RPJ Betting Syndicate

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9/13/2008 – Ohio State versus USC – Everything you need to know to Make Money Betting this Game!

We are too excited to simply add this game to our roster of weekly picks. We are highlighting this biznatch and giving you a legit run down of all the important facets of the game. Two years ago we purchased USC season football tickets so we could go to this game. As we have said, neither of us live anywhere close to L.A. but this game warranted live and in person attendance and we have the perfect trip lined up. We meet Friday evening in Vegas….eat a fat dinner, place all of our bets, party all night, get up and do the 277 mile drive in our pimped out convertible, tailgate, watch the game and drive back to collect our winnings, place our NFL bets and eat and drink a ton. We can not think of a better scenario than this. Who is jealous? You Mr. SEC lawyer fan in New York City? I know you are!!!

After Ohio State’s disappointing win, if you can ever call an NCAA win disappointing, against Ohio U the nation dropped Ohio State to 5th in the AP poll (USC is still #1) and the line has now moved from -3.5 in the pre-season to -5.5 as recent as last week to the now shocking -10.5. This line is going to be volatile and a lot will hinge on Beanie Wells’ ability to play. How come Georgia is only a 7 – 7.5 point favorite against the Gamecocks. Trojans are getting some ridiculous juice right now. Trojan fans be very wary of the team that is being told all week that it stinks and has no chance of winning.

This game will be based on one thing and one thing only……THE CHEERLEADERS. This really is too much to handle but you can rent a USC Song Girl for $150. If you do not believe us check this out! So for $150 we can rent one or more of these….

With all of the Song Girl controversy this offseason you would think that USC would be overly careful about any Song Girl announcements. This is just ridiculous but the real kicker is that UCLA actually undercut USC in price. Check out this article to see for yourself. If you do not know anything about the USC Song Girl controversy then you live under a rock. Check out our friends at bustedcoverage.com to get filled in on the infamous penis bong episode as well as nice pictures of Lindsay making it to the web.

Now I do not know about the Ohio State cheerleaders but I know that you can not rent them and this simple fact is not defensible. If the folks out in LA are renting out cheerleaders than the folks in Columbus need to get on board. Actually we know why they do not rent their cheerleaders….they are freakin pigs. They are going to get booed out of the Coliseum on Saturday night.

Since we are all born with some form of bias, we are going to highlight some Ohio State players. You can not talk about their Defense and not mention James Laurinaitis….

or Malcolm Jenkins….

and in fact we will show the D’s highlight reel from the 2007 season….

On the offensive side of the ball, the only way Ohio State will have a chance to win is if their super hero RB, Beanie Well, plays in the game. The entire nation knows he was hurt in week 1 and sat out last week. The difference in team play was evident from week 1 to week 2. Check out Beanie…

This game is going to have national attention and national impact. If USC blows out Ohio State then the Big Ten will suffer as a whole because the Suckeyes are already coming off two terrible loses in the BCS title game to SEC schools and now this will be a beat down from the Pac-10. If Ohio State wins then all of the SEC homers will start yapping again that The University of Spoiled Children and the Pac-10 are overrated and even if the game is close the SEC homers will come yapping their traps.

If you do not follow USC then you do not understand what type of dominance they have established since 2003. One of the few disadvantages of having a bye week for teams can be rust upon their return to the field a week later. But Carroll seems to have found the secret to getting all the rust off his players shoulders. This year marks the fifth straight season USC has had a bye week during the second week of the season. During that time, USC has won all of its week three games, outscoring opponents 196-58.

As far as the historic significance of this series, USC is favored again. USC is 4-0-1 when it is ranked higher in the AP poll than Ohio State. The tie came in 1949. The wins were in 1947, 1959, 1989 and the 1973 Rose Bowl. Ohio State’s last victory over USC was in the 1974 Rose Bowl, more than 34 years ago. And Ohio State’s last win over USC at the Coliseum? A 21-0 shutout back in the 1946 “Howard Harding Jones Memorial Game.” Even though Ohio State fell to No. 5 in the rankings this week, this will still be the highest ranked Buckeye team to face the Trojans since 1980 Rose Bowl, when USC defeated a top-ranked Ohio State team 17-16, on Charles White’s late one-yard touchdown run.
That touchdown capped a memorable drive when White rushed for 71 yards on USC’s 8-play, 83-yard drive.

Lets take a look at all of the ATS numbers. Nothing to hide here:

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Buckeyes are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Buckeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Buckeyes are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
Buckeyes are 16-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buckeyes are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

That last one is really interesting.

USC Trojans

Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Trojans are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Trojans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Trojans are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 home games.
Trojans are 31-15 ATS in their last 46 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

We think there are really three keys to this game.

1) Turnovers. We would bet a million dollars that the team with more turnovers loses this game.

2) Offensive control. We all know the defenses are great so the team that can control the game by playing their offensive game will win. Ohio State needs to run, run and run to set up the deep ball. USC needs to maintain balance with the run and pass and actually run and successfully pass. Sounds basic but it is true. USC rotates WRs and RBs and they need to find a rhythm with their young OL and inexperienced skill players to keep the Ohio State D on its heels.

3) Get the lead to make the losing team press. This sounds simple too but if USC gets up and forces Ohio State to abandon the run then the Suckeyes will be in trouble. If USC gets behind and is forced to pass all the time then Ohio State will load up the blitz and press the hell out of USC’s skill players.

So who will win….

or…..

We are putting in a ton of time for this game. Here are the notes from practice:

Monday, September 8

USC looked terrible in practice. Penalties, blown assignments and turnovers. Even Sanchez was dejected after practice and you could tell he was down because he barely spoke to the media.

Ohio State got a little juice because Beanie Wells was running on the sideline. He did not participate in football drills but the team was jacked up just by seeing him run.

Tuesday, September 9

USC looked bad once again. The FG unit had two field goals blocked. Linebacker Brian Cushing suffered a possible hip pointer during warmups and left practice early. Pete Carroll said someone bumped into Cushing but others said no one touched Cushing. Kyle Moore suffered back spasms but said he would be OK. Vidal Hazelton’s ankle injury improved and he did participated in part of practice. He will see how he feels tomorrrow to determine his availability. Joe McKnight ran the scout offense as Terelle Pryor.

Ohio State coach Jim Tressel said that Beanie Wells will play and he is comfortable calling his number 30-35 times in the game.

Wednesday, September 10

USC notes – Wide receiver Vidal Hazelton (sprained ankle) practiced but his status remains uncertain. “I’m not going to rush it,” Hazelton said. “I’d rather miss a game and play the rest of the season.”
“He’s not 100 percent,” offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian added. Reserve safety Will Harris sprained his ankle Wednesday and his status is uncertain. Linebacker Brian Cushing said his sore hip felt fine Wednesday. A teammate hit Cushing with his elbow or knee during a walk-through Tuesday. Cushing said he will get the cast of his wrist today. He had a bone chip in the wrist. Defensive end Kyle Moore (back spasms) didn’t practice.

Ohio State notes – Chris “Beanie” Wells practiced today for Ohio State, and coach Jim Tressel said on his radio show tonight that the important thing in determining whether Wells plays much at top-ranked Southern California on Saturday night will rest in large part on how the injured right foot responds Thursday. “I’d say he probably carried the ball 20 times today,” Tressel said, stressing the team was not doing full-contact drills. “If I had to put a number on it I’d say he was at 75 percent or maybe better.” But he added, “You could see he got a little sore as the practice went.” Whether that soreness develops into something more serious tonight as Wells rests his jammed right forefoot remains to be seen. “The key will be how is he tomorrow (Thursday),” Tressel said. “If he isn’t very sore, then he is going to make a big jump on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. The team is scheduled to leave for Los Angeles early Thursday afternoon after a mid-morning workout.

Thursday, September 11

Ohio State notes – Well it will definitely feel like 9/11 for Buckeyes fans. Tressel. literally less than 30 minutes ago came out and said that Beanie’s foot did not resond well to working out yesterday and Beanie is now doubtful for Saturday night against the Trojans. This is a nightmare scenario for The Buckeyes. If you do not believe us then click here….Beanie now ‘doubtful’ for USC game

USC Notes – Nothing to speak of.

We do not think it is any surprise who we are taking in this game and that is USC. We got this game at (-10.5), right now the spread is bouncing and might be as high as 11 in some places. The Beanie Wells injury is serious. Robert Smith, on College Gameday today, said that he knew Beanie was really hurt because 1) he did not try and get his fumble and 2) he had to be carried off the field. For somebody as tough as Beanie, this points to serious injury. We do not expect to see him and do not expect him to be a factor at all. Pryor is not ready to play as a big game impact player. He is more like a fun tool to play with but he is too young to make a difference in this game. USC’s record is just too solid coming off a bye in the Pete Carroll era and this team is experienced and plain nasty on defense. Todd Boeckman has flat out sucked in three of his last 5 games and is prone to press and make mistakes. We might not be coming up with anything original here but do not see a scenario where Ohio State can win. The only way wold be if Sanchez got hurt. So there you have it. We will be at this game and will love every second. USC wins big and covers.

Flash Flash and Runny

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September 11, 2008 Posted by | Beanie Wells, Betting, Big Ten, Buckeyes, ESPN, Gambling, James Laurinaitis, Jim Tressel, Malcolm Jenkins, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Ohio State, Pete Carroll, Song Girl, Sports, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Winning Picks | 2 Comments