RPJ Betting Syndicate

Our favorite spread killer is back with his own blog!!!! Can you stand it? Mr. Jeff Tedford, coach of the Cal Bears now has a blog. We are 120% positive that this little piece of garbage blog will provide us with numerous entertaining posts over the course of another disappointing Cal football season. Check it out for yoursleves.

http://calbears.cstv.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/tedford-talk.html

Early season prediction…..Bet against Tedford every single game and make some coin!!!!!!

Flash Flash

Disappotining 1-1 last night brought our playoff record to 6-4. Not bad, but we haven’t had a losing night yet. How bad are the Wizards?!?!!?!? They are getting beat one man. Granted, that one man is LeBron, but still. Terrible showing. Anyway, on to tonight’s games. Here’s our picks:

Suns +2 @ Spurs: On paper, Game One looked like the Spurs barely won. However, watching that game was not dramatic at all. Even with Nash’s shot to tie….you just knew the Spurs had it handled. However, that said, the Suns stil covered. They played poorly and still got it done ATS. We LOVE that!! We are riding them again. Take the Suns +2.

Raptors @ Magic -6: Magic showed they are clearly the better team. They decimate them in game 2. Take the Magic -6.

Mavs +3.5 @ Hornets: Hornets spanked them pretty good in Game One. However, the Mavs shot only 33%. They won’t do that again. They had a huge lead in Game One and let it slip away. They won’t make the same mistakes again. Avery Johnson called out Dampier. Good. It was needed. Mavs cover and win. Take the Mavs +3.5.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

Greetings!! Good 3-1 recovery yesterday brought our weekend record to 5-3.  Winning, but not where we need to be. That said, onward and upward and into tonight’s action. Here you go:

Wiz +2 @ Cavs: What was Stevenson thinking talking crap about LeBron?!?!?!!? They had that game won outright, but King James took over. One of the best dunks I have ever seen. Once he unleashed that, I knew our cover chances were done. That said, the Wiz had that game. They had it. We think that left a bad taste in their mouths. We love them tonight. Take the Wiz +2.

Jazz +1 @ Rockets: Jazz decimated the Rockets in Game One. Just like we thought. We LOVE them as the ‘dogs in this one, too. They win outright. Take the Jazz +1.

As always-good luck!

Runny & Flash

Disappointing 2-2 on Day 1. This is what we like today:

Raptors @ Magic -7: Raptors have been struggling for a while. While we like Chris Bosh, the Raptors are very overrated. We think they are the weakest team in the playoffs. We think the Magic roll. They will win the series in 5 game. For Game One, take the Magic -7.

Nuggets @ Lakers -8.5: This is a lot of points, but the Nuggets are bad. They play no D. Especially on the road. Lakers win this series in 4. In Game One take the Lakers -8.5.

SIxers +10 @ Pistons: We love this match-up. It will be an exciting series. The Sixers are young and like to run. The Pistons are old vets and know how to get it done. The Pistons will win the series, but the Sixers will make it hard. The Pistons in 7, but take the Sixers in Game One +10.

Hawks +15 @ Celtics: Celtics will roll in this one and will win this series in 4. However, for Game One, this is too many points. Doc Rivers is smart-if he gets a huge lead late he will pull his stars. That will give the Hawks time and opportunity to cover. Take the Hawks +15.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

Greetings! It has been a while since Flash and I have surfaced with a post. We apologize for the absence. Most of our disappearance was due to the NCAA and NFL football seasons coming to a sad end. We usually go into a morbid hibernation at the end of the football season, but we know there is plenty of work to do!

As you know, we started off the NBA season in a bad way. However, we’ve been perfecting our strategies over the course of the rest of the regular season and we are locked in!! We understand the value of putting something in print for the world to see, so we wouldn’t put our picks out there unless we were behind them 100% of the way. That said, we are back lovin’ the NBA again and we have some good insight (and picks) for the upcoming playoffs. Let’s roll:

Wiz +3.5 @ Cavs: Of all the East match-ups, this is THE one where the ‘dog is most likely to win. Granted, we understand that that is not going out on limb with that one, but it is what it is. The Wiz are finally healthy. Agent 0, Caron, Antwan and Deshawn are back together again. That does not spell good news for the Cavs. The Cavs have NOTHING besides Lebron. Nothing, and Lebron is nursing a sore back. If last year is any indication, Lebron is the one (if not only) guy that can carry a team by himself into the finals. He did it last year. However, we don’t think he will do it again. This line keeps going up, too. We love it!! We think the Wiz win this series in 5. For game one, Take the Wiz +2.5.

Suns +4 @ Spurs: Of all the West match-ups, this is the one where the ‘dog is most likely to win. The Spurs have shown how the West was one for years now. For this one, the Spurs have a HUGE intangibles advantage. HUGE. They’ve been there before. They play great D. The Suns, on the other hand, have been hit or miss-flashes of brilliance and then losses to teams they should destroy. They rely on deep shooting, so if they are cold, they can get down quick. Sometimes it is too much to dig out. To address this, they went out and got the Diesel to shore up their middle and to take some pressure off of Amare. Amare has flourished. It remains to be seen if their ultimate goal will come through. The Suns may be without Grant Hill. This could be a big loss. However, we think their front court is enough to keep this game close. Suns win this series in 7 game. Take the Suns +4 in game one.

Mavs +4.5 @ Hornets: The Hornets are the story of the NBA this year. CP3 is our pick for MVP. He should get it solely for making Tyson Chandler relevant. They are a good, young team. On paper, they should sweep the Mavs. However, that is why they play the games. We think this is going to be a great series. The Hornets will pobably not win a game on the road. Kidd is a HUGE addition to the Mavs and he has enough left to balance out a good chunk of CP3. Dirk can take Tyson. West is not going to stop Howard. At leats not in game one. We think the Hornets win this series in 6, but we like the Mavs to cover in game one. Take the Mavs +4.5.

Jazz +1 @ Rockets: This series will not be close. The Jazz are a terrible road team, but they will represent. The Rockets may get one at home, but that is it. The Jazz roll and have no business being the ‘dog in game one. The Jazz win this series in 5. In game one, take the Jazz +1.

There it is for day one. Take a look and come back for our day two picks.

As always-good luck!

Runny & Flash

First things first…we are not Giants fans but you noticed the Pats come with an asterix in the headline of this blog and rightfully so. We might have some sports commentary on the Patriots season after the Super Bowl but that will depend on the game. For now we are going to let Gregg Easterbrook (ESPN Page 2 writer) have the spotlight. Please click on this link to get a taste for what we are thinking….If the Pats win, are they the best team ever? Maybe …

Well we are both crying that this is the last NFL game of the season (Pro Bowl is a joke in the NFL so it does not count). We have had our ups and downs this season…our early gains were completely wiped out the last few weeks of the season and in the playoffs but we will press on. Plain and simple…this year was whacked and we blew it down the stretch. We will keep fighting and no better way to end the season on a winning note!!!! We think the Super Bowl is actually pretty compelling from a bettor’s standpoint this year and we have our opinion on the outcome of the game and love a bunch of prop bets.

Also, we are not going to let our faithful readers down. We are going to spread our picks with the relevant hot chicks of the Super Bowl and we have lots to choose from thanks to Mr. Tom Brady and his current and former gal pals. We hate to say it but Tom Brady is the NFL’s version of Derek Jeter. He bangs hot broads and always has the perfect answer for the retarded media folk. It just would not be a Syndicate blog if we did not show some hot Giselle Bundchen photos and Brady’s ex Miss Moynihan is no slouch either but when you see these pics you know why he moved on…even if it was for DiCaprio’s sloppy seconds. Miss Moynihan:

And now the hot Brazilian with some T&A shots:

Yeah she can model but lets see those tits…….

And of course the Arse Shots……….#1………

For you ladies out there…The picture above is some of the hottest underwear going. One more ass shot for good luck………..

She is not UGLY!!!

Lets take a look at the general ATS numbers before we get into any type of analysis:

ATS numbers for both teams:

NY Giants
Giants are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

New England Patriots
Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games on grass.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Head to head matchup
The two teams have split the last four meetings between them dating back to 2005, but the Giants covered the number in three of those games.
The over cashed in three times as well.

General Super Bowl Trends
The favored team has gone 9-3 straight up and 4-6-2 against the spread in the last dozen Super Bowls.
Teams that score more than 27 points in the Super Bowl are 23-1 and 22-2-1 against the spread.
New England has averaged 35.6 points per game, while New York averages 23.2.

Alright enough with the ATS numbers lets see some more hot chicks. In honor of the looney of the moment; some hot Britney pics….

Lets talk about this game for a little bit. We are not Giants or Pats fans so we come with a somewhat unbiased opinion. This game is fun for many reasons. The Pats are the team of destiny…they are 18-0, have a great coach, a great QB and basically great talent on both sides of the ball. A 19-0 season with a Super Bowl win will label them as the best team ever and how can you really debate it. Bill Belichick is a gootball historian and he says his one biggest regret is not being able to coach the Giants. Remember Ray Handley was selected over him for the job way back when so sweatshirt Bill can re-write history against the one team the spurned him in a big F-U game. The Patriost players are actually acting a bit different during this Super Bowl run. There are stories out of Arizona about Pats players texting their buddies that they will be 19-0. You do not hear it from the mainstream media because the Pats are master spinners but they are confident, bordering on arrogant and this is a trait that we have not seen from the Pats yet. So what do we hear from the Giants. Well everybody expects them to lose. The only players you hear about are Plaxico and the like making “guarantees” so they come across like bozos. The Giants played a three point game with the Pats in week 17 but does that really mean anything. Would the score have been the same if it were in warm weather? Probably not. The Giants are not as good as the Pats plain and simple. The teams that contained the Pats offense were teams that had great safeties and CBs that could play man like the Eagles, Ravens, Jags, Colts…you get our drift. the Giants are not set up like this in their secondary. Moss burned them in the Meadowlands and will probably burn them again. Now both Belichick and Coughlin are good coaches so we do not expect this game to play out like the last one. Both teams are playing a tight, ball controlled, power running offense now and this takes time off the clock. The one thing to consider is if the Pats arrogance is real and they try and put up points and put them up quick. Remember the other high flying offense of the past that hit the Super Bowl…Oakland….St. Louis….yeah both those teams lost!!! So if the Pats arrogance does show up we think it will be a negative on them and lead to a close game and if they show up with a tight ball controlled offense than guess what, they do not have enough plays to pull away from the Giants and it will be a close game. This brings us to our ATS analysis. but first a hilarious youtube clip from the Jimmy Kimmel Show where Sarah Silverman talks about fucking Matt Damon. Watch this if you have not seen it yet….

Back to the game and ATS numbers. The numbers that really stick out are the ATS numbers. The Giants are hot and the Pats are not in terms of covering the lines. It is plain and simple. We are going to ride the hot streaks and the streaks are as follows:

Pats are winning at an unprecedented rate
Pats are not covering
Giants are covering

Patriots win the Super Bowl and the Giants keep it close and cover.

On to some of the prop bets that we love.

Player Prop Bets
Eli Manning - Total Passing Yards over/under 229.5 - This will be a high scoring game and Eli will be over this margin easily. Probably by the end of the third quarter.

Eli Manning- Total TD Passes over/under 1.5-He will get this easy.

Brandon Jacobs - Total Rushing Attempts over/under 15.5 - Giants will pound the ball and BJ will be up over 18 carries.

Ahmad Bradshaw-Longest Run From Scrimage Over/Under 11.5-Jacobs is their pounder and Bradshaw is their homerun hitter. After Jacobs softens the D, Bradshaw comes in and runs like Forrest Gump. It may not happen ’til the 4th quarter, but Bradshaw will break a big one. Take the over.

Plaxico Burress - Total Pass Receptions over/under 5 - This is Eli’s go to guy now that he is completely healthy. We see 8-10 catches. Do not fear his injury.

Kevin Boss - Total Pass Receptions over/under 1.5 - All we need is two catches to win this. Come on now. Easy money on this over.

Tom Brady-Total Completions-Over/Under 25.5-This is a joke. The Pats are built around the pass and they will light it up in this one. Brady lives for these games. He will pass. And pass. And pass. Take the over.

Laurence “My Homey” Maroney - Total Rushing Yards over/under 88.5 - The Pats have learned that ball control offenses and rushing yards win Super bowls and Maroney has been on a roll. He is the go to guy in this game and will clear 100 yards rushing and has a chance at MVP.

Kevin Faulk-Total Rushes-Over/Under 3-Faulk has had a long and good tenure with the Pats. Belichek loves him. He will get carries just out of respect. Plus, he is great on gimmick plays. Take the Over.

Wes Welker - Total Pass Receptions over/under 7.5 - Our boy W-squared has been on fire. He will clear 9-10 catches easily.

Benjamin Watson - Total Receiving Yards over/under 22.5 - Watson will be a factor in this game. We are looking for 40-50 yards

Benjamin Watson - Total Pass Receptions over/under 2.5 - Easy money on the over. As we said…he will be a factor.

It has been a fun and wild year. We are here for our readers 24/7 X 365. Please share your insights with us. We have had some requests for NCAA hoops and we want to know what you our readers want. Please post comments or send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Thanks for a great year.

Flash Flash and Runny

We knew that headline would get your attention. Our picks might suck but we are not idiots in picking a Pats loss in this one (Read on for our actual pick). We are coming at you with an unusual winning pick selection process for you this time. We simply can not agree on these games and because of this we are not putting any of RPJ Syndicate’s money to work; we are putting our own personal money to work. This is frustrating for us but it is what it is and this happens sometimes and we usually skip the game altogether as you know but because there are only three NFL games left (we are crying literally because of this) we have to put our opinions out there because this is the NFL. Now some of you naysayers out there will call us scam artists because you think we are going to pick both sides and then say we were winners. Well we are not doing this. RPJ Syndicate is a terrible 1-7 in the playoffs so far and these picks will not count for our record because RPJ’s money is not playing these games. Hopefully we can agree on a consensus for the Super Bowl and bet the living hell out of it to recoup some of our losses but time will only tell if that comes true. So to make our crappy picks up with you we are going to show tons of hot chicks in this blog and first up is the beautiful ass of Miss Jessica Alba:

January 20, 2008 - San Diego at New England (-14)

We are going to show you the ATS numbers first for both teams and then we will have our own analysis.

San Diego
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 46-15-2 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chargers are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall.
Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

New England
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championships games.
Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
Patriots are 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Flash Flash Says: I am going to continue to ride the recent trends and that is a Patriots non-cover. Yes, I know they are 17-0 and the best team in football but they are not cover machines like they were earlier in the season. The weather in Foxboro has limited the Pats ability to stretch the field like they did in the Fall and the Pats are taking a more ball controlled short passing game approach to their offense and this runs the clock out faster and reduces the Pats offensive touches. In addition, every team that plays the Pats knows that they need to limit the Pats touches and employ a ball control offense of their own. The Pats are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games and the only win was the “guarantee” game against the Steelers. Vegas lines were ridiculous in a lot of these games and that helped the opponents cover but that does not mean the Pats are 14 point favorites against the other elite teams in the AFC. This line is simply too high and Vegas knows the Pats homers will continue to bet on the Pats no matter what. Also, San Diego has not received any credit for their current run and they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 and riding an 8 game winning streak. The Chargers started slow but you have to remember that they have a completely rehauled coaching staff and two of their early losses were against Green Bay and New England. Expect a ball control game in this one, especially from San Diego. Losing Gates is a big loss for the Chargers. Since the Chargers will play ball control I think the injuries to Rivers and LT will hurt but not as much as people think. Billy Volek will simply be asked to not make mistakes…does this ring any bells? Brad Johnson won a Super Bowl, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, Big Ben won and it was not because they had an aggressive offense, it was because they had a great defense and played mistake free offense. Volek can do this. As far as the running game goes, we all know Michael Turner will be a great starter one day and Darren Sprolles showed he has the explosiveness to play a part in any game. Chargers will play a tight, conservative offense and should be able to run on the Pats to keep the chains moving. I do not think the Chargers win but I think they will keep it within ten points in a super cold game. I am definitely interested in the readers opinion on this game because I do not see the reasons why the Pats should cover, even with a banged up Chargers team. That same banged up Chargers team took it to the Colts on the road and can do it again. They Chargers are also the hotter “betting” team. If you have been riding the Pats you have been riding your bankroll down the crapper.I am betting the Chargers and taking the points!!!

Mrs. Flash Flash says: Yes, she is back. She thinks the Pats will not cover the 14 points. She thinks the Pats will not cover because they are unstoppable. Yes, that makes no sense at all and she is half a bottle of wine in. Take it for what it is worth. Mrs. Flash Flash is also coming at you with her top three hottest chicks. First is Miss Sienna Miller:

Chick number 2 is Miss Jessica Biel:

Chick number 3 is Katherine Heigl:

Runny says: Flash has been staring at that pic of Jessica Alba too long and doesn’t have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck. This game should be re-named the “Decimation Bowl” because that is just what the Pats are going to do. Mind you, I DESPISE Tom Brady. I DESPISE Belichek (so much so I threw away all my hoodies). I DESPISE the PATS. I just know a smart thing when I see it. The thing is with this game is that even without the injuries to the Chargers, the Pats still would cover. They destroyed them in Week 2 when they were totally healthy. They will do so again this week.

The Pats were a missed field goal away from covering last week against a Jags team that is much, much better on both sides of the ball than the Chargers. The two weeks off hurt the Pats. They were definitely rusty. Now they will be ready. The Pats are praying that the Chargers blitz Brady and double Moss. Brady will eat that up and hit Wes Welker all game long. The weather will not matter. Look for big games from My Homey Lawrence Moroney, Wes Welker and the Pats secondary. Rivers had the game of his career last week, but that was due to poor execution and poor strategy by the Colts. There is not a receiver on the Chargers that the Pats cannot cover. Chambers will not have a repeat performance.

As much as I hate to say it, the Pats are a team of destiny. They will decimate the Chargers and roll right into the Super Bowl. Take the Pats -14.

January 20, 2008 - Giants at Green Bay (-7)

Coming at you with the ATS numbers first:

New York
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Giants are 7-16-3 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Green Bay
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Packers are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Packers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Runny Says: The keys to this game are the Giants secondary and the huge home-field advantage. In regards to the Giants secondary, the Packers play sound football and Favre is playing within the system. He is not trying to win the game on every throw. He has confidence in his receivers for the first time in probably 10 years. He has a solid running game backing him and the enitre offense is playing exceptionally well as a team. This does not bode well for an inexperienced and beat-up Giants secondary. Favre and his receivers will do what Romo and his receivers could not do last week; Favre will make the throws and his receivers will catch the ball. The more this happens, the more the running lanes will be free for Ryan Grant. It will snowball into a lot of points for the Pack.

In regards to the Lambeau advantage, the Giants will be playing in an environment they have never seen before. It is going to be FRIGID, with a HIGH of only 4 degrees! You read that right-4 f’ing degrees!! (Is it coincidence that that just so happens to be Favre’s number?!? I don’t think so…). Not only that, they are calling for snow! The Giants will not be prepared for this. They will not be prepared for this crowd.

This would not be a Runny blog post if Keyra did not make an appearance with her fantastic ass…..

Favre and the Pack will get up early and pour it on. Eli will throw a few picks. Look for a big game from the Packers corners. I would not be surprised if one of them take one back for 6. Take the Packers and give the points.

Flash Flash Says:This game really is tough to call in my opinion and that makes it easy. During the NFL season when faced with two awesome opposing forces, you go with the underdog every time. Giants are on a 9 game road winning streak, they are 7-0 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record, Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 January games, Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and the list goes on and on. If I were to focus on the only negative ATS numbers the only one that sticks out is that the Packers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We know the Giants are the best road team in the NFL this season, with the exception of the Pats and this is a stat to consider. To me these teams are spitting images of each other, they can run, they can run to set up the pass, they have aggressive defenses and they can get after the QB. You can say this about both teams. I like what the Giants coaches have been doing as well. Even though the Giant’s secondary was depleted last week they stuck to their game plan and were content to blitz and man up in the 4th quarter, basically telling their players that they play on Sundays and they have faith in them to make the necessary plays. Great job by Coughlin’s crew. I think the weather will also be a factor in this game and we will all get to see the frozen tundra part II as these teams will play in near zero degree weather. We saw what the Packers offense did in the snow but this will be a lot colder.

It is also important to realize the Manning has bucked up in the last two games by playing not to lose. This is incredibly important in the playoffs. This season is a mish mosh for Manning. Sometimes he seems terrible and completely out of it and other times he leads his team on a quarter ending 75 yard TD scoring drive in 40 seconds. He has learned how to play within himself during these playoffs and I think he has a good mentor (Big Brother Peyton) who learned that putting up 49 TDs and tons of yards is not the key to winning a championship. Playing within yourself and not making mistakes or forcing plays is what keeps the NFL season alive. So will we get he bad decision making drunk Eli:

The drunk Eli will make poor decisions like getting a picture of him taken while he was drunk out of his mind with some little blond hottie or will we get the smart, low-key Eli who marries his college sweetheart and not some whore during a drunken night out. The picture below is Eli’s wife:

She actually looks much better in this picture if you click on this sentence. She is the girl on the left.

I think the Packers win a close game in the 17-14 range. I am betting the Giants with the points!!!

Some of you degenerates out there might know already but the AVN awards went down last weekend out in Vegas. So I want to focus on some porn dirty HOs for my pics today. Hello Breasts!!!!

You like Lily Thai, you will like Jasmine Mai:

and a porn pic shot would not be complete withou Carmen Luvana:

Mrs. Flash Flash says:The Mrs. thinks Favre is the american football dream and is predicting a Packers blow out. Yes the American football dream folks.

Only one more game to go this season…..The Super bowl and we will be ready with our pick. We hope you learned a lot about betting and grew to appreciate us this season. We tell it like it is and we put our own money to work with you. We are not some BS service that touts 65% winners all the time cause anybody with a brain knows that is impossible. This was an bizarre season in NCAA and NFL football and we will examine our models and see if we can find any additional strategic points to manipulate next season.

May your pimp hand be strong and your wallets full!!!

Flash and Runny

We were one missed field goal from going 2-0 on Saturday’s games. Settled for 1-1 to bring our playoff record to 1-5. Terrible, but it does feel good to get our first win. Now on to Sunday’s games:

Chargers @ Colts -10: The Colts kick-off their post season at home and rested. With the exception of Dwight Freeney, they are completely healthy. The Chargers, on the other hand, will likely be without one of their offensive studs-Antonio Gates. Even if Gates plays, he will be limited. This is a HUGE loss for the Chargers. HUGE.

We think the Colts roll big in this game. The reason is Philip Rivers. He is not a good QB. He has always struggled in the playoffs, and despite their win last week against the Titans, Rivers looked bad. The Colts are much better than the Titans.  Some will argue that this is way too many points to give the Chargers-they have a solid D and any team with LT has a chance to keep a game close. No way. Not this Sunday. These teams played in November with the Chargers squeaking out a 23-21 win. However, that game was in San Diego and Manning had the worse game of his career. Also, the Chargers managed only ONE TD by their offense. ONE, despite picking Manning off 6 TIMES!! The other two TDs were on returns by Darren Sproles. That won’t happen again in this game. The Colts have had 2 weeks off and they will be ready. Look for a HUGE beatdown. Take the Colts -10.

Giants @ Cowboys -7: The super hot Giants head back to Big D for the third time this year. They haven’t won yet, losing both match-ups by a combined total of 21 points. However, this is a much better Giants team. They are running the ball extremely well and Eli looks like his brother. And, they have a new weapon in Ahmad Bradshaw. Things are looking good for the Giants in this game. They are peaking while the Boys are struggling.

The Cowboys have not been a good team as of late. We think that is a product of them pretty much phoning in their season once they clinched their playoff spot and home field. Don’t get us wrong, 13-3 is no fluke, but the Boys have a lot of flaws. They are terrible is pass coverage and they are extremely undisciplined. They will make penalties hat will extend drives for the Giants. Plus, the huge question mark with TO will hinder their entire offense. What will give?

We have gone back and forth all week on this one, but we think in the end the Boys will cover. We have three reasons for this pick:

1). The Giants will be without Shockey. This is a bigger loss than Dallas having no/a limited TO. Even though Eli is playing really well without Shockey now, it will catch up to him in this game. First because the Boys will have their starting corners (Newman and Henry) for the first time all year. They won’t stop Toomer and Plaxico, but they will slow them down, forcing Eli to go to his TE. Kevin Boss is no Shockey. Plus, the Giants will miss Shockey’s run blocking in this one.

2). The Cowboys O-line is MASSIVE. They are road graders and they healthy for the first time in a month. They will hammer the Giants D line and the Boys will be able to run. By the fourth quarter, it will catch-up to them and Marion Barber will be racking-up stats. They have a sour taste in their mouth from their terrible perfromace in Washington to end the regular season. Along with Barber, look for Julius Jones to have a good game, too.

3).  The Giants secondary is injured and not that good. It is looking like TO will play. Not to state the obvious, but simply putting TO on the field makes a HUGE difference. Even at 80%. Or even 60%. TO is a play maker and requires constant attention by defensive coordinators. He can handle the Giants corners. Also, the addition of Terry Glenn will be a HUGE positive for the Cowboys. Putting him in the slot will create huge mismatches for the Giants and Jason Garrett is licking his chops. When the Cowboys go to their 3 receiver sets, lookout!!! It will also free-up the running game.

We think the Boys cover. We thing it will be a close cover, but they will do it. The Giants will be able to score, so it will be high scoring. Take the Cowboys -7.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

Greetings!! The 2nd round of the playoffs kicks off this afternoon. This weekend has some GREAT match-ups. We are lovin’ this!!! Let’s start with the stats: for the regular season, we held a 62-60-1 record and for the playoffs, we are 0-4. We now both those records are bad and not worth posting. It is not stopping us though because we know what lies ahead. This is definitely the weekend of the underdog. ALL of these lines scream for you to take every ‘dog. Vegas is begging you to do it-DON’T!!!! Here is our take on the Divisional Round:

Seahawks @ Packers -7.5: The Seahawks return to Lambeau in the playoffs for the first time since the infamous OT claim “We want the ball and we are gonna score” line. That game did not end well for the Seahawks. Will this one?

The keys to answer that question lie with the defenses for both teams and the incredible home field advantage the Packers have in this game. Can the Seahawks overcome Lambeau and the Packers D? We don’t think so.

No doubt the Packers are clearly the  better team. Vegas thinks so, which is really all that matters. They are rested and at home. They have an incredible D line and they are able to generate sacks without the help of their linebackers (Packers had 35 sacks on the season-30.5 came from D linemen). The Seahawks were not as good (45 teams sacks-29 by D linemen). This is a tremendous advantage. This means that the Packers can pressure the QB without bringing extra defenders-defenders that can drop back in pass coverage. This does not bode well for a Seahawks offense that is already banged-up. The Packers secondary will get a couple picks. Aaron Kampman will have a HUGE game.

What about Favre against the Seahawks D? During the regular season, the Seahawks were ranked 15th in the NFL. Last week, they nearly lost to Todd Collins (the game was MUCH closer than the score). Bret Favre is not Todd Collins. He will be able to move the ball. The Packers will be able to run all day. We LOVE the Packers in this game. Go heavy. We think they win by 10. Take the Packer -7.5.

Jags @ Pats -13: This is the game everyone is talking about. We have to admit that back as early as week 6, we thought if the Jags got the Pats in the playoffs they could beat them. They are a physical team with an OUTSTANDING running game. Looking at the games in which the Pats nearly lost, it was due to solid running and very physical defensive play. That is what most of the betting public thinks, too.

Don’t believe the hype!! We love the Jags and hate the Pats, so this pick is hurting us. However, look at the Steelers game last week. The Jags D lost an 18 points lead in the 2nd half. Garrard came back down to earth. We saw a Jags team that could not blitz effectively (we saw them blitz 3 times-every time they did, the Steelers beat them for a TD). You cannot beat the Pats without pressuring Brady. Can’t happen.

The Jags will use Rashean Mathis (and help) to negate Moss. The last team that took that approach and wasn’t able to blitz were the Skins. That game ended 52-7. Also, don’t forget that the Jags also have a rookie (though a good one) playing FS. For all the talk that the Pats don’t have a good D and cannot stop the run, the Pats gave up only 98.1 yards per game on the ground. Not great, but not bad either. They have had 13 days to prepare. They will be ready.

We don’t think this game is close. We think the Pats will get up by 14 early and keep pouring it on. Once they do, the Jags running game will be out the window. We think the Pats win by 20. Take the Pats -13.

Good luck! A post for tomorrow’s games will be out later tonight.

Runny & Flash

The last two games on tap for Wild Car Weekend pit the Giants against the Bucs and the Titans in San Diego against the Chargers. These two games are our favorites so far. We love the lines and the way Vegas has moved the lines all week!! Beware of the trap this time!! Remember, VEGAS KNOWS!!! Here is our take on each:

Giants @ Buccaneers -3: After nearly ending the Pats’ run at perfection last week, the Giants are definately the sexy pick in this one. Eli looked a lot like his big bro and Osi and Strahan played liked men possessed. On the other hand, the Buccaners have been extremely inconsistent as of late-losing their last two to the 49ers and Panthers. Yet, they are the favorites at home.

On paper, the teams are pretty even. The Giants have a a better offense, but the Bucs have a better D. Makes it tough to get an angle with the stats. How about the ATS numbers? Here you go:

GIANTS:

BUCS:

The ATS numbers are pretty close, too, with maybe a slight edge towards the Giants. What gives?

If you read our stuff, you know the answer to that question….yeap…VEGAS KNOWS. We can’t say that enough. This line opened with the Bucs being only 1 point favorites. However, as the week progressed, most of the money went towards the Giants. In particular, (at the time of this post) nearly 60% of the money is on the Giants to cover and OVER 90% of the money is on them to win outright!! OVER 90% AND THE LINE STILL INCREASED!!! We’ve seen this many times before. This is a trap!! Vegas wants you to keep hammering the Giants. Don’t do it!!

Vegas knows this game will come down to defense and QB play. As mentioned above, the Bucs have good advantage on D, so they win that match-up. In regards to the QB play, Eli is terrible. He looked good last week against a Pats D that is mediocre, at best. The Bucs D is much better. Much better. Plax won’t be open as much as he was last week. Watch for Ronde Barber to have a good game. We think the Bucs win by double digits. Take the Bucs -3.

Titans +10 @ Chargers: The Titans surprised us by making the playoffs this year. We admit that we are not fans on Vince Young, but we love the way the Titans play. Despite winning their division with a 11-5 record, the Chargers have had a disappointing season. This team was predicted to win 15 games this year. However, they are rolling right now and LT is amazing. He pretty much saved Norv Turner his job.

The sexy pick in this game is the Chargers. No one is giving the Titans a chance. At the time of this post, 79% of the money is on the Chargers to cover the spread an nearly all the analysis on TV is about how much the Chargers will roll. After all, the Titans are injured. They have no offensive threats (Vince Young is a game time decision and Roydell Williams is out). The Chargers have a TON of offensive weapons and their D plays lights out.

However, we are looking past this. On any given Sunday, any team can beat any team. We know Jeff Fisher is telling his team that and he is a master motivator. We also think he is an infinitely better coach than Norv Turner. Fisher always finds away to get it done with no help. Even with his Super Bowl team that nearly beat the then unstoppable Rams, he really had no (We don’t think Eddie George was anywhere near as good as LT) weapons. He still gets it done.

We think this game will come down to coaching and QB play. We already told you how we feel about the coaches. The key will be the QBs. We think Philip Rivers is a joke and his history (although brief) shows he in not a good playoff QB. He will turn the ball over. Look for Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth to have big games for the Titans. LT will go nuts for the Chargers. Ultimately, we think the massive injuries the Titans have will slow them down and cost them the game, but we think they will keep it close. Keep in mind that the Titans nearly beat them last month. We love the 10 points. Take the Titans +10.