RPJ Betting Syndicate

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2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

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September 28, 2008 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Ass, Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Belichick, Bengals, Betting, Bills, Brett Favre, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Colin Cowherd, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eagles, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City, Kansas City Chiefs, Katherine Heigl, Lane Kifin, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Megan Fox, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota, Minnesota Vikings, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Championship Game, NFL Picks, NY Giants, NY Jets, Oakland Raiders, Panthers, Patriots, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Raiders, Rams, Randy Moss, Ravens, Redskins, Reggie Bush, Roger Goodell, Saints, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle, Sports, St. Louis, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee, Texans, Thong, Titans, Tom brady, Tom Coughlin, Tony Romo, Vegas, Washington Redskins, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NFL WEEK 1 2008 PICKS

Greetings folks. Disappointing start with Thursday’s game. We learned a lot from that game though and we will exploit it later in the season. Runny is 0-1 on the NFL so far, but we like a lot of games on the first Sunday. Again, we will have RPJ picks and our individual takes. Here it goes:

RPJ PICKS (0-0 on the Season)

Cowboys -5.5 @ Browns: The Cowboys covered every weekend in September last year. They are stacked again this year on both sides of the ball. However, the Browns are, too. They made huge improvements on their D in the offseason, and although they looked terrible in the pre-season, they should be a legit contender this season. This is a lot of points to give a team like the Browns at home, which is begging you to take them. Herein lies the Vegas trap. This line has gone up all week. Don’t fall for it. Take the Boys-5.5.

Texans @ Steelers -7: The Steelers are stacked this year and the Texans are banged-up. They are just not as good as the Steelers right now. We like Matt Schaub and Mario Williams. Just not enough. We love the Steelers at home to open their season. Take the Steelers -7.

Bears @ Colts-9.5: We’ve watched the Bears pretty closely this pre-season, more so than most other teams. Take our word for it, they are a MESS on the offensive side of the ball. With the exception of Hester, they have absolutely no playmakers on offense. That does not bode well for them going into Indy. They need to score points to beat them, and the Bears just don’t have the personnel. Plus, the Bears D is severely overrated-maybe the most overrated unit is the NFL. Indy wins this game by at least 17. We don’t care about Manning’s knee. Take the Colts -9.5.

Jets @ Fins+3: Finally the Fins have some stability in the front office and at QB. This will be a great game. So many side stories: Favre’s debut in a uniform other than Green Bays; Pennington gets a revenge chance against the team that gave him a Cleveland Steamer; the Tuna’s 2008 debut. All great stuff. We like the Fins in this one because of the points, and we believe they are the better team. They will surprise everyone with how well they will run the ball this year. We think Ted Ginn finally starts showing why he was a first round pick. For the Jets, we think their D is good, but Favre is way overrated. This will be a close game. We like the points. Take the Fins at home +3.

Jags -3 @ Titans: This is our favorite game of the week. Load-up on this one if you can. We think the Jags will make it to the AFC Championship game this year. They are loaded on both sides of the field. The Titans are terrible. Vince Young has mentally checked-out and he has no playmakers to help him. Jags may shut them out. It will be ugly. We don’t care that the Titans usually play the Jags tough and cover. Take the Jags -3.

RUNNY PICKS (0-1 on the Season)

Lions -3 @ Falcons: The Falcons made some good moves in the offseason drafting Ryan and signing Michael Turner. They are going in the right direction, but it will take another year to get out of Vick’s debacle shadow. The Lions are just much better than they are this year right now. I think this line is low because Vegas is judging the Lions on the end of the year meltdown last year. The Lions have playmakers and will score some points. I don’t think Ryan is ready to keep up. Take the Lions -3.

Chiefs @ Pats -15.5: This is a ton of points and the Pats have been extremely cold when it comes to covering. However, the Chiefs are terrible and will not score points. Their D is good, but they will play mostly nickle against the Pats due to the passing attempts. When they do, 3 of their DB’s will be rookies. Brady will crush this. They may not run the ball more than 10 times in this game. Pats win in a blowout. Take the Pats-15.5.

Flash Flash Picks (0-0)
Nothing today but one game for sure on tap Monday night.

Check back with us for Monday Night’s games. We have picks for both games.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

September 7, 2008 Posted by | Atlanta Falcons, Bears, Betting, Brett Favre, Browns, Chad Pennington, Chicago Bears, Chris Redman, Cleveland Browns, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Eric Mangini, Falcons, Football, Free NFL Divisional Round Picks, Free NFL Picks, Free NFL Wild Card Picks, Free Super Bowl Picks, Gambling, Green Bay Packers, Houston, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Lions, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Miami, Miami Dolphins, Michael Vick, Monday Night Football Picks, New England Patriots, New York Jets, NFL, NFL Picks, Packers, Patriots, Peyton Manning, Pittsbourgh Steelers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Randy Moss, Sports, Tom brady, Vegas, Vick, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

NFL PICKS WEEK 9: WEEK 9 IS FINE!!!!

Greetings. After the 5-0 weekend last week, we brought our record to 20-11-2. That is damn fine as we head into week 9. We look to continue our undefeated run with some more locks today. Here we go:

Cowboys -3 @ Eagles: The Cowboys roll into Philly looking to avenge two straight beatdwons at the hands of the Eagles. The Eagles head back home after a solid win in Minnesota amidst the turmoil of Andy Reid and his family crisis (Andy, take a leave of absence. Focus on your kids and family. Life is too short to worry about a team where the fans chant “Bill Cower” in the stands of your home games all the while your kids are falling apart. It is not a sign of weakness to resign. Refusing to step down is a sign of arrogance and stupidity. That is just our two cents..). The Boys are coming off the bye. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 November games. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9. The Boys will win easily. Look for TO to have a big game. Take the Cowboys -3.

Redskins -3.5 @ Jets: The Jets finally pulled the trigger on Pennigton and will start Kellen Clemens this week. We agree with this move. The Jets aren’t going to the playoffs this year. They should look to their future. Clemens has a gun and it is worth the look. That said, they are still pretty bad. Their team has been decimated by injuries. The Skins are fresh off the mother of all beatdowns last week from New England. They will rebound. They have a solid D that is good enough to hold down the Jets O. The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take the Skins -3.5.

49ers +3.5 @ Falcons: Both these teams are a mess. This game cracks us up!!! The 49ers roll into town probably with Alex Smith back. He is no Joe Montana, but he is probably as good as Joey Harrington. The 49ers have a better D. Here are some other tidbits: 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head-to-head meetings; the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Take the points in this one (we think the 49ers win outright anway). Take the 49ers +3.5.

Chargers -7 @ Vikings: Chargers are rollin’ now. The Vikings have the NFL’s best back in Adrian Peterson. However, manning the Vikings helm is Brad Childress. He is a terrible play caller (single-handedly cost them the Cowboys game). The Chargers D will be all over Jackson/Holcomb. They can stop Peterson. This is  alot of points to give a home team, but they can cover. Take the Chargers -7.

Ravens +9 @ Steelers: The Ravens have not played well, but they are coming off the bye. They will be getting players back from the injury report. The Steelers have been up and down all season. One week they look like the Patriots. The next they get destroyed. Most of those bad games have come on the road. This week they are at home. The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten at Heinz Field this season and have not lost a Monday night game at home in more than 16 years. They will be looking to avenge two beatdwons last season at the hands of the Ravens. They will win this game, but 9 points is too many to give to a division rival coming off the bye. Especially when that rival is a veteran team. Take the points. Take the Ravens +9.

Jags @ Saints -3: The Saints have won 3 straight and look to finally get to .500 on the season. They are at home this week where they have not been good ATS (7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games). They also have not covered (2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall).  The Jags held off a late surge by the Bucks last weekend and will throw Quinn Gray out there for his 2nd start. The Jags have a jacked D and will try to pound the Saints with the run. The Saints will counter with stacking the line and make Gray beat them. He won’t. The Saints will cover. Take the Saints -3.

Packers +2.5 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs surprised us this year, but we are not convinced they are as good as their record says. Favre is hot and he has never beat the Chiefs. It will change this week. Pack wins outright. Take the Packers +2.5.

Patriots @ Colts +5.5: Here we go!! Everyone has been asking us our take on this game. Definately the biggest game of the year to date and is probably a preview of the AFC Championship. The Pats have looked unstoppable all season. The Colts have been very impressive, too. Harrison is listed as questionable, but we think he will play. It is tough to find and edge in this game. Both teams have outstanding QB’s. Both D’s are not great, but not bad either. Here is the thing about this though-the Patriots have played a MUCH easier schedule. Their only challenge came against the Cowboys. The Cowboys ultimately lost that game, but did have a lead in the 2nd half. No other team has done that. The rest of their schedule has been a cake walk. On the other hand, the Colts have played some tough teams and still have been damn impressive. They avenged a embarassing loss last year to the Jags.  We like the Colts strength of schedule. We like them at home. We like that the media is giving them little chances of winning. We think the Pats will ultimately win, but it will be close. The Colts will cover. Take the Colts +5.5.

There you go. 8 locks!!!!! Good luck with you picks.

Runny & Flash

November 4, 2007 Posted by | 49ers, Adrian Peterson, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Chad Pennington, Chargers, Cowboys, Dallas Cowboys, Eagles, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jaguars, Jets, Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York, NFL, NFL Picks, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, Quinn Gray, Vikings | Leave a comment