12/26 Free NCAA Football Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Purdue versus Central Michigan

First things first and unfortunately they are worse than Charlie Weis’ stomach stapling surgey outcome. We are 1-5 and down 12 units after one week of bowl betting. yes we had our initial panic mode and were wondering what the F is going on but after our 19-4 Bowl record last year we buckled down and remembered that we have a winning system that works in the long run and this was simply a blip on the record. We are confident we will rebound strongly before this Bowl season is over.

For tonight’s game we are back to baby steps and assigning this a Heidi Klum bet…

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.

Purdue (-8) vs. Central Michigan in the Motor City Bowl

We hate to pick on our boy LeFevour but this game has already played out once this season and Purdue won 45-22. You can look at Central Michigan’s schedule and really understand their 8-5 record.

vs. Kansas – Lost 52-7
vs. Purdue – Lost 45-22
vs. Clemson – Lost 70-14
vs. North Dakota State – Lost 44-14 – Yes they also lost to a 1-AA school

So they were 0-4 against BCS schools and a 1-AA school, that means they were 8-1 against members of the MAC-key attackey with a throw in game against the powerful Army squad. Central Michigan also plays zero defense and gave up 36 points a game. Purdue has a legit QB in Curtis Painter who carved up Central Michigan with a 29-39, 360 yard, 3 TD performance in their first match up. Lets check out the ATS numbers:

Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games.
Chippewas are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.
Chippewas are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Purdue
Nothing good to speak of

This line opened at -9.5 in favor of Purdue and has been dropping. We think this is wrong. Central Michigan is the hot name right now because they have LeFevour and did not stumble down the stretch. Purdue, after roaring out to a 5-0 start and a top 25 ranking, skidded down the stretch losing 5 of 7 games once they got into the meat of their Big-10 schedule. Last year Central Michigan won this bowl by beating up on a similar lower tiered opponent in Middle Tenn State and this year they face a legit BCS conference school.

We already showed you what happens to Central Michigan when they face BCS schools…they get smacked around. So as much as it pains us to bet against the Fever for LeFevour, it must be done in this game. Purdue wins and covers big again!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny