We had a nice week last week with a combined 6-1 record. Here is how we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 5-7
Flash is 3-1
Runny is 8-8
We started our NCAA season a little slow and now are on a roll and the NFL is starting to gear up as well. So lets kick off this party with some hot delicious Keyra Augustina ass…..
RPJ $yndicate picks
San Diego at Miami (+6.5)– Miami is already starting to show signs of The Parcells Plan. Bill is a football genius andhas turned around every single team he has gotten his hands on. This is not a tale of ATS numbersbecause it favors the Chargersin a big way with one exception…Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. This is an interesting matchup and favors the Dolphins in a lot of stats that we look at. The Dolphins have a better running game, a better run defense andhave learned how to limit turnovers. San Diego has not looked good on the road. They had to come from behind against Denver and could have won andthey had to come from behind against the Raiders andwon. This does not bode well as a trend and Miami will be able to limit San Diego’s touches. We think Miami can keep this game close and we are debating a straight moneyline bet. We are not betting the moneyline yet but we think the Dolphins will certainly cover. Take the Fins and the points.
Atlanta at Carolina (-9.5)– We normally hate big spreads but we love betting against one dimensional teams on the road. Stop the run and you stop the Chiefs. Even the Raiders won in KC by shutting down LJ. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chiefs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5.
Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
We think this lines up well for Carolina and we would not be surprised to see a 20 point win. Take Carolina to cover!!!
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-5)– I wish this line was -3.5 or less but I still think the Jags can win by a TD. Jacksonville really has gotten to Big Ben, sacking him 11 times the last two times they played and Big Ben has been sacked almost 4 times a game this year. Willie Parker is out, Mendenhall is out, Kendall Simmons is out, Casey Hampton is out and Brett Keisel is out. That is way too many outs for Pittsburgh. The ATS numbers:
Steelers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 5.
Steelers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in October.
Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 5.
Jaguars are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Home team is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 meetings.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Jacksonville.
I think the Steelers are facing too many injuries and are traveling to Jacksonville. Teams that play on Monday Night and then play on the road in their next game lose outright more than 70% of the times. I will take those odds and the ATS numbers. Jacksonville wins and covers!!!
Flash Flash Picks
Chicago at Detroit (+3.5)– This is a fascinating game but mostly it is a new beginning for the Detroit Lions. The Lions finally rid themselves of the WR happy Matt Millen. It was so fun to have Matt Millen around because that made Al Davis feel like his retarded decisions actually belonged in the NFL.
The ATS numbers:
Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Bears are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
I think the Lions get their first win of the season in this game. The fear is that the Bears will run up and down the field and that is a concern but I think that concern was addressed during Detroit’s bye week. Remember, the Lions are loaded at WR thanks to Matt Millen and they will rise to the occasion to honor their fallen comrade. Take the Lions and the points and if you have some extra scratch around throw a little down on the Moneyline.
Tennessee @ Baltimore (+3): This game is a little tough to handicap, but I think the Titans cover. Tough giving any points to a Baltimore team at home. They are ridiculous on D. However, Flacco is not ready. The Steelers exposed him last week. The Titans have a better D and they will pressure Flacco just like the Steelers did in the 2nd half of their game last week. Plus, the Titans are just more balanced. It will be a close game-definitely a battle of great D’s, but the Titans pull out the cover. Take the Titans -3.
Colts @ Texans (+3): The Colts are banged-up and playing like it. Although they are coming off the bye this week, I don’t think it matters. Peyton is off and as great as he is, he won’t get on the right track until he gets more playing time. The Texans almost beat the Jags last week. They put-up points on a much better J’ville D. They will do the same this week. I love them getting points. Take the Texans +3.
Patriots @ 49ers (+3): Another home Dog. I like them, too. Pats are off the bye, but they have major problems. Cassel will be good (eventually), but the 49ers have a good D. They can keep this game close. Plus, the Pats have NO run defense. That is music to Frank Gore’s ears. He will have a huge game. Pats will win, but 49ers keep it close. Take the 49ers +3.
As always, good luck.
Runny & Flash
Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!
Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:
Here is what we like this week:
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.
Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.
Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.
49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.
Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.
Flash Flash Picks
I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.
Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
This is truly terrible and hard to publish. RPJ $yndicate is now 2-5 for our NFL picks. Flash is still 1-0 with a no game last week and Runny came back to the plus side on the week and is now 2-6. This is ugly but it will reverse. We destroyed college football yesterday (10-4 collectively), and we know where we’ve been in the past. Not even sure what we can do to make you feel better. Last week we tried to invoke the spirit of Sarah Palin and that failed miserably. Shame on us for posting a picture of a semi MILF. We think the only thing we can do to reverse it is to show some hot pictures….
Nice crack Miss Klum…
Golf anyone? This is the best picture of Natalie Gulbis ever.
Hopefully those two pics appease the football gods and our picks come around this weekend.
RPJ $yndicate picks
Houston at Tennessee (-4.5) – The return of Kerry Collins. What a glorious thing. If only we knew whether or not he was back on the sauce. Sauce = wins for Kerry Collins. With or without Kerry, the Titans D owns the Texans. And in the NFL, teams like the Ravens and Bears can make the Super Bowl with a jacked D and a mediocre QB that will not turn the ball over. With the Titans running game, we do not expect Kerry to screw things up to badly. The ATS numbers:
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Titans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Do you really need any more information? Tennessee wins and covers easily!!!
Miami at New England (-12.5) – Nice of Joey Porter to provide the Pats with bulletin board material. This rocket scientist is going on the road, to New England with an 0-2 team. Click here to see what he said. Bill Parcells might actually rip Joey’s head off before the game, poo down his neck cavity and then feed him to lions. The ATS numbers:
Dolphins are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Dolphins are 5-22-2 ATS in their last 29 vs. AFC East.
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Dolphins are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Patriots are 25-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.
Home team is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
Again, the ATS numbers say it all and we will bet against any team that gives the Pats bulletin board material. Look for Randy Moss to inject himself again in the lineup in this game. Dolphins have no chance. Pats win and cover easily!
Bungles at Giants (-13) – The Giants continue their COVER roll. These guys are money and are 2-0 on the season. The Bungles by the way are lining up to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. The owner is undercutting Marvin Lewis by bringing back Chris Henry and Ocho Cinco and TJ Housh are either playing hurt or just playing like shiznit. Can these guys drop any more passes. We love us some Ocho Cinco and will even show a highlight reel of him to show our love….
Well Mr. Ocho….it looks like those highlights will be few and far between this year. Also, when your QB hosts cornhole tournaments you know you are in serious trouble. We love us some USC but Carson is taking it a little too far. If you do not know what we are talking about then click here (Carson Palmer Cornhole Classic). Carson even charges people, you can buy a package or sponsor Carson’s cornhole. What a business. Here are the ATS numbers for the game:
Bengals are 5-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Giants are cover machines right now and we are not going to step in front of this train. Take the Giants to cover and win!!!
Panthers @ Vikings (-3): The Vikings as favorites in this game really scares me. It has trap written all over it. No doubt the Vikings have a good D, but their QB play has been some of the worse in the league. Changing to Ferotte is probably be a good things, but let’s not forget that he is Gus Freakin’ Ferotte!! There are many reasons why he has not been a starting QB. Now add to the mess that Adrian Peterson is gimpy and may not play. The Panthers get Steve Smith and they have pulled out some great wins. I typically stay away from games that are too good to be true, but I like this one. I’m taking Carolina and the points.
Steelers @ Eagles (-3.5): Clash of the Keystone State Titans!! This will be a great game. Both teams are fundamentally sound and are coached extremely well. The Iggles are fresh of their barn-burner in Big D last Monday. A game, I feel, they should have won outright. Did you see Brian Westbrook?!?! He is the man!! The Steelers beat their hated rival Browns in the Ike Bowl with winds that could make even the toughest team flinch. What will give? I like the home team in this one. I think the Iggles are playing better all around. I also thing Big Ben’s shoulder is hurt much more than they are letting on. I think the Iggles win by at leats a TD. Take the Iggles -3.5.
Jags @ Colts (-4.5): These teams always play each other tough. Always great games. Both teams limp into this one with huge injuries-primarily to their O-Lines. Manning has not been the Manning we are accustomed to seeing. The Jags have not been able to run the ball like we are used to seeing either. That said, I think the Jags get on the right track this week. The reason? Bob Saunders. He is out this week for the Colts. That spells huge trouble for the Colts’ run D. Mo Drew and Fred Taylor will finally get on track. I think the Colt will win, but the Jags will be able to control the ball enough to keep it close. Take the Jags +4.5.
Browns @ Ravens (-2.5): Another huge rivalry game. These teams DESPISE one another and the games are usually a blast to watch. This one is pretty simple to me. No way the Browns go 0-3 against a rookie QB. The Ravens have a solid D, but the Browns have the talent to attack them. I’m taking the Browns and the points (+2.5).
Cowboys @ Packers (+3): Another great game. The Boys covered last year against them in Big D (line was -7.5). If you remember, the Boys jumped on them early and knocked Favre out of the game. Rogers stepped in and actually played much better than Favre did. He almost beat them. But, he didn’t and the Boys went on to make Flash and I some cash. What about this year? The Packers are the same team, except old #4 is gone. The Boys are much better. Romo is coming home to play his childhood favorite team. Lambeau does not have the same homefield advantage in Septmber as it does in December. I think the Boys win easy. Again. Take the Boys -3.
Flash Flash “The all good things must come to an end” picks
These picks will defy logic but you just have to go with them.
Houston at Tennessee over/under 39 points – We already gave you our pick in this game but I am seeing a trend this season and this week. Here are the ATS numbers:
Over is 8-0 in Texans last 8 vs. AFC South.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.
Over is 8-2-1 in Texans last 11 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 16-5 in Texans last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games on grass.
Under is 6-0 in Titans last 6 games in September.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 11-1-1 in Titans last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-1-1 in Titans last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games in Week 3.
Under is 6-2-1 in Titans last 9 home games.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
So it looks like a pretty even split; the Houston over and the Titans Under. The only thing that throws it off is their last 4 head to head, which has been consistently Over. What I am looking at is this year and this year the Titans are 2-0 for the under and their defense is nasty. Houston is coming off a hurricane induced bye and the players are more concerned about their families than they are about this game. Look for Houston to get shut down by the titans defense and look for the Titans to run the ball a lot. The more they run, the faster the game clock ticks down and the less time they have to score points. I am taking the under 39 in this game.
Tampa Bay at Chicago Over/Under 36 points – Here we go with another one against the grain but it is not as blatant as the Texans/Titans. Lets jump into the ATS numbers:
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 games in September.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC.
Over is 22-7-1 in Bears last 30 vs. NFC.
Over is 15-5 in Bears last 20 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bears last 8 games in Week 3.
Over is 14-6 in Bears last 20 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
This is an interesting one for the Vegas odds makers. These teams are 3-1 for the under this season and the lines have been trending down. Chicago has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went under both times and Tampa has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went over the 43 by one point and then hit the under. Vegas keeps ratcheting the line down and now it sits at 36 points. The Bucs are averaging 22 points on O and giving up 17.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. The Bears are averaging 23 points on O and giving up 16.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. I think Vegas set this under too low. These two teams are efficient on offense. Tampa always is and Orton plays conservative ball and Forte has been a stud. These teams have played to the Under in 4 of their last 5 meetings but I am going the other way. I am taking the Over in this game!!!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:
RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)
Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.
Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.
Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.
Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.
Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.
RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)
Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.
Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.
Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.
Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny and Flash
2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):
Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.
Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.
49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.
Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.
Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.
Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.
Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.
Runny & Flash
A good start to the weekend for us with the Panthers pulling through for us against the Cowboys. With Saturday’s win, our season ATS record stands at 60-47-1. Here is what we like on Sunday:
Packers @ Bears +8.5: The Bears gave the Pack a surprising beatdown in their match-up earlier this year. The Pack have been dominant since then. Their only blemish was a debacle in Dallas. The Pack won’t make those mistakes again. However, the Bears are hungry to salvage something from this season. Kyle Orton gets the start again and the Bears D knows that the game is in their hands. They love playing Favre. Especially at home. We think they will be amped for this game. The Pack will win, but the Bears D will keep them in it. Plus, the nasty weather in the Windy City will help the Bears. Take the Bears +8.5.
Texans +7 @ Colts: The Texans have been up and down all year. The Colts are CRUSHED by injuries. They squeaked by the Raiders last week in Oakland. We think their injuries on D will produce the same result this week at home against the Texans. The Texans can score some points. They will score some more this week. Ignore the fact that the home team in this match-up is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take the Texans +7.
Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Before last week, everyone was looking to this game for a Cinderella story and hoping that a winless Fins team could end the Pats run to perfection. The Ravens made sure that the Fins would not be winless coming into this game last week. The Patriots are going to make sure their run to perfection will stay in play this week. Not only will they win, they will win big. Don’t follow the public in this one. The Pats beat them by 21 in their match-up earlier this season in Miami. They will do better than that on Sunday. Take the Pats -22.
Redskins @ Vikings -6.5: The Vikings managed to win last Monday night against the Bears despite a ton of turnovers. They will remedy the turnovers this week. The Skins will be without Rocky McIntosh. This is huge. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a big game. Take the Vikings -6.5.
Falcons @ Cardinals -10: The Falcons are getting players back from injuries while the Cards are pretty banged-up. There were signs of a little turmoil in the Cards loss last week as Kurt Warner blew up on the sidelines at one of his offensive coaches. That said, the Falcons are a joke. Take the Cards -10.
Jets @ Titans -8.5: With this line and how these teams have played the past few weeks, we would LOVE to take the Jets here. However, the reality is that the Jets are just decimated by injuries. Kellen Clemens was injured last week and is not expected to play. Laveranues Coles is out. That is just too much for this Titans team at home. Take the Titans -8.5.
Browns -3 @ Bengals: The Bengals have been infuriating to watch this year. Are hearts go out to any Bengals fan. This season must be torture. They are at home this week against their in-state rival. Their last meeting was a huge shoot out. This week will not be the same. The key to this game will be the D’s. It will be a close game. We just think the Browns have more weapons on offense than the Bengals do. Plus, the Bengals D is much worse. Take the Browns -3.
Good luck with your picks.
Flash & Runny
We are ready for some football! Another glorious Monday of football is upon us. It is amazing how fast the NFL season is flying by. We had a disappointing Sunday-going 4-5 and bringing our season record to 58-46-1. However, we do like Monday night’s game. Here is our take:
Bears +10.5 @ Vikings: The Bears are in shambles and look to Kyle Orton to salvage what’s left of their season. Orton has started games in the past, but it has been some time since he has seen meaningful playing time. All signs indicate that he has had a great week of practice and he seems to have used his time on the bench to know the offense cold. He will need all of his wits tonight as he looks to upset the heavily favored Vikings and their ferocious D. Pat Williams and Ken Williams have been monsters in the middle of that Vikings line. They should cause a lot of problems for Orton and the Bears offense.
However, the key to this game will be stopping Adrian Peterson and Tavaris Jackson. If the Bears can do that, they have a shot. Lately, they have not been able to stop anyone and the last time they saw Peterson, he crushed them. We think he will have another good game, but we think the Bears learned a lesson from the 49ers last week. The 9ers were able to make Peterson a non-factor. The Bears will do the same. We also think Jackson will come back down to earth. he is not as good as he has been. We think his play will balance itself out.
Ultimately, we think the Vikings will win. We just think the Bears will keep it close. Take the Bears +10.5.
Another Thursday night of football!!!!!! We are lovin’ this!!! Our season record stands at 44-36-1. We know that is terrible. We do like quite a few games in Week 14. We love tonight’s game. Here is our take:
Bears @ Skins -3: The Skins will be playing with heavy hearts following the death and funeral of their compadre, friend and teammate, Sean Taylor. It is a heavy burden for any team to deal with. We can’t imagine what they are going through. Our hearts are out to them and the entire Taylor family.
Earlier in the week, the majority of the action in Vegas was heading towards the Bears. However, today’s action went heavily for the ‘Skins. Not sure why that is, but we know the line has not moved.
The teams seem to be mirror images of each other in the sense that they have had erratic QB play, their running games have not lived up to expectations and their D’s have not been as good as they thought they would be coming into the season. Injuries have played a huge factor for both teams. The Skins losing Taylor is an obvious major blow to their secondary, run stopping and blitz packages.
The key to this game will be the QB’s and the running games. For both, we like the Skins to prevail. Grossman is a joke. Losing Ced Benson may actually be a blessing for the Bears, but no way the other Adrian Peterson can handle the load of being the feature back. Devin Hester does not scare us. We think the Skins come out guns blazin’ and play the way #21 would have wanted them to. They will hit hard and handle the Bears. We think the Skins win by at least 6.
Take the Skins -3.
Great start to the week last Thursday night. The ‘Boys treated us right and that game played out exactly like we said. We hope you believed us about the Vegas trap and decided to roll with us. Thursday brought us a 2-0 night and brought our season record to 42-28-1. We like how we are looking so far in Week 13. Still, we know there is still a lot of ground left to go to get another winning weekend. We are confident though. Here is who we like on Sunday:
Falcons +3 @ Rams: This is our favorite game of the week. The Rams will be without Mark Bulger. Gus Ferotte mans the QB helm for the Rams. We saw how he did last week-atrocious. The Falcons are bad, too, but we think they will run all day against the Rams D. We love the Falcons. Take the Falcons +3.
Jets @ Dolphins -1: This is another game we like a lot. The Jets fly south to face the winless Dolphins. Here’s the thing though-despite being winless, the Fins are not THAT bad. Actually, let us re-phrase that. They are pretty terrible, but they have a very good D. Not amazing, but certainly pretty decent. The Jets are by no means good. In fact, we think this is a classic case of the records not really telling the whole story. The Jets have 2 wins, but are actually probably worse than the Fins. We think the Fins get their first (and probably only) W of the season this week. Take the Dolphins -1.
Chargers @ Chiefs +6: The Chargers were smoked in their last meeting. And that game was in San Diego. They head into KC in December. The words “KC in December” are probably the last things a visiting team wants to hear. The Chargers have won their last game against a terrible Ravens team. However, this season they are 1-4 on the road. And that is not ATS. That is their win-loss record. That is a joke. They may win this game, but it will be close. Take the Chiefs +6.
Buccaneers @ Saints -3: The Bucs have been great ATS lately. However, they head into New Orleans all banged-up. Garcia’s back is barking hard and it is questionable whether he even plays. Even if he does, he will be limited. The Saints are in a must win here. Although we hate taking them in this game, we think it is a good play. Take the Saints -3.
Browns @ Cardinals OVER/UNDER 51.5: We could not get a clear take on this game as far as who would cover. At first glance, this seems like a Vegas trap (see our post for last Thursday’s game). With the way the Cards have been playing and with their injuries, there is no way they should be favored. Then again, it is only 1 point. We are not comfortable recommending either team. What we are sure of, however, is that both teams can score some points. We love this over. Take the OVER 51.5.
Giants -1.5 @ Bears: The Bears pulled one out of their hats last week. The Giants looked terrible against the Vikings. That said, the Giants are still a better team. Rex will blow this one for them and end their season. Take the Giants -1.5.
Bengals +7 @ Steelers: The Bengals proved to be great for us last weekend. They head into the Steel City to face their hated rivals. The Steelers have been an enigma this year-terrible on the road and perfection at home. They are 8-0 ATS at home. We think that streak ends this week. Do not be surprised if the Bungles win this game outright. Take the Bengals +7.
There you go-7 more picks for week 13. Check in win us on Monday for our blog for the Pats-Ravens game. Good luck!!
Runny & Flash
Greeting and Happy Turkey Day! Hope your holiday went well. Our’s did-great food, great family, great friends and 2-1 on our NFL picks (3-1 if you count the USC beatdown at ASU)!! Brings our record to 36-22-1. That is 62%!! We are gtting better and hope to have the record above 65% ASAP. Here are our picks for Sunday’s action:
Titans @ Bengals +1.5: The Titans looked terrible on Monday against a mediocre Broncos team. The Bengals have looked bad all season. What will give? The ATS numbers are pretty even. We can’t believe we are saying this, but we like Cinncy. Take the Bungles +1.5.
Broncos +2 @ Bears: The Broncos looked great last Monday at home. The Bears are a joke. Grossman is a mistake at QB. Shannahan will bring the pressure against him, forcing the typical Grossman mistakes. The Bears D is no where near what it used to be. We like the Broncos to cover and porbably win outright. Take the Broncos +2.
Seahawks @ Rams +3: The Rams seem to have righted their ship. They are getting their guys back from injury, and they are playing much better. The Seahawks are playing better as well. However, we think the ‘Hawks are not as good as they think. Also, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. That is enough for us. This is too many points to give the Rams. Take the Rams +3.
49ers @ Cardinals -10.5: This ia a lot of points to give, but the 49ers are a joke. The Cards are playing well right now and will look to avenge their week 1 loss in SanFran. We think they roll here. Take the Cards -10.5.
Ravens +9 @ Chargers: The Chargers are a joke. What the heck happened to this team?!?!?!?!? Norv? Did they believe the hype? Who knows. The Ravens are pretty freakin’ bad, too. However, in a battle of two terrible teams, be like the points. Even on the road. Take the Ravens +9.
Eagles @ Patriots -24; Over/Under 50.5: You read that right-“-24”!!!!!! Insane amount of points to give in a NFL game. We checked our records and cannot find a line this high for NFL in the past 25 years. However, we think it is legit and not low enough. The Eagles are a debacle. The Pats have shown their goal is to run up the score. 24 points is a lot to give, but we think they win this game by 30. Take the Pats -24. Also, the Pats will hang 50 points on their own. Take the Over 50.5.
Runny & Flash
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