Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!
Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:
Here is what we like this week:
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.
Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.
Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.
49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.
Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.
Flash Flash Picks
I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.
Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:
RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)
Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.
Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.
Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.
Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.
Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.
RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)
Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.
Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.
Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.
Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny and Flash
NFL Championship Game Picks: Pats Lose in Biggest Upset in NFL History after Tom Brady’s Love Child Rips His Head Off During Pre-game Warmups!
Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….
We knew that headline would get your attention. Our picks might suck but we are not idiots in picking a Pats loss in this one (Read on for our actual pick). We are coming at you with an unusual winning pick selection process for you this time. We simply can not agree on these games and because of this we are not putting any of RPJ Syndicate’s money to work; we are putting our own personal money to work. This is frustrating for us but it is what it is and this happens sometimes and we usually skip the game altogether as you know but because there are only three NFL games left (we are crying literally because of this) we have to put our opinions out there because this is the NFL. Now some of you naysayers out there will call us scam artists because you think we are going to pick both sides and then say we were winners. Well we are not doing this. RPJ Syndicate is a terrible 1-7 in the playoffs so far and these picks will not count for our record because RPJ’s money is not playing these games. Hopefully we can agree on a consensus for the Super Bowl and bet the living hell out of it to recoup some of our losses but time will only tell if that comes true. So to make our crappy picks up with you we are going to show tons of hot chicks in this blog and first up is the beautiful ass of Miss Jessica Alba:
January 20, 2008 – San Diego at New England (-14)
We are going to show you the ATS numbers first for both teams and then we will have our own analysis.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 46-15-2 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
Patriots are 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Flash Flash Says: I am going to continue to ride the recent trends and that is a Patriots non-cover. Yes, I know they are 17-0 and the best team in football but they are not cover machines like they were earlier in the season. The weather in Foxboro has limited the Pats ability to stretch the field like they did in the Fall and the Pats are taking a more ball controlled short passing game approach to their offense and this runs the clock out faster and reduces the Pats offensive touches. In addition, every team that plays the Pats knows that they need to limit the Pats touches and employ a ball control offense of their own. The Pats are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games and the only win was the “guarantee” game against the Steelers. Vegas lines were ridiculous in a lot of these games and that helped the opponents cover but that does not mean the Pats are 14 point favorites against the other elite teams in the AFC. This line is simply too high and Vegas knows the Pats homers will continue to bet on the Pats no matter what. Also, San Diego has not received any credit for their current run and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 and riding an 8 game winning streak. The Chargers started slow but you have to remember that they have a completely rehauled coaching staff and two of their early losses were against Green Bay and New England. Expect a ball control game in this one, especially from San Diego. Losing Gates is a big loss for the Chargers. Since the Chargers will play ball control I think the injuries to Rivers and LT will hurt but not as much as people think. Billy Volek will simply be asked to not make mistakes…does this ring any bells? Brad Johnson won a Super Bowl, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, Big Ben won and it was not because they had an aggressive offense, it was because they had a great defense and played mistake free offense. Volek can do this. As far as the running game goes, we all know Michael Turner will be a great starter one day and Darren Sprolles showed he has the explosiveness to play a part in any game. Chargers will play a tight, conservative offense and should be able to run on the Pats to keep the chains moving. I do not think the Chargers win but I think they will keep it within ten points in a super cold game. I am definitely interested in the readers opinion on this game because I do not see the reasons why the Pats should cover, even with a banged up Chargers team. That same banged up Chargers team took it to the Colts on the road and can do it again. They Chargers are also the hotter “betting” team. If you have been riding the Pats you have been riding your bankroll down the crapper.I am betting the Chargers and taking the points!!!
Mrs. Flash Flash says: Yes, she is back. She thinks the Pats will not cover the 14 points. She thinks the Pats will not cover because they are unstoppable. Yes, that makes no sense at all and she is half a bottle of wine in. Take it for what it is worth. Mrs. Flash Flash is also coming at you with her top three hottest chicks. First is Miss Sienna Miller:
Chick number 2 is Miss Jessica Biel:
Chick number 3 is Katherine Heigl:
Runny says: Flash has been staring at that pic of Jessica Alba too long and doesn’t have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck. This game should be re-named the “Decimation Bowl” because that is just what the Pats are going to do. Mind you, I DESPISE Tom Brady. I DESPISE Belichek (so much so I threw away all my hoodies). I DESPISE the PATS. I just know a smart thing when I see it. The thing is with this game is that even without the injuries to the Chargers, the Pats still would cover. They destroyed them in Week 2 when they were totally healthy. They will do so again this week.
The Pats were a missed field goal away from covering last week against a Jags team that is much, much better on both sides of the ball than the Chargers. The two weeks off hurt the Pats. They were definitely rusty. Now they will be ready. The Pats are praying that the Chargers blitz Brady and double Moss. Brady will eat that up and hit Wes Welker all game long. The weather will not matter. Look for big games from My Homey Lawrence Moroney, Wes Welker and the Pats secondary. Rivers had the game of his career last week, but that was due to poor execution and poor strategy by the Colts. There is not a receiver on the Chargers that the Pats cannot cover. Chambers will not have a repeat performance.
As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are a team of destiny. They will decimate the Chargers and roll right into the Super Bowl. Take the Pats -14.
January 20, 2008 – Giants at Green Bay (-7)
Coming at you with the ATS numbers first:
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Giants are 7-16-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Packers are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Packers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Runny Says: The keys to this game are the Giants secondary and the huge home-field advantage. In regards to the Giants secondary, the Packers play sound football and Favre is playing within the system. He is not trying to win the game on every throw. He has confidence in his receivers for the first time in probably 10 years. He has a solid running game backing him and the enitre offense is playing exceptionally well as a team. This does not bode well for an inexperienced and beat-up Giants secondary. Favre and his receivers will do what Romo and his receivers could not do last week; Favre will make the throws and his receivers will catch the ball. The more this happens, the more the running lanes will be free for Ryan Grant. It will snowball into a lot of points for the Pack.
In regards to the Lambeau advantage, the Giants will be playing in an environment they have never seen before. It is going to be FRIGID, with a HIGH of only 4 degrees! You read that right-4 f’ing degrees!! (Is it coincidence that that just so happens to be Favre’s number?!? I don’t think so…). Not only that, they are calling for snow! The Giants will not be prepared for this. They will not be prepared for this crowd.
This would not be a Runny blog post if Keyra did not make an appearance with her fantastic ass…..
Favre and the Pack will get up early and pour it on. Eli will throw a few picks. Look for a big game from the Packers corners. I would not be surprised if one of them take one back for 6. Take the Packers and give the points.
Flash Flash Says:This game really is tough to call in my opinion and that makes it easy. During the NFL season when faced with two awesome opposing forces, you go with the underdog every time. Giants are on a 9 game road winning streak, they are 7-0 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record, Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 January games, Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and the list goes on and on. If I were to focus on the only negative ATS numbers the only one that sticks out is that the Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We know the Giants are the best road team in the NFL this season, with the exception of the Pats and this is a stat to consider. To me these teams are spitting images of each other, they can run, they can run to set up the pass, they have aggressive defenses and they can get after the QB. You can say this about both teams. I like what the Giants coaches have been doing as well. Even though the Giant’s secondary was depleted last week they stuck to their game plan and were content to blitz and man up in the 4th quarter, basically telling their players that they play on Sundays and they have faith in them to make the necessary plays. Great job by Coughlin’s crew. I think the weather will also be a factor in this game and we will all get to see the frozen tundra part II as these teams will play in near zero degree weather. We saw what the Packers offense did in the snow but this will be a lot colder.
It is also important to realize the Manning has bucked up in the last two games by playing not to lose. This is incredibly important in the playoffs. This season is a mish mosh for Manning. Sometimes he seems terrible and completely out of it and other times he leads his team on a quarter ending 75 yard TD scoring drive in 40 seconds. He has learned how to play within himself during these playoffs and I think he has a good mentor (Big Brother Peyton) who learned that putting up 49 TDs and tons of yards is not the key to winning a championship. Playing within yourself and not making mistakes or forcing plays is what keeps the NFL season alive. So will we get he bad decision making drunk Eli:
The drunk Eli will make poor decisions like getting a picture of him taken while he was drunk out of his mind with some little blond hottie or will we get the smart, low-key Eli who marries his college sweetheart and not some whore during a drunken night out. The picture below is Eli’s wife:
I think the Packers win a close game in the 17-14 range. I am betting the Giants with the points!!!
Some of you degenerates out there might know already but the AVN awards went down last weekend out in Vegas. So I want to focus on some porn dirty HOs for my pics today. Hello Breasts!!!!
You like Lily Thai, you will like Jasmine Mai:
and a porn pic shot would not be complete withou Carmen Luvana:
Mrs. Flash Flash says:The Mrs. thinks Favre is the american football dream and is predicting a Packers blow out. Yes the American football dream folks.
Only one more game to go this season…..The Super bowl and we will be ready with our pick. We hope you learned a lot about betting and grew to appreciate us this season. We tell it like it is and we put our own money to work with you. We are not some BS service that touts 65% winners all the time cause anybody with a brain knows that is impossible. This was an bizarre season in NCAA and NFL football and we will examine our models and see if we can find any additional strategic points to manipulate next season.
May your pimp hand be strong and your wallets full!!!
Flash and Runny
Greetings!! The 2nd round of the playoffs kicks off this afternoon. This weekend has some GREAT match-ups. We are lovin’ this!!! Let’s start with the stats: for the regular season, we held a 62-60-1 record and for the playoffs, we are 0-4. We now both those records are bad and not worth posting. It is not stopping us though because we know what lies ahead. This is definitely the weekend of the underdog. ALL of these lines scream for you to take every ‘dog. Vegas is begging you to do it-DON’T!!!! Here is our take on the Divisional Round:
Seahawks @ Packers -7.5: The Seahawks return to Lambeau in the playoffs for the first time since the infamous OT claim “We want the ball and we are gonna score” line. That game did not end well for the Seahawks. Will this one?
The keys to answer that question lie with the defenses for both teams and the incredible home field advantage the Packers have in this game. Can the Seahawks overcome Lambeau and the Packers D? We don’t think so.
No doubt the Packers are clearly the better team. Vegas thinks so, which is really all that matters. They are rested and at home. They have an incredible D line and they are able to generate sacks without the help of their linebackers (Packers had 35 sacks on the season-30.5 came from D linemen). The Seahawks were not as good (45 teams sacks-29 by D linemen). This is a tremendous advantage. This means that the Packers can pressure the QB without bringing extra defenders-defenders that can drop back in pass coverage. This does not bode well for a Seahawks offense that is already banged-up. The Packers secondary will get a couple picks. Aaron Kampman will have a HUGE game.
What about Favre against the Seahawks D? During the regular season, the Seahawks were ranked 15th in the NFL. Last week, they nearly lost to Todd Collins (the game was MUCH closer than the score). Bret Favre is not Todd Collins. He will be able to move the ball. The Packers will be able to run all day. We LOVE the Packers in this game. Go heavy. We think they win by 10. Take the Packer -7.5.
Jags @ Pats -13: This is the game everyone is talking about. We have to admit that back as early as week 6, we thought if the Jags got the Pats in the playoffs they could beat them. They are a physical team with an OUTSTANDING running game. Looking at the games in which the Pats nearly lost, it was due to solid running and very physical defensive play. That is what most of the betting public thinks, too.
Don’t believe the hype!! We love the Jags and hate the Pats, so this pick is hurting us. However, look at the Steelers game last week. The Jags D lost an 18 points lead in the 2nd half. Garrard came back down to earth. We saw a Jags team that could not blitz effectively (we saw them blitz 3 times-every time they did, the Steelers beat them for a TD). You cannot beat the Pats without pressuring Brady. Can’t happen.
The Jags will use Rashean Mathis (and help) to negate Moss. The last team that took that approach and wasn’t able to blitz were the Skins. That game ended 52-7. Also, don’t forget that the Jags also have a rookie (though a good one) playing FS. For all the talk that the Pats don’t have a good D and cannot stop the run, the Pats gave up only 98.1 yards per game on the ground. Not great, but not bad either. They have had 13 days to prepare. They will be ready.
We don’t think this game is close. We think the Pats will get up by 14 early and keep pouring it on. Once they do, the Jags running game will be out the window. We think the Pats win by 20. Take the Pats -13.
Good luck! A post for tomorrow’s games will be out later tonight.
Runny & Flash
2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):
Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.
Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.
49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.
Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.
Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.
Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.
Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.
Runny & Flash
A good start to the weekend for us with the Panthers pulling through for us against the Cowboys. With Saturday’s win, our season ATS record stands at 60-47-1. Here is what we like on Sunday:
Packers @ Bears +8.5: The Bears gave the Pack a surprising beatdown in their match-up earlier this year. The Pack have been dominant since then. Their only blemish was a debacle in Dallas. The Pack won’t make those mistakes again. However, the Bears are hungry to salvage something from this season. Kyle Orton gets the start again and the Bears D knows that the game is in their hands. They love playing Favre. Especially at home. We think they will be amped for this game. The Pack will win, but the Bears D will keep them in it. Plus, the nasty weather in the Windy City will help the Bears. Take the Bears +8.5.
Texans +7 @ Colts: The Texans have been up and down all year. The Colts are CRUSHED by injuries. They squeaked by the Raiders last week in Oakland. We think their injuries on D will produce the same result this week at home against the Texans. The Texans can score some points. They will score some more this week. Ignore the fact that the home team in this match-up is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take the Texans +7.
Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Before last week, everyone was looking to this game for a Cinderella story and hoping that a winless Fins team could end the Pats run to perfection. The Ravens made sure that the Fins would not be winless coming into this game last week. The Patriots are going to make sure their run to perfection will stay in play this week. Not only will they win, they will win big. Don’t follow the public in this one. The Pats beat them by 21 in their match-up earlier this season in Miami. They will do better than that on Sunday. Take the Pats -22.
Redskins @ Vikings -6.5: The Vikings managed to win last Monday night against the Bears despite a ton of turnovers. They will remedy the turnovers this week. The Skins will be without Rocky McIntosh. This is huge. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a big game. Take the Vikings -6.5.
Falcons @ Cardinals -10: The Falcons are getting players back from injuries while the Cards are pretty banged-up. There were signs of a little turmoil in the Cards loss last week as Kurt Warner blew up on the sidelines at one of his offensive coaches. That said, the Falcons are a joke. Take the Cards -10.
Jets @ Titans -8.5: With this line and how these teams have played the past few weeks, we would LOVE to take the Jets here. However, the reality is that the Jets are just decimated by injuries. Kellen Clemens was injured last week and is not expected to play. Laveranues Coles is out. That is just too much for this Titans team at home. Take the Titans -8.5.
Browns -3 @ Bengals: The Bengals have been infuriating to watch this year. Are hearts go out to any Bengals fan. This season must be torture. They are at home this week against their in-state rival. Their last meeting was a huge shoot out. This week will not be the same. The key to this game will be the D’s. It will be a close game. We just think the Browns have more weapons on offense than the Bengals do. Plus, the Bengals D is much worse. Take the Browns -3.
Good luck with your picks.
Flash & Runny
Greetings!!!! Week 13 is already upon us and we are ready to roll. We LOVE this time of year-NFL starts having games during the week and the college football season is heating up towards Bowl season!! That spells cha-ching time for the Syndicate!!!
Despite a terrible 4-6 Week 12, our season record is 40-28-1. That is still 58%. Very good, but it is still not up to our standards. We will get our minds right and get that percentage up to Syndicate standards. Having Thursday games makes us drool at the prospect of improving our record. That said, we love Thursday’s game. Not only that, we are giving you a 2-for-1 deal. Here’s our take:
Packers @ Cowboys -7; OVER/UNDER 51.5: A Clash of the Titans in the NFC. We checked our records and cannot find any other time in NFL history that two 10-1 teams met to duke it out. Pretty amazing. This seems like a throw back to the early-mid ’90’s when Favre’s Packers used to battle the Triplets’ Cowboys. Much has changed since those days, but the one amazing thing that remains is that Favre is still there. And still gunnin’.
Favre brings his Pack back to Big D for the first time since 1999. And they are hot! Check out these ATS numbers:
Looks damn impressive to us. Unstoppable, right? Slow down, gym shoe. Pump your breaks a little. Favre’s Pack are riding high into Bid D to face a Cowboys team that is loaded on offense and nearly as hot as the Pack. Check out their ATS numbers:
Seems pretty even to us. So what gives? The key to answering that question is simple-Vegas knows. Seriously. Vegas knows. We cannot write or say that enough. Vegas knows all. There is one reason why there are massive replicas of the Eiffel Tower, NYC and the Pyramids in the middle of the Nevada desert-Vegas knows.
Applying this mantra to this game, we reach the question of “why did Vegas set the line where it did?” This line opened at 6.5 and is now 7. When we first saw this line, we screamed “jump on the Pack!!’ Mortgage our houses. Cash in our 401K’s. Rob a bank. Put all the proceeds on the Pack. After-all, how can a team as dominate as the Packers have been not cover 6.5-7 points?!?!? But, that is exactly the trap. Again, Vegas knows. It knows the teams better than anyone at ESPN. More importantly, it knows the gambling public better than anything. That is what they do. They know how to get our money.
There is a reason why this line is where it is. It is high because Vegas wants everyone to take the Pack, and they know the Cowboys should win by more than a TD. Don’t believe us? Just before we wrote this post, we researched where all the money in Vegas is heading. At first glance, it seems that the public is even: 51% of the bets are on the Cowboys while 49% on the Pack. However, look closer. 94% of the money is on the Pack. 94%!!!!!
What do you take from that? It is simple-even after 94% of the money has been placed on the Pack, Vegas has INCREASED the line. Typically, if Vegas gets a line wrong, they will drop it if money heavily favors one team. They do this to get people to put more money on the other team to draw out as much action as they can. 94% is pretty damn heavy on one team, but what did Vegas do? They INCREASED the line, not decreasing it to account for the heavy Pack action. Now that you know that Vegas knows, the only conclusion you can reach from this is that Vegas knows the Boys will win big, but they want you to keep dumping money on the Pack. Don’t fall for their trap!!!! We aren’t!! We are taking the Boys -7.
Now for the 2-for-1 part of our deal. The knock against the Boys all season is their D. Specifically, their pass D. It ranks 21st in the NFL. Hardly what you would think from a 10-1 team. Favre will exploit this. We think big. We think the Boys win, but it will be high scoring. We are taking the OVER 51.5.
There’s our start to NFL Week 13. There will be more picks. Check back with us this weekend. Also, check out our NCAA picks.
As always, good luck with your picks. We hope we are helpful.
Runny & Flash
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Greetings!! Let us start off by giving thanks for another great year! Healthy. Happy. And hopefully wiser. We are also thankful for another season of NFL football!!! We hope you have a great holiday with you and your’s. Cheers to you all!!
Disappointing 4-4 week last week, however, we did win our Eva Mendes bet. Our season record stands at 34-21-2. Hovering right around 60%. We will improve!! We will have two posts this week. This one is special for Turkey Day. Here we go:
Packers -3 @ Lions: This spread started out at 3.5. We love it that it dropped!! The ATS numbers scream take Detroit in this one. However, we don’t always listen to such things. The Packers are on a roll. They want to crush the Lions and will get their chance to do just that. The Lions secondary is terrible-one of the worse in the league. That does not bode well for a team that is about to face Favre on a hot streak. The Pack will win big in this one. It may be a shootout, but the Pack will cover by at least a TD. Let the betting public load-up on the Lions. Be a winner. Take the Packers -3.
Jets @ Cowboys -14: The Jets roll into Big D after a great win at home against the Steelers. Clemens looks like their future. However, the Steelers are a terrible road team. Terrible. And the Jets will be on a short week. The Boys just have too much. This line does scare us, but we think Dallas has too many weapons. Look for them to pound the run early. If they can get ahead early, it will be done. If not, they will turn up the passing game and tear them apart. Take the Boys -14.
Colts @ Falcons +12: The Colts come to Atlanta nearly out of gas. They have been decimated by injuries. They looked terrible at home against a below average Chiefs team. That is not good. Atlanta looked bad, too. However, we like them at home. We think 12 points is too much. Take the Falcons +12.
Happy Thanksgiving!! Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. First things first-we went 4-4 last week bringing our season record to 24-15-2. There is no need to tell us that that is a terrible record. We know. It will improve. Stick with us. We are in the same boat. But we ain’t quittin’!!! Let’s roll into Week 10!!!! Here’s our picks:
Bills -2.5 @ Dolphins: This game has “trap” written all over it. This line is almost too tempting. Vegas always knows and this screams that they want you to take the Bills. Any team can cover a field goal against the Fins, right? There answer should be an obvious “yes,” but again, Vegas knows. Each week we look for these games and stay away. In fact, that is always our first step in our analysis. However, the last time the Bills did not cover was 2003. They shut them out last year in their final match-up and this Fins team is way worse. Even though it could be a Vegas trap, we like the Bills. Take the Bills -2.5.
Browns +10 @ Steelers: The Steelers are deadly at home. They CRUSHED the Ravens last Monday night (I don’t think I’ve seen a worse beatdwon. Well, maybe the Pats-Skins this year). They hate the Brownies, too. I’m sure they will try to do the same thing they did to the Ravens. However, the Ravens are terrible right now and the Browns are hot. Derek Anderson has that team rolling. He can lead the Browns to keep it within 10. Take the Browns +10.
Vikings +5.5 @ Packers: Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Brad Childress finally figured it out-feed AP the ball all day. The guy is a mchine. They will run it down the Packers’ throat and keep it with in 5.5. Take the Vikings +5.5.
Bengals +3.5 @ Ravens: Both teams are a mess. This game is about picking who is more of a debacle. The Ravens are and we are taking the points. Take the Bengals +3.5.
Cowboys -1.5 @ Giants: This spread is tricky. The .5 has “F Us” written all over it. The Boys should win this game. Both teams are better than they were in Week 1. The Boys get Tank Johnson this week to sure up their middle. This game will be a shootout, but the Boys have more weapons. Romo will make less mistakes than Eli. Take the Boys -1.5.
Colts @ Chargers (O/U 47.5): This is over is way too high. look at the Colts last week against the Pats-they only scored 44 points total. The Chargers do not have the Pats offense. Take the Under 47.5
There are our picks. Use whatever you want. Let us know what you tink. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash.
Greetings. After the 5-0 weekend last week, we brought our record to 20-11-2. That is damn fine as we head into week 9. We look to continue our undefeated run with some more locks today. Here we go:
Cowboys -3 @ Eagles: The Cowboys roll into Philly looking to avenge two straight beatdwons at the hands of the Eagles. The Eagles head back home after a solid win in Minnesota amidst the turmoil of Andy Reid and his family crisis (Andy, take a leave of absence. Focus on your kids and family. Life is too short to worry about a team where the fans chant “Bill Cower” in the stands of your home games all the while your kids are falling apart. It is not a sign of weakness to resign. Refusing to step down is a sign of arrogance and stupidity. That is just our two cents..). The Boys are coming off the bye. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 November games. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9. The Boys will win easily. Look for TO to have a big game. Take the Cowboys -3.
Redskins -3.5 @ Jets: The Jets finally pulled the trigger on Pennigton and will start Kellen Clemens this week. We agree with this move. The Jets aren’t going to the playoffs this year. They should look to their future. Clemens has a gun and it is worth the look. That said, they are still pretty bad. Their team has been decimated by injuries. The Skins are fresh off the mother of all beatdowns last week from New England. They will rebound. They have a solid D that is good enough to hold down the Jets O. The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take the Skins -3.5.
49ers +3.5 @ Falcons: Both these teams are a mess. This game cracks us up!!! The 49ers roll into town probably with Alex Smith back. He is no Joe Montana, but he is probably as good as Joey Harrington. The 49ers have a better D. Here are some other tidbits: 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head-to-head meetings; the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Take the points in this one (we think the 49ers win outright anway). Take the 49ers +3.5.
Chargers -7 @ Vikings: Chargers are rollin’ now. The Vikings have the NFL’s best back in Adrian Peterson. However, manning the Vikings helm is Brad Childress. He is a terrible play caller (single-handedly cost them the Cowboys game). The Chargers D will be all over Jackson/Holcomb. They can stop Peterson. This is alot of points to give a home team, but they can cover. Take the Chargers -7.
Ravens +9 @ Steelers: The Ravens have not played well, but they are coming off the bye. They will be getting players back from the injury report. The Steelers have been up and down all season. One week they look like the Patriots. The next they get destroyed. Most of those bad games have come on the road. This week they are at home. The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten at Heinz Field this season and have not lost a Monday night game at home in more than 16 years. They will be looking to avenge two beatdwons last season at the hands of the Ravens. They will win this game, but 9 points is too many to give to a division rival coming off the bye. Especially when that rival is a veteran team. Take the points. Take the Ravens +9.
Jags @ Saints -3: The Saints have won 3 straight and look to finally get to .500 on the season. They are at home this week where they have not been good ATS (7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games). They also have not covered (2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall). The Jags held off a late surge by the Bucks last weekend and will throw Quinn Gray out there for his 2nd start. The Jags have a jacked D and will try to pound the Saints with the run. The Saints will counter with stacking the line and make Gray beat them. He won’t. The Saints will cover. Take the Saints -3.
Packers +2.5 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs surprised us this year, but we are not convinced they are as good as their record says. Favre is hot and he has never beat the Chiefs. It will change this week. Pack wins outright. Take the Packers +2.5.
Patriots @ Colts +5.5: Here we go!! Everyone has been asking us our take on this game. Definately the biggest game of the year to date and is probably a preview of the AFC Championship. The Pats have looked unstoppable all season. The Colts have been very impressive, too. Harrison is listed as questionable, but we think he will play. It is tough to find and edge in this game. Both teams have outstanding QB’s. Both D’s are not great, but not bad either. Here is the thing about this though-the Patriots have played a MUCH easier schedule. Their only challenge came against the Cowboys. The Cowboys ultimately lost that game, but did have a lead in the 2nd half. No other team has done that. The rest of their schedule has been a cake walk. On the other hand, the Colts have played some tough teams and still have been damn impressive. They avenged a embarassing loss last year to the Jags. We like the Colts strength of schedule. We like them at home. We like that the media is giving them little chances of winning. We think the Pats will ultimately win, but it will be close. The Colts will cover. Take the Colts +5.5.
There you go. 8 locks!!!!! Good luck with you picks.
Runny & Flash
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