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Week 12 NCAA Picks: Tuesday Big MAC Attack aka Degenerate Night

On the season we are 43-39 overall, 3-3 on Brinks truck bets and up 4 units. Not where we want to be by any stretch but we know a big pay day is right around the corner.

It is not fair to keep all of our secrets to ourselves and we are prepared to share some new stats with you for tonight’s game. You know how the Big Mac has its secret sauce, everybody knows it is thousand island dressing but is not 100% sure they did not sneak in some pickle juice or mystery item. Well betting the over on any MAC game is the 2007 version of the secret sauce. Meaning if you were paying attention you would have known that these MAC schools put up points and put them up in a hurry but you might not believe that the MAC OVER is the most sure thing in NCAA betting right now.

macattack.jpg

Check out these numbers. You will be klicking yourself if you have not been playing this all year. Betting the over on MAC games during the 2007 season has yielded a record of 71-49-1. This is a 59% win rate. If we promised you a winning pick rate of 59% you would easily pay us a million dollars a year for our services….you will one day but not yet. Ha ha!!! So tonight’s game features Toledo at Ball State. We checked the weather in Muncie, IN and it looks great for tonight’s game.

Here are some great stats for you: The two schools have a combined 13-5 OVER record this season and Toledo games have played OVER the total eight of nine times. Right now it looks like everybody is clued into the MAC OVER for tonight. The line opened at 66.5 and has shot up to 68. We have our money at 67 and 67.5. Check out Toledo’s games this year:

Beat Eastern Michigan 52-28 = 80 points
Beat N. Illinois 70-21 = 91 points
Beat Ohio 43-40 = 83 points
Lost to Buffalo 33-43 = 76 points
Beat Liberty 35-34 = 69 points
Lost to W. Michigan 28-42 = 70 points
Beat Iowa St 36-35 = 71 points
Lost to Kansas 13-45 = 58 points
Lost to C. Michigan 31-52 = 84 points
Lost to Purdue 24-52 = 76 points

What does all of that mean…it means an 8-1 record for the over and the Liberty game did not have a line. These guys are a scoring machine. Ball St. is not as prolific in the scoring department but they are not too shabby themselves.

Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:

Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 7-0 in Rockets last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 games overall.
Over is 7-0 in Rockets last 7 conference games.
Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Do you like what you are seeing? We thought so!!!

Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 13-6 in Cardinals last 19 games following a S.U. loss.

Not as great but Toledo is the key here because of their running offense versus Ball State’s running defense. This will help them put up points. Toledo runs for 223 yards a game and Ball State gives up 215 yards a game and then when you hear that Toledo gives up 220 yards per game you will be even more excited. I am not even sure the defenses will be on the field during this game. They might just sit on the bench drinking gatorades while the offenses run and pass their way to TDs against air.

We are all over the MAC over tonight and felt the need to share some more info to help you win more money. We are not happy with our NCAA record and want to publically give you more opportunities to build your bankroll.

Let us know if you want us to comment on any games in particular for this coming week. We have performed our research and will be publishing 1-3 more picking segments this week. Sign up for our RSS feeds so you can get real time information on our picks and if you want to send us a private email please use: rpjsyndicate@gmail.com

Big Mac Attack!!!!! Take the OVER on tonight’s game and watch the scoring show!!!!

Flash and Runny

November 13, 2007 Posted by | Ball State, Ball State Cardinals, Betting, Big Mac, Gambling, MAC, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Toledo Rockets, Winning Picks | 9 Comments