RPJ Betting Syndicate

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12/22 Free NCAA Football Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Southern Miss versus Cincinnati

We are throwing another Heidi Klum bet out there for this game.

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.

klum-breasts.jpg

Southern Miss versus Cincinnati (-11.5) in the Papajohns.com Bowl

Southern Miss’ Coach resigned at the end of this season after 17 years in what was a disappointing season because this team was predicted to win Conference USA this season. He will be coaching his last game and some experts think this will be a motivating factor. Other factors include Southern Miss having a top notch Conference USA defense, giving up 23.6 points per game and 363.2 yards per game…if that even is supposed to be considered good. Cincinnati has a defense that struggles against the pass but is solid against the run. This matchup simply looms as a poor one for Southern Miss and that is why the spread is in the double digits. Southern Miss runs more than they pass and Cincy only gives up 105.7 yards per game. In addition, Cincy has a plus 17 turnover ratio compared to Southern Miss at minus 2. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Southern Miss
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

Cincinnati
Bearcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Bearcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. CUSA.
Bearcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bearcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bearcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Bearcats are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Bearcats are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings

Cincy was also 8-2-1 against the spread this season. Do you see how this game will play out…we do. Southern Miss will not be able to run on Cincy, will fall behind, pass more than they are used to and start to turn the ball over and Cincy will steam roll them. Southern Miss’ lone victory against a bowl team came on Sept. 15 against East Carolina. In their other four games against bowl teams, they lost by an average of 15.5 points. Do you see why we are fine with this line where it is?

Cincy wins and covers!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

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December 21, 2007 - Posted by | Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Free NCAA picks, Gambling, Heidi Klum, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Southern Miss, Winning Picks

1 Comment »

  1. Figures we miss this by 1.5 points. We are 1-2 and down 2 units on the season. We have picked three winners in a row for what that is worth.

    Comment by Flash Flash for the Cash | December 23, 2007 | Reply


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