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Week 5 NCAA Picks: Runny’s Revenge!!!!

Tough start to the week for me with two losses on Thursday night. USC completely self-destructed and flushed any national championship hopes down the drain. Tulane imploded as well. Freakin’ terrible.

As promised, here are my additional picks for the week:

Wisconsin @ Michigan (+6.5): No. 8 Wisconsin rolls into the Big House this week to face their first Big 10 test. Both teams are coming off rest. It should be a good game as these teams always play each other tough. I think Wisconsin covers in this one, but it will be close. The Big House, surprisingly, is not that big of a home field advantage. For that many fans you would think it would be insane. However, if the visitor gets on them early, it will be deadly and the crowd is gone. Facts: Wisconsin is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 against Michigan and they are 8-2 as road favorites before back-to-back home games. There are impressive numbers that would suggest Michigan will win this game, but this is a new Michigan team. They do not have the players to run Rodriguez’s offense, and their D could not stop Notre Dame. That is huge. I like Wisconsin to ground-and-pound here and win by 7. Take Wisconsin -6.5.

Colorado @ FSU (-5.5): FSU lost their first game last week. It just so happened that it was the first good team they faced. They face another good one his week as the Buffs roll into town for a prime time game Saturday night. Which FSU team shows? I think it is the one that lost outright to Wake last weekend. I think they are posers and way too overrated. Colorado is not. They are getting better and better each week. I love their QB and they have better coaching right now. FACTS: Colorado is 11-2 in away games against opponents that are .600 % or better that are coming off of a straight-up, ATS loss the week before. That is FSU my friends. I’m rolling with the Buffs! Love the points, too. Take Colorado +5.5.

Illinois @ Penn State (-16): This games scares me a little because Penn State is rolling right now. They clearly are the cream of the Big 10 crop. They are destroying teams right now. Illinois has been inconsistent, mostly due to their QB play. Juice Williams is turning the ball over at an alarming rate. Very scary for the fans down in Champaign. However, they are coming off of rest this week, and they beat Penn State outright almost a year ago to the day. Facts: Illinois is 7-1 ATS as double digit Dogs off of straight-up wins, Penn State is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 against Illinois (1-3 ATS in their last 4 at home, too) and they are 0-5 ATS against conference teams they lost to the year before after they play a non-conference game. The numbers point to Illinois. I think the logic does, too. They held Missouri within 10 earlier in the season. Penn State has similar explosiveness. I think Illinois can keep it close. I’m taking the Fighting Illini +16.

There you go. Three more picks. Also, we have a new contributor. His name is BSL and he is an expert on all things SEC. He posted his SEC picks in another post.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny

September 26, 2008 - Posted by | Betting, ESPN, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, NCAA, NCAA Picks, Sports, Winning Picks

1 Comment »

  1. tough weekend, but everyone always has a bad one.

    http://jrwojdylo.wordpress.com

    Comment by Jesse Wojdylo | September 29, 2008 | Reply


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