2008 NFL Week 5: Monday Night Winning Picks – Two Way Action

Greetings folks. Rough weekend for your’s truly, but RPJ laid another winner. I love tonight’s match-up, and I like my chances of making a strong comeback with two picks for you. Here it goes:
 
Minnesota @ New Orleans (-3); OVER/UNDER 47: The Vikes riding into the Crescent City fresh off their tough loss to the undefeated Titans. The Saints are riding high after their beatdown of the 49ers. What will give? To me, the key to this game is the Saints D, or lack thereof. They cannot stop anyone. They have given-up an average of 25 points per game, and their schedule has not been exactly tough. With the exception of Denver, they have not faced a team with an explosive offense (Tampa, Washington and San Fran). That is too many points to give-up against those teams. This means a HUGE day for Adrian Peterson. He will steamroll this defense and put the Vikings over the hump. FACTS: Saints are 1-15 ATS after scoring 28 or more points in back-to-back games against teams that are less than .500 and the Saints are 1-11 ATS at home against teams that are off an away game. I’m taking the Vikings +3
 
I also like the Under in this one. Common sense would say take the over because the Saints cannot stop anyone. However, the Vikings can. Despite giving up over 20 points per game, their D is much better than people think. The Titans game was a fluke, and they showed what they are really all about by holding the Colts to 18 and Carolina to 10. The Saints will be without Colston, Patten and Shockey. This will hurt them tremendously. The Vikes will ground and pound with Peterson. This game will be low scoring. I’m taking the UNDER 47.
 
Good luck with your picks.
 
Runny

2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

WEEK 17 NFL PICKS: SUNDAY

2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):

Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.

Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.

49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.

Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.

Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.

Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.

Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.

Good luck.

Runny & Flash

WEEK 16 NFL PICKS: SUNDAY’S BEST

A good start to the weekend for us with the Panthers pulling through for us against the Cowboys. With Saturday’s win, our season ATS record stands at 60-47-1. Here is what we like on Sunday:

Packers @ Bears +8.5: The Bears gave the Pack a surprising beatdown in their match-up earlier this year. The Pack have been dominant since then. Their only blemish was a debacle in Dallas. The Pack won’t make those mistakes again. However, the Bears are hungry to salvage something from this season. Kyle Orton gets the start again and the Bears D knows that the game is in their hands. They love playing Favre. Especially at home. We think they will be amped for this game. The Pack will win, but the Bears D will keep them in it. Plus, the nasty weather in the Windy City will help the Bears. Take the Bears +8.5.

Texans +7 @ Colts: The Texans have been up and down all year. The Colts are CRUSHED by injuries. They squeaked by the Raiders last week in Oakland. We think their injuries on D will produce the same result this week at home against the Texans. The Texans can score some points. They will score some more this week. Ignore the fact that the home team in this match-up is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take the Texans +7.

Dolphins @ Patriots -22: Before last week, everyone was looking to this game for a Cinderella story and hoping that a winless Fins team could end the Pats run to perfection. The Ravens made sure that the Fins would not be winless coming into this game last week. The Patriots are going to make sure their run to perfection will stay in play this week. Not only will they win, they will win big. Don’t follow the public in this one. The Pats beat them by 21 in their match-up earlier this season in Miami. They will do better than that on Sunday. Take the Pats -22.

Redskins @ Vikings -6.5: The Vikings managed to win last Monday night against the Bears despite a ton of turnovers. They will remedy the turnovers this week. The Skins will be without Rocky McIntosh. This is huge. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a big game. Take the Vikings -6.5.

Falcons @ Cardinals -10: The Falcons are getting players back from injuries while the Cards are pretty banged-up. There were signs of a little turmoil in the Cards loss last week as Kurt Warner blew up on the sidelines at one of his offensive coaches. That said, the Falcons are a joke. Take the Cards -10.

Jets @ Titans -8.5: With this line and how these teams have played the past few weeks, we would LOVE to take the Jets here. However, the reality is that the Jets are just decimated by injuries. Kellen Clemens was injured last week and is not expected to play. Laveranues Coles is out. That is just too much for this Titans team at home. Take the Titans -8.5.

Browns -3 @ Bengals: The Bengals have been infuriating to watch this year. Are hearts go out to any Bengals fan. This season must be torture. They are at home this week against their in-state rival. Their last meeting was a huge shoot out. This week will not be the same. The key to this game will be the D’s. It will be a close game. We just think the Browns have more weapons on offense than the Bengals do. Plus, the Bengals D is much worse. Take the Browns -3.

Good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

NFL WEEK 15 PICKS: MONDAY NIGHT MADNESS

We are ready for some football! Another glorious Monday of football is upon us. It is amazing how fast the NFL season is flying by. We had a disappointing Sunday-going 4-5 and bringing our season record to 58-46-1. However, we do like Monday night’s game. Here is our take:

Bears +10.5 @ Vikings: The Bears are in shambles and look to Kyle Orton to salvage what’s left of their season. Orton has started games in the past, but it has been some time since he has seen meaningful playing time. All signs indicate that he has had a great week of practice and he seems to have used his time on the bench to know the offense cold. He will need all of his wits tonight as he looks to upset the heavily favored Vikings and their ferocious D. Pat Williams and Ken Williams have been monsters in the middle of that Vikings line. They should cause a lot of problems for Orton and the Bears offense.

However, the key to this game will be stopping Adrian Peterson and Tavaris Jackson. If the Bears can do that, they have a shot. Lately, they have not been able to stop anyone and the last time they saw Peterson, he crushed them. We think he will have another good game, but we think the Bears learned a lesson from the 49ers last week. The 9ers were able to make Peterson a non-factor. The Bears will do the same. We also think Jackson will come back down to earth. he is not as good as he has been. We think his play will balance itself out.

Ultimately, we think the Vikings will win. We just think the Bears will keep it close. Take the Bears +10.5.

NFL WEEK 14 PICKS

Another Thursday night winner for us in the Skins-Bears brings our record to 45-36-1. We are getting where we need to be. Week 14 is the week of the road favorite. Generally, in picking NFL games it is usually bad to go with road favorites. However, this week we like a few. Here is what we like for Sunday’s action:

Vikings -8.5 @ 49ers: This is a lot of points for the Vikings to give on the road. However, they have Adrian Peterson and they are on the road to face a terrible 49ers team. With all the credit that Adrian Peterson gets (all of it is deserved-if this kid does not win the ROY and MVP this year it will be highway robbery), the Vikings D should get some. They are flying under the radar with their play. They will strut their stuff this weekend against the 49ers. Look for heavy doses of Adrian Peterson and a lot of attacks on D. It will be a close cover, but we like the Vikings. Take the Vikings -8.5.

Cowboys -11 @Lions; OVER/UNDER 50.5: Another heavy road favorite. The Cowboys head north to the Motor City to face a struggling Lions team. Historically, the Lions have done well against the Cowboys. Will the Lions get their 10 wins? Unlikely, but if they do, they need to win this game. They won’t. The Cowboys have had 10 days to prepare for a game that is flying under the public’s radar, but not the radar of the Boys’ D. The Lions SPANKED them last year in Big D. The Boys are looking for payback. T-New and Bradie James have already come out with threats. They are focused and looking for blood. They will cover. Take the Cowboys -11. That said, the Boys D is vulnerable. Especially to the pass. With Roy Williams out for the Lions, it will limit their air attack. It won’t shut it down. The Lions will be able to score. Take the OVER 50.5. 

Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Another road favorite. The Browns roll into NY/NJ to face a Jets team fresh off a beatdown of Miami. That beatdown was a fluke. The Jets are not a good team right now and they are hurt. The Browns win easy and cover. Take the Browns -3.5.

Panthers @ Jags -10.5: This is a lot of points. The Panthers threw up some points last week against the 49ers. However, the 49ers are bad. The Jags are not. They played the Colts close and don’t have as much injuries as the Panthers. We like the Jags to roll. Take the Jags -10.5.

Rams @ Bengals -9.5: Brock Berlin gets the starting nod for the Rams this week. That’s right…Brock Berlin. We remember him from his U days. He was terrible then. We are giving him no credit this weekend. Despite the Rams having a solid D, and the Bungles being the softest team in the league, we think Cinncy rolls at home. Take the Bungles -9.5.

Chargers -1 @ Titans: Another road favorite. The Chargers have been TERRIBLE ATS in their past 8 road games. The Titans are a completely different team with Haynesworth back. That said, he is still a little banged-up. He will play, but will his hammy hold-up. We don’t think he will be effective enough to stop LT. The Chargers are playing better and can cover. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Patriots -10.5: Probably the game of the week. Nearly EVERYONE thinks the Steelers will be the team to upset the Pats. Every analyst waxes on and on about how good the Steelers will run the ball and how great their D is. However, they are a completely different road team. They lost to the Jets for goodness sakes. The teams they did beat do not have the Pats arsenal, and they have lost to some terrible teams. The Pats haven’t lost to anyone. Also, pay attention to this spread. Despite all the hype and all the money in Vegas going to the Steelers this week, the Steelers are still a double digit dog. Vegas knows. Take the Pats -10.5.

There you go. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

NFL WEEK 10 PICKS

Greetings folks. First things first-we went 4-4 last week bringing our season record to 24-15-2. There is no need to tell us that that is a terrible record. We know. It will improve. Stick with us. We are in the same boat. But we ain’t quittin’!!! Let’s roll into Week 10!!!! Here’s our picks:

Bills -2.5 @ Dolphins: This game has “trap” written all over it. This line is almost too tempting. Vegas always knows and this screams that they want you to take the Bills. Any team can cover a field goal against the Fins, right? There answer should be an obvious “yes,” but again, Vegas knows. Each week we look for these games and stay away. In fact, that is always our first step in our analysis. However, the last time the Bills did not cover was 2003. They shut them out last year in their final match-up and this Fins team is way worse. Even though it could be a Vegas trap, we like the Bills. Take the Bills -2.5.

Browns +10 @ Steelers: The Steelers are deadly at home. They CRUSHED the Ravens last Monday night (I don’t think I’ve seen a worse beatdwon. Well, maybe the Pats-Skins this year). They hate the Brownies, too. I’m sure they will try to do the same thing they did to the Ravens. However, the Ravens are terrible right now and the Browns are hot. Derek Anderson has that team rolling. He can lead the Browns to keep it within 10. Take the Browns +10.

Vikings +5.5 @ Packers: Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Brad Childress finally figured it out-feed AP the ball all day. The guy is a mchine. They will run it down the Packers’ throat and keep it with in 5.5. Take the Vikings +5.5.

Bengals +3.5 @ Ravens: Both teams are a mess. This game is about picking who is more of a debacle. The Ravens are and we are taking the points. Take the Bengals +3.5.

Cowboys -1.5 @ Giants: This spread is tricky. The .5 has “F Us” written all over it. The Boys should win this game. Both teams are better than they were in Week 1. The Boys get Tank Johnson this week to sure up their middle. This game will be a shootout, but the Boys have more weapons. Romo will make less mistakes than Eli. Take the Boys -1.5.

Colts @ Chargers (O/U 47.5): This is over is way too high. look at the Colts last week against the Pats-they only scored 44 points total. The Chargers do not have the Pats offense. Take the Under 47.5

There are our picks. Use whatever you want. Let us know what you tink. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash.