RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NBA PICKS: 11/29/07

3-2 last night finally got us a winning night. Baby steps. Baby steps. Our season record stands at 43-46-1. Inching closer to .500. There are three games tonight. We like one of them. Here it is:

Rockets -1.5 @ Warriors: Both teams played last night, so they will be travelling. Houston looked impressive last night against the Suns. The Warriors pulled a win out of their hats against the Kings. We think the Rockets are playing better. They have Yao in the middle. They will win the board battle and they have enough scorers to win by 2. Take the Rockets -1.5.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

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November 29, 2007 Posted by | Free NBA Picks, Golden State Warriors, Houston Rockets, nba, NBA Picks, Phoenix Suns, Sacramento Kings | Leave a comment

NFL WEEK 13 PICKS: THURSDAY NIGHT DELIGHT!!!!!

Greetings!!!! Week 13 is already upon us and we are ready to roll. We LOVE this time of year-NFL starts having games during the week and the college football season is heating up towards Bowl season!! That spells cha-ching time for the Syndicate!!!

Despite a terrible 4-6 Week 12, our season record is 40-28-1. That is still 58%. Very good, but it is still not up to our standards. We will get our minds right and get that percentage up to Syndicate standards. Having Thursday games makes us drool at the prospect of improving our record. That said, we love Thursday’s game. Not only that, we are giving you a 2-for-1 deal. Here’s our take:

Packers @ Cowboys -7; OVER/UNDER 51.5: A Clash of the Titans in the NFC. We checked our records and cannot find any other time in NFL history that two 10-1 teams met to duke it out. Pretty amazing. This seems like a throw back to the early-mid ’90’s when Favre’s Packers used to battle the Triplets’ Cowboys. Much has changed since those days, but the one amazing thing that remains is that Favre is still there. And still gunnin’.

Favre brings his Pack back to Big D for the first time since 1999. And they are hot! Check out these ATS numbers:

  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an outright win.
  • Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Packers are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Packers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Packers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Looks damn impressive to us. Unstoppable, right? Slow down, gym shoe. Pump your breaks a little. Favre’s Pack are riding high into Bid D to face a Cowboys team that is loaded on offense and nearly as hot as the Pack. Check out their ATS numbers:

  • Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
  • Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an outright win of more than 14 points.
  • Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Seems pretty even to us. So what gives? The key to answering that question is simple-Vegas knows. Seriously. Vegas knows. We cannot write or say that enough. Vegas knows all. There is one reason why there are massive replicas of the Eiffel Tower, NYC and the Pyramids in the middle of the Nevada desert-Vegas knows.

    Applying this mantra to this game, we reach the question of “why did Vegas set the line where it did?” This line opened at 6.5 and is now 7. When we first saw this line, we screamed “jump on the Pack!!’ Mortgage our houses. Cash in our 401K’s. Rob a bank. Put all the proceeds on the Pack. After-all, how can a team as dominate as the Packers have been not cover 6.5-7 points?!?!? But, that is exactly the trap. Again, Vegas knows. It knows the teams better than anyone at ESPN. More importantly, it knows the gambling public better than anything. That is what they do. They know how to get our money.

    There is a reason why this line is where it is. It is high because Vegas wants everyone to take the Pack, and they know the Cowboys should win by more than a TD. Don’t believe us? Just before we wrote this post, we researched where all the money in Vegas is heading. At first glance, it seems that the public is even: 51% of the bets are on the Cowboys while 49% on the Pack. However, look closer. 94% of the money is on the Pack. 94%!!!!!

    What do you take from that? It is simple-even after 94% of the money has been placed on the Pack, Vegas has INCREASED the line. Typically, if Vegas gets a line wrong, they will drop it if money heavily favors one team. They do this to get people to put more money on the other team to draw out as much action as they can. 94% is pretty damn heavy on one team, but what did Vegas do? They INCREASED the line, not decreasing it to account for the heavy Pack action. Now that you know that Vegas knows, the only conclusion you can reach from this is that Vegas knows the Boys will win big, but they want you to keep dumping money on the Pack. Don’t fall for their trap!!!! We aren’t!! We are taking the Boys -7.

    Now for the 2-for-1 part of our deal. The knock against the Boys all season is their D. Specifically, their pass D. It ranks 21st in the NFL. Hardly what you would think from a 10-1 team.  Favre will exploit this. We think big. We think the Boys win, but it will be high scoring. We are taking the OVER 51.5.

    There’s our start to NFL Week 13. There will be more picks. Check back with us this weekend. Also, check out our NCAA picks.

    As always, good luck with your picks. We hope we are helpful.

    Runny & Flash

     

    P.S. We are cranking out picks almost every day now so sign up to receive our picks via RSS feed so you do not miss any of the action. We always post our picks with the lines we took action on and sometimes when we post the lines move over the course of the day as the information spreads out. We have had over 2,500 blog reads in this month alone so we know our reach is growing. Also, post a comment or send us a private email at rpjsynicate@gmail.com. We are here for you to make money and to help you out in any way.

    November 29, 2007 Posted by | Dallas Cowboys, Free NFL Picks, Green Bay Packers, NFL, NFL Picks, Uncategorized | Leave a comment