RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Football Week 13 Picks: Longhorns and Tigers and Broncos Over The Rainbows…Oh My!!! (Nov. 23 Games)

We are 48-45 on the season, 5-3 for Eva Mendes bets and up 11 units on the season. Not where we want to be but last week’s double Eva Mendes score was sweet!!!! We also have one bet pending on the USC/Arizona State game. Go Trojans!!!

Since it has been so popular we are going to stick with the hot chick theme since YOU, the reader, seems to enjoy it.

Game 1 = Texas at Texas A and M (+5.5) = The Charlize Theron serial killer game. Charlize is one of the hottest women alive but as we learned in her Monster movie, she can disguise herself as a nasty, disgusting looking serial killer. Lets take a look at the good:

theron.jpg

We do not even want to post a nasty picture of her because there is really no time and place for that. So what do we have going on in this Texas/A and M game? This is a revenge game for Texas because they lost to A and M last year 12-7. Texas also knows that Oklahoma’s QB is hurt and facing a tough Oklahoma St. team and an Oklahoma loss, coupled with a Texas win can help move Texas a step closer to a BCS bowl game and a chance to play in the Big 12 championship game. These are two big check marks for Texas. Texas A and M is still a mess. They will probably severe ties with their coach in the offseason, at least A and M fans should hope so. Franchione is a mess and a disgrace to the the Program. So right now Texas is disguised as the hot Charlize Theron with their nice uniforms and better talent and a better coach and they know they need to unleash their inner serial killer to win this game, play in the Big 12 championship game and possibly play in a BCS bowl game. Texas is playing for a lot and Texas A and M is playing for a lame duck coach and riding a three game losing streak. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Texas
Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games in November.
Longhorns are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games on grass.
Longhorns are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Texas A and M
Aggies are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Aggies are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

We love Texas in this game and were surprised the spread was un der two TDs and way under 14 points. We think Texas has everything to play for and A and M is playing for the end of the season. Texas wins big and covers!!!

Game 2 = Arkansas at LSU = The Angelina Jolie/Jennifer Aniston I am Stealing your Man Game!!! We all know what happened in this story. Angelina Jolie, on the set of Mr. and Mrs. Smith, put the moves on and stole Brad Pitt away from Jennifer Aniston. Jennifer Aniston became a mess, was single for a long time, can no longer keep a man and is pretty much a broken woman.

angelina-and-jen-w-magazine-1.jpg

So how the heck does this compare to a football game? I am glad you asked… On Monday, November 19, 2007, Lyoyd Carr stepped down as coach of the Michigan Wolverines and this freed up Les Miles’ dream coaching position. Miles played under Bo Schembechler in 1974 and 1975 and coached on his staff from 1980-1982. We are not alone in thinking like the entire nation….Miles has already mentally checked out and is taking the Michigan job. Now we will take this a step further when he knew he was going to leave Oklahoma State in 2004. In 2004, Oklahoma State lost their last regular season game to Texas Tech 31-15 and lost in their bowl game 33-7. In other words….they were not competitive and got blown out. Now LSU has more talent than the 2004 Oklahoma State teams but we keep our finger on the pulse down in Baton Rouge and the LSU fans are not happy. This LSU team does not seem to be getting better as the season rolls along and the defense is actually getting worse. Lets take a look at the against the spread numbers:

Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

LSU
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Also when you throw in that the road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings….all signs point to an Arkansas cover for us. Les Miles will prove to be a distraction, he has shown that he quits on his team when he is going to move on, LSU’s defense is showing signs of bending and we know Arkasas will come in pumped up. We do not think Arkasas wins outright but we are confident they can cover. Take Arkansas to cover as they watch Michigan pull an Angelina Jolie on LSU!!!

Game 3 = Boise State at Hawaii (-3.5) = The Eva Mendes Game is back for a repeat. We love this game and we are betting five times our normal betting unit. We are 5-3 on the season for our Eva bets and we were 2-0 last week with Ohio State and Oklahoma State. Lets take a look at our gal with a solid repeat photo from last week:

mendes-2.jpg

And a new one…

tn_evamendes-maxim-pr-37.jpg

Colt Brennan is going to enjoy a Marcus Riley welcome when facing this Boise State squad. In case you missed it…check out Colt’s concussion smack down:

Colt only played two snaps last week against Nevada and Nevada is actually a scrappy squad. Hawaii had to comeback to win that game. We are pretty sure it was a combo of Brennan resting and June Jones saving him for this week. All we have to say is ask Trent Green how long it takes to come back from a serious concussion. Brennan was seriously hurt and is not 100%. And now the ATS numbers:

Boise State
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Broncos are 26-7-1 ATS in their last 34 games in November.
Broncos are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
Broncos are 28-10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog.
Broncos are 32-13 ATS in their last 45 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Broncos are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS win.

Hawaii
Warriors are 7-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Hawaii has lost to Boise State 6 games in a row so this means Boise State knows how to face this offensive system. Look for Boise State to play mistake free football as they control the clock and pound the run. Another reason we love this game is that Boise State is a classic clean sweep game, one of the first times we have seen this for an underdog. They run for far more yards (no surprise there), are more efficient on offense converting third downs at 53.8% versus 46.6% for Hawaii. Boise State also wins the turnover ratio 4 to 1 and Hawaii has 6 more turnovers on offense, which will be a relevant stat. We love Boise State in this game and think they will have no problem covering and we are betting 5 times our normal amount for the Boise State cover. We think Boise State wins outright and might throw additional action on the moneyline but for the purpose of this blog our Eva Mendes bet is on the Boise State cover so take the points, sit back, relax and dream of Eva nude sitting on your lap cause that is how you will feel when this game cums in.

Flash Flash and Runny

P.S. One more blog to go this week with at least 7 more games and one more Eva Mendes bet!!! Please send us an email at rpjsydicate@gmail.com or leave comments on this blog if you have any questions for us or want us to look at any games for you. We are here for you so you can make money alongside us!!!

November 21, 2007 - Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, BCS, Boise State Broncos, Dennis Franchione, Hawaii Rainbows, Les Miles, Lloyd Carr, LSU, LSU Tigers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, SEC, Sports, Texas A&M, Texas Longhorns, Winning Picks

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