellie should bench him to start the game. No need for that prima donna crap. I think the Mavs figured out that they actually need to start playing. I think they CRUSH the Warriors. It will be ugly. This line is a joke and a mistake. I’m taking the Mavs -4.5.

Those are my picks. Good luck.

Runny

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April 27, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Derek Jeter, Dice-K, Fenway, Francona, Gambling, Giambi, gyroball, Hall of Fame, Heat, Hideki Matsui, Japan, Jeter, Joe Torre, Kei Igawa, Kyle Farnsworth, Lacrosse, Mariano Rivera, Matsuzaka, Mike Mussina, MLB, nba, NBA Playoffs Picks, New York, Red Sox, Schilling, Scott Proctor, Shaq, State of the Yankees, Terry Francona, ufc, Winning Picks, Yankees | Leave a comment

MLB, NBA & UFC Picks

Took some bad beats yesterday. Bullpen let me down in the Pirates-Dodgers, and Grienke was terrible. Split in the NBA and went 2-1 in UFC. How about the BEATDOWN Cro Crop caught last night?!?!?!?! One of the best kncokouts I’ve ever seen. I think Gonzaga-Couture will be a GREAT fight. Couture will have his hands full. OSU Syndrome written all over it. With yesterday’s debacle, my record is as follows:

  • MLB: 14-15
  • NBA: 14-4-2
  • UFC: 4-1

Ouch. Yesterday hurt. Need to make up for it today. Here it goes:

NBA

  • Wiz @ Cavs. Not really much analysis in this one. Wiz are without Arenas and Butler. Easy win for the Cavs. I like the Cavs -11.
  • Lakers @ Suns. Suns want to make a statement in this one. Kobe does play extrememly well against them though. He always rises to the competition. I just think the Suns have too much fire power. I’m taking the Suns -11.
  • Nuggets @ Spurs. I’ve picked the Spurs a few times recently, eventhough they seldom cover. I’m not doing it this time. I think the Spurs win, but they will pull their starters to save them for the post season. Nuggets have enough to cover. I’m taking the Nuggets +8.5.
  • Warriors @ Mavs. This game will be a beatdown. Warriors are thanful to be in the playoffs. Mavs are rested and ready. Mavs win this easy. The spread should be higher. I’m taking the Mavs -9.5.

MLB

  • Braves @ Mets. Smoltz vs. Glavine. Need I say more? GREAT match-up of two future Hall of Famers. Can’t wait to see this one.  Both guys will be amped to face each other. I just like Smoltz better in this one. I also think it will be low scoring. I’m taking the Braves +115. I’m also taking the under @ 8.5.
  • Pirates @ Dodgers. See if I can get this one right-haha. I like Gorzelanny a lot. He’ll out pitch Tomko (and hoepfully get some Pen help). I’m taking the Pirates +125.
  • White Sox @ Tigers. Sox are playing REALLY well right now. I think they sweep. I’m taking the White Sox +140.
  • Yanks @ Red Sox. Nomo II finally gets his first taste of the rivalry. Teams have shown that if you are patient, you can get to him. He is a much different pitcher with runners on base. Eventhough th Yanks are starting a rookie, have the worse manager in baseball and have played like a AAA team in this series, I don’t think thye get swept. Yanks are huge underdogs in this. I’m taking the Yanks +165.

Those are my picks. Good luck.

Runny.

April 22, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Derek Jeter, Dice-K, Fenway, Gambling, Giambi, gyroball, Jeter, Joe Torre, Kyle Farnsworth, Mariano Rivera, Matsuzaka, Mets, Mike Mussina, MLB, mma, nba, NBA Playoffs Picks, New York, Red Sox, Schilling, Scott Proctor, Terry Francona, ufc, Winning Picks, Wizards, Yankees | Leave a comment

Yankees versus Red Sox – Let’s Get Ready to Rumble….kind of,

Well baseball fans, it is that time of year again. Yankees versus Red Sox, the cream of the crop of the AL East, two of the best teams in baseball, all the big names….Arod, Jeter, Pettite, Rivera, Giambi vs. Beckett, Schilling, Dice-K, Papi, Manny…basically it is a baseball fan’s dream. So how do we look at this weekend? The pressure is entirely on the Red Sox, 100%. Why do you ask? It is simple:

Pettite vs. Schilling – Red Sox are favored
Karstens vs. Beckett – it is really no contest, Red Sox are favored
Wright vs. Dice – K – Yeah you guessed it, Red Sox are favored

All of the pressure is on the Red Sox. This is not Pettite, Mussina and Wang rolling in, even Pavano would be a step up over Karstens and Wright. No, it is Andy P and Schilling and then Yank’s minor leaguers versus arguably the Red Sox two best pitchers. If I am a Red Sox fan, which I am not, I would be disappointed at anything but a 3-0 sweep. The Sox get to roll out their 1,2,3..their top of the rotaion guys and those guys expect to win and the fans expect them to win. So why is the pressure off of the Yanks, because if they do get swept they can simply say they are banged up and had to throw minor league pitchers at the Red Sox. They have an out.

Schilling and Beckett know what this series is all about but Dice-K has no idea. Dice-K has one Fenway start and he was completely outpitched by King Felix. The Yankees batting order will be like nothing Dice-K has ever seen. The one stat I blogged about earlier in the week is key to the Dice-K start. Dice-K’s OBP when pitching from the stretch is 90 pints higher than from the windup. This stat is not based on this year but spans his entire career. I think the Yanks hitters will take a lot of pitches and will frustrate Dice-K. The Yanks also have speed at the top of the lineup, which is something Dice-K has not seen yet as well. This could be a long start for him and I am predicting that this will be the worst start of his short MLB career.

The Arod debate. Arod is on fire and does not need any more attention. Yankee fans still do not trust Arod and this series will either keep Arod hitting on the war path or will humble him a bit. The entire world knows Arod crumbles in big spots and the Yanks inexperienced starters are going to need all the offensive help they can get. This series will be big for Arod because everybody will want to know if he can remain hot or if he crumbles under the pressure like he has in Fenway in the past and especially the playoffs. A hot April does not predict a hot October and Arod still has a lot to prove.

I am willing to live blog the Dice-K Sunday start if peple request it. Check out my live blog of his first Fenway start to see what I can do. I hope this is a good series and a competitive one.

Flash Flash

April 20, 2007 Posted by | Derek Jeter, Dice-K, ESPN, Fenway, Giambi, Hideki Matsui, Japan, Jeter, Joe Torre, Kei Igawa, Kyle Farnsworth, Mariano Rivera, Matsuzaka, Mike Mussina, New York, Red Sox, Schilling, Scott Proctor, Sports, State of the Yankees, Yankees | Leave a comment

State of the Yankees

We are nearly though the first two weeks of the season. Very happy to see MLB celebrate Jackie Robinson Day today. Very classy and it should be done every year. Only disappointing part of the celebration was that I wish EVERY player wore #42. I like that a few players from each team wore Jackie’s jersey, but it would have been a great sign of solidarity if everyone wore his uniform as tribute.

As you probably know, Flash and I are HUGE Yankees fans. Neither of us live in NY, but we make the pilgrimage to the Stadium every year for opening day. The Yankees are pretty much all we think about, and we obsess over the team like crazy. Throughout the season, from time-to-time I will write a State of the Yankees post to cover various topics concerning the greatest sports franchise ever assembled. So, here goes my first shot:

Starting Pitching

Not sure I’ve ever seen a collection of sallies this large and this well paid. Leading the charge of my angst is, of course, Carla Pavano. Is there a worse athlete?!?!?! Ever?!?!? His latest stint on the DL began today with Carla mysteriously injuring his forearm. How does he get away with this?!?!?!? He looked great in his last start-probably his best pitching performance since he shat on the Yankees in the 2003 Series. So, he must have injured the said forearm doing something else that wasn’t related to his last start….I can only imagine what that was and it fits his sorry MO. Here is my first plea to Cashman: PLEASE CUT HIM NOW!! Pretty please! We are better off bringing up a new starter from the minors every fifth day than to let Pavano take the mound again. Remember, this is the same guy who missed a start because his girlfriend was sick. Nothing against his girlfriend (I hope she was OK), but c’mon!!!!!!!

Speaking of his girlfriend, as an aside I’d like to give herprops for doing what we want to do-kick him to the curb. For those of you who don’t know her, her name is Gia Allemand and she booted Carla right at the beginning of the season. Of course, she is an aspiring model and has her own website. Check her out at www.giaallemand.com. A little warning, the site is horrendous and if you visit, turn the volume on your computer off. There is cheesey, 70’s porn theme music that relentlessly plays over and over again. Again, terrible site, but she deserves our respect.

Also, take a look at this article from the NY Post: www.nypost.com/seven/03302007/news/nationalnews/pavano_gal_pal_drops_bomber_nationalnews_richard_johnson_and_david_k__li.htm

This could be the funniest thing I have ever read. Especially her quote of “I was the one that trained him and got him there all year,” she told Steppin’ Out’s Chaunce Hayden. She trained him?!?!?!?!?!??! Please tell me that is true!!! Please!!!! Would help explain many things about Carla. Back to the Yanks….

Unfortunately for the Yankees, Carla is not the only clown on their pitching staff. Wang has yet to make a start. Joining him on the DL (and Carla, too) is Mike Mussina. He walked off the mound in his last start because of a bum hammy. He’ll probably be out until the all-star break. I do like Moose  a lot. However, now hat he is on the DL, too, I wonder if Carla will now be giving him grief for “not wanting to be a part of the team,” “or not proving to his teammates that he wants to pitch”? If you remember, Moose publicly blasted Carla before camp started about his stints on the DL for seemingly minor injuries. I guess that doesn’t apply to everyone. Nice showing, Moose.

Kei Igawa…I don’t even need to write more. He needs to be gone immediately. I rip on Red Sox fans I know for spending too much money on Nomo II, but the Yankees signing of Igawa (almost $26 mil total) may be worse. Cashman jumped the shark with that signing and I can only imagine he did so as a knee jerk response to losing out on Nomo II. No other explanation. I’ve seen him pitch a few times. Joe Kerrigan throws better warm-up in the Pen.

The state of the current pitching situation leads me to conclude one thing: the Philip Hughes Era needs to begin today. Call him up to fill one of the three DL spots they have. Give him a spot and shot to try it out. He is young and cocky. His confidence is not going to be ruined if he gets roughed-up. He is tough. In fact, guarantee his spot and let the the four clowns mentionedin this post compete for the job whenever they decide it would be good to earn their checks. After-all, Torre guaranteed a spot to Mientkewicz (I don’t care if that is spelled wrong-he is terrible) and that turned out super (I think through today’s game, he wasn’t hitting his weight).  Why not do it for someone with talent?

Offense

#13 (still not calling him by name) has started the season with a flourish. Absolutely killing the ball. However, I’ve seen enough of him in clutch situations to know that the other shoe could drop at anytime. For now, I will compliment him and say that he has looked DAMN good at the plate and in the field (notwithstanding the bonehead play on opening day). He has popped out a lot with the bases loaded. he is still leaving a lot of runners on. However, it is a great start so far. Hopefully he keeps it up.

Giambi has started slow, but recently he has been hitting the ball hard. He had a good series in Oakland. Hopefully he will capitalize on that momentum. Jeter is Jeter (except for his glove). With the exception of Vlad Guerrero, there is no other hitter in MLB that I’d rather see at bat than Bobby Abreu. He pummels pitchers. Absolutely eats them up. His ABs earlier in the week against Ponson were priceless. The ESPN announcers calling that game even commented that after Ponson faced Abreu, he was sweating so much they thought he was going to pass out. Plus, his swing is a thing of beauty. Posada is starting off well. So is Cano and Melky is finally starting to show that last year was no fluke.

Bottom-line is the offense is looking good. Hoping it will be even better once warmer weather sets in.

Defense

The defense has been atrocious. This is not a good defensive team, but no one thought they would be this bad. Leading the way, very surprisingly so, is Jeter. He is already halfway to his error total for the entire 2006 season. Very unlike him. Hopefully it is a fluke and he puts it together. I think he will. This team has a good offense, but not good enough to overcome the errors on a consistent basis to win games. Definitely not enough to win the Series. They need to improve.

Bullpen

Has been the best part of the club. Bruneytime is legit and will unseat Proctor and Farnsworth as Torre’s main set-up man for Mo. With the exception of Mo’s blown save today, the pen has been phenomenal. Very happy with their performance to date.

Overall Grade: I know it is only the first two weeks, but I will give a grade for each State of the Yankees post. For the first two weeks, I’ll give them a B-.Their offense has been good, their pen has been amazing, but both are heavily outweighed by the piss poor defense and the sallies on the starting staff (with the exception of AP). They need to get better in both areas if they hope to compete for a long October run. This team should be much better, but they are underachieving big-time.

So that’s my first shot. I’ll keep them coming.

Runny

April 16, 2007 Posted by | Derek Jeter, Dice-K, Gia Allemand, Hideki Matsui, Jackie Robinson, Joe Torre, Kei Igawa, Kyle Farnsworth, Mariano Rivera, Matsuzaka, Mike Mussina, MLB, Pavano, Scott Proctor, State of the Yankees, Yankees | Leave a comment