RPJ Betting Syndicate

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LSU vs. Miss St. – Load up the Brinks Truck…. It is time to steal some money!!!!

Every year there is one game that simply jumps off the oddsmakers boards and screams at you to load up the farm and bet the bank. These are usually games where Vegas just does not know all the teams yet and makes a blatant error. Last year the easiets line all year was USC at Arkansas. I think USC was favored by a TD. Well we know how that blowout ended. The game was not even competititve. So guess what….we see a similar game this year already….LSU (-18.5) at Mississippi St. Danny Sheridan opened this line at -16.5 and it quickly moved up to 17.5 and now up to 18.5. Well we do not care. This should be a blowout and here is why:

LSU is 7-0 against the spread in away games at Miss St. since 1992.
LSU is 9-1 against the spread in their last ten against Missippi St. and the lone loss is last year’s debacle when Les Miles put in all his scrubs and played prevent, I mean no defense, and let Miss. St. get back into the game after running out to a 35-0 lead in the 2nd quarter. Also, last year was a classic “Nebraska syndrome” game. The Nebraksa syndrome is when a team is playing a weaker opponent at home and is in front a large home crowd and all of their largest boosters and is winning and the coach decides to not only put out the second string but puts out the 3rd, 4th and 5th strings as well so that the boosters can see everybody play and probably some of their own kids get some action at home in front of home crowd. LSU fell victim to the Nebraksa syndrome last year against Miss. St and this year we are more confident they will cover because it is on the road.

Here are the scores in their last 6 games:
LSU 48-17
LSU 37-7
LSU 51-0
LSU 41-6
LSU 31-13
LSU 42-0
Average score = LSU 42 Miss St. 7

Yup the difference is 35 points and that is where this spread should be. LSU has incredible talent on both sides of the ball and Miss St. simply can not hang with this team.

Just to throw it out there…here is what one naysayer wants to let you believe (I think it must be from a bookie who has the wrong side of the line), just kidding. The quote is from an LSU insider website called www.dandydon.com. The quote was posted on August 26 at 7:10AM.

While most Tiger fans believe that the game against Mississippi State is going to be like taking candy from a baby, that might not be the case if you take a look at the way MSU finished the 2006 season. The last five games of last season MSU lost 27-24 at Georgia, lost 34-31 to Kentucky, defeated Alabama 24-16 at Alabama (in my opinion the lost to MSU is what cost Mike Shula his job at Alabama), lost to Arkansas 28-14, and lost at Ole Miss 20-17. LSU played four of these same five teams and defeated Kentucky 49-0, defeated Ole Miss 23-20 in overtime, defeated Alabama 28-14 and Arkansas 31-26. The strength of the MSU team will be on offense with nine returning starters. Anthony Dixon returns at running back and is one of the best in the league. The Bulldogs return five starters in the offensive line led by center Royce Blackledge. Junior Michael Henig is the starting quarterback at MSU and does some things very well but is not very mobile. Mississippi State only returns five starters on a defense that gave up an average of 309 yards and 26 points per game in 2006.

We just wanted to show you that there are other opinions out there that this will not be a blowout. We said our piece and this is a great opportunity to start the NCAA season on a winning note.

Flash Flash and Runny

August 29, 2007 - Posted by | Arkansas Razorbacks, Betting, ESPN, Football, Gambling, Les Miles, LSU, LSU Tigers, Mississippi, NCAA, ncaa football, Pac-10, SEC, Uncategorized, USC, USC Trojans, Vegas, Winning Picks

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