RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Week 4 Football Picks: 5 Games including another Brinks Truck bet!!!

September, 28, 2007 – This is our week 4 picks…please click here for our week 5 picks.

Another week another round of victories. The Syndicate is 12-8 on the season and if you look at our picks on a unit basis we are up 8 units on the year and that is all that matters….profits and cash in our bulging pockets. As always….we put our money where our mouth is on every bet with no exceptions. If you have any games you are curious about please do not hesitate to post us a message/feedback and we will be happy to give you our thoughts. The NCAA football season finally has some history behind it and what I mean by that is that teams have played 2-3 games. A gambler’s paradise is opening weekend and bowl season. Opening weekend because there is not any information available and lines like LSU/Miss St this year and USC/Arkansas last year are terribly flawed and bowl season is equally as good because an entire season’s worth of history is available. We won our bowl bets last year at a better than 80% clip. We will not reveal everything we look at in picking our lines but this week we are going to share with you two new stats that we use to assess each matchup….Turnover margin and rushing stats. Read our picks below to understand:

Friday, September 21, 2007
1) OKLA (-23.5) @ Tulsa: We like Tulsa to cover in this one. 23.5 is too many at home. On paper both teams have a +2 turnover ratio, which is surprising considering Oklahoma has played a bunch of softies and played them at home. Tulsa is a pass first team so the running disparity will not come into play. This is Oklahoma’s first road game, and they are starting a freshman QB. Granted, he has looked amazing, but all his games have been at home and with the exception of Miami, they have not played anyone tough and is is too early to label Miami anything. Oklahoma’s O is ranked #3, but Tulsa is right behind them at #4. Tulsa is even ahead of Hawaii. We think they can keep it within 3 TDs and would not be surprised if it were much tighter in the 10-14 point range. Go with Tulsa on this one.

Saturday, September 22, 2007
2) THE BRINKS BET OF THE WEEK IS….UNC @ South Florida (-13) – South Florida is coming off a bye. They are +6 in turnover margin and rush for almost 60 more yards a game than their opponents. they won 37-20 on the road last year versus UNC and have more experience now. UNC is minus 4 in the takeaway game and has been outrushed 411 to 239. Long day for UNC and they are 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15. South Florida is the winner and we advise betting 5 times your normal limit on this game. Our Brinks bets are 2-1 on the season. Kaching…what was that sound….Oh Yeah Kaching! Kaching! Kaching!!!!!

3) Mich St. (-11) @ ND – Notre Dame has been outrushed 718 to minus 14 on the season and is averages almost three turnovers a game. They are flat out bad and one of the worst teams in D-1 football. If you do not believe me just look at their season stats. Notre Dame literally has carried the ball 100 times for -14 yards. Do not be afraid of Michigan State’s poor showing last week against Pitt. They will come ready to play to erase the embarassing loss last year. Something to think about is Mich. St is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 road games. However, ND is 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 games on grass and Michigan St. is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 against ND. Bet Michigan St. all the way. Also, you have to love the Notre Dame homers that have dropped this line 2 points in the last couple of days.

4) Marshall @ Cincy (-24) – Cincy’s Defense is flat out nasty. They have caused 17 turnovers in three games and only committed 4. In addition they have outrushed their opponents 485 to 267 through three games. Marshall is minus 5 in the takeaway/giveaway ratio and has only caused one turnover and they have been outrushed 826 to 272. Marshall is 16-36-2 against the spread in their last 54 games…consistently terrible and we cashed with them against West Virginia. Cincy is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall. 23.5 points might seem but with a defense that causes turnovers, we are not worried. Cincy all the way. Also, this is a “we learned our lesson” game. Do not bet against Cincy at home. Just ask Oregon St.

5) Ark. St. @ Tennessee (-19.5) – This is a very interesting game. Ark St. is 9-3 Against the spread in their last 12 versus the SEC and Tennessee is 9-28 against the spread in their last 37 home games. Looking a little deeper, Tennessee is minus 1 in turnover margin while Ark. St. is plus 3. In addition, Tennessee has been outrushed 575 to 341 while Ark St. has outrushed their opponents 375 to 213. Ark. St. played Texas tough and Texas is better than Tennessee. Ark. St. loves to rush and Tennessee will not be able to stop them all day and this will keep the game closer than people think. Ark. St. to cover.

Good luck with the picks and do not hesitate to share your thoughts or ideas or ask us to pick a game or tell you our reasons for not picking a game. We are here to show you that we are elite and are here to make you and us money. Plain and simple.

Flash Flash and Runny

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September 20, 2007 Posted by | Arkansas State, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Bulls, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Golden Hurricane, Indians, Marshall, Michigan State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, SEC, Sooners, South Florida, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, Tenn, Tennessee, Tulsa, Volunteers, Winning Picks | 8 Comments