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LSU vs. Miss St. – Load up the Brinks Truck…. It is time to steal some money!!!!

Every year there is one game that simply jumps off the oddsmakers boards and screams at you to load up the farm and bet the bank. These are usually games where Vegas just does not know all the teams yet and makes a blatant error. Last year the easiets line all year was USC at Arkansas. I think USC was favored by a TD. Well we know how that blowout ended. The game was not even competititve. So guess what….we see a similar game this year already….LSU (-18.5) at Mississippi St. Danny Sheridan opened this line at -16.5 and it quickly moved up to 17.5 and now up to 18.5. Well we do not care. This should be a blowout and here is why:

LSU is 7-0 against the spread in away games at Miss St. since 1992.
LSU is 9-1 against the spread in their last ten against Missippi St. and the lone loss is last year’s debacle when Les Miles put in all his scrubs and played prevent, I mean no defense, and let Miss. St. get back into the game after running out to a 35-0 lead in the 2nd quarter. Also, last year was a classic “Nebraska syndrome” game. The Nebraksa syndrome is when a team is playing a weaker opponent at home and is in front a large home crowd and all of their largest boosters and is winning and the coach decides to not only put out the second string but puts out the 3rd, 4th and 5th strings as well so that the boosters can see everybody play and probably some of their own kids get some action at home in front of home crowd. LSU fell victim to the Nebraksa syndrome last year against Miss. St and this year we are more confident they will cover because it is on the road.

Here are the scores in their last 6 games:
LSU 48-17
LSU 37-7
LSU 51-0
LSU 41-6
LSU 31-13
LSU 42-0
Average score = LSU 42 Miss St. 7

Yup the difference is 35 points and that is where this spread should be. LSU has incredible talent on both sides of the ball and Miss St. simply can not hang with this team.

Just to throw it out there…here is what one naysayer wants to let you believe (I think it must be from a bookie who has the wrong side of the line), just kidding. The quote is from an LSU insider website called www.dandydon.com. The quote was posted on August 26 at 7:10AM.

While most Tiger fans believe that the game against Mississippi State is going to be like taking candy from a baby, that might not be the case if you take a look at the way MSU finished the 2006 season. The last five games of last season MSU lost 27-24 at Georgia, lost 34-31 to Kentucky, defeated Alabama 24-16 at Alabama (in my opinion the lost to MSU is what cost Mike Shula his job at Alabama), lost to Arkansas 28-14, and lost at Ole Miss 20-17. LSU played four of these same five teams and defeated Kentucky 49-0, defeated Ole Miss 23-20 in overtime, defeated Alabama 28-14 and Arkansas 31-26. The strength of the MSU team will be on offense with nine returning starters. Anthony Dixon returns at running back and is one of the best in the league. The Bulldogs return five starters in the offensive line led by center Royce Blackledge. Junior Michael Henig is the starting quarterback at MSU and does some things very well but is not very mobile. Mississippi State only returns five starters on a defense that gave up an average of 309 yards and 26 points per game in 2006.

We just wanted to show you that there are other opinions out there that this will not be a blowout. We said our piece and this is a great opportunity to start the NCAA season on a winning note.

Flash Flash and Runny

August 29, 2007 Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, Betting, ESPN, Football, Gambling, Les Miles, LSU, LSU Tigers, Mississippi, NCAA, ncaa football, Pac-10, SEC, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Vegas, Winning Picks | Leave a comment

SEC Bias Infiltrates the Coaches Ranks

USA Today put out their annual pre-season NCAA college football coaches poll today and this thing is a joke. Based on this disgrace I am not even going to bother paying attention to this poll this season. The SEC bias as being the toughest and best league in football has now breached the ranks of this poll. Lets take a look to see what I am talking about.

Check out the USA Today Top 25 Coaches’ Poll by clicking here

Now scroll down to the bottom to see who the coaches are in this poll. I am actually going to paste this info in so you can see (Please note names in bold):

The USA TODAY Board of Coaches is made up of 60 head coaches at Division I-A institutions. All are members of the American Football Coaches Association. This season’s board: Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech; Mike Bellotti, Oregon; Bret Bielema, Wisconsin; Larry Blakeney, Troy; Bobby Bowden, Florida State; Tommy Bowden, Clemson; Jeff Bower, Southern Mississippi; Art Briles, Houston; Mack Brown, Texas; Bill Callahan, Nebraska; Neil Callaway, UAB; Lloyd Carr, Michigan; Mario Cristobal, Florida International; Sylvester Croom, Mississippi State; Bill Cubit, Western Michigan; Mark Dantonio, Michigan State; Butch Davis, North Carolina; Bill Doba, Washington State; Randy Edsall, Connecticut; Dennis Franchione, Texas A&M; Phillip Fulmer, Tennessee; Jeff Genyk, Eastern Michigan; Joe Glenn, Wyoming; Jim Grobe, Wake Forest; Dan Hawkins, Colorado; Pat Hill, Fresno State; Steve Kragthorpe, Louisville; Mike Leach, Texas Tech; Rocky Long, New Mexico; Sonny Lubick, Colorado State; Bill Lynch, Indiana; Doug Martin, Kent State; Les Miles, LSU; Shane Montgomery, Miami (Ohio); Hal Mumme, New Mexico State; Joe Novak, Northern Illinois; Houston Nutt, Arkansas; Tom O’Brien, North Carolina State; George O’Leary, Central Florida; Gary Patterson, TCU; Chris Petersen, Boise State; Mark Richt, Georgia; Mike Riley, Oregon State; Rich Rodriguez, West Virginia; Greg Schiano, Rutgers; Howard Schnellenberger, Florida Atlantic; Mark Snyder, Marshall; Frank Solich, Ohio; Steve Spurrier, South Carolina; Rick Stockstill, Middle Tennessee State; Bob Stoops, Oklahoma; Jeff Tedford, California; Joe Tiller, Purdue; Bob Toledo, Tulane; Dick Tomey, San Jose State; Jim Tressel, Ohio State; Tommy Tuberville, Auburn; Charlie Weis, Notre Dame; Tyrone Willingham, Washington; Ron Zook, Illinois.

Ok what did you notice? I noticed 7 SEC coaches are part of this poll, that is more than 10% of the entire group of coaches. Now lets take a look and see how many SEC teams received votes/points:

LSU = 1,372
Florida = 1,278
Georgia = 604
Auburn = 595
Tennessee = 583
Arkansas = 360
South Carolina = 90
Alabama = 16
Kentucky = 1

So what do these numbers tell us? They tell us that the coaches gave points to 9 out of 12 teams in the SEC. This is a complete joke. There were not even 9 SEC teams that finished with an overall winning record last year. Who are these SEC coaches trying to fool? It is more sour grapes and complaining by the likes of Les Miles. These coaches are making excuses for their teams; excuses that their schedules are SOOOOOO hard that they deserve a break at the end of the year and should be playing in meaningful BCS games. Well last time I looked you need to play the schedule and conference games you were dealt and if you perform well in those games than you deserve to play for a title. Instead of the majority of SEC coaches scheduling tough out of conference opponents like Southern Cal, they are taking the easy route and hiding behind the likes of Tulane, Middle Tenn St. and the Louisiana, Lafayettes of the world and saying that their conference schedules are SOOOOOOOO extremely difficult that they can schedule Western Wahoo St. for homecoming to give their players a break. Just look around the country you blinded Southern boys….USC is doing a home and away with Ohio St. Notre Dame is picking up Oklahoma for a series. This is the way to beef up a schedule and to gain respect. These 7 coaches that are part of the USA Today poll are simply trying to raise the profile of their programs and their league and they should be held accountable. Keep in mind this is the same poll that gave Duke (0-12 last year) and Memphis (2-10 last year) points this year. Cocahes’ picks should be made public for all to see.

I can not wait for this season to start and all eyes will be on the CAL/TENN early season matchup to see just how good the SEC and Pac-10 really are. I am hoping Tennessee is the favorite in this game so I can bet the farm on CAL. This is a revenge game and CAl will show up in the first half this time around.

Stay tuned for our NCAA preview and NFL preview picks.

Flash Flash

August 3, 2007 Posted by | Alabama Tide, Arkansas Razorbacks, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Coaches Poll, Duke, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Kentucky Wildcats, Les Miles, LSU, LSU Tigers, Mississippi, NCAA, ncaa football, Pac-10, Pete Carroll, SEC, South Carolina Gamecocks, Sports, Tennessee, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans | 1 Comment