RPJ Betting Syndicate

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2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

September 28, 2008 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Ass, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Belichick, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Brett Favre, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Colin Cowherd, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eagles, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Katherine Heigl, Lane Kifin, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Megan Fox, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Panthers, Patriots, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Reggie Bush, Roger Goodell, Saints, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle, Sports, St. Louis, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Texans, Thong, Titans, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Tony Romo, Vegas, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NFL WEEK 1 2008 PICKS

Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:

RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)

Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.

Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.

Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.

Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.

Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.

RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)

Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.

Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.

Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.

Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

September 7, 2008 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Betting, Brett Favre, Browns, Chad Pennington, Chicago Bears, Chris Redman, Cleveland Browns, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eric Mangini, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Green Bay Packers, Houston, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Michael Vick, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Picks, Packers, Patriots, Peyton Manning, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Randy Moss, Sports, Tom brady, Vegas, Vick, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF PICKS: WEEKEND OF THE ‘DOG PART 2

We were one missed field goal from going 2-0 on Saturday’s games. Settled for 1-1 to bring our playoff record to 1-5. Terrible, but it does feel good to get our first win. Now on to Sunday’s games:

Chargers @ Colts -10: The Colts kick-off their post season at home and rested. With the exception of Dwight Freeney, they are completely healthy. The Chargers, on the other hand, will likely be without one of their offensive studs-Antonio Gates. Even if Gates plays, he will be limited. This is a HUGE loss for the Chargers. HUGE.

We think the Colts roll big in this game. The reason is Philip Rivers. He is not a good QB. He has always struggled in the playoffs, and despite their win last week against the Titans, Rivers looked bad. The Colts are much better than the Titans.  Some will argue that this is way too many points to give the Chargers-they have a solid D and any team with LT has a chance to keep a game close. No way. Not this Sunday. These teams played in November with the Chargers squeaking out a 23-21 win. However, that game was in San Diego and Manning had the worse game of his career. Also, the Chargers managed only ONE TD by their offense. ONE, despite picking Manning off 6 TIMES!! The other two TDs were on returns by Darren Sproles. That won’t happen again in this game. The Colts have had 2 weeks off and they will be ready. Look for a HUGE beatdown. Take the Colts -10.

Giants @ Cowboys -7: The super hot Giants head back to Big D for the third time this year. They haven’t won yet, losing both match-ups by a combined total of 21 points. However, this is a much better Giants team. They are running the ball extremely well and Eli looks like his brother. And, they have a new weapon in Ahmad Bradshaw. Things are looking good for the Giants in this game. They are peaking while the Boys are struggling.

The Cowboys have not been a good team as of late. We think that is a product of them pretty much phoning in their season once they clinched their playoff spot and home field. Don’t get us wrong, 13-3 is no fluke, but the Boys have a lot of flaws. They are terrible is pass coverage and they are extremely undisciplined. They will make penalties hat will extend drives for the Giants. Plus, the huge question mark with TO will hinder their entire offense. What will give?

We have gone back and forth all week on this one, but we think in the end the Boys will cover. We have three reasons for this pick:

1). The Giants will be without Shockey. This is a bigger loss than Dallas having no/a limited TO. Even though Eli is playing really well without Shockey now, it will catch up to him in this game. First because the Boys will have their starting corners (Newman and Henry) for the first time all year. They won’t stop Toomer and Plaxico, but they will slow them down, forcing Eli to go to his TE. Kevin Boss is no Shockey. Plus, the Giants will miss Shockey’s run blocking in this one.

2). The Cowboys O-line is MASSIVE. They are road graders and they healthy for the first time in a month. They will hammer the Giants D line and the Boys will be able to run. By the fourth quarter, it will catch-up to them and Marion Barber will be racking-up stats. They have a sour taste in their mouth from their terrible perfromace in Washington to end the regular season. Along with Barber, look for Julius Jones to have a good game, too.

3).  The Giants secondary is injured and not that good. It is looking like TO will play. Not to state the obvious, but simply putting TO on the field makes a HUGE difference. Even at 80%. Or even 60%. TO is a play maker and requires constant attention by defensive coordinators. He can handle the Giants corners. Also, the addition of Terry Glenn will be a HUGE positive for the Cowboys. Putting him in the slot will create huge mismatches for the Giants and Jason Garrett is licking his chops. When the Cowboys go to their 3 receiver sets, lookout!!! It will also free-up the running game.

We think the Boys cover. We thing it will be a close cover, but they will do it. The Giants will be able to score, so it will be high scoring. Take the Cowboys -7.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

January 13, 2008 Posted by | Dallas Cowboys, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Indianapolis Colts, New York Giants, NFL, NFL Picks, San Diego Chargers | 4 Comments

WEEK 17 NFL PICKS: SUNDAY

2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):

Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.

Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.

49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.

Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.

Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.

Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.

Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.

Good luck.

Runny & Flash

December 30, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Adrian Peterson, Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, Saints, Texans, Washington Redskins | 3 Comments

NFL WEEK 16: CAN’T WAIT ‘TIL SATURDAY!!!!!

The NFL regular season is winding down, but we do get another Saturday night game!! We love this stuff!! Our season record ATS stands at 59-47-1. Here is our take on tonight’s game:

Cowboys @ Panthers +10.5: Both teams come into this game with a ton of injuries. Romo’s thumb was definitely a factor in his poor play last week. Andre Gurode is out so their O line is extremely vulnerable. The Panthers will also be without Julius Peppers. However, the key injury in this game is at the QB position for the Panthers.

The Panthers will start their 3rd string QB for the second consecutive week. Matt Moore gets the nod again. He looked great last week against a hot Seahawks team. He is legit and we think he is the long-term answer for the Panthers. He is that good. The interesting thing is that he was cut by the Cowboys earlier this year. Big mistake by the Boys. Moore is fired up and will make them pay. He will take advantage of a terrible Cowboys D and keep this game close. The Cowboys will win, but it will be another close one for them.

Take the Panthers +10.5.

December 22, 2007 Posted by | Carolina Panthers, Dallas Cowboys, Free NFL Picks, NFL, NFL Picks | 1 Comment

NFL WEEK 15 PICKS

Another Sunday is upon us and the NFL regular season is winding down. Teams are jockying for playoff spots, 1st week byes and draft positions. Very exciting stuff. Of course the Bungles sucked it on Saturday night to bring our season record to 54-41-1. We are disappointed, but still happy with how our season is going. We know we do our best work on Sundays. With that said, this is what e like Sunday:

Jags +3 @ Steelers: No guarantees by the Steelers this week as they host the Jags. Big playoff implications in this on. The Jags are playing very sound football right now while the Steelers have been two different teams-brilliant at home and terrible on the road. They are at home this week and they are getting players back from the medical ward. It won’t matter in this one. The jags are banged-up, but they know how to overcome. They will keep it close if not win outright. Take the Jags +3.

Colts @ Raiders +10.5: The Colts roll into Oaktown to face a young Raiders team. The Colts have looked like a team that is primed for the playoffs-despite the injuries. They are banged-up again for this one. The Raiders were terrible in Green Bay last week. All the ATS numbers point to the Colts covering easy. And, most of the money in Vegas is on the Colts (94% as of the time of this post). That is why we like the Raiders at home. Kiffin grew up watching Dungy. He will have his boys ready. Take the Raiders +10.5

Ravens -3.5 @ Dolphins: Could there be a worse team than the Fins?!?! Just when you think it could not get any worse, they lose 38-17 to the Bills. There is no relief in sight. The only things they have going for them in this one is that they are at home and the Ravens have a lot of key injuries. We don;t think it will matter in this one. Take the Ravens -3.5.

Titans -4 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs are a mess. They could be looking at using their 4th string RB this week. That is not good against a solid Tennessee D. The Chiefs just are not a good team right now. They are not well coached, and they are injured. Despite the huge home-field advantage, this all adds up to a Titans cover. Take the Titans -4.

Falcons +12.5 @ Buccaneers:Don’t get us wrong-the Falcons are terrible. Petrino walking out on them was just another sign that things are not getting any better in Hotlanta anytime soon. That said, 12.5 is too many points. They will rally around each other after Petrino quit on them and keep this game with 12.5. Take the Falcons +12.5.

Eagles +10 @ Cowboys: The Cowboys return home after a sucker win against the Lions. They had no business winning that one and that game revealed a lot about this team-they are extremely soft on D and very undisciplined on O. They have a lot of talent on both sides of the field, but need a lot of improvement if they want to get through the playoffs. The Linos showed that the Cowboys can be physically dominated with hard hits. The Eagles definitely know how to do that. They will cover if not win outright. Also, keep in mind that the last time the Cowboys had a lucky win like last week was also on the road. It was in Buffalo on Monday night. What happened the following week? They got spanked at home by the Patriots. This will be the Eagles Super Bowl. Nothing will please them more than to beat the Cowboys in Big D. Take the Eagles +10.

Seahawks -7 @ Panters: The Seahawks are hot right now. They have been decimating teams at home and on the road. They look to continue that play against a struggling Panthers team this week. The injury bug has hit the Panthers particularily hard this year. That does no bode well for them against a hot ‘Hawks team. We think the Seahawks will have too much for them this week. Take the Seahawks -7.

Jets @ Patriots -21: Another lopsided spread for the Pats. This line actually opened at 24.5 and has dropped. We think it is due to the weather and the fact that a huge majority of the bets in Vegas are on the Jets. We think that is comical. Even with the weather, the Pats are gonna steamroll this Jets team. They have no threats at all. Kellen Clemens has not seen this team in action and the Jets D will not be able to stop the Pats. Belichek despises Mangini and if he was willing to run up the score on Joe Gibbs, what do you think he will do in this one?!?! We don’t think the Jets will even score. Take the Pats -21.

Redskins @ Giants -5: The Skins are injured and are limping into their match-up with the Giants. Losing Jason Campbell is a HUGE loss. Todd Collins is not answer. The Giants will roll at home. Take the Giants -5.

9 picks for Sunday! Good luck with your picks!

Runny & Flash

December 16, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Carolina Panthers, Dallas Cowboys, Eagles, Free NFL Picks, Giants, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia, Philly, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Seahawks, Seattle, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Titans, Washington Redskins | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 14 PICKS

Another Thursday night winner for us in the Skins-Bears brings our record to 45-36-1. We are getting where we need to be. Week 14 is the week of the road favorite. Generally, in picking NFL games it is usually bad to go with road favorites. However, this week we like a few. Here is what we like for Sunday’s action:

Vikings -8.5 @ 49ers: This is a lot of points for the Vikings to give on the road. However, they have Adrian Peterson and they are on the road to face a terrible 49ers team. With all the credit that Adrian Peterson gets (all of it is deserved-if this kid does not win the ROY and MVP this year it will be highway robbery), the Vikings D should get some. They are flying under the radar with their play. They will strut their stuff this weekend against the 49ers. Look for heavy doses of Adrian Peterson and a lot of attacks on D. It will be a close cover, but we like the Vikings. Take the Vikings -8.5.

Cowboys -11 @Lions; OVER/UNDER 50.5: Another heavy road favorite. The Cowboys head north to the Motor City to face a struggling Lions team. Historically, the Lions have done well against the Cowboys. Will the Lions get their 10 wins? Unlikely, but if they do, they need to win this game. They won’t. The Cowboys have had 10 days to prepare for a game that is flying under the public’s radar, but not the radar of the Boys’ D. The Lions SPANKED them last year in Big D. The Boys are looking for payback. T-New and Bradie James have already come out with threats. They are focused and looking for blood. They will cover. Take the Cowboys -11. That said, the Boys D is vulnerable. Especially to the pass. With Roy Williams out for the Lions, it will limit their air attack. It won’t shut it down. The Lions will be able to score. Take the OVER 50.5

Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Another road favorite. The Browns roll into NY/NJ to face a Jets team fresh off a beatdown of Miami. That beatdown was a fluke. The Jets are not a good team right now and they are hurt. The Browns win easy and cover. Take the Browns -3.5.

Panthers @ Jags -10.5: This is a lot of points. The Panthers threw up some points last week against the 49ers. However, the 49ers are bad. The Jags are not. They played the Colts close and don’t have as much injuries as the Panthers. We like the Jags to roll. Take the Jags -10.5.

Rams @ Bengals -9.5: Brock Berlin gets the starting nod for the Rams this week. That’s right…Brock Berlin. We remember him from his U days. He was terrible then. We are giving him no credit this weekend. Despite the Rams having a solid D, and the Bungles being the softest team in the league, we think Cinncy rolls at home. Take the Bungles -9.5.

Chargers -1 @ Titans: Another road favorite. The Chargers have been TERRIBLE ATS in their past 8 road games. The Titans are a completely different team with Haynesworth back. That said, he is still a little banged-up. He will play, but will his hammy hold-up. We don’t think he will be effective enough to stop LT. The Chargers are playing better and can cover. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Patriots -10.5: Probably the game of the week. Nearly EVERYONE thinks the Steelers will be the team to upset the Pats. Every analyst waxes on and on about how good the Steelers will run the ball and how great their D is. However, they are a completely different road team. They lost to the Jets for goodness sakes. The teams they did beat do not have the Pats arsenal, and they have lost to some terrible teams. The Pats haven’t lost to anyone. Also, pay attention to this spread. Despite all the hype and all the money in Vegas going to the Steelers this week, the Steelers are still a double digit dog. Vegas knows. Take the Pats -10.5.

There you go. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

December 9, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Bengals, Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Free NFL Picks, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, NY Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers, Rams, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, St. Pauli Girl, Tennessee, Titans | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 13 PICKS: THURSDAY NIGHT DELIGHT!!!!!

Greetings!!!! Week 13 is already upon us and we are ready to roll. We LOVE this time of year-NFL starts having games during the week and the college football season is heating up towards Bowl season!! That spells cha-ching time for the Syndicate!!!

Despite a terrible 4-6 Week 12, our season record is 40-28-1. That is still 58%. Very good, but it is still not up to our standards. We will get our minds right and get that percentage up to Syndicate standards. Having Thursday games makes us drool at the prospect of improving our record. That said, we love Thursday’s game. Not only that, we are giving you a 2-for-1 deal. Here’s our take:

Packers @ Cowboys -7; OVER/UNDER 51.5: A Clash of the Titans in the NFC. We checked our records and cannot find any other time in NFL history that two 10-1 teams met to duke it out. Pretty amazing. This seems like a throw back to the early-mid ’90’s when Favre’s Packers used to battle the Triplets’ Cowboys. Much has changed since those days, but the one amazing thing that remains is that Favre is still there. And still gunnin’.

Favre brings his Pack back to Big D for the first time since 1999. And they are hot! Check out these ATS numbers:

  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an outright win.
  • Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Packers are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Packers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Looks damn impressive to us. Unstoppable, right? Slow down, gym shoe. Pump your breaks a little. Favre’s Pack are riding high into Bid D to face a Cowboys team that is loaded on offense and nearly as hot as the Pack. Check out their ATS numbers:

  • Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
  • Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an outright win of more than 14 points.
  • Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Seems pretty even to us. So what gives? The key to answering that question is simple-Vegas knows. Seriously. Vegas knows. We cannot write or say that enough. Vegas knows all. There is one reason why there are massive replicas of the Eiffel Tower, NYC and the Pyramids in the middle of the Nevada desert-Vegas knows.

    Applying this mantra to this game, we reach the question of “why did Vegas set the line where it did?” This line opened at 6.5 and is now 7. When we first saw this line, we screamed “jump on the Pack!!’ Mortgage our houses. Cash in our 401K’s. Rob a bank. Put all the proceeds on the Pack. After-all, how can a team as dominate as the Packers have been not cover 6.5-7 points?!?!? But, that is exactly the trap. Again, Vegas knows. It knows the teams better than anyone at ESPN. More importantly, it knows the gambling public better than anything. That is what they do. They know how to get our money.

    There is a reason why this line is where it is. It is high because Vegas wants everyone to take the Pack, and they know the Cowboys should win by more than a TD. Don’t believe us? Just before we wrote this post, we researched where all the money in Vegas is heading. At first glance, it seems that the public is even: 51% of the bets are on the Cowboys while 49% on the Pack. However, look closer. 94% of the money is on the Pack. 94%!!!!!

    What do you take from that? It is simple-even after 94% of the money has been placed on the Pack, Vegas has INCREASED the line. Typically, if Vegas gets a line wrong, they will drop it if money heavily favors one team. They do this to get people to put more money on the other team to draw out as much action as they can. 94% is pretty damn heavy on one team, but what did Vegas do? They INCREASED the line, not decreasing it to account for the heavy Pack action. Now that you know that Vegas knows, the only conclusion you can reach from this is that Vegas knows the Boys will win big, but they want you to keep dumping money on the Pack. Don’t fall for their trap!!!! We aren’t!! We are taking the Boys -7.

    Now for the 2-for-1 part of our deal. The knock against the Boys all season is their D. Specifically, their pass D. It ranks 21st in the NFL. Hardly what you would think from a 10-1 team.  Favre will exploit this. We think big. We think the Boys win, but it will be high scoring. We are taking the OVER 51.5.

    There’s our start to NFL Week 13. There will be more picks. Check back with us this weekend. Also, check out our NCAA picks.

    As always, good luck with your picks. We hope we are helpful.

    Runny & Flash

     

    P.S. We are cranking out picks almost every day now so sign up to receive our picks via RSS feed so you do not miss any of the action. We always post our picks with the lines we took action on and sometimes when we post the lines move over the course of the day as the information spreads out. We have had over 2,500 blog reads in this month alone so we know our reach is growing. Also, post a comment or send us a private email at rpjsynicate@gmail.com. We are here for you to make money and to help you out in any way.

    November 29, 2007 Posted by | Dallas Cowboys, Free NFL Picks, Green Bay Packers, NFL, NFL Picks, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

    NFL WEEK 12: Turkey Day Picks!!!!

    Greetings!! Let us start off by giving thanks for another great year! Healthy. Happy. And hopefully wiser. We are also thankful for another season of NFL football!!! We hope you have a great holiday with you and your’s. Cheers to you all!!

    Disappointing 4-4 week last week, however, we did win our Eva Mendes bet. Our season record stands at 34-21-2. Hovering right around 60%. We will improve!! We will have two posts this week. This one is special for Turkey Day. Here we go:

    Packers -3 @ Lions: This spread started out at 3.5. We love it that it dropped!! The ATS numbers scream take Detroit in this one. However, we don’t always listen to such things. The Packers are on a roll. They want to crush the Lions and will get their chance to do just that. The Lions secondary is terrible-one of the worse in the league. That does not bode well for a team that is about to face Favre on a hot streak. The Pack will win big in this one. It may be a shootout, but the Pack will cover by at least a TD. Let the betting public load-up on the Lions. Be a winner. Take the Packers -3.

    Jets @ Cowboys -14: The Jets roll into Big D after a great win at home against the Steelers. Clemens looks like their future. However, the Steelers are a terrible road team. Terrible. And the Jets will be on a short week. The Boys just have too much. This line does scare us, but we think Dallas has too many weapons. Look for them to pound the run early. If they can get ahead early, it will be done. If not, they will turn up the passing game and tear them apart. Take the Boys -14.

    Colts @ Falcons +12: The Colts come to Atlanta nearly out of gas. They have been decimated by injuries. They looked terrible at home against a below average Chiefs team. That is not good. Atlanta looked bad, too. However, we like them at home. We think 12 points is too much. Take the Falcons +12.

    Happy Thanksgiving!! Good luck with your picks.

    Runny & Flash

    November 21, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Free NFL Picks, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Picks | Leave a comment

    NFL WEEK 11 PICKS

    Greetings. Great week last week. Rocked a 6-2 record for week 10 to bring our season record to 30-17-2. That is 61%. We’ll take that all season long. Let’s keep it rollin’. Here is who we like in Week 11:

    Browns -2.5 @ Ravens: We have an Uncle, Moe, who is a die hard Browns fan. Seriously. If you try to argue who the greatest NFL footballer is and say anyone besides Jim Bown, he’ll try to fight you. Even during the holidays. When Art Modell moved the Browns to Baltimore, it broke his heart. He stopped watching footbal until the Brownies were back. To this day, if you mention Art Modell within his earshot he goes nuts. In honor of our Uncle Moe, we will call this game the Uncle Moe Bowl and we LOVE the Brownies. Bet them heavy. It is a Eva Mendes bet (bet 5 Times your typical bet) for us. The money seems to be going towards the Ravens, which scares us. However, the Browns spanked them earlier this year and they are playing better now. The Ravens are even worse. Also, take into account that the Browns are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with losing records and the Ravens are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall. We think the Browns cover. Take the Browns -2.5.

    Chargers @ Jags -3: This line screams to take the Chargers, which is exactly what the betting public is doing. Afterall, the Chargers are fresh off a beatdown of the Colts last Sunday. However, that win was deceptive-most of the scoring was from special teams. For the 2nd week in a row, the Chargers offense was offensive. They come into J’Ville to play a stacked J’Ville D and the Jags are getting David Garrard back. The Jags cover. Take the Jags -3.

    Raiders +4.5 @ Vikings: The Vikings are not the same without Adrian Peterson (to state the obvious). The Raiders come in with an underrated D and Daunte Culpepper returning to his old stomping ground. Brad Childress is not a good coach. Lane Kifin is. The Vikings QB problem will hurt them in this one. We think the Raiders keep it close and win outright (consider the money line @ +180). Take the Raiders +4.5.

    Redskins @ Cowboys -11: The Skins are decimated by injuires on their D. Without Sean Taylor, Romo and TO will go nuts. The Boys roll in this one. Take the Cowboys -11.

    Buccaneers -3 @ Falcons: This game is about the starting QBs. Garcia is better than any of the clowns the Falcons bring to the table. Garcia will play enough to cover. Take the Buccaneers -3.

    Titans @ Broncos (O/U 38): A battle of teams that have young QBs. They both make a lot of mistakes. The defenses will capitalize on them and keep the score low. Take the Under 38.

    Patriots @ Bills +16: We like this game for 4 reasons: 1). The Pats did not cover their last time on the road, 2). The weather is forecasted to be bad, 3). Most of the money in Vegas is on the Pats and 4). The Bills have nothing to lose. To us, that adds up to a Bills team that will shock the Pats and cover the points. Take the Bills +16.

    Rams -3 @ 49ers: The 49ers are just plain bad. Terrible. Alex Smith is whining about his shoulder. He is bad. The Rams are not good either, but they won last week and have momentum. They will keep it going. Take the Rams -3.

    There’s our picks for week 11. 8 games!!! Good luck.

    Runny & Flash

    November 18, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Adrian Peterson, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Brad Childress, Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Eva Mendes, Free NFL Picks, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jeff Garcia, Lane Kifin, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL Picks, Oakland Raiders, Rams, San Diego Chargers, St. Louis, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Titans, Tony Romo, Washington Redskins | Leave a comment