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Week 6 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks (10/4/2008): How We Got Senate to Vote on Bailout

Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….

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Well last week was a mixed bag of tricks. RPJ $yndicate was 6-3 last week and is now 18-15-1 on the season. Flash was 0-2 last week and is now 5-3 on the season. Runny was 2-5 last week and is now 13-14 on the season. We are questioning our experiment to post our own personal picks. Not sure it is bringing much value to our readers because we know our RPJ picks are on a roll after back-to-back solid weeks. If you want all of our picks let us know by posting a comment or shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We are here to make you money so we will try and contribute to your wallets as many ways as possible.

This week we are helping the U.S Government deal with the economic crisis and we have two words for you…..More Cowbell!!!!

If only Congress and Wall Street had more cowbell we would not be in our current predicament. We also are proposing legalized sports betting across all 50 states. Let the government set the lines and keep the vig. That has to be worth a few billion with all the degenerates in the good Ole US of A.

And yes of course we are going to show you some hot ass and ass in thongs and bring back some new pictures of Keyra Augustina (sorry Heidi Klum fans, but the Keyra fans have spoken in mass)….

Ass + Thong = The greatest pillow on earth!!!

Ass + Thong = The greatest pillow on earth!!!

Maxim photographers have amazing jobs!

Maxim photographers have amazing jobs!

RPJ $yndicate Picks of the Week

Iowa at Michigan State (-6.5) – This is another trust us game. The same exact model that helped us find the UCLA/Fresno State winner last week is rearing its winning head in this game. This is a huge Big 10 match-up. These teams need this win. The photo below alone should show you who to take!!! Gotta love strategically placed Hawkeye stickers!!!

The world needs more sticker applicators.

The world needs more sticker applicators.

FACTS: Iowa is 7-0 ATS in the game before IU, MSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 head-to-head meetings with Iowa and MSU is 1-8 ATS as home favorites of 24 or less off a straight-up win. We think MSU will win this game, but it will be close. Take Iowa +6.5.

Texas at Colorado (-13)- Texas has been lights out this year. Now they get a Big 12 rival on the road. Colorado has been good, but they got smoked last week against an overrated FSU team. They will not fair much better at home this week. Texas will look to make a statement with this game. FACTS: Texas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Colorado (3-0 ATS in Colorado) and Colorado is 0-5 ATS in the game before Kansas and when they lose a game (which they will this week), they are only 5-33 ATS. When they lose, they lose big!!! Now throw in the fact that Texas, a team that leads D-1 football in sacks with 16, rolls into Boulder to face a Buffs line that just lost two more starting linemen so they are now down 4 on the season. Ugly Ugly Ugly possibilities. Texas is 4-0 ATS this season and will continue their roll. Take the Longhorns -13.

Nevada at Idaho (+24) – Idaho has been TERRIBLE all year. They have been blown out in nearly every game. They have not looked competitive. Nevada has not been great, but they can score. They should be able to put up a lot against the Vandals. FACTS: Idaho is 0-6 ATS as conference underdogs of 21 points of more. They can’t cover against big teams in their conference. They will not do it here either. Take Neveda -24.

Western Kentucky at Virginia Tech (-28) – WKU may be the worse DIV-1 team. They are terrible. Although they are 2-3, their two wins have come against non DIV-1 teams. In their games against DIV-1 teams, they have been outscored 113-23. This does not bode well for them heading into Blacksburg to face the Hokies. Blacksburg is one of the toughest places to play. They will get trounced again. FACTS: VaTech is 11-1 ATS off a straight-up underdog win. They may never stop scoring this week, and WKU may never start. Also, we are 3-0 combined on 28 point spreads. Keeping the juju working. Take VaTech -28.

Penn State at Purdue (+13.5)- Another big Big 10 game. Penn State is off their defeat at home of Illinois. Purdue was embarrassed against the Irish. No way Purdue was looking past the Irish-they are just disappointing. Penn State is not. Their D is outstanding and they have a great offense. Penn State will be looking to keep their Big 10 authority. FACTS: PSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 against Purdue and Purdue is 1-9 ATS as underdogs following a double digit ATS loss. Penn State rolls. Take Penn State -13.5.

Illinois @ Michigan (-2): Illinois stayed with Penn State last week, but when the pressure got on, Juice folded. Can that guy not turn the ball over?!?!? Very bad QB. He makes bad decisions and Illinois cannot come from behind with him managing the game. He gets another tough road test in Ann Arbor. Michigan is not good either, but they are playing with a lot of confidence. Their comeback last week became an instant classic. Rodriguez is proof positive that coaching in college football makes a HUGE difference. FACTS: Illinois is 0-11 ATS away after allowing 35 or more points and Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Illinois. Take Michigan -2.

Flash Flash Picks

South Carolina at Ole Miss (-2.5) – Ole Miss is going to be in let down mode and USC really needs to get going again. Also, chalk one up to the Sports Illustrated curse, which was nice enough to feature Ole Miss on their cover this week.

I love the fact that the road team in this matchup is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 and I think USC comes ready to play. They have a great defense and now need to work that Spurrier magic to get the O going. I am taking USC to cover and might throw some dough on the moneyline if it is profitable enough.

Maryland at Virginia (+13.5) – Virginia is really a mess. They should play a tournament with Syracuse, Western Kentucky and Idaho to see who the worst team is in D-1 with the loser getting tossed down to D-III so they can play NESCAC games against the likes of Hamilton and Bates in front of 10 fans in -32 degree weather. Now I would watch that Battle Royale. Look at the ATS numbers…

Virginia
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Where are the positive UVA items you ask? They are in Ralph Friedgen’s belly….

Hello, my name is Ralph Friedgen and UVA is IN MY BELLY!!!!

Hello, my name is Ralph Friedgen and UVA is IN MY BELLY!!!!



Maryland wins this game big!!!!

Ohio State (-1) at Wisconsin – The Buckeyes own the Big 10. Own it own it own it. Got that…Let me say it again….BUCKEYES OWN THE BIG TEN. Beanie Wells is back, Pryor is at QB and Ohio State is still motivated because they know they can run the Big Ten table (remember they own it) and still lay claim to being the best team in the land because their one loss will be when they were minus Beanie, on the road against the then #1 team in the country and still getting Pryor involved with the offense. Throw in the fact that Ohio State can stop the run on defense and turns the ball over a lot less than Wisconsin and you can see where this is going. The ATS numbers:

Ohio State
Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
Buckeyes are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. (scary stat but one that will reverse)

Wisconsin
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Badgers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. (Remember the Big 10 is bad)

This game is basically a pick the winner game. Wisconsin played the typical look ahead game last week and blew a 19 point lead in The Big House. That is terrible. This team also should have lost at Fresno State, thanks to the Fresno kicker. Defense and turnovers win ball games and that favors Ohio State. Ohio State wins and covers!

Runny Picks

Indiana @ Minnesota (-7): IU has been extremely disappointing this year. We thought they would play better for Hep, but they have been terrible. Off the field issues have plagued them and maybe it has effected their play. Who knows? What I do know is they suck. Minnesota has been surprisingly decent. I gave them no credit coming into the season, but they have shown me wrong. Huge cover for them last week. I think they continue that momentum this week at home. FACTS: Minn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against IU and 9-1 ATS against teams that are .400 or worse. IU has a great ATS road record in the Big 10 (10-1 in their last 11), but I don’t think it matters this week. This is their first game outside of Bloomington. Take Minnesota -7.

Texas Tech @ Kansas State (+7); OVER 66: Two picks for the price of one here. This line is pretty low considering how much Tech can score. Crabtree may be the best player in NCAA. Tech has  dominated this series ATS in recent years (4-0 ATS in their last 4). However, they go on the road this week to a rival that is good at home. To me, that is why the line is so low. That and because KState can score, too. I think Tech wins, but it will be a close shootout. I’m taking KState +7 and the OVER 66.

Kansas @ Iowa State (+11.5): My first Mangino bet of the year!! I’m lovin’ it!! The Cyclones usually put up a good fight at home. However, hurricane Magino is coming to town this week!!!! FACTS: Kansas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Iowa State, 4-0 ATS in their 4 as road favorites and 7-1 ATS with rest. They cover. Take Kansas -11.5.

Would you ever bet against this man?

Would you ever bet against this man?

Ball State @ Toledo (+7.5), OVER 64: Another two-for-one special. Ball State is riding high, despite their HUGE loss of Love. Tragic injury and we hope for the best. They get a tough MAC road game this week. Toldeo can score. Both D’s are bad. I think this game will be high scoring and they should hit the over easily. In regards to the line, I think this is Ball State’s year. I’m riding them until they prove me wrong. FACTS: Ball State is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Toledo and they are 6-1 ATS in the 1st of back-to-back road games. I’m taking Ball State -7.5 and the OVER 64.

We could not agree on the Auburn at Vanderbilt game so we will just show you a sweet pic…

We love some ass but you gotta love a great pair of......Stickers!!!

We love some ass but you gotta love a great pair of......Stickers!!!

Good luck, may your wallets be full and your whores STD free.

Flash Flash and Runny

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October 3, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Ass, Auburn Tigers, Ball State Cardinals, Bates, BCS, Beanie Wells, Betting, Big 12, Big Ten, Boilermakers, Buckeyes, Cavaliers, Colorado Buffaloes, Commodores, ESPN, Football, Frank Beamer, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Golden Gophers, Hamilton College, Heidi Klum, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana Hoosiers, Iowa Hawkeyes, Iowa State Cyclones, Kansas Jayhawks, Kansas State, Keyra Augustina, MAC, Mark Mangino, Maryland, Michigan State, Michigan Wolverines, Minnesota, Mississippi, More Cowbell, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, NESCAC, Nevada, Nittany Lions, Ohio State, Ole Miss, Penn State, Politics, Purdue, Ralph Friedgen, SEC, Senate vote on bailout, South Carolina Gamecocks, Spartans, Steve Spurrier, Terrapins, Texas Longhorns, Texas Tech, Toledo Rockets, Uncategorized, Vanderbilt, Vegas, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech Hokies, Western Kentucky, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack | 2 Comments

NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!

We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!

Heidi Klum ass

Dahm Triplet asses

Anna Kournikova Ass

and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)

Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.

Friday, September 12

Kansas at South Florida (-3) – It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?

Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:

Kansas

Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

South Florida

Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.


Saturday, September 13

Cal at Maryland (+14.5) – We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.

You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:

California

Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) – When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:

Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.

Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) – This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!

Penn State at Syracuse (+27) – Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:

Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.

Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.

Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) – Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:

Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!

Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) – It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:

Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!

Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)

I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).

Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)

UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.

Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.

Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One.  They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.

Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.

NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a  conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.

Flash Flash and Runny

Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

September 11, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Anna Kournikova, Ass, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, Bulls, California, Charlie Weis, Chase Daniel, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Crimson Tide, Dahm Triplets, Delaware, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Heidi Klum, Jeff Tedford, Jimmy Claussen, Kansas Jayhawks, Keyra Augustina, Knowshon Moreno, Mark Mangino, Mark Richt, Maryland, Matt Stafford, Michigan, Michigan Wolverines, Mississippi State, Missouri, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nittany Lions, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Oregon Ducks, Pac-10, Penn State, Purdue, Rich Rodriguez, Rutgers, SEC, South Bend, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Sports, Steve Spurrier, Syracuse, Tar Heels, Terrapins, Texas Tech, Thong, Tuberville, Tulane, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, Utah State Aggies, Utah Utes, Vegas, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack, Wolverines | 5 Comments

12/28/2007 Free NCAA Football Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Maryland versus Oregon State

As we stated in our Boston College vs. Michigan State update, we have sucked it almost as bad as Notre Dame’s offense this year picking ATS bowl winners. We got one right so we are not as bad as Notre Dame, which had the worst offense in D-1 football this year.

We are laying a Derek Jeter bet on our next game.

2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet – In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.

We had to go with Jessica Alba in this one because we know Keter will never touch her pregnant engaged ass again. We will be happy to show off her pre-pregnant engaged ass though….

alba.jpg

And a close up of her tush courtesy of youtube….

Maryland versus Oregon State (-4.5) in the Emerald Bowl

This is a bizarre matchup. The Terps have not faced a Pac-10 opponent since 1982 so these two teams are a mystery to each other. Maryland was 9-4 last year and even had a 5 game stretch where they were 5-0 and the combined margin of victory was 13 points (think Virginia this year). This year the Terps were 6-6 but somehow managed to beat two top ten teams…Rutgers on September 29 and Boston College on November 10. They also blasted North Carolina State by shutting them out to become bowl eligible in the last game of their season. So we just told you the good…what is the bad? They lost to Florida State before the NC State beat down but that was right after the BC upset. They also lost at North Carolina. All in all the Terps were pretty competitive most of the season and lost to Wake Forest, UVA, UNC, Florida State all by 8 points or less.

We had very high hopes for Oregon State going into this season and still believe they have on eof the best offensive lines in college football. After opening with a nice win over Utah, they got blasted by Cincinatti and then lost to Arizona State, UCLA and USC….all bowl teams. Oregon State suffered through injury after injury this year and still managed to win 6 of their last 7 (USC was the only loss).

Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Maryland
Terrapins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Terrapins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

Oregon State
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Maryland and Oregon State have each won their last three bowl games under their current head coaches. This is a tricky game to bet because we know Oregon State is ending on a hot streak and Maryland has the potential so the real question is which Maryland team shows up. Maryland was one of only four teams to defeat two top-10 opponents this season. Maryland is one of only four teams in the country with two running backs to each compile at least 750 rushing yards this season. Keon Lattimore totaled 789 with 13 touchdowns and Lance Ball had 763 with 12 TDs to help the Terps rank third in the ACC with 147.3 rushing yards per game. Lattimore and Ball, however, will be facing one of the nation’s toughest run defenses. The Beavers allow 74.9 rushing yards per game to rank second in the Football Bowl Subdivision. They give up only 313.0 total yards per game, 12th-fewest in the FBS. We think this will be a hard nosed smash em out type of game. Oregon State’s best RB, Yvenson Bernard, will be back for the Beavers and both of these teams will pound the run and stay with the run all game. We think Oregon State has the better line, the better edge in skill players and the edge on defense. When it is all said and done we think Oregon State comes out on top. When you have the chance to grab some easy Beaver…you always do it!!! Oregon State wins and covers!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

December 28, 2007 Posted by | ACC, Beavers, Betting, Free NCAA picks, Jessica Alba, Maryland, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Oregon State, Pac-10, Terrapins, Winning Picks | 3 Comments

2007-2008 NCAA Football Bowl Preview: RPJ Syndicate’s Guide to Making Money

We concluded the NCAA Football regular season with a record of 59-54. We were 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets, which were our super bets meaning we bet 5 times our normal unit. This approach led us to win 13 units on the season. Take away the Vig (about 10%) and we are working with with just under 12 units….11.7 to be exact. We would have liked to win more but we won and that is a lot better than other so called “experts can say”.

The reason we started our blog is because we went 19-4 during last season’s Bowl Season. We crushed it!!!! Combining our record with an article in the Wall Street Journal about a sports picker out in Cal-Berkely who was giving away his picks for free and winning at a nice rate. Well this Cal-Berkeley guy made his picks for pay when he had enough of a fan base and he was making $10k a month in his first few months on top of his gambling money. We know our system and our picking are world class and we are revealing all of our picks to you for free. You the reader are reaping the benefits of a free winning system. The point of gambling is not to have more fun while watching games…the point is to make cold hard cash and when you follow us, as we proved during this season, you make cash!!!

Now the point of this Bowl season is to take your/our 11.7 units and turn that into a lot more. We are going to give you specific reasons why we are picking a game and sometimes we might just tell you to pick a game just like we did with our pick of PITT to cover against West Virginia for their December 1 game. Our betting system is based on a trial and tested system and we always put our money where our mouth is with no exceptions.

For this bowl season we are going to set up a system for you where you bet 1,2,3,4,5 and the Super Bet for as many betting units as you are willing to risk. The Super Bet is our 99.99999% lock!! These bets are called:

The Super Bet = The Keyra Shake that Money Maker bet – These will be our super lock bets. The bets we are taking out second mortgages, bank loans, hitting up friends and relatives…you get the picture. Bet as much as you can stomach bets.

5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet – We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it.

4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet – In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.

Below is the schedule for all bowl games this season. We are going to pick as many games as our system spits out. Do not expect us to pick every game but we will have action on most of them. We will probably post our picks on this blog 1-2 days before each bowl. Please feel free to ask us any questions or post comments on this blog. Our email is rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Sincerely,

Flash Flash and Runny

2007-08 College Football Bowl Schedule

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
Utah (-9) vs. Navy
Dec. 20, 9 p.m.

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Memphis (+2) vs. Florida Atlantic
Dec. 21, 8 p.m.

Papajohns.com Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati (-11)
Dec. 22, 1 p.m.

New Mexico Bowl
Nevada vs. New Mexico (-3)
Dec. 22, 4:30 p.m.

Pioneer Las Vegas
UCLA vs. BYU (-5.5)
Dec. 22, 8 p.m.

Sheraton Hawaii
Boise State (-10.5) vs. East Carolina
Dec. 23, 8 p.m.

Motor City
Purdue (-9.5) vs. Central Michigan
Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m.

Pacific Life Holiday
Arizona State (+1.5) vs. Texas
Dec. 27, 8 p.m.

Champs Sports
Boston College (-3) vs. Michigan State
Dec. 28, 5 p.m.

Texas
TCU vs. Houston (+3.5)
Dec. 28, 8 p.m.

Emerald
Maryland vs. Oregon State (-4.5)
Dec. 28, 8:30 p.m.

Meineke Car Care
UConn vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
Dec. 29, 1 p.m.

AutoZone Liberty
UCF vs. Mississippi State (+3)
Dec. 29, 4:30 p.m.

Valero Alamo
Penn State vs. Texas A and M (+5.5)
Dec. 29, 8 p.m.

PetroSun Independence
Alabama (-3.5) vs. Colorado
Dec. 30, 8 p.m.

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
California (-4) vs. Air Force
Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.

Roady’s Humanitarian
Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs. Fresno State
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Brut Sun
South Florida (-6.5) vs. Oregon
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Gaylord Hotels Music City
Kentucky (-1) vs. Florida State
Dec. 31, 4 p.m.

Insight
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (-4.5)
Dec. 31, 6 p.m.

Chick-fil-A
Clemson (-2.5) vs. Auburn
Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m.

Outback
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 11 a.m.

AT and T Cotton
Missouri (-3.5) vs. Arkansas
Jan. 1, 2008, 11:30 a.m.

Gator
Texas Tech vs. Virginia (+5.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Capital One
Michigan vs. Florida (-10.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Illinois vs. USC (-13.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 4:30 p.m.

Allstate Sugar
Hawaii vs. Georgia (-9.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 8:30 p.m.

Tostitos Fiesta
Oklahoma (-6.5) vs. West Virginia
Jan. 2, 2008, 8 p.m.

FedEx Orange
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Kansas
Jan. 3, 2008, 8 p.m.

International
Rutgers (-9.5) vs. Ball State
Jan. 5, 2008, Noon

GMAC
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa (-4)
Jan. 6, 2008, 8 p.m.

Allstate BCS Championship Game
LSU (-6) vs. Ohio State
Jan. 7, 2008, 8 p.m.

December 4, 2007 Posted by | Air Force Falcons, Alabama Tide, Arizona State, Arkansas Razorbacks, Auburn Tigers, Ball State Cardinals, BCS, Big East, Big Ten, Boise State Broncos, Boston College, Bowling Green, BYU Cougars, California, Central Florida, Central Michigan, Charlie Weis, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Colorado Buffaloes, Dahm Triplets, Derek Jeter, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Georgia Tech, Hawaii Rainbows, Heidi Klum, Houston, Illinois, Indiana Hoosiers, Kansas Jayhawks, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Keyra Augustina, LSU, LSU Tigers, Maryland, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan State, Midshipmen, Mississippi State, Missouri, Navy, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nevada, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Oregon Ducks, Oregon State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, South Florida, Southern Miss, TCU, Tenn, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Texas Longhorns, Texas Tech, Trojans, Tulsa, UCLA, Uconn, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, UVA, VaTech, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers | Leave a comment

NCAA Winning Hoops Picks: ACC-Big 10 Challenge – Day 2 with extra game

If at first you don’t succeed, bet against the Big 10 at all costs. Well, I stunk worse than the Big 10 last night (0-5 night, now 4-7 on the season and down 2 units) …time to get back on the horse. Picks in bold:

NC St. (+9) over MSU
BC (-3) over Michigan
Maryland (-2.5) over Illinois
UNC (-5.5) over Ohio St.
Penn St. (-1.5) over V Tech

I will now go back to writing “I will never bet on Big 10 teams” on the blackboard 500 times…

The extra game for tonight is Seton Hall giving 8.5 against Princeton. Princeton sucks and the hall will speed it up and score a lot of points. Seton Hall wins and covers.

Maury the Wig

November 28, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Boston College, Free NCAA picks, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Michigan Wolverines, NC, NC State, NCAA, NCAA Hoops, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Ohio State, Penn State, Princeton, Seton Hall, Spartans, Tar Heels, Terrapins, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Winning Picks, Wolfpack, Wolverines | 2 Comments

NCAA Football Week 13 Games: Winning Picks and Chicks for 11/24/2007

After the USC/Arizona State decimation we are 49-45 on the season, 5-3 on Eva Mendes bets and up 12 units. We still have Friday’s games to go so check out that post if you want to bet today’s games. We have 7 picks for you for Saturday’s games and one is another Eva Mendes bet.

Game 1 – Maryland at NC State (-2.5) – This is the “I wish I was Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt” game. When you look at the picture below imagine what it must feel like to be Natalie’s sweatshirt.

gulbis.jpg

We bet it feels freaking incredible, maybe one of the best feelings on earth at that particular mid stretch moment. So when you look at Maryland and NC State sitting at 5-6 in the win loss column, one win away from being bowl eligible where they might have a chance to play in the December 11 Velveeta pimento loaf bowl you can bet that each one of these teams wishes they were Natalie Gulbis’ sweatshirt right about now and that is a place that is MUCH MUCH Better than where they are now. Some ATS numbers for you:

Maryland
Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NC State
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Wolfpack are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Wolfpack are 3-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

The battle of the 5-6 teams is really not an exciting one and NC State has been playing better of late but we are not buying them. We both looked at this line and immediately thought it was wrong and that Maryland should be favored. These two teams historically have played each other pretty close of late, averaging a 5 point margin of victory over the last 5 years. Call it a hunch but we are going with the team that has the fattest head coach in honor of Mark Mangino. Take Maryland and the points!!!

Game 2 – Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-11.5) – The “What is the temperature up there” game! Oklahoma basically holds its own destiny in terms of the Big 12 Championship game and they have an outside chance to make it to the BCS title game. This cheerleader is helping out her Sooners by seeing what the temperature is up there in that pose. Can they win? Will Bradford stay in for the whole game? What will the impact be missing DeMarco Murray?

oklahoma.jpg

Oklahoma leading rusher DeMarco Murray dislocated a kneecap trying to recover an onside kick last week and will be forced to miss this game. Quarterback Sam Bradford sustained a concussion in the loss last week but he has been cleared to play. We do not think he will be 100%. Then throw in that this is a rivalry game and Oklahoma State plays well on the road in Big 12 action, giving up an average of 17.3 points. We are definitely intrigued. Check out the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

We are not concerned with who wins this game but we think Oklahoma State is good enough to cover and possibly win outright. We are banking on the cover. Take Oklahoma State!!!

Game 3 – UCONN at West Virginia (-17.5) – The Battle for the Big East is not what the experts were predicting at the beginning of the year. Who the heck would have thought UCONN would be in first place right now, holding their own destiny. This will be a very tough game to watch but if you have watched UCONN this year you know that their defense is legit and likes to hit. We know West Virginia’s dynamic duo of Slaton and White do not like to get hit and are prone to fumble. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

UCONN
Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

West Virginia
Mountaineers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Mountaineers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Mountaineers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

We think all signs line up for a UCONN cover and we think this game will be a lot closer than people think. West Virginia probably wins but we like UCONN to keep it close. Take UCONN!!!

Game 4 – Florida State at Florida (-13.5) – This is our Eva Mendes bet for Saturday’s games. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit and we absolutely love the picture below so much we had to show it again. That ass did win big for us last weekend so we are gonna ride it until it bucks us off.

mendes-1.jpg

We were actually surprised to see this line in the 2 TD range and thought it really could have been more around 20-22 points. Florida State is inept on offense and the defenses match up pretty evenly. Lately Florida State has been winning close games or losing and Florida has thumped its last three opponents since the Georgia game, scoring at least 49 points in each game. Florida State has only scored 30 points once this year and that was back on September 8 when they barely beat UAB by 10 points. Also, Florida State gave Florida bulletin board material earlier in the week when Florida State linebacker Geno Hayes boldly predicted Monday that “Tim Tebow’s going down.” “The bigger they are the harder they fall,” Hayes said. “Hopefully we can go out there and shatter his dream.” Well we think Geno Hayes is a JACKASS!!!!! Florida gets Percy Harvin back for this game after he missed the last two. Do not expect this game to be as close as last year when Florida only won 21-14. This Florida team is really putting up points and Tebow is going for the Heisman. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Florida State
Seminoles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.
Seminoles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Florida
Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Gators are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Lets look at the head to head matchups: The favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The home team is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings. The Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida. So what does this all add up to….a Florida smack down. We think Florida easily wins and covers in this game and we are betting Eva’s sweet ass that they do!!!

Game 5 – Clemson at South Carolina (+3) – “The stick it here game” Clemson is going to have to rebound from a heartbreaking loss to Boston College. Clemson lost last year to South Carolina and in 2004 the two teams brawled and had to give up their postseason eligibility. We think the Clemson Tigers are going to want to stick it to South Carolina and put it right where this cheerleader’s picture shows:

south-carolina.jpg

South Carolina is now playing bad football. They have lost 4 in a row and have no defense. Throw in the fact that Clemson wins the turnover margin +10 to minus 5 and has a much better defense and we like how this is looking. We know CLemson likes to run the ball and South Carolina gives up 208.8 yards per game on defense. I think you can see where we are going with this. Some ATS numbers for you:

Clemson
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. SEC.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games in November.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Gamecocks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head to head the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in South Carolina and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Did we get you excited yet? We think Clemson rebounds from their BC loss just like Virginia Tech did and wins this tough game. Take Clemson to win and cover!!!

Game 6 – Cincinnati at Syracuse (+20) – “The in your Face Game” – This is a clean sweep game and Cincy will be all over Syracuse. Take a look at this cheerleader picture and check out the male cheerleader in the front getting a full face of muff.

cheerhumor1.jpg

Cuse is the muff and Cincy is the male cheerleader. Cincy will be all over Cuse in this one. This has blow out written all over it. Cincy rushes for more than twice what Cuse rushes for, Cuse only converts 28.8% of its third downs on offense (this is almost as bad as Notre Dame but not quite!!!), Cuse gives up 217 yards a game rushing, lets opponents convert third downs almost 50% of the time and loses the turnover ratio battle -5 to 17. Check out these ATS numbers:

Cincinnati
Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bearcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bearcats are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bearcats are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

Syracuse
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Orange are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Orange are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Now throw in the fact that the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and you have to bet Cincy in this one. Bearcats win big and cover this high number!!!

Game 7 – Missouri at Kansas (-2) = first things first, we send our dearest apologies to Kansas coach Mark Mangino after we doubted his Kansas squad last week. We knew they would win but finally felt like they would not cover. Boy were we wrong!!! So we send our most sincere of apologies to you Mr. Mangino. You are the real deal and you are doing an awesome job.

This is the “Hot boxing chick versus the hot Mixed Martial Arts chicks Game”. Who would not want to see these two beauties go at it and well in reality they do fight for a living. Here is a picture of Frida Wallberg:

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If you do not believe that she is a real fighter then chech out this website on women’s boxing.

And now for our Muay Thai chick Miss Gina Carano:

med_gina-carano-mma-fighter-2.jpg

So why two chick fighters? Because this football game is going to be a great fight. Both teams are on a roll, the winner plays in the Big 12 Championship game and has a really good shot, if they win out, to make it to the BCS promised land….The BCS National Championship Game. Also, the winning QB will immediately jump out and be considered one of the leading candidates for the Heisman trophy. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers:

Missouri
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Kansas
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Jayhawks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on turf.
Jayhawks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win.

We threw every number at you. There is nothing negative to say about either team. If you had to pick on one thing and we are going to throw a lot of weight at it, it is who has the better defense and the way we see it, Kansas has the clear advantage. Kansas holds opponents to 84 yards per game rushing (122 for Missouri), Kansas lets offenses convert third downs 30% of the time (43% for Missouri) and Kansas wins the turnover ratio margin 21 to 10. Now some people might say that Kansas did not have to play Texas, Oklahoma or Texas Tech on its way to its undefeated season but we do not think that is relevant. Kansas smacked every single opponent in the face regardless of who they faced and they are getting better as the season goes on. We think this game will come down to turnovers and who can stop who and playing the numbers all signs point to Kansas. Also, when you throw in the fact that Kansas has the fattest coach in NCAA, you have to love them. Ride the Mangino train.

mangino-for-week-10.jpg

We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

November 23, 2007 Posted by | Arizona State, BCS, Betting, Big East, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Football, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Gamecock, Huskies, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Maryland, Missouri, Mountaineers, Natalie Gulbis, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Orangemen, SEC, Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks, Sports, Syracuse, Terrapins, Tigers, Trojans, Uconn, USC, USC Trojans, West Virginia, Wolfpack | 1 Comment

Week 5 NCAA Football Picks: 99 problems but picking winners ain’t one!!!

Here we go again for week 5. We are 15-10, have never had a losing week this season and are up 13 units in total when you count our Brinks truck bets (betting 5 times your normal amount). We do not have a Brinks truck bet for you this week but we do have 8 solid picks. We want to expand a little bit on some of the stats we use before we get into the nitty gritty. We look at rushing yards per game on offense and defense, third down conversion rate on offense and defense and turnover ratio. Why these stats…it is simple!!! I do not need to explain turnovers. Turnovers simply kill a team. As far as rushing and third down conversion, this is simply a factor of game control and game domination. If a team can rush more and convert more third down than its opponents while committing less turnovers; they are going to win plain and simple, control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. Just sharing some of our little tricks. And now for the picks:

Saturday, September 29, 2007

1) Akron Zips at UCONN (-15) – Here are the numbers….UCONN rushes for almost 60 yards a game more that Akron and converts 39.1% of their first down conversions while Akron only converts 25.4%. On defense, Akron gives up 206.8 rushing yards a game and lets its opposition convert 41.9% of its third down conversion chances while UCONN only gives up 83.8 yards a game rushing lets its opponents convert 23.6% of third down conversions. Last but not least, UCONN has a ball hawking defense and is plus 9 in the turnover ratio this season. Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers…Huskies are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 non-conference games. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Akron is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Go with UCONN all the way; if anything, bet against a team named The Zips. Idiotic mascot name.

2) Notre Dame at Purdue (-22) – I hope this game really does not need any explaining. We told you last week how bad Notre Dame is and guess what they are still terrible. They can’t rush, can’t stop the run, can’t convert third down conversions, open up the flood gates and let teams convert third downs and they are minus 2 in the turnover ratio game. I could run down how bad Notre Dame is against the spread in every situation but it is too long to fit in this blog. Purdue has a great offense and is playing at home. Although Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 10 home games, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and we think this is the stat that is more telling especially when you couple it with the following: Boilermakers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Purdue will kick the lucky charms out of the funny little green leprechauns this weekend. Purdue all the way!!!

3) Florida Atlantic Owls @ Kentucky (-22) – Kentucky is on a roll. They more than double Fl. Atlantic’s rushing output per game 227.2 versus 111.2 and they are far more efficient converting third downs. On the defensive side, Fl. Atlantic gives up more yards rushing than they themselves rush for and allow teams to convert 47.4% of their third down conversions. The one place where Fl. Atlantic has the edge is that they are plus 13 in the turnover ratio margin versus Kentucky’s plus 6. Some other tidbits: Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Grass. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. As far as the Owls go: Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. We do not think this will be close and do not fear the 22 points you have to give. Kentucky rolls in this one.

4) Syracuse at Miami-Ohio (+1.5) – The Cuse showed up huge in their road win at Louisville and on paper they really are not as bad as the media experts want you to believe especially compared to Miami-Ohio. The Cuse is more efficient on offense converting third downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense and by some bizarre miracle they are actually plus 3 in the turnover ratio while Miami-Ohio is minus 4. Orange are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. MAC. Orange are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. Orange are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Redhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cuse will ride the momentum and put the Orange squeeze on Miami-Ohio and win outright. Go Cuse!!!

5) Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) – Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss and is very banged up. Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s recent downturn. Tailback Tashard Choice, who leads the team with 356 net rushing yards and is second with four touchdowns, played only two possessions last week after attempting to return from a hamstring injury. Choice, safety Djay Jones, linebacker Shane Bowen and offensive tackle Jacob Lonowski are questionable due to injuries, while starting fullback Mike Cox and receiver James Jones missed portions of last week’s game. On the other side of the ball Clemson’s two headed running back monster keeps racking up yards. These teams rush for a very similar amount but the difference is in their offense’s efficiency. Clemson converts 42% of their third down conversions and Georgia Tech only converts 20.8%. This spread is only three and we think Georgia Tech is too banged up to compete. Clemson wins easily and covers.

6) Auburn @ Florida (-18) – This is an interesting game. Auburn started the season in the top 25 and was supposed to be one of the best teams in the SEC. Florida has been crushing people and faced a scare against Ole Miss last week. We are going off the cuff with this pick because on paper, using the stats I mentioned all the way through this post, this looks like an easy walk for Florida. Florida rushes for more yards and is more efficient on offense and stops the run better than Auburn and stops teams on third down tries more often and they are plus three in the turnover margin versus Auburn’s minus 3. They ATS numbers tell a different story though….Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Gators are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Florida number that really jumps out at us is that they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 ATS. This is telling that they play SEC teams close. All teams will be gunning for the defending champ. This is why USC is never good against the spread because teams bring the kitchen sick, the toilet, the washing machine, etc… when they face elite squads. Auburn has the talent to match Florida on defense, if not be better, and we think this game will be far closer than the 18 point spread. Take Auburn on the road to cover, who knows they might even win.

7 ) Ohio St. @ Minnesota (+23.5) – Ohio St. is on a big roll. The stats you need to know here are that Minnesota can not stop anybody on defense and they are minus 12 in the turnover ratio, one of the worst in the country. Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 3-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Gophers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Golden Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Ohio St. rolls easily here and covers with no problem.

8 ) Cincinnati @ San Diego St. Aztecs (+15) – We love the Bearcats. They have caused 19 turnovers on the season and are flat out nasty on defense. The Aztecs can not stop the run and Cincy will have a field day. Throw in the fact that the Aztecs are a passing team and we envision this turning into turnover city. Just ask Oregon St. what can happen when you get behind and need to pass against these guys. Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on Grass. Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Aztecs are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Aztecs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bearcats will maul the Aztecs and cover this one easily. We were surprised the spread was not 21 points or more.

Please feel free to post your own picks or to ask us to pick games. We have tons of stats and performed a ridiculous amount of resaearch this week. We always put our money where our mouth is and we are enjoying a great year. Good luck and may Notre Dame continue to lead the nation in offensive ineptitude!!

Flash Flash and Runny

September 27, 2007 Posted by | Akron Zips, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Boilermakers, Buckeyes, Clemson, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Georgia Tech, Golden Gophers, Huskies, Irish, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Maryland, Miami Ohio, Minnesota, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Owls, Pac-10, Purdue, Rutgers, San Diego St., SEC, Syracuse, Terrapins, Uconn, Wildcats, Yellow Jackets | 1 Comment

NCAA Week 3 Football Picks – Let the good times roll!!!!

As always…we will start with our record…it is 8-5 overall and 2-0 within the 8-5 when we see one game we bet 5 times our normal bet. Last but not least…our money is where our mouth is on every bet we discuss. We have 7 opportunities right now that we are going to discuss and we have one game we are watching and waiting for the spread to drop half a point. Make sure you pay close attention to the lines we are betting. Some people complained they pushed with West Virginia last week or even lost but if you look at the spread we bet we hit it. In order to do this successfully you need to have more than one online account and always get the best spread out there. And now with the picks:

Thursday games

West Virginia (-16.5) at Maryland – Get on the West Virginia bandwagon. They started slow on the road against Marshall last week but poured it on in the second half to cover for us. Every team needs some adversity now and again and we do not see West Virginia starting slow in this one. Slaton and White are both Heisman candidates and their coach loves to pour it on and give these guys an opportunity to do something. Maryland does deserve some respect, they have a ball control offense and they have improved on defense since West Virginia blasted them 45-24 last year. We just do not think it is enough. We think you will get the West Virginia team that showed up in the second half against Marshall, not the first half. A lot of the “experts” are picking the Maryland cover but we do not see it. Mountaineers roll.

TCU (-8) at Air Force – TCU is the real deal even if their score did not show it last week against Texas. We remember TCU leading at halftime and watching a tie game at 10-10 at the end of three quarters. We think they will be pissed off they let one slide away last week and they will lay the brunt of their anger on Air Force. Here are some stas we love: TCU is 9-2 against the spread versus teams with a winning record and 19-7 in their last 26 overall. Air Force is 0-8 against the spread in their last 8 on grass and 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. TCU wins going away.

Saturday games

The Brinks truck 5 times normal bet game is….drum roll please….Louisville (-6.5) at Kentucky – Everybody knows Louisville can not play defense but they sure can play offense. We think this spread should have been more in the 14-17 point range. We love picking apart spreads where the SEC plays a non-conference team because we think the SEC is overrated this year but all of the SEC homers are going to pound their teams. Louisville will have no problem scoring on Kentucky and the defense will play well enough to win by two touchdowns. We do not think this is a risky bet at all and are loading up the Brinks truck on this one and betting 5 times our normal limit. Here are some great numbers:

Louisville is 6-2 against the spread versus SEC teams in their last 8
Louisville is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 versus Kentucky

These teams are not much different than the teams that faced off last year when Louisville won 59-28 at home. Bet Louisville and be very happy.

Notre Dame (-7.5) at Michigan – Notre Dame is flat out bad and does not know how to handle the blitz and Michigan is going to start a freshman QB. Sounds like a gangbuster of a game. Getting down to it….Michingan does have the defense to limit Notre Dame’s offense. They will blitz and blitz some more. Also, Michigan really suffered against teams running the spread offense that had a lot of speed, this is something Notre Dame does not have. We assume ND will try and pass a lot more but it will really not matter. We would not be surprised to see Michigan get revenge for their 0-2 start and win by 21.

How fun is this stat courtesy of Pat Forde at ESPN: Of the 856 points Notre Dame has scored with Weis as head coach, 19 of them have been scored by players who originally committed to and signed with him. That includes the defensive touchdown, the extra point and two field goals that constitute this season’s scoring. A Weis recruit has scored exactly one offensive touchdown in 27 games: George West on an 11-yard run last season against Purdue, one of three times West touched the ball from scrimmage in 2006.

Notre Dame is pathetic.

Western Michigan at Missouri (-20) – Missouri is one of our favorite teams this year and is 2-0 against the spread in this short season. Add to it that Missouri is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 home games. Western Michigan has not shown anything this year and we expect a similar result to Western Michigan/West Virginia when the score was 62-24. Most people have not heard about Missouri QB Chase Daniel but he is the real deal and will play on Sundays. Missouri rolls easily in this one.

Tennessee at Florida (-8) – We looked long and hard at this spread and Vegas is basically saying that Florida is two points better than CAL. The Cal spread was -6. Florida’s loss of Andre Caldwell is a big name lost but not a big impact for the team as Florida is very deep, especially on offense. Florida is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 SEC games but we think this case will be different. Tennessee is banged up and has already shown that they do not have the defense to stop an elite offense and Florida is playing in the swamp. We think Florida can easily win by more than 10 just like CAL did. This will be a great game to watch because we plan on comparing Florida to Cal and it might become the case that CAL is better than the number 2 team (Florida) in the SEC. Who woulds thunk it? Us of course!!!

UVA at UNC (-3) – This is an easy one. UNC all the way. UVA only had 202 yards of offense against Duke. UNC has a lot of young players and a lot of talent and a winning attitude. They will rebound after a tough loss to East Carolina. UNC wins easily in this one.

***On a side note….we are wathcing the UCLA (-14) at Utah game because we want to bet this on UCLA if we can get a -13.5 spread or better. UCLA should blow them out but we do not want a push at -14. If you can get -13.5 or better take it and let us know where you got it because we want to get on this game.

Let us know what you think. Feel free to leave comments or to ask us to evaluate a game.

May your pockets be deep and filled with CASH!!!

Flash and Runny

September 13, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Big East, Big Ten, California, Cavaliers, Duke, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Horned Frogs, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Marshall, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Pac-10, SEC, Tar Heels, TCU, Tennessee, Terrapins, UCLA, Utah, Utah Utes, UVA, Vegas, Volunteers, W. Michigan, West Virginia, Western Michigan, Wildcats, Winning Picks, Wolverines | Leave a comment