RPJ Betting Syndicate

http://www.rpjsyndicate.com

NFL WEEK 4 PICKS: LOCK IT LIKE ITS HOT!!!!

Mo’ money, mo’ money, mo’ money!!!!! Finally got off the schneid last week. Thank you Cowboys and Rex Grossman!!!! Our 2-1 record last week brought us to 5-4 on the season. Not where we should be, but still winning. Let’s get into this week’s locks (there are 4):

Rams @ Cowboys -13: Normally this would be too many points to give. However, we are riding the Cowboys and the Rams are going down faster than Brittney Spears at a construction site on payday. They are terrible. Bulger has been bad and is banged-up. No Orlando Pace. No Stephen Jackson. This equals a rams beatdown. The Boys will score often. The Rams won’t. Take the Boys -13.

Raiders +4 @ Dolphins: We like what Kifin is doing in Oaktown. He is bringing a winning culture back to the Raiders and they are playing hard. They should have beat Denver. They won a good one against Cleveland last week. Miami’s D is laying it thick, but their O is terrible. They will probably beat the Raiders, but not by more than a field goal. We think the Raiders can win outright though. Take the Raiders +4.

Broncos @ Colts -10: This game would be different in Denver. But, it is in Indy and the Broncos are overrated. The worse 2-1 team in football.  Peyton has too many weapons for Champ to cover. Colts roll and cover easily. Take the Colts -10.

Steelers @ Cards +6: The ‘Burgh is good, but Whisenhunt knows this team well. He will get his team ready.  We like the home dog. 6 points is just too much to give. Take the Cards +6.

Those are our locks for the week. Good luck with your picks. Flash and I are off to the Bone!! For those of your from Upstate NY, you know what I’m talking about!!!

Flash & Runny

September 29, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Broncos, Cardinals, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, NFL, NFL Picks, Raiders, Rams, Steelers | 2 Comments

Week 5 NCAA Football Picks: 99 problems but picking winners ain’t one!!!

Here we go again for week 5. We are 15-10, have never had a losing week this season and are up 13 units in total when you count our Brinks truck bets (betting 5 times your normal amount). We do not have a Brinks truck bet for you this week but we do have 8 solid picks. We want to expand a little bit on some of the stats we use before we get into the nitty gritty. We look at rushing yards per game on offense and defense, third down conversion rate on offense and defense and turnover ratio. Why these stats…it is simple!!! I do not need to explain turnovers. Turnovers simply kill a team. As far as rushing and third down conversion, this is simply a factor of game control and game domination. If a team can rush more and convert more third down than its opponents while committing less turnovers; they are going to win plain and simple, control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. Just sharing some of our little tricks. And now for the picks:

Saturday, September 29, 2007

1) Akron Zips at UCONN (-15) – Here are the numbers….UCONN rushes for almost 60 yards a game more that Akron and converts 39.1% of their first down conversions while Akron only converts 25.4%. On defense, Akron gives up 206.8 rushing yards a game and lets its opposition convert 41.9% of its third down conversion chances while UCONN only gives up 83.8 yards a game rushing lets its opponents convert 23.6% of third down conversions. Last but not least, UCONN has a ball hawking defense and is plus 9 in the turnover ratio this season. Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers…Huskies are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 non-conference games. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Akron is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Go with UCONN all the way; if anything, bet against a team named The Zips. Idiotic mascot name.

2) Notre Dame at Purdue (-22) – I hope this game really does not need any explaining. We told you last week how bad Notre Dame is and guess what they are still terrible. They can’t rush, can’t stop the run, can’t convert third down conversions, open up the flood gates and let teams convert third downs and they are minus 2 in the turnover ratio game. I could run down how bad Notre Dame is against the spread in every situation but it is too long to fit in this blog. Purdue has a great offense and is playing at home. Although Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 10 home games, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and we think this is the stat that is more telling especially when you couple it with the following: Boilermakers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Purdue will kick the lucky charms out of the funny little green leprechauns this weekend. Purdue all the way!!!

3) Florida Atlantic Owls @ Kentucky (-22) – Kentucky is on a roll. They more than double Fl. Atlantic’s rushing output per game 227.2 versus 111.2 and they are far more efficient converting third downs. On the defensive side, Fl. Atlantic gives up more yards rushing than they themselves rush for and allow teams to convert 47.4% of their third down conversions. The one place where Fl. Atlantic has the edge is that they are plus 13 in the turnover ratio margin versus Kentucky’s plus 6. Some other tidbits: Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Grass. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. As far as the Owls go: Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. We do not think this will be close and do not fear the 22 points you have to give. Kentucky rolls in this one.

4) Syracuse at Miami-Ohio (+1.5) – The Cuse showed up huge in their road win at Louisville and on paper they really are not as bad as the media experts want you to believe especially compared to Miami-Ohio. The Cuse is more efficient on offense converting third downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense and by some bizarre miracle they are actually plus 3 in the turnover ratio while Miami-Ohio is minus 4. Orange are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. MAC. Orange are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. Orange are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Redhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cuse will ride the momentum and put the Orange squeeze on Miami-Ohio and win outright. Go Cuse!!!

5) Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) – Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss and is very banged up. Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s recent downturn. Tailback Tashard Choice, who leads the team with 356 net rushing yards and is second with four touchdowns, played only two possessions last week after attempting to return from a hamstring injury. Choice, safety Djay Jones, linebacker Shane Bowen and offensive tackle Jacob Lonowski are questionable due to injuries, while starting fullback Mike Cox and receiver James Jones missed portions of last week’s game. On the other side of the ball Clemson’s two headed running back monster keeps racking up yards. These teams rush for a very similar amount but the difference is in their offense’s efficiency. Clemson converts 42% of their third down conversions and Georgia Tech only converts 20.8%. This spread is only three and we think Georgia Tech is too banged up to compete. Clemson wins easily and covers.

6) Auburn @ Florida (-18) – This is an interesting game. Auburn started the season in the top 25 and was supposed to be one of the best teams in the SEC. Florida has been crushing people and faced a scare against Ole Miss last week. We are going off the cuff with this pick because on paper, using the stats I mentioned all the way through this post, this looks like an easy walk for Florida. Florida rushes for more yards and is more efficient on offense and stops the run better than Auburn and stops teams on third down tries more often and they are plus three in the turnover margin versus Auburn’s minus 3. They ATS numbers tell a different story though….Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Gators are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Florida number that really jumps out at us is that they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 ATS. This is telling that they play SEC teams close. All teams will be gunning for the defending champ. This is why USC is never good against the spread because teams bring the kitchen sick, the toilet, the washing machine, etc… when they face elite squads. Auburn has the talent to match Florida on defense, if not be better, and we think this game will be far closer than the 18 point spread. Take Auburn on the road to cover, who knows they might even win.

7 ) Ohio St. @ Minnesota (+23.5) – Ohio St. is on a big roll. The stats you need to know here are that Minnesota can not stop anybody on defense and they are minus 12 in the turnover ratio, one of the worst in the country. Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 3-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Gophers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Golden Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Ohio St. rolls easily here and covers with no problem.

8 ) Cincinnati @ San Diego St. Aztecs (+15) – We love the Bearcats. They have caused 19 turnovers on the season and are flat out nasty on defense. The Aztecs can not stop the run and Cincy will have a field day. Throw in the fact that the Aztecs are a passing team and we envision this turning into turnover city. Just ask Oregon St. what can happen when you get behind and need to pass against these guys. Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on Grass. Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Aztecs are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Aztecs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bearcats will maul the Aztecs and cover this one easily. We were surprised the spread was not 21 points or more.

Please feel free to post your own picks or to ask us to pick games. We have tons of stats and performed a ridiculous amount of resaearch this week. We always put our money where our mouth is and we are enjoying a great year. Good luck and may Notre Dame continue to lead the nation in offensive ineptitude!!

Flash Flash and Runny

September 27, 2007 Posted by | Akron Zips, Auburn Tigers, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Boilermakers, Buckeyes, Clemson, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Georgia Tech, Golden Gophers, Huskies, Irish, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Maryland, Miami Ohio, Minnesota, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Orangemen, Owls, Pac-10, Purdue, Rutgers, San Diego St., SEC, Syracuse, Terrapins, Uconn, Wildcats, Yellow Jackets | 1 Comment

UFC 76: 5 money making picks and the Ice Man returns!!!

Just so know up front I am 13-7-1 since I started publically revealing my UFC picks. UFC 76 has some great cards, probably not for the casual fan but the MMA addicts will love this card.

5 Picks for tonight’s card:

1) Tyson Griffin (-135) vs. Tavares (+105): I watched the Griffin/Guida fight again this week and Guida gor totally screwed. He beat Griffin handily in my book. Tavares is undeafeated and looked jacked at the weigh-in. I think Tavares handles Griffin with his combo of Muay Thai and Jiu Jitsu and is the underdog. Go with Tavares.

2) Machida (-275) vs. Nakamura (+215) – Nakamura is a clown and was dancing during the weigh in and pulling his pants up high and really looked like a jackass. Machida is 10-0 and will pummel him. Machida in an easy one.

3) Sanchez (-105) vs. Fitch (-125) – The money has been moving Fitch’s way. He is bigger and has not lost since 2003. Sanchez lost his last fight and looked a little soft at weigh in. He was also throwing things into the crowd and I do not like to see that. I want to see somebody who is all business. Fitch looked ripped and should be able to control this fight with his superior wrestling skills. Take Fitch all the way.

4) Forest (+225) vs. Rua (-285) – Forest might get lucky and land a wild haymaker but Rua is the real deal and is superior in every facet of his game. I like Forest as a fighter but not in this situation. Rus wins easily.

5) Chuck (-450) vs. Jardine (+300) – This is an easy rebound fight for Chuck. Jardine has had his moments in some fights like his win against Forest Griffin but he will not be able to stand with Chuck in this one. It will probably end in the first round. Chuck looked like he is in much better shape versus his fight versus Rampage and he knows he needs to win if you ever want to hear his name again on a main card. Chuck rolls easy in this one.

September 23, 2007 Posted by | Chuck Liddell, mma, Rampage Jackson, ufc, Ultimate Fighter, Winning Picks | 1 Comment

NFL WEEK 3 Picks

Off to a disappoitning start to the season. We are only 3-3.  However, no need to worry. We have three locks for Week 3 that will get us where we need to be. Here it goes:

 Cowboys +3 @ Bears: Grossman is terrible. He cannot read a blitz and the entire o-line has no idea how to stop it. When Grossman is pressured, he is ten times worse than his usual self. The Boys specialize in doing just that. They will blitz heavy and often. Look for turnovers by Rex (as if that is ever a surprise).  Also, the Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. The Boys will cover and will win outright. Take the Boys +3.

Lions +6 @ Eagles:The Eagles have been a huge disappointment with their most recent humiliation coming last Monday at home at the hands of their division rival Redskins. They are not a good team right now. McNabb is broken and is hurting this team. The Lions are the exact opposite. They are off to a great start and opening eyes around the league. Are they good enough to win 10 like Kitna predicted? Nope, but they can beat the Eagles this week in Philly. They will at least cover the 6. Take the Lions +6.

Cardinals +8 @ Ravens: Both teams are 1-1 with Zona covering in both their games. The Ravens have yet to cover. Their D is stacked yet again this year, but their offense is not that good. Their D is good enough to win this game, but their  offense is not good enough to outscore the Cardinals by 8 or more. Cards may lose, but they will cover. Ignore the fact that the Cards are 2-6 in their 8 games ATS in September. Take the Cards +8.

There you go. We like the underdogs this week. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

September 21, 2007 Posted by | Bears, Betting, Cardinals, Cowboys, Detroit, Eagles, Lions, NFL, NFL Picks | 2 Comments

NCAA Week 4 Football Picks: 5 Games including another Brinks Truck bet!!!

September, 28, 2007 – This is our week 4 picks…please click here for our week 5 picks.

Another week another round of victories. The Syndicate is 12-8 on the season and if you look at our picks on a unit basis we are up 8 units on the year and that is all that matters….profits and cash in our bulging pockets. As always….we put our money where our mouth is on every bet with no exceptions. If you have any games you are curious about please do not hesitate to post us a message/feedback and we will be happy to give you our thoughts. The NCAA football season finally has some history behind it and what I mean by that is that teams have played 2-3 games. A gambler’s paradise is opening weekend and bowl season. Opening weekend because there is not any information available and lines like LSU/Miss St this year and USC/Arkansas last year are terribly flawed and bowl season is equally as good because an entire season’s worth of history is available. We won our bowl bets last year at a better than 80% clip. We will not reveal everything we look at in picking our lines but this week we are going to share with you two new stats that we use to assess each matchup….Turnover margin and rushing stats. Read our picks below to understand:

Friday, September 21, 2007
1) OKLA (-23.5) @ Tulsa: We like Tulsa to cover in this one. 23.5 is too many at home. On paper both teams have a +2 turnover ratio, which is surprising considering Oklahoma has played a bunch of softies and played them at home. Tulsa is a pass first team so the running disparity will not come into play. This is Oklahoma’s first road game, and they are starting a freshman QB. Granted, he has looked amazing, but all his games have been at home and with the exception of Miami, they have not played anyone tough and is is too early to label Miami anything. Oklahoma’s O is ranked #3, but Tulsa is right behind them at #4. Tulsa is even ahead of Hawaii. We think they can keep it within 3 TDs and would not be surprised if it were much tighter in the 10-14 point range. Go with Tulsa on this one.

Saturday, September 22, 2007
2) THE BRINKS BET OF THE WEEK IS….UNC @ South Florida (-13) – South Florida is coming off a bye. They are +6 in turnover margin and rush for almost 60 more yards a game than their opponents. they won 37-20 on the road last year versus UNC and have more experience now. UNC is minus 4 in the takeaway game and has been outrushed 411 to 239. Long day for UNC and they are 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15. South Florida is the winner and we advise betting 5 times your normal limit on this game. Our Brinks bets are 2-1 on the season. Kaching…what was that sound….Oh Yeah Kaching! Kaching! Kaching!!!!!

3) Mich St. (-11) @ ND – Notre Dame has been outrushed 718 to minus 14 on the season and is averages almost three turnovers a game. They are flat out bad and one of the worst teams in D-1 football. If you do not believe me just look at their season stats. Notre Dame literally has carried the ball 100 times for -14 yards. Do not be afraid of Michigan State’s poor showing last week against Pitt. They will come ready to play to erase the embarassing loss last year. Something to think about is Mich. St is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 road games. However, ND is 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 games on grass and Michigan St. is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 against ND. Bet Michigan St. all the way. Also, you have to love the Notre Dame homers that have dropped this line 2 points in the last couple of days.

4) Marshall @ Cincy (-24) – Cincy’s Defense is flat out nasty. They have caused 17 turnovers in three games and only committed 4. In addition they have outrushed their opponents 485 to 267 through three games. Marshall is minus 5 in the takeaway/giveaway ratio and has only caused one turnover and they have been outrushed 826 to 272. Marshall is 16-36-2 against the spread in their last 54 games…consistently terrible and we cashed with them against West Virginia. Cincy is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall. 23.5 points might seem but with a defense that causes turnovers, we are not worried. Cincy all the way. Also, this is a “we learned our lesson” game. Do not bet against Cincy at home. Just ask Oregon St.

5) Ark. St. @ Tennessee (-19.5) – This is a very interesting game. Ark St. is 9-3 Against the spread in their last 12 versus the SEC and Tennessee is 9-28 against the spread in their last 37 home games. Looking a little deeper, Tennessee is minus 1 in turnover margin while Ark. St. is plus 3. In addition, Tennessee has been outrushed 575 to 341 while Ark St. has outrushed their opponents 375 to 213. Ark. St. played Texas tough and Texas is better than Tennessee. Ark. St. loves to rush and Tennessee will not be able to stop them all day and this will keep the game closer than people think. Ark. St. to cover.

Good luck with the picks and do not hesitate to share your thoughts or ideas or ask us to pick a game or tell you our reasons for not picking a game. We are here to show you that we are elite and are here to make you and us money. Plain and simple.

Flash Flash and Runny

September 20, 2007 Posted by | Arkansas State, BCS, Bearcats, Betting, Big East, Big Ten, Bulls, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Football, Gambling, Golden Hurricane, Indians, Marshall, Michigan State, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, SEC, Sooners, South Florida, Spartans, Sports, Tar Heels, Tenn, Tennessee, Tulsa, Volunteers, Winning Picks | 8 Comments

NFL Week 2 Picks: Back-Up the Brinks Trucks!!!!

Bring on week 2!!!! Had a rough start to the season last week. We managed only a .500 record, scraping for 1-1. F the Rams!!! Anyway, we have 4 locks for this weekend’s action. Here we go:

Bengals -7 @ the Browns: This line is extremely flawed. We think Vegas is giving the Browns way too much credit. Way too much. Their QB situation is comical and the few offensive weapons they have are not nearly enough to hang with the Bengals. Also, look what the Bengals did last Monday to a top 5 defense. The Browns D is nowhere as good as Baltimore’s. They will lose by double digits. Take the Bengals -7.

Cowboys -3.5 @ the Fins: The Boys bring their high powered offense to South Beach. The Fins have a decent D. They should do a better job against Dallas than the Gints did last Sunday night. But, it won’t be good enough to win. Even without Glenn, the Boys just have way more weapons than the Fins can cover. The Boys D looked terrible Sunday night, but they should put up enough points to cover. They will win by at least 6. Take the Boys -3.5. Also, with the Boys abilities to score and their inability to stop anyone from scoring, this game should have a decent point total. Take the Over at 41.5.

Chiefs +12 @ the Bears: This line is crazy. It has not moved all week. This is insane. It should be waaaay higher. Even at +17 it is a good line. The Bears absolutely dominated LT last week. If it wasn’t for the Chargers’ D and Rex, the Bears would be 1-0. They are furious. It is their home opener. For his own safety, LJ should call in sick this Sunday. The Chiefs have no threats. Press this bet hard. The Bears will win easy. Don’t be surprised by a shutout. Take the Bears -12.

Those are our picks for Week 2. Good luck!

Runny & Flash

September 15, 2007 Posted by | Bears, Bengals, Browns, Chargers, Chiefs, Cowboys, Dolphins, Gambling, NFL, NFL Picks | 4 Comments

NCAA Week 3 Football Picks – Let the good times roll!!!!

As always…we will start with our record…it is 8-5 overall and 2-0 within the 8-5 when we see one game we bet 5 times our normal bet. Last but not least…our money is where our mouth is on every bet we discuss. We have 7 opportunities right now that we are going to discuss and we have one game we are watching and waiting for the spread to drop half a point. Make sure you pay close attention to the lines we are betting. Some people complained they pushed with West Virginia last week or even lost but if you look at the spread we bet we hit it. In order to do this successfully you need to have more than one online account and always get the best spread out there. And now with the picks:

Thursday games

West Virginia (-16.5) at Maryland – Get on the West Virginia bandwagon. They started slow on the road against Marshall last week but poured it on in the second half to cover for us. Every team needs some adversity now and again and we do not see West Virginia starting slow in this one. Slaton and White are both Heisman candidates and their coach loves to pour it on and give these guys an opportunity to do something. Maryland does deserve some respect, they have a ball control offense and they have improved on defense since West Virginia blasted them 45-24 last year. We just do not think it is enough. We think you will get the West Virginia team that showed up in the second half against Marshall, not the first half. A lot of the “experts” are picking the Maryland cover but we do not see it. Mountaineers roll.

TCU (-8) at Air Force – TCU is the real deal even if their score did not show it last week against Texas. We remember TCU leading at halftime and watching a tie game at 10-10 at the end of three quarters. We think they will be pissed off they let one slide away last week and they will lay the brunt of their anger on Air Force. Here are some stas we love: TCU is 9-2 against the spread versus teams with a winning record and 19-7 in their last 26 overall. Air Force is 0-8 against the spread in their last 8 on grass and 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. TCU wins going away.

Saturday games

The Brinks truck 5 times normal bet game is….drum roll please….Louisville (-6.5) at Kentucky – Everybody knows Louisville can not play defense but they sure can play offense. We think this spread should have been more in the 14-17 point range. We love picking apart spreads where the SEC plays a non-conference team because we think the SEC is overrated this year but all of the SEC homers are going to pound their teams. Louisville will have no problem scoring on Kentucky and the defense will play well enough to win by two touchdowns. We do not think this is a risky bet at all and are loading up the Brinks truck on this one and betting 5 times our normal limit. Here are some great numbers:

Louisville is 6-2 against the spread versus SEC teams in their last 8
Louisville is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 versus Kentucky

These teams are not much different than the teams that faced off last year when Louisville won 59-28 at home. Bet Louisville and be very happy.

Notre Dame (-7.5) at Michigan – Notre Dame is flat out bad and does not know how to handle the blitz and Michigan is going to start a freshman QB. Sounds like a gangbuster of a game. Getting down to it….Michingan does have the defense to limit Notre Dame’s offense. They will blitz and blitz some more. Also, Michigan really suffered against teams running the spread offense that had a lot of speed, this is something Notre Dame does not have. We assume ND will try and pass a lot more but it will really not matter. We would not be surprised to see Michigan get revenge for their 0-2 start and win by 21.

How fun is this stat courtesy of Pat Forde at ESPN: Of the 856 points Notre Dame has scored with Weis as head coach, 19 of them have been scored by players who originally committed to and signed with him. That includes the defensive touchdown, the extra point and two field goals that constitute this season’s scoring. A Weis recruit has scored exactly one offensive touchdown in 27 games: George West on an 11-yard run last season against Purdue, one of three times West touched the ball from scrimmage in 2006.

Notre Dame is pathetic.

Western Michigan at Missouri (-20) – Missouri is one of our favorite teams this year and is 2-0 against the spread in this short season. Add to it that Missouri is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 home games. Western Michigan has not shown anything this year and we expect a similar result to Western Michigan/West Virginia when the score was 62-24. Most people have not heard about Missouri QB Chase Daniel but he is the real deal and will play on Sundays. Missouri rolls easily in this one.

Tennessee at Florida (-8) – We looked long and hard at this spread and Vegas is basically saying that Florida is two points better than CAL. The Cal spread was -6. Florida’s loss of Andre Caldwell is a big name lost but not a big impact for the team as Florida is very deep, especially on offense. Florida is 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 SEC games but we think this case will be different. Tennessee is banged up and has already shown that they do not have the defense to stop an elite offense and Florida is playing in the swamp. We think Florida can easily win by more than 10 just like CAL did. This will be a great game to watch because we plan on comparing Florida to Cal and it might become the case that CAL is better than the number 2 team (Florida) in the SEC. Who woulds thunk it? Us of course!!!

UVA at UNC (-3) – This is an easy one. UNC all the way. UVA only had 202 yards of offense against Duke. UNC has a lot of young players and a lot of talent and a winning attitude. They will rebound after a tough loss to East Carolina. UNC wins easily in this one.

***On a side note….we are wathcing the UCLA (-14) at Utah game because we want to bet this on UCLA if we can get a -13.5 spread or better. UCLA should blow them out but we do not want a push at -14. If you can get -13.5 or better take it and let us know where you got it because we want to get on this game.

Let us know what you think. Feel free to leave comments or to ask us to evaluate a game.

May your pockets be deep and filled with CASH!!!

Flash and Runny

September 13, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Big East, Big Ten, California, Cavaliers, Duke, ESPN, Fighting Irish, Florida, Florida Gators, Football, Gambling, Horned Frogs, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Marshall, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Mountaineers, NCAA, ncaa football, NCAA Picks, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Pac-10, SEC, Tar Heels, TCU, Tennessee, Terrapins, UCLA, Utah, Utah Utes, UVA, Vegas, Volunteers, W. Michigan, West Virginia, Western Michigan, Wildcats, Winning Picks, Wolverines | Leave a comment

Nebraska Football Fans Have Class: Support Our Troops

There comes a point when no matter how much you hate or despise a team or group of fans, you see something incredibly positive and classy and you have to step back and say….Man this is pretty special. I read the following article on ESPN.com and had to share it. Please take a read:

Big Red is golden for those serving red, white and blue

The basis of the story is as follows. Nebraska football fans are very passionate about their team and travel to see them. This year, last week, Nebraska played at Wake Forest and in their stadium that seats 30,000 people. Well Nebraska football fans actually went out and bought Wake Forest season tickets for anywhere from $99-$190 for a six game package so they could attend the Cornhuskers at Wake game. Art Ladenburg, Nebraska class of 1960, noticed that the September 15 Wake Forest game was against Army and he sought out a military hospital to donate his tickets to. He ended up tracking down the right person at Fort Bragg and donated the Army tickets to wounded soldiers at the Womack Army Medical Center. Art then posted what he did on his website and so far 200 other tickets have been donated to the wounded soldiers. There are 345 soldiers at the Womack Army Medical Center and Art thought the Nebraska faithful would donate 145 more tickets so each and every wounded soldier could attend the game.

This is a fantastic story and shows the class of the Nebraska fans. in case you did not know, Nebraska fans actually give a standing ovation to the opposing team, win or lose, at the end of each game. When a story that shows goodwill towards the U.S. military and has a sports twist we feel the need to share this with the world.

RPJ Syndicate Supports our Troops!!!!

Flash and Runny

September 12, 2007 Posted by | Army, Cornhuskers, ESPN, Football, Nebraska, Sports, Wake Forest, Womack Army Medical Center | Leave a comment

Bill Belicheater and the Pats – A Dynasty tainted!!!

The report that Roger Goodell believes the Patriots were violating the rules following the confiscation of a camera that was allegedly used to spy on the Jets Defensive coaches during this past weekend’s game might bring down the Patriots success and dynasty image. You need to take into consideration what is being revealed here and one big dirty word…CHEATING. Cheating is cheating and has no place in sports. Cheating is anything that threatens to disrupt the integrity of the game. Cheating is people taking steroids, look at the public perception of Barry Bonds. How about Mark McGwire? he should have been a first ballot hall of famer and he was not. Do you think Raffy Palmeiro will get in any time soon? Cheating is Pete Rose betting on baseball because he single handedly had the ability to change the outcome of games through his play and coaching efforts for the purpose of winning or losing gambling bets.

Now we have Bill Belichick and the Patriots. Matt Estrella, the Pats video assistant was in possession of the video camera and he was the same guy removed from a Patriots/Packers game last year, a game the Pats were up 35-0 at the half. He also did not want to hand over the video camera and was clearly agitated at the thought of doing so. Just look at the quote:

“From what I can remember, he had quite a fit when we took him out,” Packers president Bob Harlan said.

Then you have the following report from the NY Daily news:

“New details came to light yesterday. The cameraman, wearing a team polo shirt under the league-mandated sideline photographer’s vest, was stopped by security as he tried to enter the New England locker room before halftime, sources said. An animated discussion ensued, involving league security, Jets security and Patriots security. The dispute, which occurred in the bowels of the stadium, lasted more than an hour, virtually the entire second half. At one point, it became so heated that New Jersey state troopers were summoned as a precaution, a source said. The Jets apparently were trying to confiscate the videotape, which wound up in the possession of NFL security. The tape was placed in a box, sealed and forwarded to the league.
“He looked scared to death,” one source said of Estrella.

Here is the NFL rule and Roger Goodell stressed adherance to this rule in the offseason: “No video recording devices of any kind are permitted to be in use in the coaches’ booth, on the field or in the locker room during the game. Videotaping of an opponent’s offensive or defensive signals on the sidelines is prohibited.”

In addition, the following memo was sent by the NFL’s head of football operations, Ray Anderson, to head coaches and general managers last September reiterating the policy and stating that “video taping of any type, including but not limited to taping of an opponent’s offensive or defensive signals, is prohibited on the sidelines, in the coaches’ booth, in the locker room, or at any other locations accessible to club staff members during the game.”

This is repeated problematic rules violations. Hey Estrella, if you were not doing anything wrong than hand it over. Now word is that Eric Mangini, Jets coach, was the real reason this went down. Mangini was familiar with Belichick’s video tactics and was livid about seeing the camera on his own guys. Why do you think Belichick has so much hostility towards Mangini; it is because Mangini knows about all of Belichick’s cheating ways.

These are serious allegations and Roger Goodell has shown that he is willing to come down hard on rules violators. because this is America, the Pats have the right to present their case to Goodell and sources think this will happen by the end of the week. Actually, I just received word that Belichick spoke to Goodell this morning and just had a press conference at 11AM this morning. He apologized to players, owners and fans and then said it was in the hand of the NFL and he had no more comments on it.

I am not sure what the appropriate penalty should be but I think it should be harsh. Extremely harsh. Cheaters should be punished and the Pats and Belichick are no different. If these allegations prove true than I am going to discount everything the Pats have accomplished under Belichick. Just think about what you think of Bonds and McGwire’s homers…should they have an asterix? Well the Pats wins in the regular season and Super Bowl are soured if these allegations prove true that the Pats and Belichick’s staff were cheating. Plain and simple, this is not up for debate. If Belichick is a cheater than the Pat wins and Super Bowl wins came under the direction of a proven cheater and their results need to be discounted and maybe even erased. I also think some type of serious fine and the loss of draft picks should be thrown in as well. I think Goodell will respond quickly and harshly and I can not wait to hear what he has to say.

Flash Flash

September 12, 2007 Posted by | Belichick, Eric Mangini, ESPN, Jets, NFL, Packers, Patriots, Roger Goodell, Sports | Leave a comment

NFL Week One Picks

Greetings. We only like two games this week in the NFL.

Take the Steelers and give the 5 points against the Browns.

Take the Rams and give the 1.5 against the Panthers.

 Good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

September 9, 2007 Posted by | Betting, Browns, Gambling, NFL, Panthers, Rams, Steelers, Uncategorized, Winning Picks | Leave a comment