RPJ Betting Syndicate

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NCAA Week 6 Football Picks: The Return of the Brinks Truck Bet – Load UP!!!!

Lets get down to business…..RPJ Syndicate is 19-14 on the season, we are up 13 betting units, we have never had a losing week and our money is where our mouth is. Can you hear the crisp sound of fresh hundies? We can!!!! We have three games for you this week and the Brinks Truck bet is back from a one week layoff.

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Game 1: Kentucky (+4) at South Carolina – This is the type of game we dream about. Kentucky is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) on this short season, they rush for more than 80 yards more per game than the Gamecocks, they convert 53.7% of their third down conversions versus 42% for the Cocks and they have a ball hawking defense that has taken the ball away 14 times for a +7 turnover ratio. The Cocks are minus 4 in the turnover ratio. We do not even think The Cocks should be favored in this one and are happy for the 4 points. I have nothing negative to say about Kentucky but the Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. So we think the game will be close, Kentucky will pound the run and wear down South Carolina by the second half to pull away and win this game. Kentucky all the way!!!!

Saturday, October 6, 2007

The BRINKS TRUCK bet….this is the bet where we bet 5 times our normal betting amount and we are 3-1 on the season with Brinks Truck picks.

Game 2: South Florida (-16.5) @ Florida Atlantic – This one will not be close and in the mascot battle a Bull will beat the piss out of an Owl any day of the week. South Florida is 3-0 ATS this season, runs for more on offense, converts more 3rd downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense, and its defense holds opponents to a lower third down conversion rate. In other words, the Owls will not be hooting after this one and will probably be declawed and have their beaks filed down. The one interesting stat is that the Owls are actually +12 in the turnover ratio game while South Florida is +8. Here are some other numbers to think about:

Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Grass. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.

Owls are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. Owls are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Owls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Load up on South Florida. This one is a no brainer!!!

Game 3: Nebraksa @ Missouri (-7) – This one screams Missouri across the board. Missouri rushes for more yards on defense, converts more third downs on offense, holds opponents to less yards rushing and holds offenses to less third down conversions than Nebraska. Throw in the fact that Missouri is +4 and Nebraksa is -2 in the turnover ratio and you have a clear favorite here. Even though Nebraska leads the all-time series 63-34-3, and posted a 34-20 victory last season. The Huskers are 27-18-1 at Missouri, but have not won there since a 36-3 rout in 2001. Keller has shows time and again that he crumbles in big games. He crumbled at Arizona St. and he crumbles for Nebraska in big games. So. Cal has gotten to him twice now. Cornhuskers are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cornhuskers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. In other words…..Missouri wins this by more than 7 points!!!!

Feel free to post on our blog. We enjoy seeing your picks and we are happy to analyze any game for you. We looked at tons of games this weekend and came away with only three so we have a lot more information to share if you want it. Have fun and we will see you at the bank!!!

Flash and Runny

October 4, 2007 Posted by | BCS, Big East, Bulls, Cornhuskers, ESPN, Florida Atlantic, Football, Gambling, Gamecock, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Missouri, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Owls, SEC, South Carolina Gamecocks, South Florida, Tigers, USC, Wildcats, Winning Picks | 2 Comments