RPJ Betting Syndicate

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2008 NFL Week 5: Monday Night Winning Picks – Two Way Action

Greetings folks. Rough weekend for your’s truly, but RPJ laid another winner. I love tonight’s match-up, and I like my chances of making a strong comeback with two picks for you. Here it goes:
 
Minnesota @ New Orleans (-3); OVER/UNDER 47: The Vikes riding into the Crescent City fresh off their tough loss to the undefeated Titans. The Saints are riding high after their beatdown of the 49ers. What will give? To me, the key to this game is the Saints D, or lack thereof. They cannot stop anyone. They have given-up an average of 25 points per game, and their schedule has not been exactly tough. With the exception of Denver, they have not faced a team with an explosive offense (Tampa, Washington and San Fran). That is too many points to give-up against those teams. This means a HUGE day for Adrian Peterson. He will steamroll this defense and put the Vikings over the hump. FACTS: Saints are 1-15 ATS after scoring 28 or more points in back-to-back games against teams that are less than .500 and the Saints are 1-11 ATS at home against teams that are off an away game. I’m taking the Vikings +3
 
I also like the Under in this one. Common sense would say take the over because the Saints cannot stop anyone. However, the Vikings can. Despite giving up over 20 points per game, their D is much better than people think. The Titans game was a fluke, and they showed what they are really all about by holding the Colts to 18 and Carolina to 10. The Saints will be without Colston, Patten and Shockey. This will hurt them tremendously. The Vikes will ground and pound with Peterson. This game will be low scoring. I’m taking the UNDER 47.
 
Good luck with your picks.
 
Runny

October 6, 2008 Posted by | Betting, ESPN, Free NFL Picks, Gambling, Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, NFL, NFL Picks, Sports, Winning Picks | 4 Comments

2008 NFL Week 5: Free Winning Picks and the sad end of Matt Millen

We had a nice week last week with a combined 6-1 record. Here is how we stand on the season:

RPJ $yndicate is 5-7
Flash is 3-1
Runny is 8-8

We started our NCAA season a little slow and now are on a roll and the NFL is starting to gear up as well. So lets kick off this party with some hot delicious Keyra Augustina ass…..

Hello Perfection!!!

Hello Perfection!!!

A little more to the left please....Pretty please!!!!!

A little more to the left please....Pretty please!!!!!

A true work of Art!!!!

A true work of Art!!!!

RPJ $yndicate picks

San Diego at Miami (+6.5)– Miami is already starting to show signs of The Parcells Plan. Bill is a football genius andhas turned around every single team he has gotten his hands on. This is not a tale of ATS numbersbecause it favors the Chargersin a big way with one exception…Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. This is an interesting matchup and favors the Dolphins in a lot of stats that we look at. The Dolphins have a better running game, a better run defense andhave learned how to limit turnovers. San Diego has not looked good on the road. They had to come from behind against Denver and could have won andthey had to come from behind against the Raiders andwon. This does not bode well as a trend and Miami will be able to limit San Diego’s touches. We think Miami can keep this game close and we are debating a straight moneyline bet. We are not betting the moneyline yet but we think the Dolphins will certainly cover. Take the Fins and the points.

Atlanta at Carolina (-9.5)– We normally hate big spreads but we love betting against one dimensional teams on the road. Stop the run and you stop the Chiefs. Even the Raiders won in KC by shutting down LJ. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Kansas City
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Carolina
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5.
Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

We think this lines up well for Carolina and we would not be surprised to see a 20 point win. Take Carolina to cover!!!

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-5)– I wish this line was -3.5 or less but I still think the Jags can win by a TD. Jacksonville really has gotten to Big Ben, sacking him 11 times the last two times they played and Big Ben has been sacked almost 4 times a game this year. Willie Parker is out, Mendenhall is out, Kendall Simmons is out, Casey Hampton is out and Brett Keisel is out. That is way too many outs for Pittsburgh. The ATS numbers:

Pittsburgh
Steelers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 5.
Steelers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in October.
Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Jacksonville
Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 5.
Jaguars are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head
Home team is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 meetings.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Jacksonville.

I think the Steelers are facing too many injuries and are traveling to Jacksonville. Teams that play on Monday Night and then play on the road in their next game lose outright more than 70% of the times. I will take those odds and the ATS numbers. Jacksonville wins and covers!!!

Flash Flash Picks

Chicago at Detroit (+3.5)– This is a fascinating game but mostly it is a new beginning for the Detroit Lions. The Lions finally rid themselves of the WR happy Matt Millen. It was so fun to have Matt Millen around because that made Al Davis feel like his retarded decisions actually belonged in the NFL.

The ATS numbers:

Chicago
Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Bears are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.

Detroit
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

I think the Lions get their first win of the season in this game. The fear is that the Bears will run up and down the field and that is a concern but I think that concern was addressed during Detroit’s bye week. Remember, the Lions are loaded at WR thanks to Matt Millen and they will rise to the occasion to honor their fallen comrade. Take the Lions and the points and if you have some extra scratch around throw a little down on the Moneyline.

Runny Picks

Tennessee @ Baltimore (+3): This game is a little tough to handicap, but I think the Titans cover. Tough giving any points to a Baltimore team at home. They are ridiculous on D. However, Flacco is not ready. The Steelers exposed him last week. The Titans have a better D and they will pressure Flacco just like the Steelers did in the 2nd half of their game last week. Plus, the Titans are just more balanced. It will be a close game-definitely a battle of great D’s, but the Titans pull out the cover. Take the Titans -3.

Colts @ Texans (+3): The Colts are banged-up and playing like it. Although they are coming off the bye this week, I don’t think it matters. Peyton is off and as great as he is, he won’t get on the right track until he gets more playing time. The Texans almost beat the Jags last week. They put-up points on a much better J’ville D. They will do the same this week. I love them getting points. Take the Texans +3.

Patriots @ 49ers (+3): Another home Dog. I like them, too. Pats are off the bye, but they have major problems. Cassel will be good (eventually), but the 49ers have a good D. They can keep this game close. Plus, the Pats have NO run defense. That is music to Frank Gore’s ears. He will have a huge game. Pats will win, but 49ers keep it close. Take the 49ers +3.

As always, good luck.

Runny & Flash

October 5, 2008 Posted by | Ass, Betting, Bill Parcells, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Colts, Detroit Lions, ESPN, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Keyra Augustina, Matt Millen, Matt Schaub, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL Picks, Pittsbourgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Sports, Thong, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

NFL WEEK 4 2008 PICKS: MONDAY NIGHT MADNESS!!!!!

Greetings folks. As a group, we went 6-0 yesterday on our picks. That’s right…6-0!!! You can’t beat that and we knew we would recover. We are about to go 7-0 and this is what I like:

Runny Pick

Ravens @ Steelers (-6): Flash is not rollin’ with me on this one. This game did not pass one of his models, but I feel very good about it with mine. Another great Monday Night match-up of two bitter division rivals. These teams play each other hard and usually knock the snot out of one another. Both teams limp into this one with the Steelers being banged-up on the offensive side and the Ravens being hobbled on D. What will give?

There are two things that stand out to me about this game. The first is that this is Joe Flacco’s first road start. He hasn’t left Baltimore yet, and he is about to be thrown into the fire. The Steelers will give him a ton of looks he has never seen before. Flacco has looked good, but this game is different. He is not going up against the Bungles and the disappointing Browns. My take is never trust a rookie QB in a rivalry game on the road on Monday Night.

Which leads me to the next thing that stands out: the line. For bitter division rivals that pound each other, this line is huge. The Ravens have the league’s best D. They are 2-0 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the Steelers. No way this line should be that high. However, it is and it yet again points to VEGAS KNOWS!!! I think this game is a trap. I’m not falling for it. Take the Steelers -6.

Good luck with your picks.

Runny

September 29, 2008 Posted by | Baltimore Ravens, Bengals, Betting, Browns, ESPN, Free NFL Picks, Gambling, Monday Night Football Picks, NFL Picks, Pittsburgh Steelers, Sports, Steelers, Winning Picks | 10 Comments

2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

September 28, 2008 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Ass, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Belichick, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Brett Favre, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Colin Cowherd, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eagles, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Katherine Heigl, Lane Kifin, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Megan Fox, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Panthers, Patriots, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Reggie Bush, Roger Goodell, Saints, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle, Sports, St. Louis, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Texans, Thong, Titans, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Tony Romo, Vegas, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NFL WEEK TWO Free Winning Picks: NO PLACE TO GO BUT UP!!

Greetings folks. If you followed us last week, you took a bad beating. We did, but we have had bad weeks in the past. We always right the ship. We can only go up from here and we know we will. Our records on the season are as follows:

RPJ PICKS: 2-3
FLASH PICKS: 1-0
RUNNY PICKS: 0-5

No explanation for that crap. We know it is terrible, but we practice full disclosure. Feel free to blast us anyway you want. It won’t stop us from picking. We are imploring the will of Sarah Palin to bust us out of our mini slump. She jacked up McCain’s approval rating and good fortune and now we call on you…Mrs. Governor of Alaska and VP running mate to spread your goodwill and make our picks come in.

C’mon Sarah….bring home the cold hard cash!!!!!

That said, here is what we like in Week Two:

Raiders @ Chiefs (-3.5): The Raiders looked terrible on Monday. They played about as bad as a team could play. On the contrary, the Chiefs held their own against the mighty Pats in Foxboro last week. Their D looked really, really good. The Raiders are on a short week. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Riaders, but we don’t think it matters in this one. Take the Chiefs -3.5.

Saints -1 @ Skins: The Skins disppointed us in Week One in NY/NJ. We don’t think they are as bad as they played and we think they will improve playing at home this week. However, the Saints just have more talent and a much better coach. The Saints beat a very good Tampa team last week and Colston was not productive. His loss impacts the team for the ling run but it doe snot impact them for this game. Also, the Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in DC. This line is essentially a pick-em. Take the Saints -1.

Runny picks:

Pats +1.5 @ Jets: This game will be the most hyped game of the week. Jets fans are foaming at the mouth with the opportunity to have Favre pound the Bradyless Pats at home. No doubt the Pats are a completely different team. However, Belichek is one of the best coaches in the game. He will come-up with a plan to exploit Cassel’ talents. Don’t forget, Matt Cassel is a USC product. He has talent and he has studied under Belichk and Brady his whole career. He has excellent skill players around him. He can get it done. Don’t forget, the Pats are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 at the Jets. The Jets did win against the Fins last week, but the Fins still suck. The Pats win outright. Take the Pats +1.5.

Chargers (-1) @ Broncos: The Broncos certainly had an outstanding debut against the Raiders on Monday night. Now they head home to face a Chargers team that is reeling from the heartbreaking loss at home to Carolina and from knowing that Merriman is out for the year. Tough blows. However, Carolina is much better than the Raiders and that game could have easily gone in the Chargers’ favor. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS against the Broncos. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Browns (+6): The Brownies looked terrible at home last week against the Boys. Romo had all day to pass and he ate them up. The Steelers were the exact opposite against the Texans last week. What will give? The ATS numbers favor the Steelers by a lot (Browns: 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against the Steelers; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Steelers), but we think the Browns will make adjustments and figure out how to get pressure on Big Ben. They may not win, but they can keep it within 6.5. They will be fired up to avenge their terrible play last week and show the Steelers they can hang. Keep in mind that the Browns were destroyed last year in Week One (by the Steelers) but came back to drop 51 on the Bungles. Take the Browns +6.

Flash Flash Picks:

Baltimore at Houston (-4) – The tale of opposites. Houston was spanked on the road last week. Baltimore and Joe Flacco won against the Bungles. Houston is better than they showed and will be at home. Baltimore did not show anything but still won. Rookie QBs are comfortable at home and playing on the road is a whole nother ball game on the road. I think Baltimore gets blown out by more than 10 and I am even picking this game in all of my knockout pools this week. Some ATS numbers:

Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Ravens are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Texans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.

Pick the Texans at home to cover!!!

Come back for the Monday Night pick. As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

September 12, 2008 Posted by | Baltimore Ravens, Betting, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Football, Free NFL Picks, Gambling, Houston Texans, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Jets, NFL Picks, Oakland Raiders, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Raiders, San Diego Chargers, Sarah Palin, Sports, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 5 Comments

NFL WEEK 1 2008 PICKS

Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:

RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)

Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.

Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.

Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.

Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.

Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.

RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)

Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.

Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.

Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.

Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

September 7, 2008 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Betting, Brett Favre, Browns, Chad Pennington, Chicago Bears, Chris Redman, Cleveland Browns, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eric Mangini, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Green Bay Packers, Houston, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Michael Vick, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Picks, Packers, Patriots, Peyton Manning, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Randy Moss, Sports, Tom brady, Vegas, Vick, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

Super Bowl XLII: Giants Versus Patriots*: Free Super Bowl Betting Picks and Hot Chicks

First things first…we are not Giants fans but you noticed the Pats come with an asterix in the headline of this blog and rightfully so. We might have some sports commentary on the Patriots season after the Super Bowl but that will depend on the game. For now we are going to let Gregg Easterbrook (ESPN Page 2 writer) have the spotlight. Please click on this link to get a taste for what we are thinking….If the Pats win, are they the best team ever? Maybe …

Well we are both crying that this is the last NFL game of the season (Pro Bowl is a joke in the NFL so it does not count). We have had our ups and downs this season…our early gains were completely wiped out the last few weeks of the season and in the playoffs but we will press on. Plain and simple…this year was whacked and we blew it down the stretch. We will keep fighting and no better way to end the season on a winning note!!!! We think the Super Bowl is actually pretty compelling from a bettor’s standpoint this year and we have our opinion on the outcome of the game and love a bunch of prop bets.

Also, we are not going to let our faithful readers down. We are going to spread our picks with the relevant hot chicks of the Super Bowl and we have lots to choose from thanks to Mr. Tom Brady and his current and former gal pals. We hate to say it but Tom Brady is the NFL’s version of Derek Jeter. He bangs hot broads and always has the perfect answer for the retarded media folk. It just would not be a Syndicate blog if we did not show some hot Giselle Bundchen photos and Brady’s ex Miss Moynihan is no slouch either but when you see these pics you know why he moved on…even if it was for DiCaprio’s sloppy seconds. Miss Moynihan:

bm-regular.jpg

And now the hot Brazilian with some T&A shots:

gb-model.jpg

Yeah she can model but lets see those tits…….

gb-cleavage.jpg

And of course the Arse Shots……….#1………

gb-ass.jpg

For you ladies out there…The picture above is some of the hottest underwear going. One more ass shot for good luck………..

gb-ass-2.jpg

She is not UGLY!!!

Lets take a look at the general ATS numbers before we get into any type of analysis:

ATS numbers for both teams:

NY Giants
Giants are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

New England Patriots
Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games on grass.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Head to head matchup
The two teams have split the last four meetings between them dating back to 2005, but the Giants covered the number in three of those games.
The over cashed in three times as well.

General Super Bowl Trends
The favored team has gone 9-3 straight up and 4-6-2 against the spread in the last dozen Super Bowls.
Teams that score more than 27 points in the Super Bowl are 23-1 and 22-2-1 against the spread.
New England has averaged 35.6 points per game, while New York averages 23.2.

Alright enough with the ATS numbers lets see some more hot chicks. In honor of the looney of the moment; some hot Britney pics….

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Lets talk about this game for a little bit. We are not Giants or Pats fans so we come with a somewhat unbiased opinion. This game is fun for many reasons. The Pats are the team of destiny…they are 18-0, have a great coach, a great QB and basically great talent on both sides of the ball. A 19-0 season with a Super Bowl win will label them as the best team ever and how can you really debate it. Bill Belichick is a gootball historian and he says his one biggest regret is not being able to coach the Giants. Remember Ray Handley was selected over him for the job way back when so sweatshirt Bill can re-write history against the one team the spurned him in a big F-U game. The Patriost players are actually acting a bit different during this Super Bowl run. There are stories out of Arizona about Pats players texting their buddies that they will be 19-0. You do not hear it from the mainstream media because the Pats are master spinners but they are confident, bordering on arrogant and this is a trait that we have not seen from the Pats yet. So what do we hear from the Giants. Well everybody expects them to lose. The only players you hear about are Plaxico and the like making “guarantees” so they come across like bozos. The Giants played a three point game with the Pats in week 17 but does that really mean anything. Would the score have been the same if it were in warm weather? Probably not. The Giants are not as good as the Pats plain and simple. The teams that contained the Pats offense were teams that had great safeties and CBs that could play man like the Eagles, Ravens, Jags, Colts…you get our drift. the Giants are not set up like this in their secondary. Moss burned them in the Meadowlands and will probably burn them again. Now both Belichick and Coughlin are good coaches so we do not expect this game to play out like the last one. Both teams are playing a tight, ball controlled, power running offense now and this takes time off the clock. The one thing to consider is if the Pats arrogance is real and they try and put up points and put them up quick. Remember the other high flying offense of the past that hit the Super Bowl…Oakland….St. Louis….yeah both those teams lost!!! So if the Pats arrogance does show up we think it will be a negative on them and lead to a close game and if they show up with a tight ball controlled offense than guess what, they do not have enough plays to pull away from the Giants and it will be a close game. This brings us to our ATS analysis. but first a hilarious youtube clip from the Jimmy Kimmel Show where Sarah Silverman talks about fucking Matt Damon. Watch this if you have not seen it yet….

Back to the game and ATS numbers. The numbers that really stick out are the ATS numbers. The Giants are hot and the Pats are not in terms of covering the lines. It is plain and simple. We are going to ride the hot streaks and the streaks are as follows:

Pats are winning at an unprecedented rate
Pats are not covering
Giants are covering

Patriots win the Super Bowl and the Giants keep it close and cover.

On to some of the prop bets that we love.

Player Prop Bets
Eli Manning – Total Passing Yards over/under 229.5 – This will be a high scoring game and Eli will be over this margin easily. Probably by the end of the third quarter.

Eli Manning- Total TD Passes over/under 1.5-He will get this easy.

Brandon Jacobs – Total Rushing Attempts over/under 15.5 – Giants will pound the ball and BJ will be up over 18 carries.

Ahmad Bradshaw-Longest Run From Scrimage Over/Under 11.5-Jacobs is their pounder and Bradshaw is their homerun hitter. After Jacobs softens the D, Bradshaw comes in and runs like Forrest Gump. It may not happen ’til the 4th quarter, but Bradshaw will break a big one. Take the over.

Plaxico Burress – Total Pass Receptions over/under 5 – This is Eli’s go to guy now that he is completely healthy. We see 8-10 catches. Do not fear his injury.

Kevin Boss – Total Pass Receptions over/under 1.5 – All we need is two catches to win this. Come on now. Easy money on this over.

Tom Brady-Total Completions-Over/Under 25.5-This is a joke. The Pats are built around the pass and they will light it up in this one. Brady lives for these games. He will pass. And pass. And pass. Take the over.

Laurence “My Homey” Maroney – Total Rushing Yards over/under 88.5 – The Pats have learned that ball control offenses and rushing yards win Super bowls and Maroney has been on a roll. He is the go to guy in this game and will clear 100 yards rushing and has a chance at MVP.

Kevin Faulk-Total Rushes-Over/Under 3-Faulk has had a long and good tenure with the Pats. Belichek loves him. He will get carries just out of respect. Plus, he is great on gimmick plays. Take the Over.

Wes Welker – Total Pass Receptions over/under 7.5 – Our boy W-squared has been on fire. He will clear 9-10 catches easily.

Benjamin Watson – Total Receiving Yards over/under 22.5 – Watson will be a factor in this game. We are looking for 40-50 yards

Benjamin Watson – Total Pass Receptions over/under 2.5 – Easy money on the over. As we said…he will be a factor.

It has been a fun and wild year. We are here for our readers 24/7 X 365. Please share your insights with us. We have had some requests for NCAA hoops and we want to know what you our readers want. Please post comments or send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Thanks for a great year.

Flash Flash and Runny

February 2, 2008 Posted by | Betting, Britney Spears, Free NFL Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giselle Bundchen, New England Patriots, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Picks, Super Bowl, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Winning Picks | 5 Comments

NFL Championship Game Picks: Pats Lose in Biggest Upset in NFL History after Tom Brady’s Love Child Rips His Head Off During Pre-game Warmups!

Please join us on our new website. We have the same hot chicks and great picks. Click here….

www.rpjsyndicate.com

We knew that headline would get your attention. Our picks might suck but we are not idiots in picking a Pats loss in this one (Read on for our actual pick). We are coming at you with an unusual winning pick selection process for you this time. We simply can not agree on these games and because of this we are not putting any of RPJ Syndicate’s money to work; we are putting our own personal money to work. This is frustrating for us but it is what it is and this happens sometimes and we usually skip the game altogether as you know but because there are only three NFL games left (we are crying literally because of this) we have to put our opinions out there because this is the NFL. Now some of you naysayers out there will call us scam artists because you think we are going to pick both sides and then say we were winners. Well we are not doing this. RPJ Syndicate is a terrible 1-7 in the playoffs so far and these picks will not count for our record because RPJ’s money is not playing these games. Hopefully we can agree on a consensus for the Super Bowl and bet the living hell out of it to recoup some of our losses but time will only tell if that comes true. So to make our crappy picks up with you we are going to show tons of hot chicks in this blog and first up is the beautiful ass of Miss Jessica Alba:

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January 20, 2008 – San Diego at New England (-14)

We are going to show you the ATS numbers first for both teams and then we will have our own analysis.

San Diego
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 46-15-2 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

New England
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
Patriots are 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Flash Flash Says: I am going to continue to ride the recent trends and that is a Patriots non-cover. Yes, I know they are 17-0 and the best team in football but they are not cover machines like they were earlier in the season. The weather in Foxboro has limited the Pats ability to stretch the field like they did in the Fall and the Pats are taking a more ball controlled short passing game approach to their offense and this runs the clock out faster and reduces the Pats offensive touches. In addition, every team that plays the Pats knows that they need to limit the Pats touches and employ a ball control offense of their own. The Pats are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games and the only win was the “guarantee” game against the Steelers. Vegas lines were ridiculous in a lot of these games and that helped the opponents cover but that does not mean the Pats are 14 point favorites against the other elite teams in the AFC. This line is simply too high and Vegas knows the Pats homers will continue to bet on the Pats no matter what. Also, San Diego has not received any credit for their current run and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 and riding an 8 game winning streak. The Chargers started slow but you have to remember that they have a completely rehauled coaching staff and two of their early losses were against Green Bay and New England. Expect a ball control game in this one, especially from San Diego. Losing Gates is a big loss for the Chargers. Since the Chargers will play ball control I think the injuries to Rivers and LT will hurt but not as much as people think. Billy Volek will simply be asked to not make mistakes…does this ring any bells? Brad Johnson won a Super Bowl, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, Big Ben won and it was not because they had an aggressive offense, it was because they had a great defense and played mistake free offense. Volek can do this. As far as the running game goes, we all know Michael Turner will be a great starter one day and Darren Sprolles showed he has the explosiveness to play a part in any game. Chargers will play a tight, conservative offense and should be able to run on the Pats to keep the chains moving. I do not think the Chargers win but I think they will keep it within ten points in a super cold game. I am definitely interested in the readers opinion on this game because I do not see the reasons why the Pats should cover, even with a banged up Chargers team. That same banged up Chargers team took it to the Colts on the road and can do it again. They Chargers are also the hotter “betting” team. If you have been riding the Pats you have been riding your bankroll down the crapper.I am betting the Chargers and taking the points!!!

Mrs. Flash Flash says: Yes, she is back. She thinks the Pats will not cover the 14 points. She thinks the Pats will not cover because they are unstoppable. Yes, that makes no sense at all and she is half a bottle of wine in. Take it for what it is worth. Mrs. Flash Flash is also coming at you with her top three hottest chicks. First is Miss Sienna Miller:

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Chick number 2 is Miss Jessica Biel:

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Chick number 3 is Katherine Heigl:

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Runny says: Flash has been staring at that pic of Jessica Alba too long and doesn’t have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck. This game should be re-named the “Decimation Bowl” because that is just what the Pats are going to do. Mind you, I DESPISE Tom Brady. I DESPISE Belichek (so much so I threw away all my hoodies). I DESPISE the PATS. I just know a smart thing when I see it. The thing is with this game is that even without the injuries to the Chargers, the Pats still would cover. They destroyed them in Week 2 when they were totally healthy. They will do so again this week.

The Pats were a missed field goal away from covering last week against a Jags team that is much, much better on both sides of the ball than the Chargers. The two weeks off hurt the Pats. They were definitely rusty. Now they will be ready. The Pats are praying that the Chargers blitz Brady and double Moss. Brady will eat that up and hit Wes Welker all game long. The weather will not matter. Look for big games from My Homey Lawrence Moroney, Wes Welker and the Pats secondary. Rivers had the game of his career last week, but that was due to poor execution and poor strategy by the Colts. There is not a receiver on the Chargers that the Pats cannot cover. Chambers will not have a repeat performance.

As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are a team of destiny. They will decimate the Chargers and roll right into the Super Bowl. Take the Pats -14.

January 20, 2008 – Giants at Green Bay (-7)

Coming at you with the ATS numbers first:

New York
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Giants are 7-16-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Green Bay
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Packers are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Packers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Runny Says: The keys to this game are the Giants secondary and the huge home-field advantage. In regards to the Giants secondary, the Packers play sound football and Favre is playing within the system. He is not trying to win the game on every throw. He has confidence in his receivers for the first time in probably 10 years. He has a solid running game backing him and the enitre offense is playing exceptionally well as a team. This does not bode well for an inexperienced and beat-up Giants secondary. Favre and his receivers will do what Romo and his receivers could not do last week; Favre will make the throws and his receivers will catch the ball. The more this happens, the more the running lanes will be free for Ryan Grant. It will snowball into a lot of points for the Pack.

In regards to the Lambeau advantage, the Giants will be playing in an environment they have never seen before. It is going to be FRIGID, with a HIGH of only 4 degrees! You read that right-4 f’ing degrees!! (Is it coincidence that that just so happens to be Favre’s number?!? I don’t think so…). Not only that, they are calling for snow! The Giants will not be prepared for this. They will not be prepared for this crowd.

This would not be a Runny blog post if Keyra did not make an appearance with her fantastic ass…..

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Favre and the Pack will get up early and pour it on. Eli will throw a few picks. Look for a big game from the Packers corners. I would not be surprised if one of them take one back for 6. Take the Packers and give the points.

Flash Flash Says:This game really is tough to call in my opinion and that makes it easy. During the NFL season when faced with two awesome opposing forces, you go with the underdog every time. Giants are on a 9 game road winning streak, they are 7-0 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record, Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 January games, Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and the list goes on and on. If I were to focus on the only negative ATS numbers the only one that sticks out is that the Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We know the Giants are the best road team in the NFL this season, with the exception of the Pats and this is a stat to consider. To me these teams are spitting images of each other, they can run, they can run to set up the pass, they have aggressive defenses and they can get after the QB. You can say this about both teams. I like what the Giants coaches have been doing as well. Even though the Giant’s secondary was depleted last week they stuck to their game plan and were content to blitz and man up in the 4th quarter, basically telling their players that they play on Sundays and they have faith in them to make the necessary plays. Great job by Coughlin’s crew. I think the weather will also be a factor in this game and we will all get to see the frozen tundra part II as these teams will play in near zero degree weather. We saw what the Packers offense did in the snow but this will be a lot colder.

It is also important to realize the Manning has bucked up in the last two games by playing not to lose. This is incredibly important in the playoffs. This season is a mish mosh for Manning. Sometimes he seems terrible and completely out of it and other times he leads his team on a quarter ending 75 yard TD scoring drive in 40 seconds. He has learned how to play within himself during these playoffs and I think he has a good mentor (Big Brother Peyton) who learned that putting up 49 TDs and tons of yards is not the key to winning a championship. Playing within yourself and not making mistakes or forcing plays is what keeps the NFL season alive. So will we get he bad decision making drunk Eli:

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The drunk Eli will make poor decisions like getting a picture of him taken while he was drunk out of his mind with some little blond hottie or will we get the smart, low-key Eli who marries his college sweetheart and not some whore during a drunken night out. The picture below is Eli’s wife:

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She actually looks much better in this picture if you click on this sentence. She is the girl on the left.

I think the Packers win a close game in the 17-14 range. I am betting the Giants with the points!!!

Some of you degenerates out there might know already but the AVN awards went down last weekend out in Vegas. So I want to focus on some porn dirty HOs for my pics today. Hello Breasts!!!!

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You like Lily Thai, you will like Jasmine Mai:

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and a porn pic shot would not be complete withou Carmen Luvana:

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Mrs. Flash Flash says:The Mrs. thinks Favre is the american football dream and is predicting a Packers blow out. Yes the American football dream folks.

Only one more game to go this season…..The Super bowl and we will be ready with our pick. We hope you learned a lot about betting and grew to appreciate us this season. We tell it like it is and we put our own money to work with you. We are not some BS service that touts 65% winners all the time cause anybody with a brain knows that is impossible. This was an bizarre season in NCAA and NFL football and we will examine our models and see if we can find any additional strategic points to manipulate next season.

May your pimp hand be strong and your wallets full!!!

Flash and Runny

January 18, 2008 Posted by | Brett Favre, Carmen Luvana, Eli Manning, Free NFL Picks, Gambling, Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jasmine Mai, Jessica Alba, Keyra Augustina, Lily Thai, New England Patriots, New York, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, San Diego Chargers, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Winning Picks | 25 Comments

NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF PICKS: WEEKEND OF THE ‘DOG PART 2

We were one missed field goal from going 2-0 on Saturday’s games. Settled for 1-1 to bring our playoff record to 1-5. Terrible, but it does feel good to get our first win. Now on to Sunday’s games:

Chargers @ Colts -10: The Colts kick-off their post season at home and rested. With the exception of Dwight Freeney, they are completely healthy. The Chargers, on the other hand, will likely be without one of their offensive studs-Antonio Gates. Even if Gates plays, he will be limited. This is a HUGE loss for the Chargers. HUGE.

We think the Colts roll big in this game. The reason is Philip Rivers. He is not a good QB. He has always struggled in the playoffs, and despite their win last week against the Titans, Rivers looked bad. The Colts are much better than the Titans.  Some will argue that this is way too many points to give the Chargers-they have a solid D and any team with LT has a chance to keep a game close. No way. Not this Sunday. These teams played in November with the Chargers squeaking out a 23-21 win. However, that game was in San Diego and Manning had the worse game of his career. Also, the Chargers managed only ONE TD by their offense. ONE, despite picking Manning off 6 TIMES!! The other two TDs were on returns by Darren Sproles. That won’t happen again in this game. The Colts have had 2 weeks off and they will be ready. Look for a HUGE beatdown. Take the Colts -10.

Giants @ Cowboys -7: The super hot Giants head back to Big D for the third time this year. They haven’t won yet, losing both match-ups by a combined total of 21 points. However, this is a much better Giants team. They are running the ball extremely well and Eli looks like his brother. And, they have a new weapon in Ahmad Bradshaw. Things are looking good for the Giants in this game. They are peaking while the Boys are struggling.

The Cowboys have not been a good team as of late. We think that is a product of them pretty much phoning in their season once they clinched their playoff spot and home field. Don’t get us wrong, 13-3 is no fluke, but the Boys have a lot of flaws. They are terrible is pass coverage and they are extremely undisciplined. They will make penalties hat will extend drives for the Giants. Plus, the huge question mark with TO will hinder their entire offense. What will give?

We have gone back and forth all week on this one, but we think in the end the Boys will cover. We have three reasons for this pick:

1). The Giants will be without Shockey. This is a bigger loss than Dallas having no/a limited TO. Even though Eli is playing really well without Shockey now, it will catch up to him in this game. First because the Boys will have their starting corners (Newman and Henry) for the first time all year. They won’t stop Toomer and Plaxico, but they will slow them down, forcing Eli to go to his TE. Kevin Boss is no Shockey. Plus, the Giants will miss Shockey’s run blocking in this one.

2). The Cowboys O-line is MASSIVE. They are road graders and they healthy for the first time in a month. They will hammer the Giants D line and the Boys will be able to run. By the fourth quarter, it will catch-up to them and Marion Barber will be racking-up stats. They have a sour taste in their mouth from their terrible perfromace in Washington to end the regular season. Along with Barber, look for Julius Jones to have a good game, too.

3).  The Giants secondary is injured and not that good. It is looking like TO will play. Not to state the obvious, but simply putting TO on the field makes a HUGE difference. Even at 80%. Or even 60%. TO is a play maker and requires constant attention by defensive coordinators. He can handle the Giants corners. Also, the addition of Terry Glenn will be a HUGE positive for the Cowboys. Putting him in the slot will create huge mismatches for the Giants and Jason Garrett is licking his chops. When the Cowboys go to their 3 receiver sets, lookout!!! It will also free-up the running game.

We think the Boys cover. We thing it will be a close cover, but they will do it. The Giants will be able to score, so it will be high scoring. Take the Cowboys -7.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

January 13, 2008 Posted by | Dallas Cowboys, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Indianapolis Colts, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Picks, San Diego Chargers | 4 Comments

NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF PICKS: WEEKEND OF THE ‘DOG-DON’T BELIEVE THE HYPE!!!!!

Greetings!! The 2nd round of the playoffs kicks off this afternoon. This weekend has some GREAT match-ups. We are lovin’ this!!! Let’s start with the stats: for the regular season, we held a 62-60-1 record and for the playoffs, we are 0-4. We now both those records are bad and not worth posting. It is not stopping us though because we know what lies ahead. This is definitely the weekend of the underdog. ALL of these lines scream for you to take every ‘dog. Vegas is begging you to do it-DON’T!!!! Here is our take on the Divisional Round:

Seahawks @ Packers -7.5: The Seahawks return to Lambeau in the playoffs for the first time since the infamous OT claim “We want the ball and we are gonna score” line. That game did not end well for the Seahawks. Will this one?

The keys to answer that question lie with the defenses for both teams and the incredible home field advantage the Packers have in this game. Can the Seahawks overcome Lambeau and the Packers D? We don’t think so.

No doubt the Packers are clearly the  better team. Vegas thinks so, which is really all that matters. They are rested and at home. They have an incredible D line and they are able to generate sacks without the help of their linebackers (Packers had 35 sacks on the season-30.5 came from D linemen). The Seahawks were not as good (45 teams sacks-29 by D linemen). This is a tremendous advantage. This means that the Packers can pressure the QB without bringing extra defenders-defenders that can drop back in pass coverage. This does not bode well for a Seahawks offense that is already banged-up. The Packers secondary will get a couple picks. Aaron Kampman will have a HUGE game.

What about Favre against the Seahawks D? During the regular season, the Seahawks were ranked 15th in the NFL. Last week, they nearly lost to Todd Collins (the game was MUCH closer than the score). Bret Favre is not Todd Collins. He will be able to move the ball. The Packers will be able to run all day. We LOVE the Packers in this game. Go heavy. We think they win by 10. Take the Packer -7.5.

Jags @ Pats -13: This is the game everyone is talking about. We have to admit that back as early as week 6, we thought if the Jags got the Pats in the playoffs they could beat them. They are a physical team with an OUTSTANDING running game. Looking at the games in which the Pats nearly lost, it was due to solid running and very physical defensive play. That is what most of the betting public thinks, too.

Don’t believe the hype!! We love the Jags and hate the Pats, so this pick is hurting us. However, look at the Steelers game last week. The Jags D lost an 18 points lead in the 2nd half. Garrard came back down to earth. We saw a Jags team that could not blitz effectively (we saw them blitz 3 times-every time they did, the Steelers beat them for a TD). You cannot beat the Pats without pressuring Brady. Can’t happen.

The Jags will use Rashean Mathis (and help) to negate Moss. The last team that took that approach and wasn’t able to blitz were the Skins. That game ended 52-7. Also, don’t forget that the Jags also have a rookie (though a good one) playing FS. For all the talk that the Pats don’t have a good D and cannot stop the run, the Pats gave up only 98.1 yards per game on the ground. Not great, but not bad either. They have had 13 days to prepare. They will be ready.

We don’t think this game is close. We think the Pats will get up by 14 early and keep pouring it on. Once they do, the Jags running game will be out the window. We think the Pats win by 20. Take the Pats -13.

Good luck! A post for tomorrow’s games will be out later tonight.

Runny & Flash

January 12, 2008 Posted by | Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL Picks, Seahawks, Seattle | 2 Comments