RPJ Betting Syndicate

http://www.rpjsyndicate.com

NCAA Football Week 10 Picks: From the Outhouse to the Penthouse

The Suicidal Tendancies said it best:

“The penthouse or the outhouse? Seems like an easy decision to me. So what we’re all thinkin’ about right now is what we’re talkin’ about, what we’re talkin’ about is what we’re thinkin’ about, and that’s the whole point: you should think before you talk. So where we’re at right now is a place that we want to go: a little bit of help. See: everyday, everywhere you go, people do stupid things. Three hundred and sixty five days out of the year, people not thinkin’. People that have the ability to think, that aren’t thinkin’. So what we want to do is nominate one day. Call it International Don’t Be Stupid Day. Now what this is gonna do is be a little reminder, maybe we could wear a pin, maybe you could send a tape to somebody, and when they start to do somethin’ you say, whoa, whoa, whoa. Hold on there partner. Today is Don’t Be Stupid Day, so you can’t do that.”

Last week was plain old stupid and we are going to rise from the outhouse to the penthouse this week and in the coming weeks with our Stupid Day behind us. After 10 weeks we are 31-30 overall, 3-3 with Brinks truck bets (bet 5 times your normal bet) and up 1 unit. Yes this record makes us sick and we just puked in our mouthes writing those numbers. It is tough to go through some losing weeks and in 9 weeks we have only had 2 down weeks. We feel your pain because we always bet what we write and bet the lines we post.

We are not going to sit here and make excuses. You all saw that during the same weekend we went 2-8 in NCAA picks we went 5-0 in the NFL. Picks will go up and down but we know our system picks consistent winners over the course of the season and takes advantage of the mecca that is called Bowl Season. And now with the picks…..

Clean Sweep Games – These our games where we find teams that have a statistical advantage over their opponent and by statistical advantage we mean that the opponent is not better in any of the areas we track. We track rushing offenses, 3rd down conversions, rushing defenses, defensive 3rd down conversions and turnover ratio. Well this is what we publically say because we have some other secret SAUCE stats that we keep to ourselves.

My baby got sauce
Your baby ain’t sweet like mine
She got sauce
Your baby ain’t sweet like mine
She got sauce ….
That’s some funky lemonade you got going there babe

The picks were funky last week but we know a weekend where we crush it again is right around the corner cause we have the Special Sauce.

1 – Clemson (-16.5) @ Duke – Clemson dominates Duke across the board and we won with a Va Tech team at Duke a few weeks back. Duke is really bad, not Notre Dame bad, but bad. Ha ha. We love ripping the Notre Dame Quivering Irish (stay tuned for a special write up on the Navy/Notre Dame game – this gets its own blog). Clemson is going to run all over the Blue Devils and embarass them. Two points to consider if you are squeamish…Home team is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Duke. We think some other stats are more important like Tigers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Devils are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 home games. Blue Devils are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. AND OUR FAVORITE…Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Tigers maul the Blue Devils. Everybody knows devils are red, c’mon now. Clemson wins and covers!!!

2 – South Carolina @ Arkansas (-4.5) – South Carolina can not stop the run and they certainly have never stopped McFadden…he ran for 219 yards in 2006 and 187 yards in 2005. Now with Felix Jones also in the backfield averaging 8.8 yards a carry…the Game Cocks are in trouble. Spurrier now is tinkering with his offense and QB and we think that means trouble. Arkansas QB, Casey Dick, suffered a concussion last week and was replaced by Nathan Emert who filled in adequately. As we said this game is about running. Arkansas runs for 288 yards a game and South Carolina gives up 169. This is going to be a long day for South Carolina. Arkansas covers and wins!!!

Bye Bye Birdie Games

“Bye Bye Birdie
I’m gonna miss you so;
Bye Bye Birdie,
Why’d you have to go?

If you read and follow college football you know that BCS conference teams coming off a bye are 20-8 against the spread. We like two of these teams who are playing at home. Bye bye road teams, thanks for playing.

3 – Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech (-2.5) – The entire nation felt the Hokies heartbreak last Thursday night in a brutal home loss to BC. Now the Hokies must travel to Atlanta to face a Georgia Tech team that is rested, playing at home and on national tv. In other words this has heartbreak city and major let down written all over it. Georgia Tech has a punishing ground attack and one of the best defensive schemes in the country. The Hokies have one of the worst offenses in college football. This game will likely start on even footing but G. Tech will wear down the Hokies by the end of the game. This game will be a beatdown if Glennon plays. Georgia Tech wins and covers!!!

4 – Texas A and M @ Oklahoma (minus 21) – We are not afraid of the points. Kansas easily defeated A and M on the road and Oklahoma will not have any problem at home. The Aggies players know they are playing for a lame duck coach after Coach Fran’s email booster incident. Oklahoma is coming off the bye and looking to continue its push for the BCS title game. Sooners win in a blowout!!!

The Pimp Hand Games

Yeah bitch I got my Now and Later gators on
I’m bout to show you how my pimp hand is way strong
Your dead wrong if ya think that pimpin’ gon’ die
Twelve piece with a hundred hoes by my side

We hope this is self explanatory. When teams are hot you ride em til they show a weak pimp hand.

5 – Nebraska @ Kansas (minus 180) – The high spread scares us but Kansas is 7-0 against the spread. Kansas was damn close to a clean sweep but missed out on offensive third down conversions by 2 percentage points. Kansas rushes for almost 65 more yards a game, has a much better defense and wins the turnover ratio 11 to minus 9. They also have the fattest coach in the history of the NCAA. We pointed this out last week and there is no denying Mark Mangino.

mangino-for-week-10.jpgmangino-for-week-10.jpg

That right there is the Kansas coach. Large and in charge and we are not going to tell him he won’t cover. He is so fat we put his pic in twice so you do not do a double take.  Oh yeah, and you see that liquid that is covering him? That is from the cloud he just engulfed. As far as we are concerned, Coach Mangino has the largest pimp hand on the planet. In a pimp hand game, always take the guy with the biggest pimp hand. Ride this Kansas team until they blow it. Kansas wins and covers!!!

6 – Missouri (-4) @ Colorado – Yeah we know Missouri cut us last week but that was their only loss against the spread all season. Missouri did lose their starting Strong Safety last week but we do not think it will matter against Colorado’s young QB. We all saw what Missouri’s D did to Texas Tech. Kansas went on the road to Boulder and covered and now Missouri will do the same. If you are afraid to back Missouri here are some numbers for you… Tigers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. AND JUST TO KICK THEM WHEN THEY ARE DOWN…Buffaloes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games. Buffaloes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Buffaloes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Missouri has the Show Me State pimp hand rockin’ and they will show the Univeristy of Colorado what its all about as they show us the money. Missouri wins and covers!!!

The SEC Road Cover Game

On the road again
Like a band of gypsies we go down the highway
We’re the best of friends
Insisting that the world be turnin’ our way
And our way
Is on the road again
Just can’t wait to get on the road again
The life I love is makin’ music with my friends
And I can’t wait to get on the road again

We love betting the highest competitive SEC road game when we think two teams are competitive enough to play the game.

7 – Vanderbilt (plus 14.5) @ Florida – This game is absolutely terrifying. Florida got the snot kicked out of it last week against Georgia and Vandy beat a Miami-Ohio team in a very unconvincing manner. So why do we like this game. Georgia showed how to beat Florida. You can score on them, they turn the ball over and they do not have a RB that Urban Meyer trusts. Vanderbilt has the 14th rated defense in the league and Tebow is beat up. Look at some of the against the spread numbers (ATS)…Commodores are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Commodores are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Commodores are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Commodores are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Gators are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Gators are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The numbers do not lie. Vandy plays teams tough and rises to the challenge and Florida plays down to its competition. Cringe, close your eyes and ride Vandy to the cover!!!

The Magic Carpet Ride Game

Well, you don’t know what we can find
Why don’t you come with me little girl
On a magic carpet ride
You don’t know what we can see
Why don’t you tell your dreams to me
Fantasy will set you free
Close your eyes girl
Look inside girl
Let the sound take you away

When you see a player mature and rise up to victory like Matt Ryan did against Virginia Tech last week you absolutely positively want to ride the momentum and this leads us to the next game…

8 – Florida State @ Boston College (-7) – We can not believe this spread is under 10 points and Boston College has been feasting on ACC foes all year. BC is 5-2 ATS this year and the two losses were against Notre Dame in the fix game (sorry, still sour over this one) and Army. They have easily covered against NC State and Georgia Tech and scrapped out the win versus the Hokies under brutal conditions. This is not a let down game Trust us!!! Seminoles are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Seminoles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Eagles are 35-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Boston College wins and covers no problem!!!

The Ruler’s Back Game

Gather ’round party goers as if your still livin
And get on down to the old Slick rhythm
Now this one here is called the Ruler my dear
Its a mere party booster that will set things clear
Its a hundred percent proof from champions of truth
And if you feel you need spirit I’ll bring back your youth
Relax your mind, and folks unwind
And be kind to a rhythm that you hardly find
And off we go, let the trumpets blow
Well hold on, because the driver of the mission is a pro
The Ruler’s back

Just when everybody said it was impossible to go play Penn State during a white out at night and all the so-called experts were declaring Ohio State was prime for the pickings they laid a whooping on Joe Pa and the Fraidy Cat Lions. What a joke and that leads us to the same scenario this week.

9 – Wisconsin @ Ohio State (-15.5) – Wisconsin lost 38-7 at Penn State and Ohio State beats Penn State 37-17. Now we hear rumblings that PJ Hill is injured and might not play not that he would have mattered against Ohio State’s defense. Rumaging across the Internet we see that 56% of people are placing bets on Wisconsin, so that means the average Joe Blow thinks Wisconsin is getting too many points and now we have ATS numbers that tell us to run away too…Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Ohio State. Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings. All signs point to Wisconsin until you realize Ohio State has not played Wisconsin since 2004 meaning in the Barry Alvarez days. This is a different team and has shown that they will collapse against an aggressive defense. We could show you stats either way but if Ohio State can beat Penn State by 20 on the road they certainly can beat Wisconsin at home by 20 and we need less than that to cover. Buckeyes continue their onslaught on the Big Ten…win and cover!!!

And there you have it. 9 games to bet on. Take our picks or don’t…we do not care cause our money is on these games right now. We always play what we preach.

Please feel free to post comments, ask questions about games we did not pick or post your own picks to show us what you got.

‘Cause it makes me that much stronger
Makes me work a little bit harder
Makes me that much wiser
So thanks for making me a fighter
Made me learn a little bit faster
Made my skin a little bit thicker
It makes me that much smarter
So thanks for making me a fighter

Flash Flash and Runny

P.S. The Cal Golgen Bears were a clean sweep game this week but simply on principle of Jeff Tedford eating back to back turd sandwiches and wearing an XL butt plug we are stayaing as far away from the Washington St./Cal game as we can. Avoid that game at all costs. Still working on the Tedford turd sandwich. We will have our day!!!!

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November 1, 2007 - Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, BCS, Betting, Big Ten, Blue Devils, Boston College, Buckeyes, Clemson, Colorado Buffaloes, Commodores, Cornhuskers, Duke, Eagles, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Gamecock, Georgia Tech, Irish, Jeff Tedford, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Matt Ryan, Missouri, Navy, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, SEC, Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks, Texas A&M, Tim Tebow, Urban Meyer, Vanderbilt, VaTech, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wisconsin Badgers, Yellow Jackets

2 Comments »

  1. We really love starting off the week 0-1. RPJ Syndicate…aka Really Proven Jinxers.

    Mrs Flash Flash made her pick for the week. She likes the Jayhawks to cover because she likes Blue Jays and a Jayhawk sounds like a badass version of a Blue Jay. I do not make this shit up. The Mrs. is 0-1 on her season.

    Comment by Flash Flash for the Cash | November 2, 2007 | Reply

  2. Mrs. Flash likes the Jayhawks because she knows what she is talkin’ about!!!!!!! The Mangino pimp hand was STROOOONG!!!!

    Counting the Navy cover/win, we represented with a 7-3 day!! That’s how we roll!!!! 38-33 on the season ain’t bad, but I know that is not where we want to be. We will keep it going for the stretch run and in to Bowl Season.

    Runny

    Comment by runnypelvisthefat | November 4, 2007 | Reply


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