RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!

We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!

Heidi Klum ass

Dahm Triplet asses

Anna Kournikova Ass

and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)

Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.

Friday, September 12

Kansas at South Florida (-3) – It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?

Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:

Kansas

Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

South Florida

Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.


Saturday, September 13

Cal at Maryland (+14.5) – We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.

You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:

California

Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) – When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:

Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.

Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) – This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!

Penn State at Syracuse (+27) – Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:

Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.

Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.

Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) – Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:

Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!

Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) – It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:

Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!

Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)

I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).

Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)

UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.

Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.

Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One.  They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.

Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.

NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a  conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.

Flash Flash and Runny

Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

September 11, 2008 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Anna Kournikova, Ass, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Betting, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Bulldogs, Bulls, California, Charlie Weis, Chase Daniel, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Crimson Tide, Dahm Triplets, Delaware, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Golden Bears, Heidi Klum, Jeff Tedford, Jimmy Claussen, Kansas Jayhawks, Keyra Augustina, Knowshon Moreno, Mark Mangino, Mark Richt, Maryland, Matt Stafford, Michigan, Michigan Wolverines, Mississippi State, Missouri, NC State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nittany Lions, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Oregon Ducks, Pac-10, Penn State, Purdue, Rich Rodriguez, Rutgers, SEC, South Bend, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Sports, Steve Spurrier, Syracuse, Tar Heels, Terrapins, Texas Tech, Thong, Tuberville, Tulane, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Utah, Utah State Aggies, Utah Utes, Vegas, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, Wolfpack, Wolverines | 5 Comments

12/31: New Year’s Eve Winning NCAA Football Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks

We have four bets for this beautiful day and we are going to keep riding our new found success. Damn glad it showed up finally.

We have two bets that fall under the Heidi Klum category:

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a one unit bet.

heidi-klum_video.jpg

heidi-klum-naked-jane.jpg

Man we hate Seal right about now….

1) Air Force versus Cal (-3.5) – Well you all know our feelings on Jeff Tedford and his turd sandwich job of coaching the Golden Shower Bears this year. You also know we love us some Air Force betting action and super back Chad Hall. Well we are going to mix it up a bit for this game because we think the smart bet is on the OVER. Right now the Over is sitting at 55.5 points. Here are the over/under numbers.

Air Force
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games in December.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games overall.
Over is 13-6 in Falcons last 19 games as an underdog.

California
Over is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 Bowl games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Golden Bears last 7 non-conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Bears last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Bears last 8 vs. Mountain West

We initially wanted to bet Air Force and the over because we think that is what the result is going to be but we are keeping ourselves aware of the Tedford turd sandwich factor and think that the smart bet is just taking the over. Tedford screwed us more times than the Priests mounting young boys at Notre Dame. CAL has more talent and has the ability to win this game 50-21 and they also have the ability to lose 49-7 so we think the over is the way to go. Cal will not be able to stop Air Force and we are thinking CAL will score enough points after they have had the chance to get a little more healthy. CAL held only one BCS-conference opponent under 20 points this season. Cal has been a tale of two seasons…before and after Longshore hurt his ankle. Prior to his injury CAL was putting up 39.4 points per game and after his injury they averaged 20.3 points per game. Tedford has helped the Bears win three of their last four bowl games and the last two bowl games they put up 45 and 35 points respectively. Air Force averages 29.4 points per game and first year coach, Troy Calhoun, helped turn this team around really fast. So we think the bowl Tedford team shows up after they have had a chance to rest and these two teams will throw up some serious points on each other. Bet the Over 55.5 and hopefully we hit it in the first half and can relax to watch what should be an exciting game!!!

2) Kentucky (-9.5) versus Florida State in The Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl, AKA the FSU stupid retarded player bowl Buyer beware!!!! Do not take this line over 9.5 points. We know you wanted it on Kentucky at -1 when it first opened but this still should not matter. Kentucky went through a roller coaster season and simply fell victim to hype and SEC Conference football losing 4 of their last 5 games. Kentucky’s weak point was definitely their defense and they gave up 29.8 points per game. We only assigned this game a 1 unit Heidi Klum bet because we know FSU lost tons of players to suspension but we so not know if this will be a rallying point or a problem. We know Kentucky has a bad defense and we know FSU has a bad offense. We know FSU is good stopping the run so that means the game rests pretty much in the hands of Andre Woodson. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Kentucky
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

These teams did not have too many relevant ATS numbers. We think this comes down to Kentucky having played the superior schedule this season and battling in the SEC. Kentucky is also led by the better QB who is a weathered senior and we think he will play a large part in keeping his team focused and rolling on offense. This year’s game sold out within minutes of tickets going on sale and Kentucky will have at least 27,000 fans in attendance. Kentucky also played in this bowl last year and won so they know exactly what to expect out of the travel schedule. Florida State’s suspensions are an embarassment to the program and we think they will come out and fold once they witness the dynamic Kentucky offense. Kentucky wins big and covers (-9.5) in this one!!!!

3) Auburn versus Clemson (-2.5) in the Chick-fil-A Bowl

We are assigning this bet a Dahm Triplet bet:

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

Yes we are going to sport some straight nudity again…

dahm-beaver.jpg

We are changing things up again for this game. We think the play is for the UNDER. Right now the UNDER is at 46.5. Of 11 games this year, Auburn hit the under 7 times and Clemson hit it 5 times. Both teams have solid defenses and not so hot offenses. There are some really powerful Over/Under numbers for this game and that is the basis for our reasoning. Check it out:

Auburn
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 Bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 Monday games.
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. ACC.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in December.
Under is 15-5 in Tigers last 20 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games overall.

Auburn
Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. SEC.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 Bowl games.
Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 non-conference games.

I think you can see that these numbers scream for the under. Remember the following games:

Auburn 17 Alabama 10
Auburn 17 Ole Miss 3
Auburn 9 Arkansas 7
Auburn 20 Florida 17

Auburn has no problem slowing it down, playing ball control offense and keeping the score low. They seem to prefer it in close, big games.

Clemson 23 South Carolina 21
Clemson 17 Boston College 20
Clemson 3 Georgia Tech 13
Clemson 24 FSU 18

Clemson knows how to keep it on the ground and slow it down as well. We think this game has 17-14 or 10-7 written all over it and that is what we are banking on. Take the UNDER 46.5 in the Clemson/Auburn game!!!

4) South Florida (-6) versus Oregon in the Brut Sun Bowl. We are throwing out our gal pal Eva Mendes for this bet:

5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet – We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it. It has lost once already in bowl season but that was in week 1 and this is week 2. Eva is ready to represent for us again!!!

An oldie but a goodie:

mendes-2.jpg

Here is the basic explanation for this game….South Florida versus a sibling of Ryan Leaf….Enough said!!! Bet South Florida at 5 times your normal bet and take this home. The Leaf family was born to lose and Ryan’s brother Brady Leaf has never won a college game. He also was injured and Oregon was forced to start Justin Roper and Cody Kempt who led them to loses as well. Oregon has not won a game since Dennis Dixon got hurt and we have to feel for them because they were one of the top teams in the country. However, when you take Dixon out of the equation, this is the Oregon team that was shut out by UCLA. Lets check out the ATS numbers so you can feel like we are doing real analysis:

Oregon
Ducks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

South Florida
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bulls are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

The South Florida defense ranks 22nd in the nation in yards against per game with just 326.8. USF also ranks third in the nation in interceptions with 22. Only three opponents have managed to score more than 23 points against the Bulls all year. South Florida is going to prey on Oregon’s offense worse than UCLA did and that is where our confidence comes in in making this an Eva Mendes bet. Oregon’s only bright spot is RB Jonathan Stewart but he is going to have to face a South Florida defense that is 19th in the nation and only giving up 112 yards per game. We know how this game plays out…South Florida stops the run and a Leaf family member makes stupid passing mistakes the whole game. South Florida Rolls big in this game, wins and covers (-6) with ease!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

December 31, 2007 Posted by | ACC, Air Force Falcons, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Bulls, California, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Dahm Triplets, ESPN, Eva Mendes, Fighting Irish, Florida State Seminoles, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Heidi Klum, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Oregon Ducks, Pac-10, SEC, South Florida, Winning Picks | Leave a comment

NBA PICKS: The 2nd COMING

Disappointing start to the season last night for us. Terrible 1-2 record. I should have known the Spurs would not cover. Anyway, time to right the ship. Here is who we like tonight:

Bulls @ Nets -2.5: The Bulls are the sexy pick for 2007-2008. We like them, too, but not tonight. Nets are a solid veteran team and were great last year for us. We like them in their home opener. Take the Nets -2.5.

Mavs-4 @ Cavs: We love the Cavs this year, too. However, the Mavs just have too many weapons. They will be looking to avenge their end last year. Avery Johnson is a good coach who doesn’t let his team let up. They will cover on the road.  Take the Mavs -4.

Kings +9.5 @ Hornets: Kings are terrible, but this is too many points. Take the Kings +9.5.

Sonics @ Nuggets -11: I don’t believe Durant is ready. Nuggets are stacked. They will roll in their opener. Take the Nuggets -11.

Bucks @ Magic -6.5: Magic were darlings for us ATS last year. The Bucks are up and coming, but we think the Magic cover at home. Take the Magic -6.5.

There you go. 5 winners. Good luck.

Runny & Flash

October 31, 2007 Posted by | Bulls, Cavaliers, Hornets, Kings, Lebron James, Mavericks, NBA Picks, Nets, Nuggets, Sonics, Spurs | 6 Comments

NCAA Week 6 Football Picks: The Return of the Brinks Truck Bet – Load UP!!!!

Lets get down to business…..RPJ Syndicate is 19-14 on the season, we are up 13 betting units, we have never had a losing week and our money is where our mouth is. Can you hear the crisp sound of fresh hundies? We can!!!! We have three games for you this week and the Brinks Truck bet is back from a one week layoff.

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Game 1: Kentucky (+4) at South Carolina – This is the type of game we dream about. Kentucky is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) on this short season, they rush for more than 80 yards more per game than the Gamecocks, they convert 53.7% of their third down conversions versus 42% for the Cocks and they have a ball hawking defense that has taken the ball away 14 times for a +7 turnover ratio. The Cocks are minus 4 in the turnover ratio. We do not even think The Cocks should be favored in this one and are happy for the 4 points. I have nothing negative to say about Kentucky but the Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. So we think the game will be close, Kentucky will pound the run and wear down South Carolina by the second half to pull away and win this game. Kentucky all the way!!!!

Saturday, October 6, 2007

The BRINKS TRUCK bet….this is the bet where we bet 5 times our normal betting amount and we are 3-1 on the season with Brinks Truck picks.

Game 2: South Florida (-16.5) @ Florida Atlantic – This one will not be close and in the mascot battle a Bull will beat the piss out of an Owl any day of the week. South Florida is 3-0 ATS this season, runs for more on offense, converts more 3rd downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense, and its defense holds opponents to a lower third down conversion rate. In other words, the Owls will not be hooting after this one and will probably be declawed and have their beaks filed down. The one interesting stat is that the Owls are actually +12 in the turnover ratio game while South Florida is +8. Here are some other numbers to think about:

Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Grass. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.

Owls are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. Owls are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Owls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Load up on South Florida. This one is a no brainer!!!

Game 3: Nebraksa @ Missouri (-7) – This one screams Missouri across the board. Missouri rushes for more yards on defense, converts more third downs on offense, holds opponents to less yards rushing and holds offenses to less third down conversions than Nebraska. Throw in the fact that Missouri is +4 and Nebraksa is -2 in the turnover ratio and you have a clear favorite here. Even though Nebraska leads the all-time series 63-34-3, and posted a 34-20 victory last season. The Huskers are 27-18-1 at Missouri, but have not won there since a 36-3 rout in 2001. Keller has shows time and again that he crumbles in big games. He crumbled at Arizona St. and he crumbles for Nebraska in big games. So. Cal has gotten to him twice now. Cornhuskers are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cornhuskers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. In other words…..Missouri wins this by more than 7 points!!!!

Feel free to post on our blog. We enjoy seeing your picks and we are happy to analyze any game for you. We looked at tons of games this weekend and came away with only three so we have a lot more information to share if you want it. Have fun and we will see you at the bank!!!

Flash and Runny

October 4, 2007 Posted by | BCS, Big East, Bulls, Cornhuskers, ESPN, Florida Atlantic, Football, Gambling, Gamecock, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Missouri, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Owls, SEC, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Tigers, USC, Wildcats, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

NCAA Week 4 Football Picks: 5 Games including another Brinks Truck bet!!!

September, 28, 2007 – This is our week 4 picks…please click here for our week 5 picks.

Another week another round of victories. The Syndicate is 12-8 on the season and if you look at our picks on a unit basis we are up 8 units on the year and that is all that matters….profits and cash in our bulging pockets. As always….we put our money where our mouth is on every bet with no exceptions. If you have any games you are curious about please do not hesitate to post us a message/feedback and we will be happy to give you our thoughts. The NCAA football season finally has some history behind it and what I mean by that is that teams have played 2-3 games. A gambler’s paradise is opening weekend and bowl season. Opening weekend because there is not any information available and lines like LSU/Miss St this year and USC/Arkansas last year are terribly flawed and bowl season is equally as good because an entire season’s worth of history is available. We won our bowl bets last year at a better than 80% clip. We will not reveal everything we look at in picking our lines but this week we are going to share with you two new stats that we use to assess each matchup….Turnover margin and rushing stats. Read our picks below to understand:

Friday, September 21, 2007
1) OKLA (-23.5) @ Tulsa: We like Tulsa to cover in this one. 23.5 is too many at home. On paper both teams have a +2 turnover ratio, which is surprising considering Oklahoma has played a bunch of softies and played them at home. Tulsa is a pass first team so the running disparity will not come into play. This is Oklahoma’s first road game, and they are starting a freshman QB. Granted, he has looked amazing, but all his games have been at home and with the exception of Miami, they have not played anyone tough and is is too early to label Miami anything. Oklahoma’s O is ranked #3, but Tulsa is right behind them at #4. Tulsa is even ahead of Hawaii. We think they can keep it within 3 TDs and would not be surprised if it were much tighter in the 10-14 point range. Go with Tulsa on this one.

Saturday, September 22, 2007
2) THE BRINKS BET OF THE WEEK IS….UNC @ South Florida (-13) – South Florida is coming off a bye. They are +6 in turnover margin and rush for almost 60 more yards a game than their opponents. they won 37-20 on the road last year versus UNC and have more experience now. UNC is minus 4 in the takeaway game and has been outrushed 411 to 239. Long day for UNC and they are 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15. South Florida is the winner and we advise betting 5 times your normal limit on this game. Our Brinks bets are 2-1 on the season. Kaching…what was that sound….Oh Yeah Kaching! Kaching! Kaching!!!!!

3) Mich St. (-11) @ ND – Notre Dame has been outrushed 718 to minus 14 on the season and is averages almost three turnovers a game. They are flat out bad and one of the worst teams in D-1 football. If you do not believe me just look at their season stats. Notre Dame literally has carried the ball 100 times for -14 yards. Do not be afraid of Michigan State’s poor showing last week against Pitt. They will come ready to play to erase the embarassing loss last year. Something to think about is Mich. St is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 road games. However, ND is 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 games on grass and Michigan St. is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 against ND. Bet Michigan St. all the way. Also, you have to love the Notre Dame homers that have dropped this line 2 points in the last couple of days.

4) Marshall @ Cincy (-24) – Cincy’s Defense is flat out nasty. They have caused 17 turnovers in three games and only committed 4. In addition they have outrushed their opponents 485 to 267 through three games. Marshall is minus 5 in the takeaway/giveaway ratio and has only caused one turnover and they have been outrushed 826 to 272. Marshall is 16-36-2 against the spread in their last 54 games…consistently terrible and we cashed with them against West Virginia. Cincy is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall. 23.5 points might seem but with a defense that causes turnovers, we are not worried. Cincy all the way. Also, this is a “we learned our lesson” game. Do not bet against Cincy at home. Just ask Oregon St.

5) Ark. St. @ Tennessee (-19.5) – This is a very interesting game. Ark St. is 9-3 Against the spread in their last 12 versus the SEC and Tennessee is 9-28 against the spread in their last 37 home games. Looking a little deeper, Tennessee is minus 1 in turnover margin while Ark. St. is plus 3. In addition, Tennessee has been outrushed 575 to 341 while Ark St. has outrushed their opponents 375 to 213. Ark. St. played Texas tough and Texas is better than Tennessee. Ark. St. loves to rush and Tennessee will not be able to stop them all day and this will keep the game closer than people think. Ark. St. to cover.

Good luck with the picks and do not hesitate to share your thoughts or ideas or ask us to pick a game or tell you our reasons for not picking a game. We are here to show you that we are elite and are here to make you and us money. Plain and simple.

Flash Flash and Runny

September 20, 2007 Posted by | Arkansas State, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Bulls, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Golden Hurricane, Indians, Marshall, Michigan State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, SEC, Sooners, South Florida, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, Tenn, Tennessee, Tulsa, Volunteers, Winning Picks | 8 Comments