NFL WEEK 11 PICKS
Greetings. Great week last week. Rocked a 6-2 record for week 10 to bring our season record to 30-17-2. That is 61%. We’ll take that all season long. Let’s keep it rollin’. Here is who we like in Week 11:
Browns -2.5 @ Ravens: We have an Uncle, Moe, who is a die hard Browns fan. Seriously. If you try to argue who the greatest NFL footballer is and say anyone besides Jim Bown, he’ll try to fight you. Even during the holidays. When Art Modell moved the Browns to Baltimore, it broke his heart. He stopped watching footbal until the Brownies were back. To this day, if you mention Art Modell within his earshot he goes nuts. In honor of our Uncle Moe, we will call this game the Uncle Moe Bowl and we LOVE the Brownies. Bet them heavy. It is a Eva Mendes bet (bet 5 Times your typical bet) for us. The money seems to be going towards the Ravens, which scares us. However, the Browns spanked them earlier this year and they are playing better now. The Ravens are even worse. Also, take into account that the Browns are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with losing records and the Ravens are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 overall. We think the Browns cover. Take the Browns -2.5.
Chargers @ Jags -3: This line screams to take the Chargers, which is exactly what the betting public is doing. Afterall, the Chargers are fresh off a beatdown of the Colts last Sunday. However, that win was deceptive-most of the scoring was from special teams. For the 2nd week in a row, the Chargers offense was offensive. They come into J’Ville to play a stacked J’Ville D and the Jags are getting David Garrard back. The Jags cover. Take the Jags -3.
Raiders +4.5 @ Vikings: The Vikings are not the same without Adrian Peterson (to state the obvious). The Raiders come in with an underrated D and Daunte Culpepper returning to his old stomping ground. Brad Childress is not a good coach. Lane Kifin is. The Vikings QB problem will hurt them in this one. We think the Raiders keep it close and win outright (consider the money line @ +180). Take the Raiders +4.5.
Redskins @ Cowboys -11: The Skins are decimated by injuires on their D. Without Sean Taylor, Romo and TO will go nuts. The Boys roll in this one. Take the Cowboys -11.
Buccaneers -3 @ Falcons: This game is about the starting QBs. Garcia is better than any of the clowns the Falcons bring to the table. Garcia will play enough to cover. Take the Buccaneers -3.
Titans @ Broncos (O/U 38): A battle of teams that have young QBs. They both make a lot of mistakes. The defenses will capitalize on them and keep the score low. Take the Under 38.
Patriots @ Bills +16: We like this game for 4 reasons: 1). The Pats did not cover their last time on the road, 2). The weather is forecasted to be bad, 3). Most of the money in Vegas is on the Pats and 4). The Bills have nothing to lose. To us, that adds up to a Bills team that will shock the Pats and cover the points. Take the Bills +16.
Rams -3 @ 49ers: The 49ers are just plain bad. Terrible. Alex Smith is whining about his shoulder. He is bad. The Rams are not good either, but they won last week and have momentum. They will keep it going. Take the Rams -3.
There’s our picks for week 11. 8 games!!! Good luck.
Runny & Flash
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