We had a nice week last week with a combined 6-1 record. Here is how we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 5-7
Flash is 3-1
Runny is 8-8
We started our NCAA season a little slow and now are on a roll and the NFL is starting to gear up as well. So lets kick off this party with some hot delicious Keyra Augustina ass…..
RPJ $yndicate picks
San Diego at Miami (+6.5)– Miami is already starting to show signs of The Parcells Plan. Bill is a football genius andhas turned around every single team he has gotten his hands on. This is not a tale of ATS numbersbecause it favors the Chargersin a big way with one exception…Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. This is an interesting matchup and favors the Dolphins in a lot of stats that we look at. The Dolphins have a better running game, a better run defense andhave learned how to limit turnovers. San Diego has not looked good on the road. They had to come from behind against Denver and could have won andthey had to come from behind against the Raiders andwon. This does not bode well as a trend and Miami will be able to limit San Diego’s touches. We think Miami can keep this game close and we are debating a straight moneyline bet. We are not betting the moneyline yet but we think the Dolphins will certainly cover. Take the Fins and the points.
Atlanta at Carolina (-9.5)– We normally hate big spreads but we love betting against one dimensional teams on the road. Stop the run and you stop the Chiefs. Even the Raiders won in KC by shutting down LJ. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5.
Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
We think this lines up well for Carolina and we would not be surprised to see a 20 point win. Take Carolina to cover!!!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-5)– I wish this line was -3.5 or less but I still think the Jags can win by a TD. Jacksonville really has gotten to Big Ben, sacking him 11 times the last two times they played and Big Ben has been sacked almost 4 times a game this year. Willie Parker is out, Mendenhall is out, Kendall Simmons is out, Casey Hampton is out and Brett Keisel is out. That is way too many outs for Pittsburgh. The ATS numbers:
Steelers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 5.
Steelers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in October.
Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 5.
Jaguars are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Home team is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 meetings.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Jacksonville.
I think the Steelers are facing too many injuries and are traveling to Jacksonville. Teams that play on Monday Night and then play on the road in their next game lose outright more than 70% of the times. I will take those odds and the ATS numbers. Jacksonville wins and covers!!!
Flash Flash Picks
Chicago at Detroit (+3.5)– This is a fascinating game but mostly it is a new beginning for the Detroit Lions. The Lions finally rid themselves of the WR happy Matt Millen. It was so fun to have Matt Millen around because that made Al Davis feel like his retarded decisions actually belonged in the NFL.
The ATS numbers:
Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Bears are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
I think the Lions get their first win of the season in this game. The fear is that the Bears will run up and down the field and that is a concern but I think that concern was addressed during Detroit’s bye week. Remember, the Lions are loaded at WR thanks to Matt Millen and they will rise to the occasion to honor their fallen comrade. Take the Lions and the points and if you have some extra scratch around throw a little down on the Moneyline.
Tennessee @ Baltimore (+3): This game is a little tough to handicap, but I think the Titans cover. Tough giving any points to a Baltimore team at home. They are ridiculous on D. However, Flacco is not ready. The Steelers exposed him last week. The Titans have a better D and they will pressure Flacco just like the Steelers did in the 2nd half of their game last week. Plus, the Titans are just more balanced. It will be a close game-definitely a battle of great D’s, but the Titans pull out the cover. Take the Titans -3.
Colts @ Texans (+3): The Colts are banged-up and playing like it. Although they are coming off the bye this week, I don’t think it matters. Peyton is off and as great as he is, he won’t get on the right track until he gets more playing time. The Texans almost beat the Jags last week. They put-up points on a much better J’ville D. They will do the same this week. I love them getting points. Take the Texans +3.
Patriots @ 49ers (+3): Another home Dog. I like them, too. Pats are off the bye, but they have major problems. Cassel will be good (eventually), but the 49ers have a good D. They can keep this game close. Plus, the Pats have NO run defense. That is music to Frank Gore’s ears. He will have a huge game. Pats will win, but 49ers keep it close. Take the 49ers +3.
As always, good luck.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!
Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:
Here is what we like this week:
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.
Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.
Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.
49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.
Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.
Flash Flash Picks
I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.
Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
This is truly terrible and hard to publish. RPJ $yndicate is now 2-5 for our NFL picks. Flash is still 1-0 with a no game last week and Runny came back to the plus side on the week and is now 2-6. This is ugly but it will reverse. We destroyed college football yesterday (10-4 collectively), and we know where we’ve been in the past. Not even sure what we can do to make you feel better. Last week we tried to invoke the spirit of Sarah Palin and that failed miserably. Shame on us for posting a picture of a semi MILF. We think the only thing we can do to reverse it is to show some hot pictures….
Nice crack Miss Klum…
Golf anyone? This is the best picture of Natalie Gulbis ever.
Hopefully those two pics appease the football gods and our picks come around this weekend.
RPJ $yndicate picks
Houston at Tennessee (-4.5) – The return of Kerry Collins. What a glorious thing. If only we knew whether or not he was back on the sauce. Sauce = wins for Kerry Collins. With or without Kerry, the Titans D owns the Texans. And in the NFL, teams like the Ravens and Bears can make the Super Bowl with a jacked D and a mediocre QB that will not turn the ball over. With the Titans running game, we do not expect Kerry to screw things up to badly. The ATS numbers:
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Titans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Do you really need any more information? Tennessee wins and covers easily!!!
Miami at New England (-12.5) – Nice of Joey Porter to provide the Pats with bulletin board material. This rocket scientist is going on the road, to New England with an 0-2 team. Click here to see what he said. Bill Parcells might actually rip Joey’s head off before the game, poo down his neck cavity and then feed him to lions. The ATS numbers:
Dolphins are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Dolphins are 5-22-2 ATS in their last 29 vs. AFC East.
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Dolphins are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Patriots are 25-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.
Home team is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
Again, the ATS numbers say it all and we will bet against any team that gives the Pats bulletin board material. Look for Randy Moss to inject himself again in the lineup in this game. Dolphins have no chance. Pats win and cover easily!
Bungles at Giants (-13) – The Giants continue their COVER roll. These guys are money and are 2-0 on the season. The Bungles by the way are lining up to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. The owner is undercutting Marvin Lewis by bringing back Chris Henry and Ocho Cinco and TJ Housh are either playing hurt or just playing like shiznit. Can these guys drop any more passes. We love us some Ocho Cinco and will even show a highlight reel of him to show our love….
Well Mr. Ocho….it looks like those highlights will be few and far between this year. Also, when your QB hosts cornhole tournaments you know you are in serious trouble. We love us some USC but Carson is taking it a little too far. If you do not know what we are talking about then click here (Carson Palmer Cornhole Classic). Carson even charges people, you can buy a package or sponsor Carson’s cornhole. What a business. Here are the ATS numbers for the game:
Bengals are 5-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Giants are cover machines right now and we are not going to step in front of this train. Take the Giants to cover and win!!!
Panthers @ Vikings (-3): The Vikings as favorites in this game really scares me. It has trap written all over it. No doubt the Vikings have a good D, but their QB play has been some of the worse in the league. Changing to Ferotte is probably be a good things, but let’s not forget that he is Gus Freakin’ Ferotte!! There are many reasons why he has not been a starting QB. Now add to the mess that Adrian Peterson is gimpy and may not play. The Panthers get Steve Smith and they have pulled out some great wins. I typically stay away from games that are too good to be true, but I like this one. I’m taking Carolina and the points.
Steelers @ Eagles (-3.5): Clash of the Keystone State Titans!! This will be a great game. Both teams are fundamentally sound and are coached extremely well. The Iggles are fresh of their barn-burner in Big D last Monday. A game, I feel, they should have won outright. Did you see Brian Westbrook?!?! He is the man!! The Steelers beat their hated rival Browns in the Ike Bowl with winds that could make even the toughest team flinch. What will give? I like the home team in this one. I think the Iggles are playing better all around. I also thing Big Ben’s shoulder is hurt much more than they are letting on. I think the Iggles win by at leats a TD. Take the Iggles -3.5.
Jags @ Colts (-4.5): These teams always play each other tough. Always great games. Both teams limp into this one with huge injuries-primarily to their O-Lines. Manning has not been the Manning we are accustomed to seeing. The Jags have not been able to run the ball like we are used to seeing either. That said, I think the Jags get on the right track this week. The reason? Bob Saunders. He is out this week for the Colts. That spells huge trouble for the Colts’ run D. Mo Drew and Fred Taylor will finally get on track. I think the Colt will win, but the Jags will be able to control the ball enough to keep it close. Take the Jags +4.5.
Browns @ Ravens (-2.5): Another huge rivalry game. These teams DESPISE one another and the games are usually a blast to watch. This one is pretty simple to me. No way the Browns go 0-3 against a rookie QB. The Ravens have a solid D, but the Browns have the talent to attack them. I’m taking the Browns and the points (+2.5).
Cowboys @ Packers (+3): Another great game. The Boys covered last year against them in Big D (line was -7.5). If you remember, the Boys jumped on them early and knocked Favre out of the game. Rogers stepped in and actually played much better than Favre did. He almost beat them. But, he didn’t and the Boys went on to make Flash and I some cash. What about this year? The Packers are the same team, except old #4 is gone. The Boys are much better. Romo is coming home to play his childhood favorite team. Lambeau does not have the same homefield advantage in Septmber as it does in December. I think the Boys win easy. Again. Take the Boys -3.
Flash Flash “The all good things must come to an end” picks
These picks will defy logic but you just have to go with them.
Houston at Tennessee over/under 39 points – We already gave you our pick in this game but I am seeing a trend this season and this week. Here are the ATS numbers:
Over is 8-0 in Texans last 8 vs. AFC South.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.
Over is 8-2-1 in Texans last 11 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 16-5 in Texans last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games on grass.
Under is 6-0 in Titans last 6 games in September.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 11-1-1 in Titans last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-1-1 in Titans last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games in Week 3.
Under is 6-2-1 in Titans last 9 home games.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
So it looks like a pretty even split; the Houston over and the Titans Under. The only thing that throws it off is their last 4 head to head, which has been consistently Over. What I am looking at is this year and this year the Titans are 2-0 for the under and their defense is nasty. Houston is coming off a hurricane induced bye and the players are more concerned about their families than they are about this game. Look for Houston to get shut down by the titans defense and look for the Titans to run the ball a lot. The more they run, the faster the game clock ticks down and the less time they have to score points. I am taking the under 39 in this game.
Tampa Bay at Chicago Over/Under 36 points – Here we go with another one against the grain but it is not as blatant as the Texans/Titans. Lets jump into the ATS numbers:
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 games in September.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC.
Over is 22-7-1 in Bears last 30 vs. NFC.
Over is 15-5 in Bears last 20 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bears last 8 games in Week 3.
Over is 14-6 in Bears last 20 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
This is an interesting one for the Vegas odds makers. These teams are 3-1 for the under this season and the lines have been trending down. Chicago has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went under both times and Tampa has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went over the 43 by one point and then hit the under. Vegas keeps ratcheting the line down and now it sits at 36 points. The Bucs are averaging 22 points on O and giving up 17.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. The Bears are averaging 23 points on O and giving up 16.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. I think Vegas set this under too low. These two teams are efficient on offense. Tampa always is and Orton plays conservative ball and Forte has been a stud. These teams have played to the Under in 4 of their last 5 meetings but I am going the other way. I am taking the Over in this game!!!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Greetings folks. If you followed us last week, you took a bad beating. We did, but we have had bad weeks in the past. We always right the ship. We can only go up from here and we know we will. Our records on the season are as follows:
RPJ PICKS: 2-3
FLASH PICKS: 1-0
RUNNY PICKS: 0-5
No explanation for that crap. We know it is terrible, but we practice full disclosure. Feel free to blast us anyway you want. It won’t stop us from picking. We are imploring the will of Sarah Palin to bust us out of our mini slump. She jacked up McCain’s approval rating and good fortune and now we call on you…Mrs. Governor of Alaska and VP running mate to spread your goodwill and make our picks come in.
C’mon Sarah….bring home the cold hard cash!!!!!
That said, here is what we like in Week Two:
Raiders @ Chiefs (-3.5): The Raiders looked terrible on Monday. They played about as bad as a team could play. On the contrary, the Chiefs held their own against the mighty Pats in Foxboro last week. Their D looked really, really good. The Raiders are on a short week. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Riaders, but we don’t think it matters in this one. Take the Chiefs -3.5.
Saints -1 @ Skins: The Skins disppointed us in Week One in NY/NJ. We don’t think they are as bad as they played and we think they will improve playing at home this week. However, the Saints just have more talent and a much better coach. The Saints beat a very good Tampa team last week and Colston was not productive. His loss impacts the team for the ling run but it doe snot impact them for this game. Also, the Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in DC. This line is essentially a pick-em. Take the Saints -1.
Pats +1.5 @ Jets: This game will be the most hyped game of the week. Jets fans are foaming at the mouth with the opportunity to have Favre pound the Bradyless Pats at home. No doubt the Pats are a completely different team. However, Belichek is one of the best coaches in the game. He will come-up with a plan to exploit Cassel’ talents. Don’t forget, Matt Cassel is a USC product. He has talent and he has studied under Belichk and Brady his whole career. He has excellent skill players around him. He can get it done. Don’t forget, the Pats are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 at the Jets. The Jets did win against the Fins last week, but the Fins still suck. The Pats win outright. Take the Pats +1.5.
Chargers (-1) @ Broncos: The Broncos certainly had an outstanding debut against the Raiders on Monday night. Now they head home to face a Chargers team that is reeling from the heartbreaking loss at home to Carolina and from knowing that Merriman is out for the year. Tough blows. However, Carolina is much better than the Raiders and that game could have easily gone in the Chargers’ favor. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS against the Broncos. Take the Chargers -1.
Steelers @ Browns (+6): The Brownies looked terrible at home last week against the Boys. Romo had all day to pass and he ate them up. The Steelers were the exact opposite against the Texans last week. What will give? The ATS numbers favor the Steelers by a lot (Browns: 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against the Steelers; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Steelers), but we think the Browns will make adjustments and figure out how to get pressure on Big Ben. They may not win, but they can keep it within 6.5. They will be fired up to avenge their terrible play last week and show the Steelers they can hang. Keep in mind that the Browns were destroyed last year in Week One (by the Steelers) but came back to drop 51 on the Bungles. Take the Browns +6.
Flash Flash Picks:
Baltimore at Houston (-4) – The tale of opposites. Houston was spanked on the road last week. Baltimore and Joe Flacco won against the Bungles. Houston is better than they showed and will be at home. Baltimore did not show anything but still won. Rookie QBs are comfortable at home and playing on the road is a whole nother ball game on the road. I think Baltimore gets blown out by more than 10 and I am even picking this game in all of my knockout pools this week. Some ATS numbers:
Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Ravens are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Texans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Pick the Texans at home to cover!!!
Come back for the Monday Night pick. As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny and Flash
Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:
RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)
Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.
Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.
Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.
Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.
Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.
RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)
Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.
Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.
Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.
Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny and Flash
2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):
Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.
Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.
49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.
Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.
Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.
Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.
Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.
Runny & Flash
A good start to the weekend for us with the Panthers pulling through for us against the Cowboys. With Saturday’s win, our season ATS record stands at 60-47-1. Here is what we like on Sunday:
Packers @ Bears +8.5: The Bears gave the Pack a surprising beatdown in their match-up earlier this year. The Pack have been dominant since then. Their only blemish was a debacle in Dallas. The Pack won’t make those mistakes again. However, the Bears are hungry to salvage something from this season. Kyle Orton gets the start again and the Bears D knows that the game is in their hands. They love playing Favre. Especially at home. We think they will be amped for this game. The Pack will win, but the Bears D will keep them in it. Plus, the nasty weather in the Windy City will help the Bears. Take the Bears +8.5.
Texans +7 @ Colts: The Texans have been up and down all year. The Colts are CRUSHED by injuries. They squeaked by the Raiders last week in Oakland. We think their injuries on D will produce the same result this week at home against the Texans. The Texans can score some points. They will score some more this week. Ignore the fact that the home team in this match-up is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take the Texans +7.
Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Before last week, everyone was looking to this game for a Cinderella story and hoping that a winless Fins team could end the Pats run to perfection. The Ravens made sure that the Fins would not be winless coming into this game last week. The Patriots are going to make sure their run to perfection will stay in play this week. Not only will they win, they will win big. Don’t follow the public in this one. The Pats beat them by 21 in their match-up earlier this season in Miami. They will do better than that on Sunday. Take the Pats -22.
Redskins @ Vikings -6.5: The Vikings managed to win last Monday night against the Bears despite a ton of turnovers. They will remedy the turnovers this week. The Skins will be without Rocky McIntosh. This is huge. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a big game. Take the Vikings -6.5.
Falcons @ Cardinals -10: The Falcons are getting players back from injuries while the Cards are pretty banged-up. There were signs of a little turmoil in the Cards loss last week as Kurt Warner blew up on the sidelines at one of his offensive coaches. That said, the Falcons are a joke. Take the Cards -10.
Jets @ Titans -8.5: With this line and how these teams have played the past few weeks, we would LOVE to take the Jets here. However, the reality is that the Jets are just decimated by injuries. Kellen Clemens was injured last week and is not expected to play. Laveranues Coles is out. That is just too much for this Titans team at home. Take the Titans -8.5.
Browns -3 @ Bengals: The Bengals have been infuriating to watch this year. Are hearts go out to any Bengals fan. This season must be torture. They are at home this week against their in-state rival. Their last meeting was a huge shoot out. This week will not be the same. The key to this game will be the D’s. It will be a close game. We just think the Browns have more weapons on offense than the Bengals do. Plus, the Bengals D is much worse. Take the Browns -3.
Good luck with your picks.
Flash & Runny
We had a GREAT Week 14 to bring our season record to 54-39-1. We like quite a few games in Week 15. Of course we love tonight’s game, too. Here is what we recommend:
Broncos -1.5 @ Texans: Very boring game for a Thursday night. Neither team really has a legit shot at making the playoffs, so this is pretty useless as far as the NFL goes. However, it is great for handicappers!!!!!!!
The interesting thing about tonight’s match-up is that this line opened with the Texans being the favorite. Vegas quickly changed the line in response to the heavy action on the Broncos. It is no fluke. The Broncos should be favored. The Texans are not that good. We like them to play better at home, but not well enough to beat the Broncos. The Broncos have a good D with shutdown corners that will neutralize Johnson and the Texans receivers. No receivers means Rosenfels/Schaub are not going to be able to pass. No pass puts too much pressure on their running backs. This all equates to a Broncos cover. Take the Broncos -1.5.
- Adrian Peterson
- Air Force Falcons
- Akron Zips
- Alabama Crimson Tide
- Alabama Tide
- Angelina Jolie
- Angie Harmon
- Anna Kournikova
- Appalachian State
- Arizona Cardinals
- Arizona State
- Arkansas Razorbacks
- Arkansas State
- Atlanta Falcons
- Atlanta Hawks
- Atlantic 10
- Auburn Tigers
- Ball State
- Ball State Cardinals
- Baltimore Ravens
- Baylor Bears
- BBF OMG
- Beanie Wells
- Big 12
- Big East
- Big Mac
- Big Ten
- Bill Parcells
- Black Knights
- Blue Devils
- Bobby Petrino
- Boise State Broncos
- Boston Celtics
- Boston College
- Bowling Green
- Brad Childress
- Brett Favre
- Britney Spears
- Bubba the love Sponge
- Buffalo Bills
- BYU Cougars
- Carmen Luvana
- Carmine's in St. Louis
- Carolina Panthers
- Casey Dick
- Celine Dion
- Central Florida
- Central Michigan
- Chad Pennington
- Charlie Weis
- Charlotte Bobcats
- Chase Daniel
- Chicago Bears
- Chicago Bulls
- Chris Berman
- Chris Bosh
- Chris Redman
- Chuck Liddell
- Chuck Norris
- Cindy Crawford
- Clay Aiken
- Clemson Tigers
- Cleveland Browns
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Coaches Poll
- Colin Cowherd
- Colorado Buffaloes
- Colorado St.
- Crimson Tide
- Dahm Triplets
- Dallas Cowboys
- Dallas Mavericks
- Dan LaFevour
- Demon Deacons
- Dennis Erickson
- Dennis Franchione
- Denver Broncos
- Denver Nuggets
- Derek Jeter
- Detroit Lions
- Detroit Pistons
- East Carolina
- East Carolina Pirates
- Eastern Michigan
- Eli Manning
- Eliot Spitzer
- Eric Mangini
- ESPN SUCKS
- Eva Mendes
- Fighting Irish
- Florida Atlantic
- Florida Gators
- Florida International
- Florida State Seminoles
- Frank Beamer
- Free NBA Picks
- Free NBA Playoff Picks
- Free NCAA picks
- Free NFL Divisional Round Picks
- Free NFL Picks
- Free NFL Wild Card Picks
- Free Super Bowl Picks
- Fresno State
- Georgia Bulldogs
- Georgia Tech
- Gia Allemand
- Giselle Bundchen
- Golden Bears
- Golden Gophers
- Golden Hurricane
- Golden State Warriors
- Green Bay Packers
- Hall of Fame
- Hamilton College
- Hannibal Lecter
- Hawaii Rainbows
- Heidi Klum
- Heidi Montag
- Heidi Montaug
- Heisman Trophy
- Hideki Matsui
- Horned Frogs
- Houston Rockets
- Houston Texans
- Howard Stern
- Ike Turner
- Indiana Hoosiers
- Indianapolis Colts
- Indianapolis Pacers
- Iowa Hawkeyes
- Iowa State
- Iowa State Cyclones
- Jackie Robinson
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jamele Hill
- James Laurinaitis
- Jasmine Mai
- Jason Whitten
- Jeff Garcia
- Jeff Tedford
- Jessica Alba
- Jessica Biel
- Jessica Simpson
- Jim Grobe
- Jim Harbaugh
- Jim Tressel
- Jimmy Claussen
- Joe Girardi
- Joe Torre
- Kansas City
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Kansas Jayhawks
- Kansas State
- Katherine Heigl
- Kei Igawa
- Keira Knightley
- Kent State
- Kentucky Wildcats
- Keyra Augustina
- Kim Kardashian
- Knowshon Moreno
- Kobe Bryant
- Kurt Warner
- Kyle Farnsworth
- Kyle Orton
- LA Clippers
- LA Lakers
- Laclede's Landing
- Lane Kifin
- Larry Bowa
- Lauren Conrad
- Lebron James
- Les Miles
- Lily Thai
- Lindsey Lohan
- Live blog
- Lloyd Carr
- Louisville Cardinals
- LSU Tigers
- Malcolm Jenkins
- Mariano Rivera
- Mark Mangino
- Mark Richt
- Married at a Waffle House
- Marshall Thundering Herd
- Matt Millen
- Matt Ryan
- Matt Schaub
- Matt Stafford
- Megan Fox
- Megan Gale
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Miami Dolphins
- Miami Heat
- Miami Hurricanes
- Miami Ohio
- Michael Vick
- Michael Vick Dog Fighting
- Michigan State
- Michigan Wolverines
- Mike Mussina
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Minnesota Vikings
- Mississippi State
- Missouri State
- Monday Night Football Picks
- More Cowbell
- Mt. Union
- Natalie Gulbis
- National Parks
- NBA Draft
- NBA Picks
- NBA Playoffs Picks
- NC State
- ncaa football
- NCAA Hoops
- NCAA Picks
- New England Patriots
- New Mexico
- New Orleans Hornets
- New Orleans Saints
- New York
- New York Giants
- New York Jets
- New York Knicks
- New York Yankees
- NFL Championship Game
- NFL Picks
- Nick Saban
- Nittany Lions
- NJ Nets
- North Carolina
- North Texas
- Notre Dame
- NY Giants
- NY Jets
- NY Knicks
- Oakland Raiders
- Ohio State
- Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Ole Miss
- Oregon Ducks
- Oregon State
- Orlando Magic
- Pam Anderson
- Pat White
- Patrick Crayton
- Paul O'Neil
- Penn State
- Pete Carroll
- Peyton Manning
- Phoenix Suns
- Pittsbourgh Steelers
- Pittsburgh Panthers
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Portland Trailblazers
- Quinn Gray
- Race Relations
- Rachel Mcadams
- Ralph Friedgen
- Rampage Jackson
- Randy Moss
- Rashad Evans
- Ray Maualuga
- Red Raiders
- Red Sox
- Reese Witherspoon
- Reggie Bush
- Rey Maualuga
- Rice Owls
- Rich Rodriguez
- Rick Pitino
- Roger Clemens
- Roger Goodell
- Rose Bowl
- Rudy Carpenter
- Rudy Ruettiger
- Rutgers Basketball
- S. Jersey
- Sacramento Kings
- San Antonio Spurs
- San Diego Chargers
- San Diego St.
- San Francisco 49ers
- San Francisco Giants
- Sarah Palin
- Scarlet Knights
- Scarlett Johansson
- Scott Proctor
- Scott Van Pelt
- Seal Beach
- Sean Sherk
- Sean Taylor
- Seattle Sonics
- Senate vote on bailout
- Seton Hall
- SMU Mustangs
- Song Girl
- South Bend
- South Carolina Gamecocks
- South Florida
- Southern Illinois
- Southern Miss
- St. Louis
- St. Pauli Girl
- Stanford Cardinals
- State of the Yankees
- Stephen A. Smith
- Steve Spurrier
- Stewart Mandel
- Stuart Scott
- Sugar Bowl
- Sun Devils
- Super Bowl
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tar Heels
- Taylor Mays
- Temple Owls
- Terrell Owens
- Terry Francona
- Texas A&M
- Texas Longhorns
- Texas Tech
- The Hills
- The Lou
- Tim Duncan
- Tim Tebow
- Toledo Rockets
- Tom brady
- Tom Coughlin
- Tony Romo
- Toronto Raptors
- Trey Wingo
- Troy Trojans
- Ty Willingham
- Ultimate Fighter
- Urban Meyer
- USC Trojans
- Utah Jazz
- Utah State Aggies
- Utah Utes
- Vanessa Minnillo
- Vinny Testaverde
- Virginia Cavaliers
- Virginia Tech
- Virginia Tech Hokies
- W. Michigan
- Waffle House
- Wake Forest
- Washington Huskies
- Washington Redskins
- Washington State
- Washington Wizards
- Wes Welker
- West Virginia
- Western Kentucky
- Western Michigan
- Wheel of Genius
- Winning Picks
- Wisconsin Badgers
- Womack Army Medical Center
- World Series
- Yasmine Bleeth
- Yellow Jackets