RPJ Betting Syndicate

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12/23 Free NCAA Football Bowl Pick and Hot Chick: East Carolina Vs. Boise State

First things first. our performance is brutal right now. we are 4-1 picking winners and 1-4 picking against the spread and down 8 units. We only lost 4 games ATS all last bowl season so this is very frustrating. We are waiting for our system to turn it around and think we have the opportunity to do so with this game.

We are stepping it up and making this a Shakira bet.

4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.

Might as well show the video for the hips don’t lie bet:

Of course we are going to show some Shakira arse in honor of our first Shakira bet.

shakira_009.jpg

And on with the game, sorry Shakira. We would love to stare at your ass some more but we are going to make some cash here.

Boise State (-11.5) versus East Carolina in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl

This game is more interesting than it initally seems. Both East Carolina and Boise State improved on offense year over year. Both teams are solid in various aspects of the defensive game as well. Both teams have incredible talent in the backfield. Both teams like to run the ball…171 yards per game for East Carolina and 192 yards per game for Boise State. On defense we see our first real difference, Boise State only gives up 115 yards per game rushing and lets opponents convert third down tries 33% of the time. East Carolina gives up 146 yards per game and lets opponents convert third downs at a 40% clip. Is this a 10.5 point advantage? Probably not yet. Lets look at some ATS numbers:

East Carolina
Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

Boise State
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Broncos are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.
Broncos are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 28-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Yup….not one negative ATS thing to say about this Boise State team. Throw in the fact that Boise State just played in Hawaii and knows how to travel there and we think this is worth a few extra points as well. We also like the fact that Boise State is led by a senior QB and East Carolina rotates between two guys. East Carolina definitely pissed us off this year by not covering against Marshall in an outright loss as 6.5 point favorites and we remember this because it was the second to last game of the season. Boise State was on a 9 game winning streak before they lost to Hawaii in their last game of the regular season. Boise State is very well coached and will be looking for redemption on their season. We think Boise State will come out fast and take it right to the East Carolina Butt Pirates.

Boise State wins big and covers!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

December 23, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Boise State Broncos, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, ESPN, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, shakira, Winning Picks | 2 Comments

WEEK 16 NFL PICKS: SUNDAY’S BEST

A good start to the weekend for us with the Panthers pulling through for us against the Cowboys. With Saturday’s win, our season ATS record stands at 60-47-1. Here is what we like on Sunday:

Packers @ Bears +8.5: The Bears gave the Pack a surprising beatdown in their match-up earlier this year. The Pack have been dominant since then. Their only blemish was a debacle in Dallas. The Pack won’t make those mistakes again. However, the Bears are hungry to salvage something from this season. Kyle Orton gets the start again and the Bears D knows that the game is in their hands. They love playing Favre. Especially at home. We think they will be amped for this game. The Pack will win, but the Bears D will keep them in it. Plus, the nasty weather in the Windy City will help the Bears. Take the Bears +8.5.

Texans +7 @ Colts: The Texans have been up and down all year. The Colts are CRUSHED by injuries. They squeaked by the Raiders last week in Oakland. We think their injuries on D will produce the same result this week at home against the Texans. The Texans can score some points. They will score some more this week. Ignore the fact that the home team in this match-up is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take the Texans +7.

Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Before last week, everyone was looking to this game for a Cinderella story and hoping that a winless Fins team could end the Pats run to perfection. The Ravens made sure that the Fins would not be winless coming into this game last week. The Patriots are going to make sure their run to perfection will stay in play this week. Not only will they win, they will win big. Don’t follow the public in this one. The Pats beat them by 21 in their match-up earlier this season in Miami. They will do better than that on Sunday. Take the Pats -22.

Redskins @ Vikings -6.5: The Vikings managed to win last Monday night against the Bears despite a ton of turnovers. They will remedy the turnovers this week. The Skins will be without Rocky McIntosh. This is huge. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a big game. Take the Vikings -6.5.

Falcons @ Cardinals -10: The Falcons are getting players back from injuries while the Cards are pretty banged-up. There were signs of a little turmoil in the Cards loss last week as Kurt Warner blew up on the sidelines at one of his offensive coaches. That said, the Falcons are a joke. Take the Cards -10.

Jets @ Titans -8.5: With this line and how these teams have played the past few weeks, we would LOVE to take the Jets here. However, the reality is that the Jets are just decimated by injuries. Kellen Clemens was injured last week and is not expected to play. Laveranues Coles is out. That is just too much for this Titans team at home. Take the Titans -8.5.

Browns -3 @ Bengals: The Bengals have been infuriating to watch this year. Are hearts go out to any Bengals fan. This season must be torture. They are at home this week against their in-state rival. Their last meeting was a huge shoot out. This week will not be the same. The key to this game will be the D’s. It will be a close game. We just think the Browns have more weapons on offense than the Bengals do. Plus, the Bengals D is much worse. Take the Browns -3.

Good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

December 23, 2007 Posted by | Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Bengals, Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Free NFL Picks, Green Bay Packers, Houston, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Kurt Warner, Kyle Orton, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, New York Jets, Tennessee, Titans, Washington Redskins | Leave a comment